I’m laying the points with the Cornhuskers on Saturday. I had Nebraska on these pages last week and we cashed when they beat Oklahoma State, 51-41. The Huskers are catching Mizzou at the right time this week. Missouri, of course, is off HC Gary Pinkel’s “signature win,” beating then top-ranked Oklahoma last Saturday. But I felt OU beat themselves as much as Mizzou won that game. The Sooners had three empty trips inside the Tiger 15 yard line, thanks to a pair of turnovers and a missed field goal. But the Mizzou defense is in for a tough one this week. UNL QB Taylor Martinez has given every remaining opponent something else to worry about…his arm. Martinez connected on 23 of 35 passes for over 320 yards and 5 TDs in last week’s win in Stillwater. But the matchup I like most about this contest is Nebraska’s outstanding running attack against a Missouri defense that was torched on the ground by San Diego State. Nebraska also will give the Tigers and QB Blaine Gabbert some problems with their 3rd ranked pass defense, when Mizzou tries to go up top. Missouri is not a good running team, and Nebraska can “tee-off” at opportune times in this one. Missouri has struggled under Pinkel against top-shelf offensive teams. The Tigers are on a 1-8 ATS slide against offenses that average at least 5.9 yards per play. Nebraska’s offense fits the bill. The Huskers dominated this series for decades before the Bill Callahan-era. Bo Pelini lost in Lincoln by 35 points in his first season as HC two years ago, but clamped down on Mizzou in Columbia in a 27-12 win last year. I expect Pelini to have his Huskers ready to atone for their relatively spotty home play of late. I’m laying the points with Nebraska on Saturday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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WEEK 9 COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS – OCTOBER 30TH 2010
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California Golden Bears (+3) vs. Oregon State Beavers
Oregon State (3-3) starts the second half of their season without their All-everything Wide-receiver and Kick returner James Rogers who is out for the year with a knee injury. Meanwhile, California (4-3) has had a couple of disappointing outings but have played solid football for the most part. The Golden Bears have held five of their seven opponents to their season low in total yardage. Bears growl here and maul Beavers. Take CALIFORNIA! -Chip Chirimbes
San Jose State vs. New Mexico State Under 47
WAC battle of the inept offenses. San Jose State (1-7 SU/3-3 ATS) has an anemic offense veraging 11 points and 240 total yards. Senior QB Jordan La Secla (4 TDs, 8 INTs) has little to work with outside of senior RB Lamon Muldrow. They squeezed out a 16-11 win over Southern Utah, despite only 250 total yards, and had a 14-13 loss at home to UC Davis. San Jose is 4-2 under the total. New Mexico State (1-6 SU/2-5 ATS) is terrible under coach Dewayne Walker, using 3 QBs and the offense is just awful, averaging 13 points. Their top two rushers average 3.3 ypc or less. Play New Mexico State/San Jose State Under the total. -Jim Feist
Missouri Tigers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers (-7.5)
Among the many big games this Saturday, one of the most important will be the clash between Missouri and Nebraska. These are two explosive offensive teams with the Tigers averaging 34.7 points per game and the Cornhuskers even better at 38.9 PPG. The amount of interest and significance is definitely compelling, since Missouri could all but wrap up the Big 12 North or Nebraska could regain control with a victory. What we find from database research is conference road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points, involved in a contest in which both squads average 34 or more points, having played seven or more games, are 3-26 against the spread. Play Against Missouri. -Doug Upstone
Baylor Bears (+7.5) vs. Texas Longhorns
At 11 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Texas. Last week, we went against Texas and played on Iowa State +21 over the Longhorns, and were rewarded when the Cyclones actually won outright over Mack Brown’s men in Austin. A lot of folks will play on the Burnt Orange to rebound here with a win, but according to my database, teams tend to NOT rebound off REALLY BAD losses in which they were favored by 18+ points. Indeed, since 1980, College Football teams are a terrible 33-68 ATS when priced from +3 to -25.5 off a straight-up loss as a favorite of -18 points or more. And our 33-68 stat improves to 11-31 ATS if our ‘play-against’ team (here, Texas) is at home vs. a conference opponent. Take Baylor + the points. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie. And don’t miss any of my 14 College Football Plays today, as we look to remain RED-HOT in Football. Or, better yet, join for a week or a month, and get all of our sharp information. And that includes Baseball + Hoops (7-1 our last 8 World Series plays)! -Big Al McMordie
Michigan Wolverines (-3) vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
