New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels
Pick: Los Angeles Angels +175 betting odds
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5* graded play on Anaheim as they take on the NY Yankees set to start at 1:05 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Anaheim will win this game. Although the Yankees are in a strog position for play-off position they are clearly showing that they do not have the dominant rotation to win the AL pennant. They are going to have to make a move to solidify and bring a form of insurance to this rotation, but it may come at a huge price. The Yankees are a good at winning baseball games, but they do not have the magic chemistry. Just look at the antics of Burnett recently and the lack of any dugout celebration when something good happens. Anaheim is certainly a ball team that really needs to get going and they match-up very well against AL East teams. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 33-16 making 31 units since 2004. Play against home teams revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs and with a hot starting pitcher posting an ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games. Vazquez is just 2-9 (-10.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team winning between 51% to 54% of their games when the game occurs in the second half of the season spanning the last 3 seasons. Anaheim is a solid 43-16 (+28.3 Units) against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. Their starter Pineiro is a near perfect 12-2 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. Last, but not least, the fact that the Yankees have had 5 straight OVERS reflects more of the inconsistent starting and bullpen pitching. Yankees are 1-8 (-10.2 Units) against the money line after 5 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons. Take Anaheim.