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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Tennessee Titans Odds & Pick: September 19th 2010

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Tennessee Titans
Pick: Tennessee Titans -5 -110 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert NFL Picks from Nick Parsons

What an awesome start in Week 1 where I went 6-2 (75%) and hit all four of of my *10* selections; in fact, dating back to the pre-season, I’m on an absolutely incredible 8-1 (89%) *10* NFL TOP PLAY run! And this of course comes after the fact that I finished as the #4 NFL Capper in the Nation last year, as independently documented by the Sports Watch of Las Vegas.
CLICK HERE FOR MY WEEK 2 EXPERT NFL BETTING PICKS

It’s now time to focus on Week 2; so let’s take a closer look at the Pittsburgh Steelers who travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans.

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the home side:

Pittsburgh looked sharp on the defensive side of the ball in its 15-9 overtime win over the Atlanta Falcons last week, and it’s going to have to once again step it up on defense if it has any shot whatsoever at competing against the Titans.

Tennessee annihilated Oakland 38-13, and I firmly believe we’re going to see a similar outcome in this one.

Dating back to last season, the Steelers are in fact just 3-7 ATS their last ten on the road. Not only that, but over the last two years Pittsburgh is only 2-3 ATS vs. AFC South division opponents.

It’s also notorious to getting out to slow starts; just 2-6 ATS over the last two seasons in the month of September.

Tennessee on the other hand is a stellar 5-1 ATS over the last two years vs. AFC North division opponents; also 6-2 ATS during the month of September; 10-6 ATS in front of the home town crowd and 14-9 ATS when playing the roll of favorite.

There is no question in my mind that this line should be higher. Vince Young had one of his best days ever last week, completing 13 of 17 for 154 yards and two touchdowns; his 142.8 passer rating was the highest of his entire career.

Chris Johnson was a beast and ran for 142 yards and two TD’s, despite the Raiders focusing on him in a vain attempt to slow him down.

Dennis Dixon on the other hand was 18 of 26 for 236 yards; he gave up an INT, but at least two other passes of his could have easily been intercepted if not dropped by the Falcons.

So the bottom line is this: if the Steelers focus on the run, they are going to get burned by Young; if they look to stop the pass, well…obviously Johnson is going to torch them.

I expect another monster blowout here…consider a second look at the TENNESSEE TITANS in this situation. Be sure to Visit Touthouse.comm for more NFL football betting picks from Nick.

Baltimore Ravens vs. New York Jets Pick & Odds: September 13th 2010

Baltimore Ravens vs. New York Jets
Pick: Under 37 Points -110 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert NFL picks from Freddy Wills

A big weekend and I’m giving game #1 of Monday Night Football away for free! I went 6-1 ATS in college football with wins on Houston on Friday and Michigan, Kent State, NC State, Wyoming, and Air Force. The lone loss was on Tennessee who fell apart after holding a 13-3 lead early as +12 dogs on Oregon. Football started on Thursday and I picked up a win with the Vikings and on Sunday I went 3-0 getting wins on the Bucs, Texans, and Redskins late. Don’t miss my free pick and break down below.

The Jets open up as 3-point favorites in their debut of their new stadium. Money has poured in on the Ravens ironically and the line has moved accordingly as the Jets can be found at -1.5 to -2 point favorites. Nearly 70% of the public is buying into the Ravens and their improved offense.

Both teams are favored to wint he AFC conference this season by many as the Jets are 6 to 1 and the Ravens slightly more likely at 5 to 1.

Weather:
The weather is rain early on Monday in New Jersey, but the weather conditions will clear by afternoon. Only a 30% chance of showers by kickoff for Monday night with temperatures around 70 degrees and winds at only six mph.

Key Players:
Jets finally signed Darelle Revis and he’ll likely match up man to man with Anquan Boldin. With that addition the Jets lose probably their top receiver for 4 games in Santonio Holmes who is suspended for the first 4 games. The Jets will have their two headed monster in the running game with Ladanian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene who should be plenty busy going up against the #5 rushing defense a year ago.

Ravens not only have a top defense, but they too can run the ball ranked #5 in the league last year running the ball with Ray Rice leading the way. Ravens were 18th in the passing game and have improved by roster moves with Boldin and TJ Houshmandzadeh to go along with Derek Mason. The defense is still this team’s strength. Ed Reed is out tonight and that could have an impact if the Jets decide to take some shots deep with Braylon Edwards or over the middle with Dustin Keller.

