Kansas City Royals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
MLB Prediction: Diamondbacks -105 odds (May 19th 2012)
The Royals are just 4-16 at home this season, and I expect their struggles to continue with ace Ian Kennedy stepping to the hill for Arizona.
Kennedy shut down the Royals in Kansas City last year, limiting them to 1 earned run in 6 innings of work. The Diamondbacks are 10-2 in Kennedy’s last 12 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
The Royals are just 2-7 in Chen’s last 9 starts, 8-20 in their last 28 interleague games and 2-7 in their last 9 interleague home games.
The D-backs have won 6 in a row against the Royals. We’ll take the Snakes.
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MLB Predictions: May 18th 2012
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -131 odds
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #972 Milwaukee Brewers over Minnesota Twins (8:10pm ET) It’s been a frustrating year for both the Milwaukee Brewers and Minnesota Twins, but it’s only May and these teams are both still fighting hard for some respect. The Brewers sit at 16-22 and it’s clear that they are feeling the effects of losing slugger Prince Fielder a little bit. However, the effect hasn’t been as severe as some thought, as the Brewers are still 6th in the National League in runs scored and have some quality major league hitters. Several of their regulars, including Rickie Weeks, have gotten off to slow starts, so this offense is capable of climbing even higher once they get clicking. Starting pitching has been of the main problems in 2012, but today’s pitcher Marco Estrada can’t be blamed for that. Estrada stepped into the rotation to fill in for the injured Chris Narveson and he has performed pretty well. He doesn’t have any wins to show for it, but he has a 20-3 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his four starts and seems to be gaining confidence in every start. This is an audition of Estrada to possibly gain a full-time spot in the rotation for years to come, and I think he’ll take advantage of it this season.
While the Brewers have been disappointing this season, the Twins have been downright awful as they’re easily the worst team in the major leagues by a wide margin at 12-26. They are currently on pace to go finish the season at 51-111. They have the worst lineup in the league as there are probably three or four hitters that should be playing in the minor leagues right now. Their team ERA is 5.33, which is dead last. The fans are growing restless as the future doesn’t look that bright either. One player that has the fans a little bit excited is rookie starter Scott Diamond. The 25-year old southpaw has looked impressive in his first two starts of the season as he’s 2-0 without allowing an earned run yet. However, both of those starts were at home and against the Blue Jays and Angels. Today he’ll be making his first road start which is always difficult for a rookie pitcher. He’ll also have to get into the batter’s box for this one since it is interleague play in a National League park. That could throw him off of his game. I like the chances for the Brewers to finally crack the rookie today. And with as bad as the Twins offense is, it’s not going to take much to get a victory for Milwaukee.
Baseball Picks: May 17th 2012
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -134 odds
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I’m siding with the Milwaukee Brewers Thursday over the Houston Astros in Game 2 of this NL Central series. After losing 3-8 last night, which was their third loss in four games, the Brewers have plenty of reason to be motivated heading into this one.
Milwaukee has a huge edge on the mound with Shaun Marcum over J.A. Happ. Marcum is 2-1 with a 3.07 ERA and 1.159 WHIP in seven starts this season. Happ is 2-3 with a 5.72 ERA and 1.551 WHIP in seven starts this year for the Astros.
Marcum is 2-0 with a 2.52 ERA and 1.080 WHIP in four career starts against Houston. Happ is 2-2 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.733 WHIP in six career starts against Milwaukee.
The Brewers are 59-27 in their last 86 games as a favorite. Milwaukee is 47-17 in their last 64 vs. a team with a losing record. The Brewers are 7-2 in Marcum’s last 9 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Astros are 10-30 in Happ’s last 40 starts overall. Bet the Brewers Thursday.
No. 5 Ranked Overall Handicapper in 2012! Jack Jones delivered a brilliant 3-0 Wednesday SWEEP! That included a 2-0 night on the hardwood as he added to his EPIC 107-65 hoops run! Cash in again tonight with Jack’s Thursday 3-Pack of Profits for $49.95! In pro hoops he releases his 20* Clippers/Spurs TNT ATS ANNIHILATOR! He also brings you his 15* AL No-Doubt Rout and his 15* Dodgers/Padres NL Late-Night BAILOUT on the bases! You are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Friday’s card is ON JACK!
