Louisville vs. Cincinnati
Free Pick: Louisville -6
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Louisville’s press will be the difference in this game. They will force Cincinnati to eat up the shot clock on almost every possession they decide to press, and considering the Bearcats aren’t a very good shooting team, they won’t have enough time to run their offense and find good shots after breaking the press. Cincinnati is scoring just 62.5 points/game and shooting 39.8% from the field in road games this year. They are a completely different team away from home. Louisville still scores 72.0 points/game on the road on 44.2% shooting this season. The Bearcats struggled to beat Rutgers last night, one of the worst teams in the Big East, 69-68. Cincinnati is now 2-5 S.U. & 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They are not playing well down the stretch, while the Cardinals are playing excellent by winning 5 of their last 7, including two wins over Syracuse. Cincinnati is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons. Louisville won the first meeting 68-60 at home over Cincinnati. The Bearcats are only 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season. Take Louisville and lay the points.

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