What Happens:
This game will be played in the trenches. These are two identical teams and this will be a close game no matter what. The Jets improved on their defense big time so I don’t think the additions in receivers for the Ravens are going to matter here. Kyle Wilson out of Boise State is a stud and can come up and stop the rush and make tackles and Cromarte has got speed and should be able to handle Mason opposite of Revis. The Jets run defense that ranked 8th in the league is far better with Kris Jenkins coming back from injury. The Ravens can forget about running up the middle in this game and will need to take it to the outside and move the ball with short passes and screens. This will make it difficult to score a lot of points.

On the other side of things the Jets offense is anchored by the offensive line and the running game. Ladanian Tomlinson looked good and he will be a nice change of pace for Shonn Greene who will get the tough yards while LT breaks outside with his speed. The problem is they are facing Ray Lewis and the Ravens rush defense here. While I think the Jets will have some success after all they were the #1 run offense a year ago I think this team is going to try to change things up and pass the ball to keep the Ravens off guard. That won’t be a good thing as I do not have much confidence in Sanchez yet. I think he struggles in his first game here, but expect him to get out on play actions and roll outs early where he has been successful. Get more NFL betting picks from Freddy at Touthouse

FREE PICK IS: Under 37 points (1.1 Dime Play)

Four MLB Baseball Picks To Consider Betting On September 13th 2010

Below are MLB baseball betting picks for September 13th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball picks on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.
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Pick: Baltimore Orioles -121 (Steve Merril)
The Orioles are playing some good baseball right now; they’ve won six of their last eight games. They return home to host Toronto who has lost four of their last five games. Brian Matusz has been key in this turn around for Baltimore by winning three straight starts against the Yankees, Red Sox, and White Sox. The tall lefty has given up just six runs and 14 hits in his last 19 innings of work. Matusz struggled in his lone start against Toronto this season back in July, but he has turned things around since then. Toronto is 11-19 against southpaw pitchers this season while hitting .217 and scoring 3.5 runs per game against them. The Blue Jays are 34-37 on the road and hitting just .241 away from home. Toronto’s Marc Rzepczynski is struggling this season going 1-4 with a 6.63 ERA in eight starts. He has given up 12 runs and 18 hits in his last 14.7 innings pitched. The Blue Jays starter has faced the Orioles just once in his career. Last year, he gave up three runs and five hits in six innings of work against them. Baltimore is hitting nearly .300 as a team in their past eight games, and since they have one of the better records in the league since Buck Showalter took over, we’ll look for their winning ways to continue in this game tonight.

Pick: Yankees vs. Rays Over 8 (Rob Vinciletti)
On Monday the Free Play is on the Over in the Yankees at Tampa Bay game. Rotation numbers 919/920 at 7:10 eastern. These two teams have played 11 games with 9 of them flying over the total. Tonight their is a solid totals system that applies to this one. We want to play the over for road favorites off a road dog loss vs an opponent off a 1 run road dog loss. This system cashed in the low 80/s percent range. Both teams are scoring over 5 runs per game in divisional play. Tampa has played over in 8 of 10 September games, while the Yankees have gone over 9 of 13 times as a road favorite from -100 to -125. Tampa has been tearing it up of late averaging over 7 runs per game the past week. CC. Sabathia has a decent but not dominating 3.74 road era. D.Price pitching for Tampa has allowed 10 earned runs in 12+ innings in 2 starts vs the Yankees this year. Consider the over here tonight. On Monday its the NL Total of the Month with a Power system that averages over 13 runs per game + the NFL Triple Angle Winner. For the free play take the Yankees at Tampa to go over the total. RV

