Michigan State vs. Purdue – February 17th 2009 7:00 PM EST
Free Pick: Purdue Boilermakers -2 1/2
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Purdue is 6-1 SU and ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less or a pick last 3 years. Purdue is 33-14 ATS after a conference game the past 3 years. Purdue is 23-9 ATS last 3 years when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games. Purdue is allowing only 57.8 points per game overall and 53.7 points per game at home this year. Purdue is 2-0 SU and ATS at home vs Michigan State the last 3 years. Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Boilermakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Boilermakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Boilermakers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Boilermakers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. Boilermakers are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Boilermakers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Boilermakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Boilermakers are 28-12-1 ATS in their last 41 vs. Big Ten. Favorite is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Spartans are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. We’ll recommend a small play on Purdue tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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