Minnesota Twins (-118) MLB Odds - Sat July 5 ‘08 7:10p
The Minnesota Twins enter into todays mlb action on fire, having won 14 of their 16 overall, and 11 of their L13 at home in the Metrodome. Their opponents the Cleveland Indians are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum , after losing their 7th straight game yesterday to the Twins by a lopsided 12-3 count. Kevin Slowey the Minnesota Twins starting right hander today against the visiting Cleveland Indians, enters this tilt, mimicking his teams successes, and is off his first career shutout on Sunday against the Brewers, allowing just three hits. It was the 24 year olds fourth consecutive quality start, which extended a 16-inning scoreless streak, that has also seen him, over power and strike out 24 batters over a 29 inning stretch. Slowey has garnered a nifty 3-0 record along with a minuscule 0.93 ERA during that stellar span. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent from the Tribe, rookie, Aaron Laffey (4-5,3.24 ERA)is currently not in good form, as is evident by a 0-2 record and slightly bloated 4.58 ERA in his last 3 starts. He has shown the ability to pitch out of jams, but I keep getting this feeling, his luck is soon to run out , and hes going to end up on the wrong side of a beat down. Final notes & Key Trends:Cleveland ha lost 21 of their 28 road games and are 8-23 in their 31 as underdogs. Twins are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
With both pitchers and both teams obviously moving in different directions, Im suggesting we go with the flow, and back the upward momentum of the red hot Twins in this spot. Play on the Minnesota Twins - Click For Baseball Picks

Houston Astros @ Atlanta Braves u9.0 (105) MLB Odds - Sat July 5 ‘08 7:10p
Jo-Jo Reyes has been a very pleasant surprise for the Atlanta Braves, but has received no run support, and we look for an instant replay and another low scoring affair tonight when the Braves host the Houston Astros. Reyes has allowed two earned runs or less in three of his last four starts including allowing just one earned run on two of those occasions. He has also allowed three earned runs or less in eight of his 12 starts this season, and yet he is just 3-6, as the Braves have given him just 3.67 runs per game of support. Now Astros starter Chris Sampson was demoted to the bullpen after posting a 6.04 ERA in 10 starts this season, but he has been very effective with an excellent 2.16 ERA in 13 relief appearances, so he seems poised to regain his good form as a starter. He did have some nice moments in this role each of the last two seasons, and he is facing an Atlanta lineup that has an abysmal .225 team batting average the last 10 games. Thus, look for a fifth straight Under in the head-to-head series between these teams. MLB Free Pick: Astros, Braves Under 9 (+105) - More Baseball Betting
 
Toronto Blue Jays @ Los Angeles Angels u6.5 (105) MLB Odds - Sat July 5 ‘08 9:05p
It is not too often that we would recommend an Under at 6.5, but we are making an exception in this marquee matchup between Roy Halladay of the Toronto Blue Jays and John Lackey of the Los Angeles Angels. In fact, because of the positive odds attached to this total, we find it preferable to Under 7 -130, which is also available. Lackey has made only nine starts this season after beginning the year on the Disabled List, but to say he has been in peak form over those nine starts would be a severe understatement. He is 6-1 with an incredible 1.44 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 68.2 innings for the year, and he has allowed two runs or less in eight of his nine starts and three runs in the other. Not surprisingly, the Under is 8-0-1 in all Lackey starts. Now Halladay may have slipped just a smidgeon from his Cy Young Award days, but 99 percent of the pitchers in the league would be ecstatic to have a 2.90 ERA and 1.04 WHIP after 17 starts. He is certainly in great form after hurling a Complete Game four-hit shutout at Seattle on Monday. Remarkably, in this age of relief specialists, that marked his sixth Complete Game of the season, easily the most in the majors. Finally, all Lackey starts this season are averaging a combined 4.89 runs while all Halladay starts are averaging 6.71 runs, and we feel that these clubs will have a tough time topping five runs given the current form of the starters. MLB Free Pick: Blue Jays, Angels Under 6.5 (+105) - Baseball Odds