Off back-to-back losses, a bye week couldn’t have come at a better time for Michigan. I expect the Wolverines to put their off week to good use with a road win in Happy Valley today. While Michigan has won 10 of the last 15, including 5 of the last 7 on the road, in this series, this current group of Wolverines just remembers the 2 embarrassing losses they have endured to Penn State the last 2 seasons. Using those losses as motivation, Michigan will be ready to go today. Penn State has taken a step back on both sides of the football, while Michigan has taken a step forward. I just don’t see the Nittany Lions being able to get enough stops against an explosive Michigan offense averaging 36 ppg. The Nittany Lions are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog, and I’m fading them in this role today. Take Michigan. -Jeff Alexander
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (-20.5)
QB Ryan Mallett is reportedly healthy after battling concussion and shoulder problems. He’s avgg 297 ypg with a 15-7 TD/Int ration which means he’ll be able to do some business against the Commodores 90th ranked pass defense. Homies also starting to rush the ball with success which should open things up for the aerial assault. Vandy wears down in the second half and has been outscored by 68 points in the second half of their last four losses. Arkansas names the score. -Dennis Macklin
Kentucky Wildcats (+6) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Right away, you have to like the fact that plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, against an opponent off 4 or more consecutive straight up wins, are 85-35 ATS the last 10 seasons. This system is already 8-2 ATS this year. Kentucky isn’t getting the respect it deserves here. We’re talking about a team that took Auburn down to the wire and defeated South Carolina. Plus, the Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings at Mississippi State. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Kentucky’s offense hasn’t been tamed in its last 4 SEC games, scoring at least 31 points in each, and Mississippi State won’t be able to shut Randall Cobb and company down either. This proves problematic for the Bulldogs, as they have been held to 14 of fewer points in 3 of 4 SEC contests. Take the points with Kentucky. -Jimmy Boyd
Akron Zips vs. Temple Owls (-29)
5* graded play on Temple as they host Akron set to start at 1:00 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Temple will win this game by 30 or more points. A complete and monumental mismatch that projects a similar result of my winner last week on Utah. Temple is supported by a system that has produced a 27-4 ATS mark for 87% winners since 1992. Play on home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points in conference games and is an average offensive team gaining 4.8 to 5.6 yards per pass and now facing a team with a terrible defense allowing >=6.2 yards per pass. Temple rolls BIG. -John Ryan
Idaho Vandals vs. Hawaii Warriors (-15)
On Saturday the Free System club Play is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. Game 198 at 11:30 eastern. A late start in this one on the Island is for those who have no problem with college football from 12 noon to after 3 am in the morning. Hawaii is on a major roll right now having won five straight. They are 7-1 ats at home with revenge. In fact they are 29-2 ats in all home wins when they have revenge. They have covered 5 of the last 6 vs Idaho, including the last 3 here in Hawaii. Look for them to get a comfortable win vs an Idaho team that despite the abundance of returning starters has not performed as well as they did last year. Lay the number here with Hawaii. On Saturday I have a Huge card that includes The PAC 10 Game of the year and 4 more Big Best bets + Game 3 Of the World Series and the Early Season NBA System plays that are already off to a hot start. Most games are late afternoon or evening. For the System Club Play take Hawaii. -Rob Vincilleti
Touthouse.com is your one stop shop for NCAA football picks. Be sure to sign-up for our free football betting newsletter on our homepage for exclusive football picks from our team of professional sports handicappers. These Week 9 college football picks for October 30th 2010 are courtesy of Touthouse Sports Handicappers
The San Diego Chargers are proving two things. Statistics don’t mean a thing if you’re not winning, and turnovers and poor special teams play are going to kill you. As I wrote about last week, the Chargers lead the league in both offense and defense but they are now 2-5 through seven games. Last week they again out-gained their opponent 363 to 179 but still lost! Out of 32 teams, the Chargers are ranked 31st in turnover margin and 32nd (dead last) in special teams. If this team ever limits their mistakes, they could be dangerous. But for now, this is simply a team that finds ways to lose. Suddenly the Tennessee Titans, who started 0-6 last year, are picking up where they left off two years ago. What people don’t realize is that, aside from that 0-6 debacle to open the season in ’09, the Titans are 26-7 in their last 33 games! They have also won eight of their last ten road games straight-up. They have done the most damage as a dog, where they are 11-2 ATS when getting 3.5-10 points. The Chargers are finding ways to lose games they are supposed to win, leaving them at 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 as a favorite. Here we have a 5-2 team that is winning games by an average of 12 points per game, facing a 2-5 team that can’t get out of their own way. Why is the worse team favored? I like Tennessee to cover here.
