Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres
MLB Prediction: Houston Astros +150 odds
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This is a great number for the Astros who have been playing some very solid baseball of late. They are 6-3 over their last nine games as the offense has started to finally find a groove. The Padres have dropped three of their last four including the opener last night as over a two-to-one chalk. Getting Roy Oswalt as an underdog in this spot is a bargain in my opinion. Getting him coming off his worst putting of the season makes it even better as the value is there as is the bounce back probability. He started the season with 10 straight quality starts before falling down in two outings but he came back with three more quality efforts prior to his last game at Texas. Looking at his slate and you will see that the Astros are 2-6 in the eight starts that he has been an underdog. There is a reason for that however as five of those losses came against Tim Lincecum three times, Roy Halladay and Ubaldo Jimenez so it make sense. Oswalt has a 2.88 ERA in six road starts this season, five of which have been quality outings with the Astros going 4-2 in those games. Going against San Diego has been a winning proposition as he has a 2.74 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 14 career starts where he is 10-2 and Houston is 11-3 in those games. This includes a 3-1 record and 2.51 ERA in five starts in Petco Park. Mat Latos has been outstanding this season for the Padres as he is 8-4 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 15 starts. He has been tough to beat but the one way he has been beaten is by his own team as the run production has been horrid. San Diego is averaging only 3.7 rpg in his starts including the exact same at home where the Padres are just 3-3 in his six home starts. He dominated the Astros in Houston in his first start against them but that was two months ago and Houston has found its production at the plate since then. The Astros are 62-28 in Oswalt’s last 90 starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game while the Padres are 1-7 in their last eight home games against right-handed starters. After last night, Houston has taken 10 of the last 13 meetings. 3* Houston Astros

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