Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
Free MLB Pick: Over 10 Runs -110 odds
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Carl Pavano got lit up by the Royals when he faced them last weekend, allowing eleven hits and seven earned runs in just 3.1 innings of work. This is nothing new for the KC lineup against Pavano. In seven starts against the Royals last year, Pavano allowed Kansas City to hit .310 against him, with a 6.59 ERA in those contests.

Gil Meche got lit up by the Twins when he faced them last weekend, just one start after getting bombed by the struggling Red Sox lineup. Meche has an 11.57 ERA this year, with opposing hitters batting .357 against him. Meche wasn’t all that much better last year, finishing the season with an ERA over five. In three starts against this Twins lineup last year, Meche allowed 29 baserunners in just 17 innings of work, compiling a 5.29 ERA in the process.

Both lineups are in solid current form. Minnesota has scored five runs or more in six of their last seven games. The Royals have scored five runs or more in six of their last ten outings, and as a team, they are hitting .300 against righties during that span. KC also has the single worst bullpen ERA in the AL, leaving the door open for late inning shenanigans. 2* Take the Over.

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