Big Ben is back. Last week, Rothlisberger might have had some issues with ball-handling but certainly looks sharp overall. He has tallied 559 YP, a 64.8% completion rate, 5 TDs, and just 1 INT. All that in just 2 games back from suspension. The Pitt “D” is tops in the NFL in points allowed with a mere 13.7 PPG. They let Miami score 22 LW in their victory. That was the most allowed by the stop unit this season. They will come back and take it out on a bewildered OL of New Orleans and QB Drew Brees. Pitt did get “banged up” with injuries to Smith and Woodley on defense. Check status before game time. With or without them, IT WON’T MATTER. New Orleans is scoring less than ever with Brees tossing 10 INTs TY. Last season, he totaled 11 overall. I know the lack of a rushing game has hurt the offense. There is talk that Reggie Bush may make a return (check status). But if you were a RB coming back from injury, would you want to do it against this Steelers defense??? The Saints were embarrassed yet again LW by the 3rd rookie QB this season. Slumping offense just don’t fare well against great defenses. Also, RB Rashard Mendenhall will pound the ball up the middle and churn out yardage against the “cushy” Saints line. I looked at the schedule and saw that Pittsburgh can run the gauntlet and win each contest remaining on their schedule. They won’t slip up here. The Steelers are 5-0 ATS their L5 road games vs. teams with a winning home record, 27-13-1 ATS their L41 games played in October, and 5-2-1 their L8 overall. The Saints are 1-4 ATS their L5 at home, 3-7 ATS their L10 following an ATS loss, and 1-5 ARS their L6 overall. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you.
NBA Pick: Atlanta Hawks -3.5
Atlanta beat Memphis 119-104 in their first game of the year. The Hawks are 14-4 ATS off a straight up win and they are 14-5 ATS vs. NBA Atlantic Division teams. The Hawks are 7-2 ATS their last 9 games as favorites. The Hawks are 6-2 ATS off an ATS loss. Philadelphia lost their first game to Miami 97-87. The Sixers are 19-39-1 ATS their last 59 home games and they are 9-23 ATS their last 32 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Sixers are 2-7-1 ATS when their opponent scores more than 100 points in their last game. PLAY ON ATLANTA -Tom Freese
NBA Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -4.5
The rested reigning champs get the call against a Suns team playing back-to-back. The Lakers have won 10 of the last 14 meetings in this series as Phoenix has really struggled with their length. I expect the length of the Lakers to be even more imposing now that Amare Stoudemire is gone. These back-to-backs really take their toll on the aging Steve Nash. He expends so much energy when he plays and has a bad back to deal with also. We’ll lay the points with LA tonight. -Dave Price
NBA Pick: New Orleans Hornets +1
The Denver Nuggets waited all summer their shot at the Utah Jazz who knocked them out of the NBA Playoffs in the first round last season and they really laid it on them in their opener winning by 22 points. New Orleans led by Chris Paul won 98-92 as a one-point dog last year and with the ‘number’ at the same spot this time around I’m come back with New Orleans. Take the HORNETS! Chip Chirimbes’ Award Winning basketball selections are ready for Friday night’s NBA action. Receive tonight’s NBA 3-game Hat-Trick winners including his Vegas Hotline (Hawks at 76ers) his Megabucks Winner (Magic at Heat) and his Chip Shot (Thunder at Pistons) for only $39.
