Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets
Free Pick: Denver Nuggets -8.5 (-110)
Wed May 13 2009 9:05p – NBA Odds
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Well, we predicted that the Denver Nuggets would beat the Dallas Mavericks in five games before this series started, and we look for that forecast to come to its fruition tonight in emphatic fashion.

The Nuggets are playing the best basketball in the NBA since early March, and they have been downright invincible here at home. In fact, the Nuggets are 21-5 straight up since March 10, including 15-0 SU at home where they won those games by an incredible average of +15.3 points.

This amazing home run has continued in the playoffs, where they won their three home games vs. the New Orleans Hornets by 29, 15 and 21 points respectively, and they won the first two games of this Dallas series here by 14 and 12 points. Furthermore, Game 2 was not a 12-point game in reality as the Mavericks cut into a huge deficit in garbage time.

Dallas took advantage of an aging San Antonio Spurs team without probably the best sixth man in the NBA in Manu Ginobili in the first round, but they seem outclassed in this series, especially in the games in Denver. Yes, they overcame a 14-point deficit in Game 4 to avoid getting swept, but that was at home and they will not be able to come back if they face a similar deficit tonight, which seems inevitable given the recent Denver home play.

Look for the Nuggets to wrap up this series with a big double-digit victory.

NBA Free Pick: Nuggets -8.5 (-110)

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