Arizona Cardinals vs. Chicago Bears
Free NFL Pick: Over 44 points -110 odds (November 8th 2009)
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Look for plenty of offensive fireworks Sunday between the Bears and Cardinals at Soldier Field to get this OVER. Arizona has been at their best offensively on the road this year, while the Bears have been scoring at will at home. The Cardinals average 27.3 points/game on the road, while Chicago puts up 31.7 points/game at home. Neither team has been all that great defensively this year as both squads give up over 20 points/game. The Bears are 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The OVER is 10-2 in Cardinals last 12 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0. The OVER is 12-3-1 in Cardinals last 16 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0. The OVER is 40-15 in Cardinals last 55 games as an underdog. Arizona is 39-18 OVER in their last 57 road games. You can see a trend developing here that when the Cardinals are a road dog, chances are it’s going to result in a high-scoring affair. The OVER is 11-1 in the Bears’ last 12 games overall when installed a favorite of 0.5-3.0 points. The OVER is 18-6 in Bears last 24 games as a home favorite. We see no way this one stays under the number by game’s end. Take the OVER 44 points here.

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