Cincinnati Reds (-150) - Fri July 4 ‘08 1:15p
The Cincinnati Reds will send Bronson Arroyo (5-7,6.19 ERA) to the hill to stop the light hitting Washington Nationals, this afternoon in Ohios Great American Ball Park. The Reds right hander ,has not been all that efficient of late, but is off notching a win in his last trip to the hill, allowing just 2 runs in 6 innings of capable work. Meanwhile, the visiting Nationals, will return fire with hard luck hurler ,Jason Bergmann (1-5, 4.26). The righty thrower is 0-4 along with a 2.98 ERA in eight starts since beating the New York Mets back in mid May. His losing run can mostly be attributed to his teams inability to get runners home, as is evident by 2.5 RPG in support. It must be noted that Washington is hitting below the Mendoza line on the season, and a lowly .226 against righties like Arroyo. Bottom line: Despite of the perceived starting pitching advantage that Washington has, it is their lack of offensive punch, that in my humble opinion, makes them fade material in this spot. Final notes & Key Trends: The Reds are 8-2 in Arroyos L10 starts as a home favorite. Play on the Reds

New York Yankees (110) - Fri July 4 ‘08 1:05p
There is a lot of negativity surrounding the New York Yankees these days, and deservedly so, but you may never see them cast as home underdogs the rest of this season, so we feel compelled to go for the value today vs. the Boston Red Sox. Besides, while Josh Beckett is regaining his great form, Yankee Stadium has never been one of his favorite stopping grounds since he wrapped up the World Series for the Florida Marlins here way back when. Becket has a robust 6.55 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in his last four starts in the Bronx, covering 22 innings. Granted, Darrell Rasner has been brutal lately, but all of his bad starts have come on the road. Believe it or nit, he had a 2.08 ERA and an excellent 1.08 WHIP in four home starts. For comparative purposes, Beckett has a 3.19 ERA and 1.16 WHIP on the road. It may also help that Rasner has never faced Boston before. Finally, the Red Sox won the series opener here last night, and it is getting to the point in the season now where the Yankees could ill afford to fall much further behind their bitter division rivals. MLB Free Pick: Yankees +110

Los Angeles Dodgers (-105) - Fri July 4 ‘08 4:05p
The Los Angeles Dodgers have suddenly won three straight games on the road, and we look for them to continue that streak with the hot Derek Lowe on the hill today when they visit the San Francisco Giants. Lowe has reeled off seven Quality Starts in his last eight outings, and he is coming off of a very unlucky 1-0 loss to John Lackey and the Angels where he allowed just five hits in seven innings. Lowe also has an impressive streak if six consecutive Quality Starts vs. San Francisco, including one start this season where he allowed two runs in six innings. He is supported by a Dodgers bullpen that is second in the National League with a 3.04 pen ERA. Now Jonathan Sanchez has also pitched well in his last three starts, but he seems to bet getting too much respect that this price for a pitched with a limited track record of success and one that is still just 5-8 this season. Plus the Giants bullpen has been unreliable with a collective 4.17 ERA. All things considered, this seems like a cheap price for the better team with a proven starter and the better bullpen. MLB Free Pick: Dodgers -105

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Washington Nationals (140) - Thu July 3 ‘08 7:10p
We cashed a nice ticket playing against John Lannan of the Washington Nationals in his last start, feeling that he had been pitching over his head, but we actually think this is a nice spot for Lannan to succeed at a nice price vs. the Cincinnati Reds. The Reds have struggled vs. left-handers in recent years, and after showing some improvement this season, they have reverted to their old ways lately, batting just .212 vs. southpaws over the last 10 games. Lannan did face the Reds once last season, and he pitched well allowing two runs in 5.2 innings of a 7-2 Nationals victory. Now we have no doubt that Johnny Cueto will be a stud in this league for years to come, and he is certainly in raging current form, allowing only three earned runs in 18.1 innings over his last three starts. But still, he is just 6-8 with a 4.68 ERA for the season, so we are not sure he is quite worthy yet of this much favoritism. We will go for the value play here, as we look for Lannan to regain his good for vs. a lefty-laden Reds lineup. MLB Free Pick: Nationals +140 Baseball Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers (-125) - Thu July 3 ‘08 2:05p
The Los Angeles Dodgers have taken the last two games of this four-game series with the Houston Astros, and we look for LA to win the road series this afternoon, given this pitching matchup. Chad Billingsley deserves much better than his 7-7 record, considering that he has a nice 3.38 ERA in 96 innings, and he is averaging better than one strikeout per innings with 102 punch-outs. He has held his fine form with a sparkling 1.96 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in his last three starts, and he has done his best pitching in the daytime this year, with a 2.83 ERA in six starts under the sun. Meanwhile, Brandon Backe is 5-8 with a 5.12 ERA and a terrible 1.61 WHIP for the year, and the worst part is that he is not really improving. He has just one Quality Start in his last six outings after getting beat up for six earned runs on nine hits in 5.1 innings last Saturday night. Finally, the Dodgers also rank third in the major leagues with a 3.05 bullpen ERA, while the Astros are at number 22 with a 4.19 pen ERA. MLB Free Pick: Dodgers -125 Baseball Betting