Pick: Houston Astros -135 (Matt Fargo)
The Astros salvaged a split in their series against the Dodgers with a win on Sunday. It was the offense that got it done yesterday, something that has not been happening too much. The pitching has been the story for Houston despite the recent three-game bump in the road. The pitching staff has allowed three runs or fewer in 21 of its last 30 games, posting a 3.02 ERA over that span, and it has allowed four runs or less in 33 of its last 45 games overall. The Brewers are coming off a 3-3 homestand following a series loss to the Cubs. Milwaukee was able to salvage the final game on Sunday thanks to a solid pitching performance from Yovani Gallardo but the offense remains a problem. The Brewers scoring only two runs during their three-game series, both of which were plated on Sunday, and they are hitting a mere .220 over their last 10 games. In three games played in Houston this season, Milwaukee has scored a total of two runs as well. The Astros have a significant advantage on the mound for this game. Houston sends Brett Myers to the mound and he is having an outstanding season and remains under the radar. He has a 2.91 ERA and 1.21 WHIP covering 29 starts and he has tossed 12 quality outings in his last 13 starts, all but one in which he has allowed two runs or fewer. Overall 22 of those 29 starts have been quality performances and that is a solid percentage. He has been extremely effective at home where he is 6-0 with a 2.23 ERA in 12 games with Houston going 10-2 in those contests. Christopher Narveson counters for the Brewers and while he has been effective of late, I am not sold. He has thrown three straight quality outings but his ERA has only gone from 5.52 to 5.20 showing just how bad he was before this. His numbers are slightly better on the road but considering Milwaukee’s struggles away from home recently, he is not in a good spot. The Brewers are 1-5 in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record. The Astros are 15-3 in their last 18 games when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game so the pitching has been able to extend the opposing offense’s struggles. Also Houston is 9-0 in the second half of the season this year against teams allowing 4.8 or more rpg. 3* Houston Astros

Pick: Boston Red Sox -165 (Doug Upstone)
The Seattle Mariners scoring seven total runs in being swept by the Angels is about as surprising Lady Gaga winning VMA award on MTV last night. The M’s are batting hellacious .234 as a team scoring 3.2 runs per game and will be significant home underdogs to Boston and Jon Lester (16-8, 3.26 ERA). This Monday, Play Against baseball underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 who are batting .260 or less, (in this case well below) vs. an AL starting pitcher who has 3.50 ERA or lower on the season, when this frigid hitting squad is batting .200 or worse over their last three games. This system has been a winner 58 of the last 73 times.

Six Expert NFL Football Betting Picks for Week 1: September 12th 2010

Below you will find complimentary Week 1 NFL football betting picks from Touthouse.com sports handicappers
CLICK HERE FOR WEEK 1 EXPERT NFL PICKS FOR SEPTEMBER 12TH 2010

NFL Pick: San Francisco 49ers -3 (Craig Trapp)
Two teams with huge difference of expectations. SF plans on winning this division while SEA is just trying to bounce back to above .500 this year. SF might be the best defense in the NFC and on offense look to get back to the dominating run game of a few years ago. Gore will tear up a SEA defense that got shredded in many games last year. SEA offense carried them in years past but last year was a disappointment and think they will struggle once again. SEA keeps it close early with home field advantage but the run game of SF carries them to at least a TD win.

NFL Pick: Indianapolis Colts -1 (Jimmy Boyd)
Indy has won 6 straight and 15 of 16 all-time against the Texans. While Houston has narrowed the gap, I don’t think it’s ready to break through with a win Sunday. Houston’s defense still has some work to do, and that defense will be without stud linebacker Brian Cushing. Meanwhile, the Indy defense is bolstered by the return of a healthy Bob Sanders, who is a former NFL Defensive Player of the Year. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this matchup, and the Colts went 7-1 ATS on the road last season. Plus, Indy was a perfect 6-0 ATS last season in all games in which it was a road favorite, winning those games by an average score of 31.2 to 18.5. Take the Colts.

NFL Pick: Broncos vs. Jaguars Under 40.5 (Michael Alexander)
The Broncos’ HC McDaniels is looking to improve on last seasons poor rushing performance. He’s going looking to do this by having a bigger offensive line versus the lighter zone blocking of last season. However, it’s going to be a stuggle today as his three “big guys” are all nursing injuries. Instead he’ll have three offensive linemen who will be playing their first NFL Games. That will spell trouble for the running game and will force QB Kyle Orton to pass more. The problem with that is Orton is missing last years big two receivers of Marshall and Scheffler. The Broncos also come into this game with a bigger on the defensive line as well which should cause problems against a Jaguars team that is hoping to pound the ball with RB Maurice Jones-Drew. They also have a secondary full of veteran players with Champ Baily, Brian dawkins, and Andre Goodman.

