NCAA Basketball Picks for December 21st 2010
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Pick: USC +7.5
At 7 pm, our complimentary selection is on the USC Trojans plus the points over Tennessee. Bruce Pearl’s Volunteers had a big win earlier this month when they went into the Steel City and upset Pittsburgh. But the Vols have stumbled lately, with losses in their last two games. First, they fell at home to the Golden Grizzlies of Oakland University. And then they lost as double-digit road favorites to the Charlotte 49ers. They’ll try to get off the schneid tonight at home vs. USC, but covering this number may be difficult. Consider that, since 1990, .584 (or better) home faves of -7 or more points are 43-70 ATS vs. .521 (or better) foes, if our home team is off 2+ losses, with the most recent defeat coming as a road favorite. Last year, the Trojans blasted Tennessee 77-55 as 10.5 point underdogs. Don’t be surprised if history repeats itself tonight. Take the Trojans + the points. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie. And don’t miss our NBA play tonight, as we go for our 10th straight winner in Pro Basketball. And also don’t miss our huge College Football Game of the Year. It’s available right now. -Big Al McMordie

Pick: San Diego State -22
I’m laying the points with San Diego State on Tuesday. San Francisco (5-7) has seven freshmen and just one senior on its roster. The Dons already have endured blowout losses to Washington (80-52), Louisville (61-35) and Montana State (76-59). Moustapha Diarra (the lone senior) has a presence in the post and Michael Williams is the leading scorer with 15 points per contest. San Diego State (12-0) suffered a flu outbreak which resulted in a six-point win as a 26-point favorite over Cal Poly. Obviously, all is well now as the Aztecs blew out a decent UC Santa Barbara team by a 90-64 score on Saturday. The Aztecs play under the radar in the TV-deprived Mountain West Conference but they should be considered one of the best teams in the country. Four players average double figures led by Kawhi Leonard with 16 points per game. SDSU is shooting a blistering 50 percent from the field with a defense that allows only 60 points per game. This game is being played in a 4,500 seat arena at the South Point Casino in Las Vegas. I’m laying the points with the Aztecs on Tuesday night. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer

Pick: Louisiana Tech +12.5
On Tuesday the Free NCAAB Play is on LA. Tech. Game 727 at 8:00 eastern. Iowa is not as good as in years past. They come into this one with some negative angles going against them. The Hawkeyes are 1-4 straight up and ats this year after allowing 60 or less points and 11-24 after scoring 60 or less points the past few years. When they play as a home favorite from -9.5 to -12 they are a mediocre 5-12 ats. LA. Tech has been a dependable road team covering the spread 5 of the last 6 times as a road dog from 9.5 to 12. In fact they are 4-4 on the road this season and are scoring and allowing 74 points per game. Best of all is their solid spread record vs teams with a winning record. They are 26-10 ats the past few years. Look for them to get the cover tonight. On Tuesday the lead plays are a Triple System Bowl Game of the week and a big 26-2 NCABB Power play that has a 100% Angle. For the free play take LA. Tech plus all those points. -Rob Vinciletti