New York Yankees (-130) - Thu July 3 ‘08 7:05p
The Boston Red Sox just got swept by the Tampa Bay Rays in a 3 game set down in Florida, and now they have to come into the unfriendly confines, of the Bronx Zoo to play their long time rivals the NY Yankees. Needless to say, getting knocked down in 3 straight to TB was a blow to their pride and confidence. Thats not a good omen for their chances tonight, against a Yankees team that smashed out 16 hits and 18 runs in double digit win last night against Texas. Bottom line: With the Yankees sending one of their most consistent starting pitchers, Andy Pettitte to the hill tonight,I expect the Zoo crew have the edge! Final notes & Key Trends: Pettitte is 4-0 in his last four starts along with stingy 1.00 ERA. Play on the Yankees . Red Sox are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series. Yankees are 5-0 in Pettittes last 5 starts and 4-0 in his 4 starts vs the Red Sox. Play on the NY Yankees MLB Picks

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2008 Arena Football Weekend Playoff Previews
Article Courtesy of Ted Sevransky, A Professional AFL Football Handicapper, Featured on Touthouse.com
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Underdogs have ruled the roost in the Arena Football League playoffs in recent years, and the Wild Card weekend of the playoffs in 2008 confirmed the prevailing current trend. In 2006, the Chicago Rush were road underdogs in four straight playoff games on their way to winning the Arena Bowl. Last year, another regular season also-ran got hot in the playoffs, as 7-9 Columbus pulled off three consecutive road upsets before finally falling short in the Arena Bowl against San Jose. 
 
This past week, we saw road underdogs go 4-0 ATS, 3-1 SU in the opening round of the playoffs. Will we see more of the same this week? The betting marketplace doesn’t seem to think so. All four home teams are favored by more than a touchdown following their bye week here in the Divisional Round of the playoffs, with the four road underdogs still searching for respect from bettors. Let’s break down the games one by one, focusing on the key pointspread and totals issues for each squad. Just like last weekend, all four games will be nationally televised on ESPN or ESPN2.
 
Colorado Crush @ San Jose Sabercats (SJ -11, O/U 111.5)
Saturday, July 5th - Arena Football Odds
Colorado has some real momentum right now, winning and covering three straight, including two strong performances on the road. The Crush have a solid recent history of postseason success. John Elway’s squad won the Arena Bowl with John Dutton at QB and Mike Dailey as head coach as recently as 2005. Last year, the Crush went 1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS on the road in the playoffs, winning outright at Kansas City and losing in spread covering fashion at the eventual champs San Jose. And despite a rash of injuries at wide receiver, the Crush defense appears to be good enough to give them a chance in this game as well.
 
San Jose dominated the lone regular season meeting between these two teams, winning 59-42 while averaging 8.9 yards per pass attempt in sharp contrast to the Crush’s 5.9 yards per attempt.  And the Sabercats defense remains an elite level unit, returning every starter from last year’s Arena Bowl championship team. Few home fields in the AFL really matter, but San Jose enjoys a tremendous advantage at the HP Pavilion, 16-2 SU (12-6 ATS) over the past two seasons. Future Hall of Fame quarterback Mark Grieb led the league with 100 touchdown passes this season while ranking third in the AFL in completion percentage. 
 
New York Dragons @ Philadelphia Soul (Philly -9.5, O/U 110) - Saturday, July 5th
New York has been a pointspread machine since March, covering the pointspread at a 9-3-1 clip in their last thirteen games. The Dragons scored touchdowns on eleven consecutive drives against an elite level defense in their upset win at Dallas last week, with quarterback Aaron Garcia showing no ill effects from the hard hit that he took against Philly in his regular season finale. Garcia has Hall of Fame credentials, but he’s never guided his team to the Arena Bowl. The Dragons enjoyed tremendous special teams play in their win over the Desperados as well. Kicker Steve Azar had a pair of onside kicks recovered by New York, while going a perfect 11-11 on extra point tries and booting three touchbacks.
 
