On Monday the free MLB Play is on the Toronto Blue Jays. Game 919 at 8:10 eastern. Toronto fits a nice road favorite system of mine that plays on, you guessed it, certain road favorites off a road favored win by 5 or more runs, that scored 10 or more runs and are now taking on an opponent off a home dog loss and scored 5 or more runs with 10+ hits. This system hits in the high 70 percentile range the past few years. Toronto starter Cecil has a fine 2.92 road era and the Jays have cashed 6 of his 8 road starts. K.Davies of KC has not fared as well. Davies has an elevated 5.35 home era and his era is also right around 5 in 3 starts vs Toronto. The Blue Jays have cashed 14 of 20 times as a road favorite in this range and the Royals are 0-4 in nthe second half vs teams who are over .500. Look for Toronto to deal the Royals their 7th straight loss tonight. On Monday I have the Revenge Game of the Month in MLB Acton. Our team is out for blood and qualifies in a cutting edge Diamond Cutter system that wins by 3 rpg. I also have a Totals play from one of my better Ttoals systesm that averages 13 runs per game. MLB Now 28 games over .500. I will also have an additional free play on Tonights radio show at 88.9 wsia.fm at 8:05 eastern with Anthony Pierno. For the free play take the Toronto Blue Jays tonight. RV
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5* graded play on Colorado as they take to the road to face the Marlins set to start at 7:10 EST. Colorado finds themselves on top of the Wild Card standings just percentage points ahead of the Reds, 1/2 game ahead of the Giants. 1.5 ahead of the Dodgers adn Mets, and 2 games ahead of the 2-time NL Champion Phillies. The big question is why is a 15-1 starter with his team leading the Wild Card race just a -145 favorite? The reason is this is a trap. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Marlines will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of just 139-155 for 47% winners, but has made a whopping 74.4 units since 2004. Play against all favorites with a money line of -150 or more averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season and after a win by 2 runs or less. Clearly, units won is far more important than winning percentage in the money line sports of the NHL and MLB. Over 17-years, we have seen close to 82% of our plays as DOGS in these sports and it has served us big time in producing consistent financial returns. This system is analogous to playing Black jack at the casino, having a sub-par night, and stil walking out with a huge gain. Using this system you made $7440 dollars wagering just $100 per hand played and were paid back $165.00 every time you won. Now, add that to the model projections for this game and you have a huge potential upset in the making. Colorado is just 41-90 (-36.1 Units) against the money line in road games after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span since 1997. Marlins are 21-9 (+13.6 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons; 13-4 (+10.7 Units) against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Rockies manager Tracy is just 12-30 (-22.1 Units) against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 3 straight games in all games he has managed since 1997. Jimemez has been touched recently and is attributed to fatigue and scouting report having caught up to him. He also has a bullet on his chest now simply because he is 15-1 and opponents want nothing more than to get to him and defeat him. Marlins bullpen will be an integral factor in this upset win and are pitching very well posting a 1.12 ERA and a 0.958 and converting all 4 of their save opportunities over the past 7 games. Take Florida.
Below are MLB baseball picks for July 19th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball predictions on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.
Pick: Chicago Cubs -164 (Jimmy Boyd)
The Cubs enter tonight’s contest with some momentum after a convincing win over the reigning NL champs. I like the Cubs at home again tonight with Silva on the hill. Silva has been rock solid at Wrigley in 2010, going 4-2 with an ERA of 2.90. It is also important to note that the Cubs are 6-1 in Silva’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Astros bring Rodriguez to the hill, and I fully expect his road struggles to continue. He is just 2-6 with an ERA of 5.79 on the road this season. In fact, the Astros are 3-13 in Rodriguez’s last 16 road starts and 0-7 in his last 7 Monday starts. It also can’t be overlooked that Houston is 0-9 in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons, losing to these teams by an average score of 2.4 to 6.3. Take the Cubbies.
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -115 (Tony George)
Wha a Cheap number for a team, in the Brewers, considering they have DOMINATED the Pirates cashing in 11 out of the last 14 in this series and just wood shedded them right before the all star break with a 3-0 sweep. Pitt is weak against lefties at the plate and while Capuano is no stud for the Brew Crew, their bullpen has been red hot as of late and will bail them out in this game. The dominance of the Brewers in this series is well doumented and they are off a 2-2 split with the Braves and smelling blood in the water here. Better overall pitching and bullpen, bat power and better team.
