Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers -105 odds
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We used the Dodgers in this spot last night and we will go back with them this afternoon in the series finale. Just like last night, there is tremendous value on the Dodgers here after they have taken the first two games of this series with relative ease. That now makes it 14 wins in the last 17 meetings in this series and for Los Angeles overall, it is now 27-11 over its last 38 games including an 11-3 record on the road. Cincinnati is just 3-6 on its current homestand and it has now fallen into a first place tie with the Cardinals in the National League Central. The pitching is turning into a problem as the ERA from the starters over the last 10 games is a gaudy 5.58 while the bullpen ERA over that span is 5.68. After tossing six straight quality starts, rookie John Ely has struggled over his last two games, allowing four runs in five innings on both occasions. This is a great spot to bounce back as he was hurt by the long ball in those games, giving up three dingers, his first three of the entire season. On the season he has a 3.38 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in nine starts with the Dodgers going 6-3 in those games. The Reds counter with Bronson Arroyo who has been extremely inconsistent all season. In his 13 starts, he has thrown only six quality outings and only three of his six starts at home have been quality performances as well. In his career, Arroyo is just 22-31 with a 4.54 ERA in day games, as opposed to 69-55 with a 4.15 ERA at night and facing the Dodgers will not help matters. In nine starts against Los Angeles, he is 1-4 with a 4.58 ERA with his teams going just 1-8 in those games. This includes a 0-4 record since 2008. The Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 games when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game while the Reds are 1-7 in their last eight games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game so momentum has played a big role of late. 3* Los Angeles Dodgers

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