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College Basketball Picks: Illinois vs. Purdue Odds: March 1st 2011

Illinois vs. Purdue
College Basketball Pick: Illinois +9.5 -110 odds – March 1st 2011
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The Illini have put themselves in a situation where they likely need to win their final two games of the regular season and put forth a good showing in the Big Ten tourney to punch their ticket to the Big Dance. Knowing what kind of resume-booster a win over Purdue would be, I fully expect Illinois to give the Boilermakers a game tonight.

Illinois has been solid on the road for the most part. In fact, the Illini have either won or lost by 6 or fewer points in 11 of 14 games away from home this season. It is also worth noting that the Fighting Illini are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points and the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series.

The Illini gave up 81 points in a home loss to Purdue last month. With this is mind, it is worth noting that coach Weber’s teams are an impressive 27-13 ATS in their last 40 games when looking to avenge a loss to an opponent that scored 75 points or more on them. Weber’s squads have actually bounced back to win by an average score of 73.1 to 68.7 in this situation. Take the points.

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NBA Predictions: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds: March 1st 2011

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA Prediction: Minnesota +9.5 -110 odds – March 1st 2011
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert NBA predictions from Ben Burns

Obviously, there’s a “class difference” between these teams. That doesn’t mean that the T-Wolves aren’t providing us with value though.

Looking at their last five road games and we find the Lakers at just 2-3 SU/ATS. Both victories came by five or fewer points.

For the season, the Lakers have a solid 21-11 road record. A closer look reveals that they’re only outscoring opponents by an average of 3.2 points in those games though, an average score 100.4 to 97.2.

While the T-Wolves are a poor 10-21 at home, they’re only being outscored by an average of 2.2 points (105.8 to 103.6) in those games.

The T-Wolves are off a 3-point victory over Golden State last time out. Four of their last five have been decided by single-digits.

Speaking of “close” games, note that three of the last four meetings in this series have been decided by nine or fewer points. With the Lakers at just 3-6 ATS the last nine times that they were listed as road favorites in the -9.5 to -12 range, consider grabbing the generous points.

NBA Picks: New York Knicks vs. Orlando Magic Odds: March 1st 2011

New York Knicks vs. Orlando Magic
NBA Pick: Orlando Magic -6.5 -110 odds – March 1st 2011
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The NY Knicks go for the Florida sweep tonight in Orlando. 7 p.m. on NBA TV. NY fresh off of a nice 91-86 victory over Miami on Sunday and now they find themselves 30-27 straight-up (34-21-2 ATS) and in 6th place in the Eastern Conference standings. Orlando has won 4 of its last 5 including a 100-86 win over the Bobcats Sunday. The Magic are now 38-22 SU and 28-31-1 ATS. Orlando have held 4 of their last 5 opponents to less than 88 points – the lone exception a stunning 111-105 home to Sacramento last week after which Howard blasted his teammates for a lackluster effort. I believe we’ll see another GREAT effort from the Magic tonight as they look to move up in the Eastern Conference standings. The Magic won the only meeting between the two 112-103 at home Dec. 30 as Howard had 24 points and 18 rebounds. Some trends I like for this matchup include ORLANDO are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic. Magic are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. NY are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Orlando. Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Kansas State Wildcats vs. Texas Longhorns Prediction & Point Spread: February 28th 2011

KANSAS STATE VS. TEXAS PREDICTION POINT SPREAD FEBRUARY 28TH 2011KANSAS STATE WILDCATS VS. TEXAS LONGHORNS
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NCAA Basketball Betting Trends:
Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Longhorns are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Longhorns are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Longhorns are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big 12.
Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Wildcats are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Over/Under Betting Trends:
Under is 5-0 in Longhorns last 5 home games.
Under is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 9-2 in Longhorns last 11 vs. Big 12.
Under is 8-2 in Longhorns last 10 games as a favorite.
Under is 16-5 in Longhorns last 21 overall.
Under is 7-1 in Wildcats last 8 games as a road underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 Monday games.
Over is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 11-3-1 in Wildcats last 15 road games.
Under is 11-3-1 in Wildcats last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
NCAA Basketball Picks