Washington State has quietly covered four in a row and five of its last six. The Cougars are grabbing nearly three touchdowns here and the knee-jerk reaction might be to take the points. I wouldn’t do that if I were you. Arizona State applies to a profitable college system of mine that has been money-in-the-bank and this technical gem demands our respect.
Since 1980, home favorites priced at -20 or more are a juicy 79-47-2 ATS provided they got blown out by 20 points or more in their last game. This situation actually does much better from game four of the season out – now 67-33-2 ATS for 67.0 percent. The Sun Devils (-21) dropped their last contest by 30 points at California and they fit this situation perfectly.
ASU has played well in this series lately notching a solid 14-7 SU and 13-8 ATS record in its last 21 meetings with WSU. After road wars against Oregon State, Washington and Cal, the Sun Devils will be elated to be back home too. ASU closes with three of its last five battles in Tempe and I expect the Devils to make a run late.
Finally, as a home favorite of -11’ or more, Arizona State has been at its best posting a profitable 28-11-1 ATS record including a stunning 14-3 ATS in conference play. In comparison Washington State has struggled on foreign soil notching a weak 1-21 SU and 9-13 ATS record including a nasty 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS in this role matched up against a foe that checks in off a straight up loss.
After whipping Portland and Northern Arizona inside Sun Devil Stadium back in early September, ASU slipped in its last home game against a good Oregon team. It’s time for head coach Dennis Erickson’s troops to crank things up a notch here. The Cougars pointspread roll is about to come to an abrupt end. Take Arizona St. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
AccuScore’s resident experts are back to make their picks for Week 8 of the NFL season. Last week, Jon and Zach combined to go 4-0. In addition to applying what we know about the teams we pick, we go beyond Advisor and dig into the daily line report to find teams, situations and trends to make sure the picks we give you have the best chance to bring you wins.
Denver at San Francisco Under 41.5 Points
Totals have been very profitable at AccuScore this season with an overall record of 61-39 for all games played this season. AccuScore is 4-2 this season in games involving Denver and 4-3 with games involving the 49ers. In most cases I would disregard a team’s record if they are bringing in a new quarterback, but the 49ers have been dismal with Alex Smith as their starter and we don’t expect much of a change now that David Carr gets the call. Neither team is known for scoring points and AccuScore’s simulations project these teams to combine for only 37 points.
Buffalo +7.5 at Kansas City
As the old saying goes, “you are what your record is,” and AccuScore is 3-1-2 ATS with games involving Buffalo and 2-1-3 in games with the Chiefs. Despite their record, the Bills are a far better team than they are given credit for and took the Ravens to overtime last week. When teams can score, as the Bills can, the points become even more appealing. I also like that it is 7.5 instead of 7 because that half point represents an extra possession.
Miami +1 at Cincinnati
The Dolphins have been road warriors being 3-0 away from home this season. Also a big factor in this pick is the fact that the Bengals just aren’t very good and are still getting too much respect from the bettors. Cincy has lost three straight and Carson Palmer falling far from his former elite status. While the Bengals are just 29th in sacks allowed they have allowed the 11th most QB hits which means teams can still create pressure on the passing game. The Dolphins rank 9th in sacks and have Cameron Wake coming off the edge. Miami is 4-2 ATS this season while Cincy is 2-4 playing right into my belief that Miami is undervalued by bettors while Cincy is overvalued.
Jacksonville at Dallas Under 42.5 Points
AccuScore is 9-4 combined on totals picks involving these 2 teams this season. With David Garrard coming off injury and Dallas losing Tony Romo the environment does not seem like one ripe for high point totals. I expect a more defensive game particularly with the Cowboys likely trying to play closer to the vest with Kitna at the helm.
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College Football Expert Picks: October 30th 2010
By Zach Rosenfield and Jonathan Lee, AccuScore
AccuScore’s resident experts are back to make their picks for Week 9 of the college football season. Last week Jon and Zach combined to go 3-1. In addition to applying what we know about the teams we pick, we go beyond Advisor and dig into the daily line report to find teams, situations and trends to make sure the picks we give you have the best chance to bring you wins.
