Kentucky vs. Tennesee
Free Pick: Kentucky -2.5
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The Kentucky Wildcats are showing excellent value on the road as a small favorite against Tennessee this afternoon. The Wildcats are 27-1 this season and any time you can find them at this price, it’s a good idea to back them. Tennessee has had a great year considering the adversity they have faced, but they are just not on the same level as the Wildcats here. Kentucky has 3 players averaging more points than the Vols’ leading scorer. The Vols have lost 3 of their last 5 games overall, including a 62-73 road loss at Kentucky. The Wildcats are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Vols over the last 3 seasons.

Kentucky is 12-5 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season. Tennessee is 0-6 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. The Vols have not fared well when trying to bounce back from a bad loss like the one they suffered at Florida last time out, 62-75. The Wildcats are 9-2 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams – shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons. Tennessee is 0-7 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game this season. Certainly the Vols will be wanting revenge, but they just don’t have the talent to match-up with Kentucky as there are mismatches across the board in the Wildcats’ favor. Take Kentucky.

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