Ottawa Senators vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
Free Pick: Ottawa
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With their backs against the wall, I look for the Senators to play a tight game tonight, and while they may not win this contest, I expect it to be close, and recommend laying the juice for the 1 1/2 here.

I think the Sens still have some fight left in them; they’ve played especially well in Pittsburgh; “We played some good games in Pittsburgh, two really good games, I thought,” Daniel Alfredsson said. “We played OK in Game 3, not great, and in Game 4 we weren’t good at all.”

I have to point out that this has historically been a spot that Pittsburgh has struggled in; its lost four of six times since ’08 in its first opportunity to end a series in a game it doesn’t actually face elimination itself.

While history may not repeat itself tonight, as I said off the top, this should be the most competitive game of the series and could well see overtime.

Keep in mind though, that in this exact situation in the first round against the Flyers a year ago, the Pens played their worst game of their postseason and lost 3-0 in front of the home town crowd.

Ottawa hasn’t tipped its hat yet as to who will be in net, but whether its Leclaire or Elliot, I expect a solid performance; I recommend taking a second look at the Sens on the “puck line”.

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