North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech
Free Pick: VT -3.5 -110 odds
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We love the value on the Virginia Tech Hokies at home tonight, as we feel that they are an underrated club while the North Carolina Tar Heels are overrated, with their lines based more on past glories than on the plays of the inexperienced Heels this season.

North Carolina is just 13-8 straight up overall this season with five of those losses coming in their last seven games. Still, the lines on their games remain inflated, and as a result the Tar Heels are just 7-12 against the spread. They are also just 1-3 in their true road games this season, including a blowout loss at Clemson and a bad loss at Charleston. Now granted, one of their wins came vs. the Hokies, but that only sets up a nice revenge situation.

Virginia Tech is a nice 16-4 overall and a perfect 10-0 at home while outscoring their home opponents by an impressive average of +21.7 points per game. Granted, they have now lost the last five head-to-head meetings with the Heels after that 78-64 defeat at Chapel Hill, but they are primed for some serious revenge here vs. a much weaker Carolina team than the ones they lost to in past seasons, and the change in venue should be all Tech wins for a handy win.

The Hokies are ranked much higher in the Pomeroy Ratings (40) than the Tar Heels are (58), and the Virginia Tech defense is ranked 12 in adjusted defensive efficiency at just .869 points per possession. Thus, they should be able to slow down the North Carolina running game here, which should frustrate the young Heels.

The end result of all this should be a safe Virginia Tech victory.

CBB Free Pick: Virginia Tech -3.5 (-110)

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