MLB Betting Picks: Toronto Blue Jays (-115)
Tue May 20 ‘08 7:05p - Click Here for MLB Odds
John Lackey of the Los Angeles Angels pitched well in his first start off of the Disabled List, but after throwing 99 pitches in seven innings, he is a prime candidate to regress in his second start tonight vs. the Toronto Blue Jays.

Besides, this is not the best pitching matchup for him, as Dustin McGowan has pitched much better than his 4.38 ERA and 1.44 WHIP would indicate. Both of those figures ate skewed by one horrid outing in Cleveland where McGowan was roughed up for nine runs while allowing 10 baserunners in just 3.2 innings. The truth of the matter however is that he has allowed three earned runs or less in seven of his other eight starts, and he allowed just four runs in the other outing. McGowan was also a perfect two for two in Quality Starts vs. the Angels last season.

Now if Lackey does indeed pitcher fewer innings tonight, that would certainly be bad news for the Halos given that the rank 29th out of 30 Major League teams with a 4.87 bullpen ERA, ahead of only the Texas Rangers. By comparison, the Blue Jays lead the American League with a 3.14 pen ERA, making Toronto a strong Bullpen System play here.

Finally, the Jays are 8-2 in the last 10 head-to-lead meetings with the Angels here north of the border, and we look for Toronto to prevail again here.

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