Louisville/Pitt over 56.5
If an optimist were to make one kind of bet he would choose the over so he could always root for points. It’s also the only bet that can be won while the game is still going on. This season AccuScore is 4-2 in over/under projections in games when the Cardinals play, and has the same record in the same situation in games involving Pitt. This season the Panthers are hardly a scoring machine, but they have found their mojo lately scoring 86 points over their last 2 games. On the other hand, Louisville games have brought plenty of scoring with four of their last five games producing eight or more touchdowns. In addition to having a combined record of 8-4 in totals with these two teams, this game has over a 58 percent chance of going over the 56.5 points.
Clemson –6.5 at Boston College
This is the point of the year when teams have shown whether they play to the simulations or if they are unpredictable. There were not many expectations this year for Boston College or Clemson, but we are pleased that they are playing to their simulations. In picking just game winners, AccuScore is 11-1 this season with these two teams. More importantly, AccuScore is 9-3 against the number in games involving BC and Clemson. ACC conference games are our most accurate conference this season against the spread posting 65 percent accuracy, returning +620 units. These seasonal trends help support a very strong game forecast where Clemson covers the 6.5 in 59.8 percent of simulations.
West Virginia -6.5 at Connecticut
AccuScore’s line in this game is West Virginia -10 covering the -6.5 line over 58 percent of the time. The computers have been accurate with both teams with a 5-1 record on West Virginia game winners and 4-2 against the spread with UCONN. While the Mountaineers played poorly in a loss to Syracuse last week, the defense is still very good ranking 6th nationally in scoring defense. Offensive inconsistencies happen with young quarterbacks, but Geno Smith has shown he has talent. UCONN on the other hand does not have offensive talent. Last week the Huskies passed over former starter Zach Frazier in favor of redshirt freshman Michael Box. This was actually the second time Frazier was replaced this season. Now Box is out with a concussion and Frazier is back starting. I believe in the Mountaineer defense, and for Smith and the offense to have a bit of a bounce back game.
Oklahoma State -5 at Kansas State
This is another game where the AccuScore computers have been very accurate going 9-3 combined against the spread in games involving the Cowboys and Wildcats. While the betting line is -5.5, the sim line is -9 even with star receiver Justin Blackmon suspended. The big keys will be Brandon Weeden and ball security. When the Cowboys have a positive turnover margin they win over 80 percent of the time. Kansas State also has the 118th ranked rush defense getting completely gashed by Nebraska and allowing 250 yards to Baylor’s Jay Finley. Kendall Hunter should put up a huge day, which will in turn help Weeden take care of the football.
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Remember that NFL football betting trends are a nice resource to help you select football games. As we head towards mid-season, some people need more than stats and injuries. Remember that first number listed in the totals is OVER and the second is UNDER (ex. Tampa Bay is 3-10 UNDER).
If you need help, don’t hesitate to call ATS Consultants, now in our 20th season, at 1-800-772-1287. (College Football Lock of the Year goes this Saturday, a 30-unit play; 16-4 L20). We have the answers to your betting problems.
Teams that are on byes this week: Atlanta, Baltimore, Chicago, Cleveland, New York Giants and Philadelphia.
Sunday, October 31st, 2010
DENVER vs. SAN FRANCISCO, 1:00 PM ET (at London, England)
1) 2-16 ATS off an Over
2) 7-10 UNDER vs. NFC
1) 5-0 ATS off SU loss as favorite
Den: WR D. Thomas (thumb), FS B. Dawkins (knee), CB A. Goodman (thigh) are questionable. S D. McBath (ankle) is doubtful.
SF: QB A. Smith (shldr) is out 2-3 weeks. T. Smith will start. C E. Heitman (neck) is out. OT J. Staley (shldr), DB T. Mays (shldr) are questionable.
JACKSONVILLE at DALLAS, 1:00 PM ET
1) 1-9 ATS after allowing 30+ points
2) 8-3 OVER on turf
1) 20-7 ATS after allowing 35+ points
2) 1-7-1 ATS at home after facing NY Giants
Jax: QB D. Garrard (concussion) is probable. QB T.B ouman (finger) is questionable. QB T.E dwards (thumb) is questionable.