Pick: Detroit Tigers -118 (Steve Janus)
Look for the Tigers to get back on track back in Detroit on Monday against the Texas Rangers. The Tigers lost 5 straight, including being swept in 4 games by the Cleveland Indians. At home in this series they should fare better. Jeremy Bonderman gets the start for Detroit. Bonderman has been at his best at home this season. In his 8 home starts the Tigers are 5-3 while Bonderman has posted a 3.71 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. Bonderman is opposed by the Rangers’ Scott Feldman. Feldman is 5-8 on the season with a 5.32 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. The Rangers have lost in each of his last 3 starts.
two of the MLB best square off, as the HR leading Jays try to beat the best hitting team in the Royals. Good for us that all the pitching stats point to a domination by starter Cecil for TOR. He is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two outings this month. For KC they will turn to Davies and hope he can keep the ball in the park. Only thing consistent about him is he is inconsistent. Best case for Davies is his average for the year 6 innings pitched allowing 3 runs. That will be plenty as Cecil will only allow one run over 8 before turning it over to bullpen for shutout 9th. TOR has been hot at plate and will continue as the hot summer in KC will have this ball flying out tonight.
The Cubs are coming off a series win against the Phillies over the weekend as they took three of four including Sunday where they were able to get to Roy Halladay. They look to carry that into the series against the Astros and while letdowns in baseball are very uncommon compared to other sports, this is a situation where we have one. Houston meanwhile is coming off a series loss in Pittsburgh as the offense once again did nothing to help Roy Oswalt yesterday, scoring no runs. That actually puts the Astros in a solid underdog situation explained later. Wandy Rodriguez gets the call for Houston and he is pitching some of his best baseball of the season. He has tossed four straight quality starts and while the All-Star break has out a halt to that for now with the added time off, facing the Cubs should negate that. He has thrown four straight quality starts against Chicago as well going back to last season. This includes two straight at Wrigley Field with the latter coming earlier this season. Rodriguez has maintained a WHIP of 1.00 over those last four starts and it looks like he has ironed out some of his issues after a rough couple months. He squares off against Carlos Silva who is having one of the most surprising seasons in baseball. He is 9-3 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 17 starts. He is coming off one of his worst starts of the season in his last start before the break and it will be interesting to see how he responds. That along with the time off killed a lot of positive momentum he had built with seven straight quality starts. The situation mentioned earlier is to play on all underdogs after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, in a game involving two teams with losing records and winning percentages between .380 and .460. This situation is 29-12 (70.7 percent) since 1997. 3* Houston Astros
At 8:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Houston Astros over the Chicago Cubs. The great Carlos Silva meltdown has officially begun. Silva tried to do his best Carlos Zambrano impression in his last start of the first half when he surrendered six earned runs in just 1 1/3 innings against the Dodgers and got ejected from the game when he argued a close play at first base. The big righthander who shares the same first name with another big righthander for the team – the often-troubled head case Zambrano – was perhaps the unlikeliest success story in the N.L. over the first half of the season, but Silva – who was just 1-3 with an 8.60 ERA last season for Seattle – could be waking up from his dream now and heading back to the reality that he is a below-average starter on a bad team. His ERA rose from 2.96 to 3.45 in that last debacle and the Cubs now just 1-5 in his last six starts. Houston southpaw Wandy Rodriguez lost for the first time in four starts in his last outing of the first half (also on July 11) but he pitched very well, holding the Cardinals to just three earned runs in six innings while striking out six and walking just two. He’s already faced the Cubs at Wrigley this season back on May 18, a game which Houston won 3-2 although Rodriguez did not get the victory in that one. He certainly has a good chance to do that against Silva, who has also been nursing a sore calf. Take the Astros. As always, good luck…Al McMordie.
Below are MLB baseball picks for July 18th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball predictions on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +128 (Jimmy Boyd)
David Price continues to impress for the Tampa Bay Rays. He’s 12-4 on the season with a 2.42 ERA and 1.20 WHIP, including a 6-3 mark on the road. The Rays have been nearly as good on the road this season as the Yankees have been good at home. The Bronx Bombers are 29-14 at Yankee Stadium this year, while Tampa is 29-15 in their road games. The Rays’ also have an edge in the bullpen in this series. The Yankees’ pen has been surprisingly ineffective with a collective record of 5-5 and ERA well over 5.00 at home this season. By comparison the Rays’ pen is 6-2 with a 2.86 ERA on the road this year. The Yanks don’t hit lefties particularly well and Price has been one of the best in the AL this season.
