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New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat Playoffs Prediction & Odds

April 28th, 2012
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New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat
Playoffs Prediction & Odds
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The New York Knicks (36-30 SU, 36-30 ATS, 27-39 O/U) feel like they can hang with the Miami Heat (46-20 SU, 34-32 ATS, 25-39-2 O/U) – and their recent play – suggest they may be able to.

New York has won three straight and five of its last half-dozen games and seven of its L/9 games overall while Miami dropped three of its L/4 regular season games while mostly resting their overworked trio of stars.

Still, Miami won all three regular season meetings against the Knicks while covering the spread in each of the last two meetings.

The Knicks went 21-12 ATS at home this season but just 15-18 ATS on the road while averaging 97.8 points per game (11th) and allowing just 94.7 points per game defensively.

New York has played much better – particularly at the defensive end of the floor – since veteran head coach Mike Woodson took over for former coach Mike D’Antoni. To illustrate this point, the Knicks held seven of their final 10 opponents to less than 100 points.
The Knicks had five players average double figures in scoring this season, led by Carmelo Anthony’s 22.6 points per game.

Miami averaged 98.5 point per game this season (7th) while limiting their opponents to just 92.5 points per game defensively on 43.4 percent shooting from the field (fifth). The heat went 18-15 ATS at home this season but just 14-19 ATS on the road.

The Heat got 27.1 points per game from LeBron James, 22.1 ppg from Dwyane Wade and 18.0 ppg from Chris Bosh, but no other player managed to reach double figures in scoring for Miami this season.

Here is a look at the key ATS and O/U trends for both ballclubs this season.

New York
Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Knicks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
Knicks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
Under is 6-0-1 in Knicks last 7 vs. a team with a winning SU record.
Under is 4-1 in Knicks last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Knicks last 5 vs. NBA Southeast.

Miami
Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as a favorite.
Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 21-5 in Heat last 26 games as a home favorite.
Under is 21-5 in Heat last 26 home games.

Key head-to-head trends
Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Miami.
Under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

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