Utah vs. Air Force
Free Pick: Air Force +15.0 (-110 odds)
Sat January 23rd 2010 6:00p
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The Air Force Falcons are 8-9 straight up this season despite facing a soft schedule, and they are usually offensively challenged, bur have the Utah Utes done enough to be favored by 15 points over anyone?

After all, this is a down year for the Utes, who are only 9-9 themselves while outscoring their Division I opponents by just a scant +1.9 points per game. Moreover, they have done a terrible job of protecting their home court, where they have always been so dominant in the past.

This season however, Utah is just 6-5 in Huntsman Center, and they lost to San Diego State here on Tuesday. They are outscoring their DI home opponents by an average of 7.6 points, but even that figure is only half of this inflated spread. Also, the Utah defense forces turnovers on only 18.4 percent of possessions, which ranks 293 out of 347 Division I teams. This means that Air Force should have little trouble running their deliberate offense and shortening the game.

Yes, the Falcons average a disgusting 48.2 points on the road, but because they have such a plodding offense, it is also hard for other teams to beat them by more than 15 points too, as it is almost impossible to get a running game going against them. Besides, Utah does not play that kind of fast tempo anyway.

Utah did win by exactly 15 points the last time the Falcons visited here last season, but that was a much stronger Utes team while Air Force has not changes that much. Thus, look for the Fly Boys to stay inside this 15-point spot.

CBB Free Pick: Air Force +15 (-110)

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