On paper, Philadelphia looks like the team to beat in this year’s playoffs. The Soul cruised through the regular season with an AFL best 13-3 record, thanks to the play of the league’s top rated quarterback, Matt D’Orazio, who has filled in admirably for the injured Tony Graziani for most of the season. D’Orazio guided Chicago to an Arena Bowl title two years ago. It’s surely worth noting that the Soul’s three losses can all be easily explained away. Their loss to Cleveland came in a major flat spot on a short week following their biggest game of the year against Dallas. Their loss to Georgia was an aberration – the Soul led by three scores in the fourth quarter but collapsed in the final few minutes. And their loss to KC as a 17 point favorite was a matter of a disinterested team suffering through some mid-season injuries. The Soul are healthy now, and they beat New York 59-30 and 63-42 in their two regular season meetings.
 
Grand Rapids Rampage @ Chicago Rush (Chicago -9.5, O/U 113) - Sunday, July 6th
Grand Rapids has the ‘feel’ of a team like Columbus from last year, who came out of nowhere to reach the Arena Bowl. The Rampage were not good for most of the regular season, losing eight out of nine during one particularly ugly mid-season stretch. But the Rampage played their best football when it counted the most, reeling off three consecutive wins to close out the regular season, then winning outright as a road underdog at Arizona last week in a rare stellar defensive effort (a huge goal line stand essentially winning the game) from a stop unit that allowed 59+ on eleven different occasions in the 16 game regular season. First year head coach Steve Thonn and first year starting quarterback James MacPherson seem to be clicking together right now as Grand Rapids has averaged more than 70 points per game during their current four game winning streak.
 
Chicago looked like the class of the American Conference for much of the season, but the Rush really tailed off late.  First year starter Russ Michna finished fourth in the league in quarterback efficiency, but the offense was sluggish down the stretch as the Rush were held to 52 points or less four times in their final five games. To make matters even worse for Chicago, they lost All-Arena linebacker DeJuan Alfonzo to a season ending injury prior to Week 16.  Chicago went 7-1 SU (5-3 ATS) at home this year, but they didn’t have an easy time in their most recent home meeting with the Rampage, needing a huge fourth quarter rally to beat Grand Rapids by a single field goal.
 
Cleveland Gladiators @ Georgia Force (Georgia -7.5, O/U 114) - Monday, July 7th
The Gladiators didn’t look like a team that hadn’t made the playoffs since 2003 in their opening round win over Orlando, showing great poise following a rough start to pull out the three point victory. The Gladiators have not been the most consistent team in the AFL this year (to put it mildly) – they haven’t won back-2-back games since mid-May. This offense is loaded. Quarterback Raymond Philyaw finished the regular season as the #2 rated quarterback in the AFL. Wide receiver Otis Amey made the All-AFL squad with 50 touchdown receptions while Robert Redd led the team in receiving yards and fullback Marlon Jackson also earned All-AFL honors. But the Gladiators defense has been a problem area all season, and could be a problem again here.
 
Georgia has not been a ‘blowout’ team this year, with half of their ten wins coming by a touchdown or less.  In six of those ten wins, Georgia found themselves tied or trailing in the fourth quarter, a testament to the coaching acumen of Doug Plank (my choice for AFL Coach of the Year honors) and the fortitude of quarterback Chris Griesen, who ranked among the league’s elite signal callers for the second consecutive season.  Georgia went 14-2 during the regular season last year, then blew out Philadelphia in their first playoff game, but were knocked off at home by the upstart Destroyers in the National Conference Championship Game right here at Phillips Arena. A solid win here should wipe some of the bad taste from that defeat away, and put the Force in position to return to the Arena Bowl for the first time since 2005.

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Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays u8.0 MLB Odds - Wed July 2 ‘08 7:10p
The Boston Red Sox starting pitcher tonight against the TBRays, Daisuke Matsuzaka (9-1,3.21 ERA) will go after his 10th victory in the final tilt of a three-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays. Matsuzaka’s in just his second start after coming off the disabled list threw five shutout innings in a victory against the Astros, last time out , and will primed to continue his upward momentum in this spot. The BoSox righty has been tough on opposing offenses in 2008 , allowing enemy batting orders a lowly .206 BA average. He has been especially tough in his starts away from Fenway, recording a 4-0 mark along with a 2.20 ERA in six road starts this season. Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay Rays will return fire with the ace of their staff Scott Kazmir (7-3, 2.28 ERA). The hard throwing southpaw has not allowed more than 3 ERs in any of his 10 starts this season, and will be primed for a repeat performance in this spot. Kazmir is 6-6 with a 2.82 ERA in his career vs the BoSox. Bottom line: With two of the most capable pitchers in the AL on the hill , and two of the more capable bullpens in baseball supporting them ,it will be an easy decision to back this tilt to stay on the low side of the number.Final notes & Key Trends: Under is 5-1 in Matsuzakas last 6 road starts with the total set at 7-8.5 . Under is 5-0 in Kazmirs last 5 home starts with the total set at 7-8.5 . Play under - Click Here for More Baseball Picks

