Northern Illinois vs. Kent State Prediction & Odds: November 30th 2012
Northern Illinois vs. Kent State
Prediction: Kent State +7.5 -110 odds (November 30th 2012)
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The winner of this game has a possible shot at a BCS bowl so a lot is on the line. All they need is to be in the Top 16 and have one of the three lose Nebraska, UCLA, or Florida State. Northern Illinois has been on fire for 3 years now in the MAC thanks to Jordan Lynch who is 3rd in the nation in total yards. Kent State has their own star in Dri Archer who averaged over 9 yards per carry. Northern Illinois has had plenty of close calls this year and ironically they were all against top 50 rushing offenses vs. Army they only won by 1 they have the 6th ranked rushing attack behind Kent State which is #1 with over 6 yards per carry.
Kent State also has been solid at stopping the run in that respect these two teams are pretty even. Northern Illinois has more of a balanced attack, but Kent State has not been that bad vs. the pass stiffening in the red zone allowing just 38% TD’s in conference play. Kent State has 16 interceptions on the road and are +20 in turnover margin on the year which could be a major advantage in this game if they can stop the run which they have been very good at doing. All in all I think this will be a chess match, Dri Archer will have his moments and so will Jordan Lynch. The story of the MAC Championship has been the under dog covering the spread the last three years and there is enough talent and value on Kent State here as you can easily see them winning this game. Northern Illinois struggled with Toledo at home and were lucky to win that game. Toledo has one of the worst defenses in the nation.