Villanova Wildcats vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction & Point Spread: February 28th 2011

VILLANOVA VS. NOTRE DAME PREDICTION POINT SPREAD FEBRUARY 28TH 2011VILLANOVA WILDCATS VS. NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH
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NCAA Basketball Betting Trends:
Fighting Irish are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Fighting Irish are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Wildcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Monday games.
Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5.
Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
Wildcats are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.
Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Over/Under Betting Trends:
Under is 17-5-1 in Fighting Irish last 23 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 3-1-1 in Fighting Irish last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Under is 19-7-1 in Fighting Irish last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 5-2 in Fighting Irish last 7 overall.
Over is 5-2 in Fighting Irish last 7 vs. Big East.
Under is 7-3 in Wildcats last 10 overall.
Over is 14-6 in Wildcats last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 7-3 in Wildcats last 10 vs. Big East.
Over is 14-6 in Wildcats last 20 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 16-7 in Wildcats last 23 road games.
NCAA Basketball Picks

Texas vs. Kansas State Pick & Odds: NCAA Basketball Betting: February 28th 2011

Texas vs. Kansas State
Pick: Texas -8.5 -110 odds – February 28th 2011
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert college basketball picks from Jimmy Boyd

Expect the Longhorns to bounce back strong in their final home game following Saturday’s upset loss at Colorado. Tied with Kansas atop the conference, Texas has plenty to play for. Plus, the Horns will draw added motivation from last season’s 9-point loss at K-State.

The Wildcats have finally gotten it going, winning 4 in a row and 6 of their last 7. They haven’t done much on the road, however. In fact, the Wildcats are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games. They are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Looking back, the Wildcats are a poor 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

After giving up 91 points to Colorado, expect the Longhorns to really tighten the screws on the defensive end tonight. We’re talking about a team that has only allowed 57.8 ppg on its home floor this season. I really believe the Texas defense will be the difference in this one. After all, K-State is just 2-8 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams holding the opposition to 42% shooting or worse on the season. Take Texas.

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College Basketball Predictions: Northern Colorado vs. Idaho State Odds: February 28th 2011

Northern Colorado vs. Idaho State
Prediction: Idaho State +7.5 -110 odds – February 28th 2011
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert college basketball predictions from Matt Fargo

There is definite value on the home team in this matchup. Idaho St. is coming off a blowout loss at home against Weber St. last Tuesday but that time off is definitely to its advantage in this one. The Bengals are still a healthy 7-4 at home this season and if there is a ‘must win’ game, this is the one. In order to make the Big Sky Tournament, they need to win here and at Montana St. on Wednesday and that would give them the berth as they would win the tiebreaker based on the head-to-head sweep.

Northern Colorado has won three straight games and six of its last seven and it is in good position to take home the Big Sky Conference regular season title. A win here and then a home finale win over last place Sacramento St. gets the Bears the top seed in the conference tournament and with that comes the honor to host the semifinals and finals on their home floor. That obviously makes this a must win road game and the linesmakers have taken that into account by severely overadjusting this number.

This is also a revenge game for the Bengals which went into Greeley and were hammered by 20 points. They shot a mere 25 percent from the floor including 10 percent from long range and they put up a season-low 37 points. Idaho St. followed that up with a much better effort in its next game as it lost a narrow decision at Weber St. and was easily able to cover the number. I bring that up because the Bengals scored only 39 points in its last game on Tuesday so another rebound effort is in store.

