New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Free Pick: Baltimore Orioles +165 betting line
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After winning 10 straight games in this series, the Yankees have lost three of the last five dating back to last season. The first series this season is at a 1-1 split and I think there is a ton of value on the Orioles tonight. At 4-17, the Orioles have obviously lost more money than they have won but they are playing better now and are finally starting to meet expectations. Two of the last three losses have been by just a run so even the losses have been close ones and tonight they go with rookie of the year candidate Brian Matusz. He is off to a good start this season and has now tossed two straight quality games and on the season he is allowing a very solid .242 BAA. He faced the Yankees once last season and tossed a gem, allowing only one run on four hits in seven innings in a 7-3 win at Yankee Stadium so he will be far from intimidated here. He goes against A.J. Burnett who is off to a solid start with a 2-0 record and 3.20 ERA through four starts. The problem is he has a 1.42 WHIP and now facing the Orioles could be a bigger problem. His record is 9-2 lifetime against Baltimore but he has a 5.23 ERA and 1.42 WHIP over 13 starts and has been fortune the offense has bailed him out. He is undefeated at Camden Yards but a 4.75 ERA and 1.56 WHIP does not exactly show he has been dominant. The Yankees are just 5-16 in their last 21 road games against teams with a winning percentage at home of .400 or less while the Orioles are 5-1 in Matusz’ last six starts against a team with a winning record. 3* Baltimore Orioles

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