Pick: Florida Marlins -135 (Rocky Atkinson)
Washington is 1-9 this year as a road underdog of +100 to +125. Washington is 2-13 this year on the road when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. Washington has lost 4 of their last 6 games overall. Washington is 15-29 on the road this year. Craig Stammen is 1-2 with a 6.94 ERA on the road this year and has a 7.32 ERA his last 3 starts. Alex Sanabia has a 0.00 ERA his last 3 starts. Florida is 30-13 overall against Washington the past 3 years including 17-6 at home. Stammen is 0-1 with a 6.11 ERA overall vs Florida since 1997. We’ll recommend a small play on Florida today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Pick: Boston Red Sox -151 (Jeff Alexander)
Jon Lester has been Boston’s most effective pitcher this season. He’s 11-3 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.09 WHIP, including a 6-1 record with a 2.77 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in Fenway park. The Rangers are just barely over .500 on the road, while the Sox are 30-19 in home games this year. Boston hits left-handed starters very well, averaging 6 runs per game against them, while the Rangers do not hit well on the road, averaging just 4.4 runs per game.
Pick: Los Angeles Angels -145 (Brad Diamond)
Behind RHP Santana the Angels are 6-1 versus at home. In addition, the recharging Angels show at 27-10 overall in Los Angeles against the struggling Mariners. Finally, we find the Angels at 40-18 at home in Sunday affairs. Don’t miss my Sunday BEST BET that includes the #1 pitching box on the card. Currently, my boxes are CRUSHING at 48-31 after winning last night with the Blue Jays. Good Luck!
In a battle of arguably the 2 best southpaws in the American League this has all the earmarks of an old fashion pitcher’s duel. A lot of early money has gone on the over in this game yet some of the books that I respect the most have changed the juice but won’t budge from the number. In 9 starts during the day this season the veteran Andy Pettite has been terrific in posting a sparkling 2.14 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. Pettite has seen 8 of his last 10 starts versus the Rays go under the total. The Rays youngster David Price has seen 5 of his 7 starts during the day go under the total this season with much being attributed to his stellar 2.47 ERA. In spite of all the meetings between these 2 clubs going over the total this one will break the trend today. Play on this game to go under the total as my free selection of the day.
At 8:05 pm (time change), our complimentary selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies over the Chicago Cubs. Roy Halladay gets the call for Charlie Manuel’s Phillies tonight, and there’s very little one can find fault with when one looks at his 2010 campaign. He’s “only” 10-7 this year, but that has much more to do with a lack of run support than with his performance. Indeed, his 2.19 ERA and 1.05 WHIP place him among baseball’s best this season. And certainly, such stats would predict a better record than 10-7. And, over his last three outings, Halladay’s numbers improve to 1.73 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Granted, Halladay has never defeated Chicago in his career. But he’s had just two starts (going 0-2), and his ERA vs. the Cubbies is still a very respectable 3.00, with a WHIP of 1.25. He’ll match-up with Tom Gorzelanny tonight, and Gorzelanny has also pitched very well this year (3.16 ERA; 1.40 WHIP). But at home, in hitter-friendly Wrigley Field, Gorzelanny has a 4.50 ERA with a less-than-impressive 1.56 WHIP. Yesterday, Philadelphia erupted for four runs in the 9th inning to overtake Chicago with a 4-1 victory. And I often look to go against teams in their next game after blowing a 9th inning lead. The Cubbies are a poor 26-35 vs. righties this season. Take Philadelphia. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.
On Saturday the free play is on the Minnesota Twins. Game 926 at 7:10 eastern. Minnesota snapped the 9 game Chicago win streak last night. Teams off a loss coming off a big win streak tend to lose focus and struggle in the next game. I also have a nice system here that plays on the Twins. What we want to do is play on certain home favorites off a home win,if they scored 5 or more runs and left 10 or more men on base vs an opponent off a road dog loss and scored 4 or less runs with 5 or more men left on base. This system cashes around 74% of the time. Twins starter C. Pavano has pitched well vs the Sox allowing just 4 runs in 23 innings over his last three starts vs them. With Minnesota having won 17 of the past 22 games at home vs Chicago we will back them here tonight as the free play. For looking for the MLB Dog of the month or the Non division Dominator system play. Both go at night. MLB on a 16-3 run off the Friday sweep. RV