Dal: QB T. Romo (collarbone) is out 6-10 week. CB T. Newman (ribs), OG K. Kosier (Achilles), G M. Holland (groin) are questionable.
WASHINGTON at DETROIT, 1:00 PM ET
1) 1-7 Under L8 in series
2) 0-4 ATS before the bye week
1) 34-53 ATS as favorite
2) 1-3 ATS L4 in series
Wash: FB M. Sellers (foot) is questionable. RB C. Portis (groin) is out.
Det: LB L. Johnson (concussion), CB N. Vasher (bicep) are questionable. QB M. Stafford (shldr) will start. QB S. Hill (hand) and LB Z. Follett (neck) are out indefinitely.
GREEN BAY at NY JETS, 1:00 PM ET
1) 0-3 ATS vs. NY Jets
2) 28-7-1 ATS on turf
1) 2-11 Under off BB covers as favorite
2) 18-32 UNDER as a non-div. home favorite
GB: DE M. Neal (shldr) and LB B.Poppinga (knee) were placed on the IR. NT R. Pickett (ankle), SS A. Bigby (ankle), OT M. Tauscher (shldr), CB A. Harris (knee) are questionable.
NYJ: no key recent injuries.
CAROLINA at ST LOUIS, 1:00 PM ET
1) 82-55 ATS as an underdog
2) 5-0 ATS L5 in series
1) 27-45 ATS off road loss
2) 1-3 ATS L4 at home in series
Car: OT J. Otah (knee) is out indefinitely. DT H. Thomas (susp) is out.
Stl: LB J. Laurinaitis (knee), CB R. Bartell (shldr), DT F. Robbins (toe), DT C. Ryan (headache) are questionable.
MIAMI at CINCINNATI, 1:00 PM ET
1) 6-0 ATS as road dog of 3pts or less
1) 0-7 ATS as home favorite
MIA: DB N.Carroll (ankle) is questionable
Cincy: CB A.Jones (neck) was placed on the IR. S R.L. Williams (knee), CB J. Joseph (ankle) are questionable. DE A. Odom (susp) is out.
BUFFALO at KANSAS CITY, 1:00 PM ET
1) 1-7 Under at Kansas City.
2) 3-0 ATS L3 in series.
1) 1-1 ATS at home after gaining 200+ rush yds last game
2) 5-10-1 ATS hosting a non-division foe
Buf: DE M. Stroud (back), LB K. Ellison (knee), CB T. McGee (knee) are questionable
KC: WR D. McCluster (undisc.), WR C. Chambers (finger) are questionable
TENNESSEE at SAN DIEGO, 4:05 PM ET
1) 35-19 Over in October
2) 21-10 ATS as a dog
1) 15-3 ATS vs. AFC South
2) 6-0 ATS L6 in series
QB K. Collins (finger), LB D. Thornton (hip), QB V. Young (knee), WR J. Gage (hamstring), DT T. Brown (knee), CB J. McCourty (forearm) are questionable.
SD: K N. Kaeding (groin) is dbtful. WR M.Floyd (hamstring) is out. SS S. Gregory (susp.) is out.
TAMPA BAY at ARIZONA, 4:15 PM ET
1) 1-5 Under vs. Arizona
2) 2-8 ATS before playing Atlanta
1) 11-2 ATS at home off SU loss
2) 3-1 ATS L4 in series
TB: RB E. Graham (hamstring), DT B. Price (pelvis) are questionable.
Ariz: QB M. Hall (concussion) is probable. DT D. Williams (groin), LB C. Haggans (groin) are questionable.
SEATTLE at OAKLAND, 4:15 PM ET
1) 0-6 ATS off home win
2) 4-15 ATS on the road vs. the AFC
1) 0-6 ATS off SU win as underdog
2) 4-15 UNDER vs. the NFC
Sea: OT R. Okung 9ankle), CB K. Jennings (hamstring), LB D. Davis (hamstring) are questionable.
