Free NBA Pick: Denver Nuggets +4.5 (-110)
Mon Apr 28 ’08 10:30p – Click Here for NBA Betting Odds
Superstar Carmelo Anthony accused his Denver Nuggets teammates of quitting during their 102-84 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday, and we would not be surprised at all if the Nuggets put forth an extraordinary effort tonight to salvage a win in this series.

At the very least, that abysmal effort has given Denver some nice line value here, as they went from somewhat surprising small favorites in Game 3 to decided underdogs tonight. This is a team that won 50 games this season, and besides Anthony, we simply do not feel that their other veterans like Allen Iverson and Marcus Camby will allow this club to go down with no fight whatsoever. This reminds us a lot of the situation in Phoenix yesterday, where a team looked totally dead in Game 3 of a series to go down 3-0 and then rallied for their best effort of the series in a dominant Game 4 win.

Now obviously, it is extremely difficult to find anything negative about the Lakers here as far as the numbers are concerned. However, this is a game of emotion, and we just think that the Nuggets will give a peak performance here not wanting to get swept, while the Lakers are at a comfort level knowing they could still wrap up this series on their home court in Game 5 should they lose tonight.

Speaking of home court, the home team is still 14-6 against the spread in the last 20 head-to-head meetings between these clubs, Game 3 obviously notwithstanding, and we look for the Nuggets to spring a surprise here and win one for the home folks.

NBA Free Pick: Nuggets +4.5

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