Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Boston Celtics
Free Pick: Cleveland Cavs -1 -110 odds
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Reasons the Cavs cover:
1.) System Play. We’ll Play On – Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) – an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a blowout win by 20 points or more. This is a 28-6 ATS System hitting 82.4% since 1996. This system is 2-1 this season.

2.) Cleveland actually has a better road record (28-16) than Boston’s home record (27-18). Home court has not been much of an advantage at all for the Celtics, and that was on display in Game 3. It’s clear that Lebron James’ elbow is just fine after he poured in 21 first quarter points en route to a 124-95 Game 3 victory. If Cleveland plays at or near their best, Boston cannot beat them. The Cavs won’t make the same mistake they did in Game 2 by coming out flat. Look for the Cavs to go in for the kill Sunday. Bet Cleveland in Game 4.

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