MLB Predictions: May 16th 2012
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
Pick: Over 10.5 -110 odds
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Two starting pitchers who are really struggling this season square off tonight inside hitter-friendly Coors Field. I look for the runs to be plentiful as both Pat Corbin and Jamie Moyer get rocked in this one. Corbin is 2-1 with a 4.50 ERA this season, including 1-1 with a 7.00 ERA in two road starts. This will be his first-ever start inside Coors, so I highly doubt he’s looking forward to it. Moyer is 1-3 with a 4.65 ERA in seven starts this season, including 0-1 with an 8.40 ERA in his last three outings. The veteran left-hander should have retired instead of coming back another season for this kind of embarrassment. Colorado is hitting .282 and scoring 6.5 runs/game at home this season, while opponents are hitting .314 and scoring 6.4 runs/game inside Coors. Take the OVER 10.5 runs here.
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Betting Prediction: Los Angeles Lakers +8 (May 18th 2012)
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It’s going to be easy for everyone to load up on the Thunder in Game 2 after the beating they put on the Lakers in Game 1, but I wouldn’t be so fast to pull the trigger if I was you.
Los Angeles is one of the few teams that can take a beating and come right back out the next night and look like a completely different team. They did it twice in the first round against Denver. After losing 84-99 in Game 3 at Denver, the Lakers came back and won Game 4 92-88. They got killed 98-113 in Game 6, only to win 96-87 in Game 7.
The Lakers were really in a tough spot in Game 1, they just used all of their energy in that huge Game 7 win over the Nuggets, and ran into a Thunder team that hadn’t played in over a week. The fact that the Lakers got blown out in Game 1 actually helped them, as they were able to rest up their starters in the fourth quarter. They also didn’t waste a lot of energy defensively in that game, which is why the Thunder shot 53% from the field.
I’m not saying the Lakers are going to win Game 2, but I think its going to come down to the wire. The Thunder simply couldn’t miss in Game 1. Odds are they won’t make as many shots the second time around, especially now that the Lakers have a better understanding of what they want to do offensively.
Los Angeles is a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points, while the Thunder are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. BET THE LAKERS!
Baseball Picks: May 16th 2012
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels
Pick: Los Angeles Angels -110
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The Los Angeles Angels are showing solid value as a small home favorite Wednesday against the Chicago White Sox. The Angels are off to a slow start this season, but as a result they are undervalued right now. It’s only a matter of time before they get rolling with the talent they have on this roster.
Los Angeles is coming off a solid 4-0 victory last night, and now they send underrated starter Jerome Williams to the bump. As a starter, Williams is 3-1 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.156 WHIP in five outings. The right-hander is 3-0 with a 2.01 ERA and 0.940 WHIP in three home starts.
Gavin Floyd is having a solid season for Chicago as well, but he’s 0-2 with a 3.15 ERA through three road starts in 2012. Also, Floyd gave up 6 earned runs over 6 innings in his last start against the Angels. He is now 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA in his last three games against Los Angeles.
This play falls into a system that is 54-19 (74%) over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against any team (CHI WHITE SOX) – terrible offensive team. Get more baseball picks today at Touthouse.com
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Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers
Point Spread/Odds: Miami Heat -6.5 Over/Under 186 (May 15th 2012)
Betting Pick: CLICK HERE FOR TODAY’S EXPERT NBA PLAYOFFS PICKS
***TOP PLAY*** Boyd’s 5* 17-0 ATS NBA Playoffs *BEST BET*
*No. 1 Ranked Hoops Handicapper All-time at this Network* With Monday’s 5* Top Play winner on the 76ers/Celtics Under 174 (finished 11 points under), Jimmy’s NBA picks improved to a RED HOT 8-1-1 the L9 days and a RIDICULOUS 53-25-2 since Mar. 4! Also, he improved to an EPIC 44-17-2 his L63 NBA 5* Top Plays! The domination continues right here with the BEST BET in Tuesday’s slate. It’s backed by a PERFECT 17-0 ATS ANGLE that will have you betting with confidence!
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ATS Trends:
Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.
Pacers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a S.U. loss.
Pacers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Pacers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
Over/Under Trends:
Under is 6-0 in Heat last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 8-0 in Heat last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 vs. NBA Central.
Under is 8-1 in Heat last 9 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Under is 5-0 in Pacers last 5 Conference Semifinals games.
Under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 playoff games as an underdog.
Over is 17-5 in Pacers last 22 Tuesday games.
Over is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 games as a road underdog.
Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Miami.
Underdog is 24-10-1 ATS in the last 35 meetings.
