San Jose State vs. Hawaii
Free Pick: Hawaii +8.5 (-110 odds)
Thu January 28 2010 10:00p
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The Hawaii Warriors may be 0-4 away from the islands this season, but this visit to the San Jose State Spartans looks a tad easier than their prior trips to the mainland and Hawaii can compete here.

After all, the Warriors had little chance as double-digit underdogs at Utah State and Fresno State, and they also lost on a neutral court to an excellent St. Mary’s team. San Jose is one of the rare sites on the mainland where Hawaii has had success, as they covered in a narrow two-point loss here last season and they won outright in their prior three visits.

Besides, the Spartans are not the type of team that blows people away this season. They are a mediocre 11-8 overall while barely outscoring their opponents by a tiny +0.3 points per game, and while they are 8-1 at home, they are outscoring their home Division I competition by +4.4 points per game, which is only about half of this posted line.

San Jose simply does not play good enough defense to lay this may points, as they are allowing 75.1 points per game overall and are not much better here, allowing 73.8 points per game at home. In fact, they have a dismal adjusted defensive efficiency rating of 1.086 points per possession according to the Pomeroy Ratings, which ranks 299 out of 347 Division I schools.

Now Hawaii may not win this game outright, but they should put up just enough points vs. thos Spartans defense to hang around until the final buzzer.

CBB Free Pick: Hawaii +8.5 (-110)

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