MLB Free Pick: Seattle Mariners (150)
Fri April 18 ’08 10:05p – Click Here for MLB Betting Odds
Joe Saunders of the Los Angeles Angles was a popular fantasy baseball sleeper selection before this season, but it appears that the value on him is gone at this price vs. the Seattle Mariners.

Yes, Saunders had an outstanding spring, and that has carried over to his first three starts as he has a 1.27 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 21 innings with the Angels winning all three of his starts. However, has he really done enough over his brief career to merit this much favoritism over a capable opponent? Besides, he has just one Quality Start in four outings vs. the Mariners, falling two-thirds of an inning short of a QS last week when he allowed two runs in 5.1 innings against Seattle despite allowing nine men to reach base.

Now R.A. Dickey is making his first start as a Mariner, and he was mediocre at best when he started for the Texas Rangers in recent seasons. However, Dickey has had some success here in Anaheim, going a perfect two for two in Quality Starts here while allowing a total of four runs and 14 baserunners in 14 innings. If we add in his home starts vs. the Halos while he was with Texas, Dickey is actually four for five in Quality Starts against them in his short career.

All things considered, this price seems inflated to us, so we will go with the value play on Seattle at the generous number.

MLB Free Pick: Mariners +150 – Courtesy of LT Profits