Los Angeles Lakers vs. Boston Celtics
Free Pick: Los Angeles Lakers +3 -110 odds
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This has been a back and forth series; the “flip flop theory” is in full effect. LA won straight up and covered in Game 1, Boston returned the favour in Game 2, LA won and covered in Game 3, and Boston held court in Game 4. For a number of different reasons, I believe that this trend is going to continue and recommend a play on the LAKERS with the points in Game 5.

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But back to the Lakers in Game 5; this is a spot that LA has done very well in so far in the 2010 post season; it’s 2-1 ATS when tied in a playoff series; but it’s interesting to note that it’s an awesome 7-2 ATS in the same position over the last two years. In exact contrast to those stellar numbers, Boston is just 1-2 ATS in the 2010 post season when tied in a playoff series and just 7-8 ATS over the past two seasons. Although they won and covered the last time out, keep in mind that the Celtics are also a brutal 31-41 ATS this year when playing the roll of favorite. A big reason behind the Celtics Game 4 victory was the difference on the offensive boards; Boston had 16 to LA’s 8. That prompted Lakers coach Phil Jackson to say;

“I was disappointed our guys can’t secure the rebounds, didn’t capture the rebounds,” Jackson said. “We talked about that tonight. We shot better than they did, but that didn’t make the difference in the game. The difference in the game was chances. They had more chances than we did.”

LA collapsed in the fourth quarter allowing the Celtics to break out with 36 points; suffice to say I expect the Lakers, which are in fact the bigger team, to come out with a much more all around concerted effort on both ends of the court.

The “flip flop” theory continues to ring true in the Finals here; great value on the visitors; grab up those points!

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