Baltimore Orioles (-125) MLB Odds - Wed July 2 ‘08 7:05p
Daniel Cabrera of the Baltimore Orioles and Gil Meche of the Kansas City Royals have similar number this season, although Meche has been much better over the last three starts, but the head-to-head performances this year vs. their opponents tonight give Cabrera the edge. Cabrera is 5-4 with a 4.53 this season, and he has just one Quality Start in his last five outings. However, he has allowed three earned runs or less in all seven of his career starts vs. the Royals, so this looks like a great spot for him to get on track. Cabrera tossed a masterpiece in his only start vs. Kansas City this year, hurling a Complete Game three-hitter and allowing just one run with seven strikeouts. Even if he does continue some of his recent struggles, at least he has the support of a Baltimore bullpen that ranks fourth in the American League and sixth in the majors with a 3.28 ERA. Now Meche has undoubtedly been great lately, allowing three runs or less in four straight starts, but he did not pitch well in his only other start vs. Baltimore this year. He was roughed up for five earned runs and eight baserunners in five innings that day, and unlike Cabrera, his bullpen is not as reliable if he needs some bailing out, as the Royals rank 19 in the bigs with a 4.05 pen ERA. Finally, the Orioles have had uncanny success vs. Kansas City going 43-14 in the last 57 meetings, so look for that to continue. MLB Free Pick: Orioles -125

Chicago White Sox (-105) MLB Odds - Wed July 2 ‘08 8:10p
The Chicago White Sox could seemingly do no wrong right now, and even though they are facing the hot C.C. Sabathia of the Cleveland Indians, the Sox are virtually an automatic play at this cheap price at home right now. The White Sox simply have great karma right now, as they have won six games in a row after rallying from an extra-inning deficit last night, tying the game on a home run with two outs and nobody on in the tenth inning and then stringing together a couple of more hits for the win. Their starter tonight, Jose Contreras, has had two awful outings in his last four starts, but those are the only outings in his last 10 efforts where he allowed more than three earned runs in a game. However, he has been brilliant in his last three starts vs. Cleveland, allowed one measly earned run in 17.2 innings. Now this will obviously be a tough assignment vs. Sabathia, who has reeled off four straight Quality Starts. However, if Contreras pitched as well tonight as he did in his first start vs. Cleveland this year when he allowed one run and four hits in six innings, this game will probably be decided by the bullpens late. That would make the White Sox an easy call, as they lead the American League with a 2.72 bullpen ERA. MLB Free Pick: White Sox -105

Free MLB Pick: Cleveland Indians @ Chicago White Sox u7.5 (105) - Tue July 1 ‘08 8:10p
The Chicago White Sox defeated the Cleveland Indians 9-7 in a wild series opener here last night, but look for a completely different type of game this time around. Cliff Lee is an amazing 11-1 with a 2.34 ERA and 1.04 WHIP for the Indians, and he is showing absolutely no signs of slowing down. Lee has allowed two runs or less in four consecutive starts, he has a 1.66 ERA and a fantastic 0.92 WHIP in his last three outings and he posted a season high 11 strikeouts vs. the Giants in his last start. Not to be outdone, White Sox starter John Danks has allowed only one run in 18 innings (0.50 ERA) over his last three starts, and he too has an excellent 2.62 ERA for the entire season in 16 starts. He has already tossed one gem at the Indians this year, allowing just one run and two hits in 6.2 innings way back on April 3. The southpaw is now facing a Cleveland lineup that is batting a pathetic .184 vs. left-handed pitching over the last 10 games. Finally, the Under is 12-4 in all games started by Danks this season, as well as 8-6 in all Lee starts. MLB Free Pick: Indians, White Sox Under 7.5 (+105)