Heat Recent Games:
| Postseason |
| Date |
Opp. |
Result / Time |
Record |
Pts Leaders |
Ast Leaders |
Reb Leaders |
| Apr 28 |
NY |
Won 100-67 |
1-0 |
L. James (32) |
M. Chalmers (9) |
C. Anthony (10) |
| Apr 30 |
NY |
Won 104-94 |
2-0 |
C. Anthony (30) |
L. James (9) |
C. Anthony (9) |
| May 3 |
@NY |
Won 87-70 |
3-0 |
L. James (32) |
L. James (5) |
T. Chandler (15) |
| May 6 |
@NY |
Lost 87-89 |
3-1 |
C. Anthony (41) |
D. Wade (6) |
A. Stoudemire (10) |
| May 9 |
NY |
Won 106-94 |
4-1 |
C. Anthony (35) |
L. James (7) |
T. Chandler (11) |
| May 13 |
Ind |
Won 95-86 |
5-1 |
L. James (32) |
D. Collison (6) |
L. James (15) |
Pacers Recent Games:
| Postseason |
| Date |
Opp. |
Result / Time |
Record |
Pts Leaders |
Ast Leaders |
Reb Leaders |
| Apr 28 |
Orl |
Lost 77-81 |
0-1 |
D. West (19) |
J. Nelson (9) |
R. Hibbert (13)
G. Davis (13) |
| Apr 30 |
Orl |
Won 93-78 |
1-1 |
D. West (18)
D. Granger (18)
G. Hill (18)
G. Davis (18) |
D. West (4) |
R. Hibbert (13) |
| May 2 |
@Orl |
Won 97-74 |
2-1 |
D. Granger (26) |
J. Nelson (5) |
Q. Richardson (10)
R. Hibbert (10) |
| May 5 |
@Orl |
Won 101-99 |
3-1 |
D. West (26) |
J. Nelson (11) |
D. West (12) |
| May 8 |
Orl |
Won 105-87 |
4-1 |
J. Nelson (27) |
D. Collison (6) |
D. West (8)
G. Davis (8) |
| May 13 |
@Mia |
Lost 86-95 |
4-2 |
L. James (32) |
D. Collison (6) |
L. James (15) |
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San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Point Spread/Odds: San Antonio Spurs -11 Over/Under 191 (May 15th 2012)
Betting Pick: CLICK HERE FOR TODAY’S EXPERT NBA PLAYOFFS PICKS
25* NBA 2nd Round GAME OF THE YEAR! (104-65 Hoops Run)
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CLICK HERE FOR THE SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS. LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS WINNER
ATS Trends:
Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Spurs are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.
Spurs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater.
Spurs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater.
Spurs are 20-4-2 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Clippers are 19-42-2 ATS in their last 63 vs. NBA Southwest.
Clippers are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater.
Clippers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater.
Clippers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Clippers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0-1 in Spurs last 5 overall.
Over is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 4-0-1 in Spurs last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 playoff games as a favorite.
Under is 4-0-1 in Spurs last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 Conference Semifinals games.
Over is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 Tuesday games.
Under is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 vs. Western Conference.
Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 12-3-2 in the last 17 meetings in San Antonio.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Clippers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio.
