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MLB Picks: Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: July 16th 2012

July 16th, 2012
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MLB Picks: July 16th 2012
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers
Pick: Detroit Tigers -116
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Detroit won two of three in Baltimore over the weekend to keep pace with the White Sox in the American League Central. The Tigers are only three games over .500 but trail Chicago by just 3.5 games so everything is still well within reach. They had won five straight games prior to the series win and all of those came at home where they are finally back over .500 once again. The offense has started to produce a lot more and the Tigers are 15-5 in their last 20 games as a home favorite between -110 and -150.

The Angels lost two of three in New York but it was able to salvage the final game to avoid the sweep. They have been playing a lot better after a very slow start but they have dropped four of their last five road games and still trail the Rangers by five games in the American League West. The problem has been pitching with a starting ERA of 4.49 on the highway and this is another tough spot as Los Angeles is 3-7 in its last 10 games as a road underdog.

The Tigers trot out Rick Porcello who has been pitching much better of late. He did struggle in his last outing where he went just 3.2 innings and allowed three runs but prior to that, he tossed three straight quality outings which was the first time all season he had accomplished that. Detroit has won his last three starts and six of his last eight as it has been piling up the runs after not doing so in the first part of the season. The Tigers are 21-9 in Porcello’s last 30 starts as a favorite.

The Angels hope the All-Star break helped Ervin Santana as he is coming off two dreadful outings. He allowed 13 runs in 6.1 innings including giving up eight runs in only 1.1 innings against the Indians last time out. He has been shellacked in his last three road starts, posting a 15.00 ERA in those games. The road has always been an issue for Santana and it is definitely showing right now. Going back further, the Angels are 1-8 in Santana’s last nine starts against teams with a winning record. 3* (914) Detroit Tigers -Matt Fargo

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