San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers u9.5 (-115) MLB Odds - Thu September 4th ‘08 8:05p
Both teams are coming off being swept. The Mets took the broom to the Brewers, while the Padres failed to win a game during their three-game set against the Dodgers. So who gets the advantage between two sliding team’s? In this case, the advantage is definitely Milwaukee’s. The Brewers played a day-game at Shea Stadium on Wednesday and got back home in plenty of time to rest and prepare for the Padres. San Diego meanwhile had a night game in Los Angeles followed by the long trip to Wisconsin. The Padres arrived early this morning so they’ve got to be dragging. Both teams have been struggling offensively. The Brew Crew scored a total of nine runs in the New York series while the Padres have scored a total of 12 runs in their last four outings. This will be the fourth meeting of the year between these two teams with the previous three games staying well UNDER the total. Jeff Suppan goes for the Brewers while the Padres will counter with Shawn Estes. I never been a believer in what day of the week you play makes a big difference. However, for what it’s worth, the Padres are 14-3 to the UNDER on Thursday’s. Overall this year San Diego has played to low side 72-62 while the Brewers have posted a record of 59-72. Milwaukee’s totals mark is a bit misleading considering all the high numbers they’ve faced this season. Here’s the bottom line: You’ve got two tired teams that have a history of playing close, low scoring games. Look for that trend to continue tonight. - Courtesy of Bob Harvey - Click Here to Buy Bob Harvey’s Expert MLB Picks Picks

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds o9.5 (-125) - Thu September 4th ‘08 12:35p
The Pittsburgh Pirates have one of the best Over records in baseball this season, especially on the road where the Pittsburgh Over is a lucrative 40-23-4. Look for that pattern to continue when the Pirates visit the Cincinnati Reds in this very early 12:35 ET start. The starting pitchers certainly figure to do their part to make this happen today. Josh Fogg is 2-7 with a brutal 7.29 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 13 starts this season for the Reds. As if that is not bad enough, he has allowed 22 earned runs and 28 hits in just 19 innings over his last four starts vs. the normally light-hitting Pirates. Tom Gorzelanny has not been much better for the Pirates either, as he sits at 6-9 with a 6.61 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in 19 starts, with the Over going 13-5-1 in those outings. Even more alarming is that his numbers are actually worse over his last three starts, where he has a disgusting 8.82 ERA and 1.90 WHIP over 16.1 innings. He did not get out of the fist inning the last time he faced Cincinnati, allowing six earned runs in 0.2 innings. Combining the recent form of these hurlers and the Over-tendency of the Pirates in general this year, the Over seems like an obvious selection here. MLB Free Pick: Pirates, Reds Over 9.5 (-125) - Courtesy of LT Profits

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