Clippers are 3-11 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Spurs Recent Games:
| Postseason |
| Date |
Opp. |
Result / Time |
Record |
Pts Leaders |
Ast Leaders |
Reb Leaders |
| Apr 29 |
Utah |
Won 106-91 |
1-0 |
T. Parker (28) |
T. Parker (8) |
T. Duncan (11) |
| May 2 |
Utah |
Won 114-83 |
2-0 |
T. Parker (18) |
T. Parker (9) |
T. Duncan (13) |
| May 5 |
@Utah |
Won 102-90 |
3-0 |
T. Parker (27) |
M. Ginobili (10) |
A. Jefferson (11)
D. Favors (11) |
| May 7 |
@Utah |
Won 87-81 |
4-0 |
A. Jefferson (26) |
D. Harris (7) |
P. Millsap (19) |
Clippers Recent Games:
| Postseason |
| Date |
Opp. |
Result / Time |
Record |
Pts Leaders |
Ast Leaders |
Reb Leaders |
| Apr 29 |
@Mem |
Won 99-98 |
1-0 |
R. Gay (19)
N. Young (19) |
C. Paul (11) |
R. Evans (13) |
| May 2 |
@Mem |
Lost 98-105 |
1-1 |
C. Paul (29) |
M. Conley (6)
C. Paul (6) |
B. Griffin (9) |
| May 5 |
Mem |
Won 87-86 |
2-1 |
C. Paul (24)
R. Gay (24) |
C. Paul (11) |
R. Evans (11) |
| May 7 |
Mem |
Won 101-97 |
3-1 |
B. Griffin (30) |
M. Conley (8) |
C. Paul (9)
Z. Randolph (9) |
| May 9 |
@Mem |
Lost 80-92 |
3-2 |
M. Gasol (23) |
M. Conley (6) |
B. Griffin (11) |
| May 11 |
Mem |
Lost 88-90 |
3-3 |
M. Gasol (23) |
M. Conley (9) |
Z. Randolph (16) |
| May 13 |
@Mem |
Won 82-72 |
4-3 |
R. Gay (19)
M. Gasol (19)
C. Paul (19) |
M. Conley (5) |
Z. Randolph (12) |
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New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Prediction: Yankees -148 odds (May 15th 2012)
The Yankees get the call as our free play with CC Sabathia on the bump. The big southpaw is heating up. He’s gone 3-0 with an ERA of 1.50 over his last 3 starts. Plus, he’s had Baltimore’s number. He’s 16-2 (19-4 on the ML) with an ERA of 2.86 in 23 career starts versus the Orioles. The Yankees are 12-1 in his last 13 starts vs. the Orioles, 8-0 in his last 8 road starts vs. the Orioles, 50-18 in his last 68 starts overall and 35-16 in his last 51 road starts.
The Yankees are 51-17 in their last 68 meetings with the O’s and 20-6 in their last 26 meetings in Baltimore. Take the Yanks.
Jimmy Boyd’s 5* 17-0 ATS NBA Playoffs *BEST BET* and 22-0 Tuesday MLB SMASH are up and ready for action!
*No. 1 Ranked Hoops Handicapper All-time at this Network* With Monday’s 5* Top Play winner on the 76ers/Celtics Under 174 (finished 11 points under), Jimmy’s NBA picks improved to a RED HOT 8-1-1 the L9 days and a RIDICULOUS 53-25-2 since Mar. 4! Also, he improved to an EPIC 44-17-2 his L63 NBA 5* Top Plays! The domination continues right here with the BEST BET in Tuesday’s slate. It’s backed by a PERFECT 17-0 ATS ANGLE that will have you betting with confidence!
2007 MLB Handicapping Champ (profited $1,000/game bettors $50,050)! No. 4 Ranked Overall Capper in 2012 ($1,000/game bettors up $28,890)! DOMINANT 47-26 MLB RUN! Jimmy is ready to SMASH one out of the park Tuesday evening with a club that is on a PERFECT 22-0 roll in this situation! Join him in the winner’s circle.
Baseball Picks: May 15th 2012
Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
Pick: New York Mets +134 odds
CLICK HERE FOR TODAY’S EXPERT MLB PICKS
Free Play from Doc’s Sports: Take #908 New York over Milwaukee (7:10pm est): The Milwaukee Brewers and their star pitcher Zack Greinke look totally different when they are away from home than they do when both of them are at home. The betting market looks to be rating these two together like this game tonight is being played in Milwaukee but instead it’s in New York, where both aren’t nearly as good.
Been a rough start to the 2012 season so far for a Brewers team coming off a memorable 2011. Most of Milwaukee’s problems stem from how poorly they have played away from home, going just 6-11 on the road this season. This was the exact same problem they had last season as they looked like world beaters at home but dropped off considerably when playing away from there. They have won just two of their last eleven road games versus teams with winning records and only one of their last five against those type of teams with Greinke on the hill. Greinke sports a rocky 7.20 road ERA in his three away starts this season, this coming a year after pitching much worse away from home also. Get more baseball picks for May 15th 2012 from Doc’s Sports at Touthouse.com
The Mets have been a surprise team so far in 2012 and a lot of that surprise has come from an offense that continues to hit the ball. They have been a very consistent group with the bats having scored 5.4 runs per game in their last ten contests while putting up three or more runs in each of those ten games. The Mets were able to do this against some top line pitchers like Halladay, Lee and Buehrle along with some other solid ones like Gallardo, Nolasco, Zambrano, Blanton, Miley and Cahill going up against them.
The market obviously hasn’t adjusted enough for how much better the Mets are this season and how much worse the Brewers were than last year. This has helped create some nice value here in this one tonight. Take New York here in this one.
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