Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Redskins
Free NFL Pick: Under 40.5 points -110 odds
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The Washington Redskins head north to the City of Brotherly Love to face the host Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday afternoon. This will be the Skins second straight divisional road game after falling in Dallas to the Cowboys by a score of 7 to 6. The Eagles won the first meeting between these two teams in Washington on a Monday night 27 to 17.

The Philadelphia Eagles have been installed as a 9 point home favorite in this contest and this is the fifth straight game that Washington has been an underdog. This is important to our total because we know that the Redskins have gone ‘under’ the total at a rate of 0-12 as a road underdog of seven or more points when coming off a game where they were an underdog. They are also 3-15 ‘under’ when playing with six or less days rest the last two seasons.

The fact that the Eagles are a decent offensive team also helps strengthen our total selection because Washington is 6-25 ‘under’ versus teams that are scoring 24 or more points per game during the second half of the season. The Redskins are 1-15 ‘under’ versus teams that average six or more yards per play during the second half of the season.

The Eagles are 38-62 ‘under’ when facing a team with a losing record. Philly is 0-9-1 ‘under’ as a touchdown or more favorite after a straight up win as a favorite since 2004. The Eagles are 0-8 ‘under’ as a favorite the week after a game in which they had at least 150+ yards rushing.

With significant technical and fundamental support for the under we will play Washington and Philadelphia to fall well below the posted total on Sunday.

PROJECTED FORECAST: 2* Washington – Philadelphia UNDER 40.5

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