Free MLB Pick: Texas Rangers @ New York Yankees u9.0 (100) - Tue July 1 ‘08 7:05p
Joba Chamberlain of the New York Yankees was stretched out to a career high 114 pitches in his last start, and he is capable of almost single-handedly keeping this game vs. the Texas Rangers Under this total. Chamberlain pitched 6.2 scoreless innings while allowing just six hits and recording seven strikeouts in that last start at Pittsburgh, and he has now allowed a grand total of two runs in 18.1 innings over his last three starts. In fact, he has allowed one earned run or less in four of his five starts, and two earned runs in the other! As if that is not enough to keep the Rangers in check, consider that most of the Texas batters have never faced him before. Sure, there is some risk taking an Under with Kevin Millwood starting for the Rangers, but he did have back-to-back Quality Starts before getting shellacked by Houston last Thursday, so it is not as if he is not capable of turning in a solid outing. The best part is that if Joba pitches true the form and the Rangers end up scoring three runs or less, Millwood does not even need to be dominating for this contest to stay Under. Finally, somewhat surprisingly, the Under is 50-30-2 in all Yankees games this season, so while this may not be a replay of the 2-1 Texas win last night, we so expect another low scoring affair. MLB Free Pick: Rangers, Yankees Under 9 (+100)

Free MLB Pick: Colorado Rockies (-155) - Tue Jul 1 ‘08 9:05p
I do not know where came from, but an inept San Diego Padres offense that has scored the second-fewest runs in the majors this season with 317, exploded yesterday smacking out 22 hits in a 15-8 win vs their hosts Colorado. With that said, I can see them entering into this the 2nd game of the series, in a let down situation, making the Padres good fade material against a motivated hurler Aaron Cook (10-5, 3.64 ERA)that is is primed to bounce back ,off two consecutive lackluster efforts. The Rockies southpaw hurler has a very good chance of doing just that against a team that he has dominated in the past,as is evident, by going 7-1 in 10 starts along with a 1.72 ERA, since 2004, allowing them two runs or less in every start. He is also a perfect 5-0 along with a 2.01 ERA in seven starts in Coors vs the Fathers. Play on Colorado

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Chicago White Sox (-144) MLB Baseball Odds - Mon June 30 ‘08 8:10p
The White Sox (46-35) are playing some impressive baseball at the moment, and are off beating their cross town rivals the Chicago Cubs 5-1 yesterday, completing a three-game sweep of that series for their fourth straight win overall. The Pale Hose now expect to continue that run vs last place Cleveland Indians team that they have beaten in six of their last seven confrontations , including a three-game home sweep back in late May. .With the inconsistent Jeremy Sowers (0-3, 5.97 ERA) going to the hill for the slumping Tribe tonight,I doubt very much their will be very much positive momentum behind their efforts to turn things around. Note: Sowers has no wins in 6 starts during his current campaign, and after tonight im betting that count will increase to 7 starts, 0 wins . Look for and expect White Sox hurler Gavin Floyd (8-4, 3.39), to bounce back off a less than stellar effort last time out, when he gave up five runs in 5 1-3 innings in a 5-0 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers. The righty thrower previous to that had gone 4-0 with a 3.66 ERA in five starts. Final notes & Key Trends: Indians are 0-7 in Sowers L7 starts as a road underdog. Indians are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings. Play on the White Sox

Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles u9.0 (-110) - Mon June 30 ‘08 7:05p
The home-away splits for the Kansas City Royals and the Baltimore Orioles suggest that this should be a relatively low scoring game tonight, and we concur. The Under is 23-18, 56.1 percent in all Kansas City road games this season with a rather low average combined total score in those games of 8.72 runs per game. Their starter Zack Greinke has become the new ace of the staff this year, with a 3.40 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 106 innings. He has been light out lately with a 1.80 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP his last three starts. Now Brian Burres has tailed off lately, but he was scratched in his last start and seemed fine while pitching one inning in relief on Thursday, so we feel he is ready to return to his fine early-season form. Also, the Under is 17-14 in Baltimore home games this season, and the Orioles are batting significantly lower vs. right-handers (.252) than they are vs. left-handers (.272). Burres lost 4-0 to the Royals earlier this season, and we look for the pitchers to dominate again tonight. MLB Free Pick: Royals, Orioles Under 9 (-110)
 
