Old Dominion vs. James Madison
Free Pick: James Madison +10.5 -110 odds
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The first thought for this game by many is to take Old Dominion as it is coming off a loss on Saturday and will be ready to get some back against a weak opponent. The monarchs are no doubt the better team here but I do not like this situation for them at all, coming off a loss or not. They are playing their second straight game on the road and they are not a great team away from home. Old Dominion had its eight-game winning streak snapped three games back at Northeastern as it fell by 10 points to the Huskies. The Monarchs did bounce back at home against William & Mary last Wednesday as it won by 19 points in a game was closer than the final score indicates. Playing on the road has been a roller coaster this season for Old Dominion who comes in with a 6-5 record in road games. Included in that record was a huge win at Georgetown and that is looking more and more of simply a bad game for the Hoyas than a good game for the Monarchs. The other five road victories came against William & Mary, who is having a solid season, but the other four came against teams ranked 278th, 264th, 186th and 230th. It will be argued that James Madison can be lumped into that category and at 10-14 overall and 3-10 in the conference, there may not be many rebuttals. However, I will rebut that. The Dukes have had some brutal losses this season as of their 10 conference losses, half of those have come by five points or less including four games that were decided by just one possession. Making that even stronger is the fact that those four games all came on the road. One of those losses came by only two points at Old Dominion so James Madison certainly is capable of putting solid games together. This is easily the most points it has gotten on its home floor this season and we will take advantage of this overaggressive line. This is a pretty big rivalry and despite the James Madison campus being closed today due to the bad weather, the game will go on and that will only make the student section even more energetic. The Monarchs have a game against George Mason, who is just a half-game behind them, up next on Saturday so this can be considered a rather big sandwich game as well. James Madison also falls into a solid situation. Play on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are coming off a loss as a favorite and now playing their second game in three days. This situation is 83-35 ATS (70.3 percent) since 1997 with the simple logic that a team that was favored just two games back is getting excellent value now by receiving double-digits. 3* James Madison Dukes

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