Michigan State vs. Connecticut
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The Michigan State Spartans have gotten to this point with stiff defense, and we feel they will slow the pace of this Final Four matchup with the Connecticut Huskies enough for this game to stay Under the total.

The Under is now 11-4 in the last 15 Michigan State games overall, and they have held their four opponents in this tournament so far to an average of just 61.3 points per game. They held Louisville to 52 points in the Elite Eight by playing deliberately and not turning the ball over, thus not allowing the Cardinals to set up their fast break. Expect an identical game plan vs. this second straight Big East opponent.

As much as Connecticut would prefer a fast pace, they are also no opposed to a half-court game if that is what they have to do to win, and as a result, the Under is a surprising 17-12, 58.6 percent in all Huskies games this season. Also, do not discount the Connecticut defense here either, as they are allowing 63.7 points on only 37.6 percent shooting for the entire season.

While we expect a tightly contested game here that can end on either side of the spread (currently Connecticut -4), we do expect this contest to stay safely Under.

CBB Free Pick: Michigan State, Connecticut Under 134 (-110)

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