Oak: G R. Gallery (calf), OG L. Walker (arm), LB T. Howard (knee), QB B. Gradkowski (shldr), DT J. Henderson (foot) are questionable. WR L. Murphy (chest) is out.
MINNESOTA at NEW ENGLAND, 4:15 PM ET
1) 6-1 Over after failing to cover 2 of L3 games
2) 3-1 ATS L4 in series
1) 1-5 ATS off BB ATS wins
2) 8-14 UNDER hosting an NFC team
Min: QB B. Favre (ankle) is questionable.
NE: DB P. Chung (knee) is out. S J. Page (calf) is questionable.
PITTSBURGH at NEW ORLEANS, 8:20 PM ET
1) 46-28 ATS as underdog
2) 3-0 ATS L3 in series
1) 0-7 ATS at home off DD loss as favorite
2 )20-32-1 ATS at home
Pit: LB L. Woodley (hamstring), DE B. Keisel (hamstring), OG T. Essex (ankle) are questionable.
DE A. Smith (tricep) is out indef.
NO: CB T. Porter (knee), RB P. Thomas (ankle), CB J. Greer (shlder), LB S. Shanle (hamstring) are questionable.
Monday, November 1st, 2010
HOUSTON at INDIANAPOLIS, 8:30 PM ET
1) 7-19 ATS off home win
2) 4-1 ATS L5 in series
1) 11-2 ATS if 50+ pts were scored last game
2) 14-30-2 ATS as a division home fave
Hou: LB K. Bentley (knee), LB X. Adibi (hamstring) are questionable. OT D. Brown (susp. served) is back. Indy: RB J. Addai (shldr) is dbtful. WR A. Gonzalez (ankle), RB D. Brown (hamstring), LB G. Brackett (groin) are questionable. WR A. Collie (lower body) is out indef. P P. McAfee (susp) is out. TE D. Clark (wrist) was placed on the IR.
Baylor is ranked for the first time since 1993 and is bowl eligible for the first time since 1995. This could mean a letdown spot but the makeup of this team should not let that happen. There are big goals for the Bears and they have not been met yet. They have not defeated a team when they were ranked since 1991 which is certainly a goal it wants to attain. Adding to it even further, this is the first time since 1986 when Baylor is ranked and Texas is not.
Head coach Art Briles reiterated the attention to focus on Fox Sports Houston. “We are in a week-by-week profession, and they are in a week-by-week playing profession,” Briles said of the Baylor coaches and players, respectively. “What happened last week was last season. It is done. It is over with. We are on a new season this week, and all of our focus and energy started [Sunday] afternoon on the University of Texas and that is where it will remain until we get through with that game and go on to the next one.”
Texas is favored by a touchdown simply because it is Texas and not because it is that much better than the Bears. This game should actually be in the pickem range in my opinion or Texas favored by no more than a field goal and that is usually around the price that an unranked home team is over a ranked road team when favored. The Longhorns are coming off a loss against Iowa St. last week but I don’t believe it was an aberration as this Texas team just isn’t right.
The Longhorns have dropped three of their last four games and the lone win against Nebraska was far from a convincing win. The last home victory, and only home victory for that matter, came back on September 11th against Wyoming. The other home defeat came against lowly UCLA so there are definite issues going on right now. The defense remains one of the best in the nation as Texas is sixth in total defense however it is ranked 33rd in scoring defense and that stems from other areas at fault.
The Longhorns will face a very explosive offense from Baylor. Baylor has scored 30 or more points in seven of its eight games this season, including the last five so it is peaking at the right time as the schedule gets tougher. In four games in October, Baylor’s offense has averaged over 600 ypg on offense and the Bears are currently ranked 5th in the country in total offense and 20th in scoring offense. Quarterback Robert Griffin III has come back strong from his knee injury as he is third in the nation in total offense.
Since Briles took over, Baylor is 9-2 ATS after one or more straight losses against the number including four straight. Texas is just 1-6 in its last seven games as a favorite and it is 0-6 ATS in its last six games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game while Baylor is just the opposite and is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The Bears accomplishments keep on coming. 3* Baylor Bears