Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Free Pick: Over 8.5 -110 MLB odds
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At 1:10 pm our complimentary selection is on the Kansas City Royals and Cincinnati Reds ‘over’ the total. To say it’s been a rough follow-up season to his Cy Young campaign in 2009 for Zack Greinke would be a huge understatement. Not only does Greinke have a 4.05 ERA and 1.30 WHIP which are not even in the same zip code as his incredible numbers last season, but what must be really frustrating for him is the fact that Royals are just 2-11 in Greinke’s 13 starts. Some of that is due to a lack of run support, but clearly a big part of it has been the drop-off in form of Greinke himself. He could very well struggle more this afternoon as Greinke’s career numbers in inter-league play are rather ugly at 8-6 with a 4.84 ERA in 21 appearances (15 starts) against the NL. Greinke has never pitched in Great American Ball Park before but he no doubt knows that it is a tough place for pitchers and that Cincy has been putting up plenty or runs there lately and they’ve plated 29 in their last four games on this home-stand including 11 on Saturday night against KC. 26-year-old Reds righthander Sam LeCure would love to have that kind of run support and there is a good chance he’ll get it. With the 11-5 game on Saturday, the over is now 8-3 in the last 11 games between these two. Take the ‘over.’ As always, good luck…Al McMordie.

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