NCAA Basketball Picks: December 31st 2012
NC Greensboro vs. NC State
Prediction: NC Greensboro +23
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This is Ryan’s third 25* Bowl game release for New Year’s Eve + he is hitting 70% ATS winners w/his 25* Titans in this current Bowl Season. As you have come to expect, Ryan always shows you the extensive facts why he is releasing this play to you. This game features a ton of game situations + Bonus 10* play on the Total.

10* graded play on the UNC-Greensboro as they take on NC State in College Hardwood action set to start at 5:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Greensboro will lose this game by fewer than 20 points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 40-12 ATS mark for 77% winners since 1997. Play on road dogs of 10 or more points off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite and now facing an opponent off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. Of course this is a mismatch on paper, but NC State has not done well ATS when facing inferior teams. They sport an imperfect 0-6 ATS in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams forcing <=14 turnovers per game over the last 2 seasons. The line is inflated simply because of the ‘flash stats’ showing how poorly Greensboro has done and that NC State is ranked No. 23 in the nation. It is just far too many points given the situation and that State has no reason to make a fool of their state rival. State has used their bench far more in games like this one as a way to make the overall team stronger as they enter the January conference games that matter for more than this ‘scrimmage’. Take Greensboro to compete well enough to keep this game between 10 and 20 points.