MLB Picks: May 30th 2011
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Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -112
I believe there is a ton of value on the Blue Jays at home against the Cleveland Indians. Toronto comes into the game on a three game winning streak, while the Indians have won just one of their last five. The Blue Jays offense has scored 26 runs over the three game stretch, and should have no trouble keeping it going. Cleveland’s starter Fausto Carmona is just 3-5 with a 4.73 ERA this season, but has really struggled of late and on the road. He is 1-3 in five starts on the road and is 0-2 with a 6.97 ERA over his last three starts. The Blue Jays counter with Jo-Jo Reyes, who hasn’t been great, but with the way the offense is rolling he should be able to come in and grab his first win of the season. The oddsmakers have the Blue Jays favored for a reason. Reyes will be making his first career start against the Indians, which should give him a slight advantage early. The Blue Jays are 19-11 against the money line in night games this season, 19-7 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series, 7-2 in their last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game, and 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.BET TORONTO! -Steve Janus

Pick: Cincinnati Reds -122
The Reds are one of the best hitting teams against left handed starters this year. In 9 games against lefties they’ve averaged 6.6 runs per game and hit .296 as a team. They are also one of the strongest home teams in baseball, posting a 15-11 record so far this season. Today they are paired with the Milwaukee Brewers who, despite their recent success, are one of the worst road teams in the Majors at just 8-17. The Brewers score over a run less per game on the road and hit over 30 points worse per game away from Miller Park. The smart money is on the Reds at Great American Ballpark on Monday. -Jack Jones

Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -139
The Giants, which have lost 5 of their last 6, find themselves at a disadvantage this afternoon with Bumgarner on the hill against the red hot Red Birds – winners of 10 of their last 13. San Francisco is just 2-8 in Bumgarner’s starts this season, only providing him an average of 2.37 runs of support. He can’t expect much run support here with McClellan dealing for St. Louis. He’s 5-1 (8-1 on the money line) with an ERA of 3.12 in 9 starts this season. The Cards are a perfect 4-0 in his 4 home starts. The converted reliever has pitched 5 1/3 scoreless innings of relief against the Giants in six appearances. The Giants have lost 4 of their last 5 in St. Louis and I expect their struggles to continue tonight. Get more expert MLB picks from our professional sports handicappers at Touthouse.com