Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans
Free NFL Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars +2.0 (-110 NFL odds)
Sun December 6th 2009 1:00p
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We are a tad surprised that the Jacksonville Jaguars have turned up as small home underdogs here vs. a Houston Texans defense that has had trouble stopping the run, so we will gladly back the Jaguars to keep their wild card hopes alive.

Perhaps this line is skewed by the fact that Jacksonville had a bad loss at San Francisco last week while Houston had the 11-0 Indianapolis Colts on the ropes before losing by eight points. However, we actually feel that combination gives the Jaguars an emotional edge here.

Keep in mind that the San Francisco game was a cross-country trip vs. a non-conference opponent in a game the Jaguars were not desperate to win, and the result would have been different if not coming away empty in three goal-to-go situations (two lost fumbles, one missed field goal). The Jags still mostly control their wild card fate, and this divisional battle is much more important to those hopes.

On the flip side, the Texans lost their personal Super Bowl at home last week after building a 17-0 lead, and we simply do not see them recovering from that anytime soon. Remember also that they lost at home to these Jaguars earlier this season, so even if they win this game, they would still need a lot to happen to sneak into the playoffs.

We do not feel they will need to worry about that though, as their run defense that is allowing a poor 4.8 yards per carry will not be able to stop one of the best backs in football in Maurice Jones-Drew. This line looks wacky, but we are still calling for a safe Jacksonville win.

NFL Free Pick: Jaguars +2 (-110)

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