NFL Pick: Packers vs. Eagles Under 48 (Sean Higgs)
Going Under the total in Philly as my Free Play.. People like talking about the flashy offenses, but these defenses are going to want to show some pride here…. On Saturday, I cashed my CFB Non-Conference Game of the Month.. Well here on Sunday, I have my Top Rated 10* Underdog Outright WINNER $.. Unload on this game like you watched the highlights already and build your bankroll for my Monday Night 10* Money Play $$

NFL Pick: Carolina Panthers +6.5 (Jeff Alexander)
The Carolina Panthers crushed the Giants 41-9 at the end of last season, and while New York will be out for revenge, Carolina should definitely be able to keep this one within the number. You have to like Carolina catching better than 2 field goals here, as it has one of the best running games in the NFL, an attack that is capable of keeping New York’s offense off the field for big stretches. Look for Williams and Stewart to combine for a big day on the ground. The Panthers are a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 vs. the NFC, while the Giants are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. the NFC. Take the Panthers and the points.

NFL Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3 (Gregg Price)
Take the Bucs at home. Cleveland seems to be a trendy pick in week 1. We know they finished the 2nd half of 2009 very strong, but still only won 2 road games last year and 3 the year before. Josh Freeman will be better in his second year. Delhomme has become pick machine throwing 30 over the last 2 years to only 23 TD’s. T.B. is still a work in progress, but today is probably the only time they will be able to say they are tied for first if they win, cause the losses will be coming.

Get more NFL football betting predictions for our handicappers at Touthouse.com

MLB Picks: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Odds: September 12th 2010

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians
Pick: Minnesota Twins -122 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more MLB picks from Steve Merril

The Twins nipped the Indians last night in extra innings and they can take the series in Cleveland with a win on Sunday afternoon. Minnesota’s offense has deserted them a bit, but they don’t need much to defeat Cleveland. With the shutout last night, the Indians have scored just 24 runs over their last nine games. Kevin Slowey gets his fourth crack at the Tribe this season. He’s 2-0 with a no-decision in the third outing. Overall, Slowey is 5-2 with a 3.83 ERA in nine career starts against Cleveland. Shin-Soo Choo (4-21), Luis Valbuena (1-8), Trevor Crowe (0-4), Jayson Nix (0-3), Lou Marson (0-3), and Shelley Duncan (0-2) all struggle with Slowey. Cleveland is 16-31 in the daytime while hitting just .242 under the sunlight. The Twins bullpen is outstanding on the road sporting an ERA right around 3.10.

Cleveland’s Mitch Talbot may be hitting a bit of a wall. Sure, he picked up a win his last time out, but that was against light-hitting Seattle. Talbot is 3-7 with a 6.03 ERA in 14 home starts this season. He gave up 11 runs and 16 hits in his last two starts in Cleveland against the White Sox and Athletics. Talbot did defeat Minnesota back on April 22nd, but the Twins are drastically better now. They have lost just three times since August 29th as they expand their A.L. Central lead. Minnesota is 28-20 in the daytime hitting .280 as a unit. The Twins hold all the edges here and we expect them to get a solid road win this afternoon.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans Odds & Pick: September 12th 2010

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans
Pick: Houston Texans +2.5 -110 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert NFL picks from Rob Vinciletti

On Sunday the FREE play is on the Houston Texans. Game 468 at 1:00 eastern. The Texans find themselves in a game 1 Power system that plays on certain game 1 home dogs in Divisional play that are taking less than a touch down. On top of that the Colts fit a negative system that plays against Super Bowl runner ups on the road in game 1. These Super bowl losers have failed to cover in 11 of 14 games in this situation. The Texans are not the push overs they used to be. Look for the Texans to spring the upset. Dont miss the Big Sunday card that has the NFC Game of the Month from a 96% Power system or the other Opening week 95% Dominator system. We also have a solid 23-3 MLB Diamond Cutter side. Jump on and cash big. For the free play take Houston. RV – Get more NFL betting picks at Touthouse.com

San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks Pick & Odds: September 12th 2010

San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks
Pick: San Francisco 49ers -3 -110 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert NFL football picks from Ted Sevransky

Not many teams had a worse month of August than the Seattle Seahawks. Head coach Pete Carroll mercilessly purged the team of veterans — half the opening day roster didn’t play here last year. Legendary offensive line coach Alex Gibbs quit last week, leaving behind an injury riddled unit that features only three players that were on the team at the start of training camp six weeks ago.

