Oregon vs. Oregon State
Betting Prediction: Oregon State Beavers +28.5 -110 odds (November 26th 2011)
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Okay NCAA college football bettors, let’s not waste a bunch of time trying to kid someone into thinking the Oregon State Beavers (3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS, 5-5-1 O/U) actually have a chance of beating ninth-ranked in-state rival, the Oregon Ducks (9-2 SU, 6-4-1 ATS, 7-4 O/U) in this Week 13 matchup, because they don’t stand a chance. However, the big question here s whether the Beavers can cover the spread in this one as a whopping 27.5-point road dog against a Oregon team that is in a foul mood after getting its nine-game winning streak snapped the last time out. Oregon State looked solid in beating Washington 38-21 as a 2-point home underdog last weekend while Oregon lost to USC 38-35 in its huge Pac-10 showdown as a 16-point home favorite on Saturday.

Analysis: Oregon has won three straight in this series, including its 37-20 win as a 16-point road favorite last season, but I’m still a bit stunned that the Ducks are whopping 28.5-point faves in this contest, particularly after seeing them get beaten just last week. No team in this Pac-10 matchup has been favored by this many points in the last 10 meetings dating back a decade and it’s probably the in-state rivalry makes for very hard-fought and close affairs. The Beavers have posted an impressive 15-6 ATS mark over their last 21 road games while Oregon has compiled a dismal 1-3-1 ATS mark over their last five home games as a favorite.

Key Head-to-Head Trends
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Oregon.
Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

The key head-to-head trends for this Pac-10 showdown say back the Oregon State Beavers – and so do I. Get more college football picks this Saturday from our expert sports handicappers at Touthouse.com