Seattle Mariners (140) - Mon June 30 ‘08 10:10p
The Seattle Mariners have caught fire since their front office and managerial shake-ups, and even though they are facing one of the best tonight in Roy Halladay of the Toronto Blue Jays, this is still a nice price for the Mariners at home in their current form. Seattle just finished off a sweep of the San Diego Padres, making them 5-1 in their last six games, all on the road. Sure the Mariners are a disappointing 15-24 at home, but they are playing their best baseball of the season right now, so we see them returning home at this time as a positive, as that home mark only figures to improve from here on out. Now there starter tonight R.A. Dickey struggled badly in his first three starts this season, but then he suddenly tossed seven scoreless innings while allowing only six hits vs. the New York Mets in his last start.  No, he is not quite that good, but he is better than he looked in his first three outings, so look for another nice start tonight vs. a Toronto offense that scored one run and no runs respectively in two of their games vs. the Atlanta Braves this past weekend. It also helps that the Seattle bullpen has improved lately, and now has a commendable 3.85 collective ERA for the year. Now make no mistake, Halladay is one of the best, but he does not appear to be completely on his game right now. In fact, he has a high 1.55 WHIP over his last three starts, and the Blue Jays as a team have lost his last three outings. Also, the fact that he is just 8-6 despite a 3/12 ERA and 1.09 WHIP further underscores the struggles of the Jays offense at times this season. We will ride the hot team as a nice home underdog vs. the great but slumping starter in this spot. MLB Free Pick: Mariners +140

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San Diego Padres (-141) - Sun June 29 ‘08 4:05p
The San Diego Padres starting hurler today and the ace of their pitching staff, and National Leagues reigning Cy Young award winner Jake Peavy (5-4, 2.77 ERA) prepares to mow down the opposition today in front of the home town fans. With this being his 4th start ,after a lay off ,because of an elbow injury, Im expecting he could easily be in the best shape of his current campaign, which is not a good omen for opposing batting orders. Note: Peavy has allowed just 4 Ers in his L16 innings of work. With the Mariners sending the often injured and ineffective Erik Bedard to the hill in response, I very much like the Padres chances of winning. Note: Bedard is currently less, than 100% and has rarely thrown more than 100 pitches in a game this season. Final notes & Key Trends: Peavy is 4-0 when starting against Seattle along with an ERA of 1.56 and a minuscule WHIP of 0.779 . Mariners are 2-9 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record . Play on the Padres

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Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals u8.5 (-120) - Sun June 29 ‘08 1:35p
Jeremy Guthrie of the Baltimore Orioles has pitched in hard luck for two years now while Jason Bergmann looks to have regained his great form, so look for a low scoring game here. Guthrie received the lowest run support in the league last season, and this year has not been that much different so far. He has a nice 3.64 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 108.2 innings, he has allowed three earned runs or less in 13 of his last 16 starts, and yet Guthrie is just 4-7. Then again, a continued lack of run support would suit the Under just fine here. He certainly should be able to hold his form vs. this weak Washington offense. As for Bergmann, remember that he had a three-start stretch last month where he tossed 19.2 scoreless innings, and after regressing a bit in his next three outings, he has now allowed just two earned runs in 13 innings in his last two outings. This will also be his firrt career start vs. Baltimore, which should help his cause. Finally, the Under is 14-6-1 in the last 21 head-to-head meetings between these clubs, and we see no reason that will not continue today given this pitching matchup. MLB Free Pick: Orioles, Nationals Under 8.5 (-120)

Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox u9.0 (105) - Sun June 29 ‘08 8:05p
The Chicago Cubs and Chicago White So wrap up interleague play for 2008 when they conclude their Windy City Series in the ESPN Sunday Night Baseball game tonight. Mark Buehrle is now in peak form right now for the White Sox, as he has reeled of seven Quality Starts in his last eight outings, allowing exactly one run in five of those starts including three of his last four appearances. He was also a perfect two for two in Quality Starts vs. the Cubs last season, when he was not nearly as sharp as he is now. Now Sean Marshall is making just his second start of the season for the Cubs, but he tossed probably the game of his life vs. these White Sox right here in this stadium last season, tossing 6.1 scoreless innings while allowing just five hits. The southpaw is facing a White Sox lineup that is hitting only .234 vs. left-handed pitching at home this season, as opposed to .292 vs. righties here. Finally, the White Sox lead the American League with a 2.72 bullpen ERA while the Cubs rank fourth in the National League with a 3.45 pen ERA, which should limit late tack-on runs. MLB Free Pick: Cubs, White Sox Under 9 (+105)