There will be some added emotion as this is the final home game and four players will be honored on Senior Night. Broderick Gilchrest, Mike Lacey, Phyllip Taylor and Deividas Busma are playing their last home game tonight after spending a combined 15 years in Pocatello and all being key contributors. Play on home teams revenging a loss where they scored less than 50 points and coming off a conference loss by 20 points or more. This situation is 35-14 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 3* (716) Idaho St. Bengals

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NBA Picks for February 28th 2011: Bet The Utah Jazz And Phoenix Suns Monday Night

NBA Picks: February 28th 2011
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Pick: Utah Jazz +5
The Jazz are off a disappointing 120-116 loss at Detroit on Saturday. That was the final game of a road trip though and they were coming off a victory at Indiana on Friday, while playing their third game in four days. The Jazz are back home now though and they had yesterday off. I feel they’re providing us with solid value. While the team is obviously a lot different now, note that the Jazz have enjoyed recent success against the Celtics. Last season, they beat them by a score of 110-97 here. The Jazz are 50-32 the past few seasons, after allowing 105 or more points in their previous game. During that stretch, they’ve gone 28-16 (27-17 ATS) when coming off an upset loss as a favorite. After the loss to Detroit, Utah coach Tyrone Corbin said: “We are just looking for something good to happen so that we can start feeling good about ourselves…” A victory over the Celtics would certainly “fit the bill” and I look for Corbin’s team to go all out in an effort to get one. Consider grabbing the points. -Ben Burns

Pick: Phoenix Suns -2
New Jersey is 17-42 straight up this year. The Nets are 2-9 ATS their last 11 home games following a road trip of more than 7 days. New Jersey is 1-4 ATS their last 5 games overall. The Nets are 1-4 ATS on Monday and they are 1-4 ATS their last 5 meetings with the Suns. Phoenix is 30-27 straight up this year. The Suns are 12-3 ATS their last 15 games after scoring 100 or more points in their last game. The Suns are 5-0 ATS their last 5 Eastern Conference. The Suns are 9-4 ATS their last 13 games overall. The Suns are 10-4 ATS their last 14 games off a straight up win. PLAY ON PHOENIX -Tom Freese

North Carolina vs. Maryland Prediction & Point Spread: February 27th 2011

North Carolina vs. Maryland
Prediction: North Carolina -6 -110 point spread – February 27th 2011
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The North Carolina Tar Heels are quietly going under the radar this season. That’s hard to believe for such a storied program, but it’s the truth. UNC is 21-6 this season and they’ve won 8 of their last 9 games overall, with their only loss coming at Duke after they blew a 43-29 haltime lead to lose by six. The Tar Heels are 12-1 at home this season and winning by 12.8 points/game, while Maryland is 4-7 on the road. UNC is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season. The Tar Heels are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good defensive teams – shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games this season. UNC is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good teams – outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season. North Carolina is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games after covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread since 1997. Take the Tar Heels and lay the points. -Black Widow

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NBA Predictions: Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs Odds: February 27th 2011

Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs
NBA Prediction: San Antonio Spurs -9 -110 odds – February 27th 2011
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San Antonio has quietly ripped off 20 straight wins inside the AT&T Center and victory No. 21 isn’t far away.

Memphis enters this game off back-to-back SU and ATS victories over Minnesota and Sacramento. Respect is given to those two performances but taking on a team like the Spurs will be a difficult encore. This is an area where San Antonio has excelled too. According to my NBA database, the Spurs are a respectable 120-88 ATS provided they’re matched up against an opponent that checks in off a blowout win of 10 points or more. In this role battling a foe that enters without rest, San Antonio improves to a solid 32-20 ATS including 29-14 ATS in this role priced as an underdog or a favorite of -11 or less.

In case you haven’t noticed, the Spurs enter this contest off three consecutive pointspread losses. That works in their favor too. When taking the floor off three or more ATS blemishes, San Antonio owns a solid 73-48 ATS record including a stunning 24-9 ATS in this role matched up against a division foe.

As a single digit division road dog, Memphis has struggled posting a weak 29-45-1 ATS mark including just 6-15 ATS in this set matched up against a foe that checks in off two or more straight up wins.

In their quest for a franchise-record 21st straight home win, the Spurs won’t be denied. Take San Antonio. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.