Atlanta Thrashers @ Tampa Bay Lightning u5.5 (100)
Mon Mar 31 ’08 7:35p - Click Here for Hockey Odds

If the Atlanta Thrashers and the Tampa Bay Lightning play to their recent home/away splits tonight, this should be a lower scoring game than many people expect.

Granted, the Thrashers are coming off of a 7-1 loss at Carolina, but that snapped a streak of seven consecutive road Unders for them. We don’t expect them to give up another seven-spot to Tampa Bay here, so look for a return to normalcy. The Thrashers are averaging just 2.27 goals per game on the road over the entire season, and they have now gone 12 consecutive road games without scoring more than three goals.

The Lightning are coming off of a 2-1 home win over that same Carolina team, and that brings the Under to 9-3 in the last 12 Tampa Bay home games. The Ning have played better than expected defensively at home this year allowing 2.90 goals per game, but they have underperformed offensively as of late, averaging only 2.40 goals over that last five games.

That sounds like a nice recipe for an Under here.

NHL Free Pick: Thrashers, Lightning Under 5.5 (+100)

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