The Seahawks didn’t find a full time feature back in August, despite putting loads of time and energy in developing their running game. QB Matt Hasselbeck looked old and tentative, a shell of the Super Bowl quarterback that he was just a few years back. This is not a team poised to win many games right now, and an opening day matchup against the 49ers looks like an extremely tough test for this last place contender.

San Fran is the real deal, a ‘hyped’ team in August for good reason. Following a decade of mediocrity, the 49ers returned to respectability in 2009, and are poised to take the next step in 2010. Mike Singletary had them ready to go out of camp last year, covering the spread by a whopping 50.5 points on their way to a 3-1 SU, 4-0 ATS start, including a road win to open the season as underdogs at Arizona. With a full year of starting experience under his belt, look for QB Alex Smith to finally show his capabilities here, leading the 49ers to a relatively comfortable victory. 2* Take San Francisco. Be sure to check out Ted Sevransky’s expert NFL football betting picks at Sportsmemo.com

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills Pick & Odds: September 12th 2010

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills
Pick: Buffalo Bills +3 -110 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert NFL football picks from Matt Fargo

Nobody is expecting much from the Bills this season. Living near Buffalo, there is a lot of negative feedback swirling around from the media to the fans and a lot of it is justified. However, this is a team that will surprise in a few spots just as it will implode in others and this looks like a good one to fit into the former. The home opener in Buffalo is sold out so the home team will have the same huge edge it normally does against Miami where the Bills are 5-0 the last five meetings (not counting 2008 in Canada).

Expectations are much higher in Miami where the Dolphins are looking to contend with the Jets and Patriots in the AFC East. While winning the division may be a stretch, being put into that class means good things are supposed to happen and with that, the value comes out on the other side. The Dolphins were favorites in Buffalo last season by the same number which was the first time they were laying chalk since 2002. Miami lost that year as well as last season to a 3-7 Bills team.

Buffalo isn’t going to beat any team in a shootout even though Trent Edwards looked much more improved in the preseason. His offensive line is a concern but that also performed well in the exhibition campaign. The Bills need to control the tempo of the game as they have a stable of backs that can all run the football effectively. Buffalo showed an impressive ground attack in the preseason, averaging 130 ypg and while preseason is not a great judge of performance, it is still a good sign for the team.

The Dolphins have a new defensive coordinator in Mike Nolan after the defense finished 22nd last season so a change was needed. This is a totally different system and I am not so sure it is going to be strong right out of the gate but the potential is definitely there. Miami will have new starters at nine positions, with end Kendall Langford and strong safety Yeremiah Bell the only certain holdovers from last year. That is a big turnover in this league and when implementing a new system, it can make things tougher.

The Dolphins offense remains pretty much intact but the addition of wide receiver Brandon Marshall can add some needed explosiveness to it. The problem is at quarterback however. Chad Henne is far from horrible as he put up a 75.2 passer rating a season ago but he threw more touchdowns than interceptions and his inconsistency is an issue. He has the potential to be above average and after a year of starting, it could happen sooner rather than later. I do not give him an edge over Edwards at this point.

The Dolphins, like Buffalo, will rely on a strong running game. The Bills goal is to stop that run and it will definitely be a challenge as they did not do a good job last season. Buffalo has to show some disguises though. If you mix up looks at a young quarterback like Henne, they can get rattled even with all of the skill players around them. The Bills could very well make Henne beat them, something he could not do last year. Get more NFL betting predictions from Matt at Touthouse.com

Buffalo is on a perfect 5-0 ATS run in their season openers so coming out strong has not been an issue. Miami meanwhile has been strong within the division and on the road in conference action but you cannot discount the fact it is 3-12-2 ATS in its last 17 games in September. As mentioned, the Dolphins have struggled here and are 1-5 ATS in the last six in Western New York and Canada while going 3-8-1 ATS the last six years overall. 3* Buffalo Bills

San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends & Prediction: September 13th 2010

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS VS. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS PREDICTIONSan Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Betting Line: San Diego is currently set as a 4.5 point favorite against Kansas City with the games over/under betting total posted at 45.5 points.

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ATS Trends
Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Chargers are 24-10-4 ATS in their last 38 vs. AFC West.
Chargers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Chiefs are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 home games.
Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September.

Over/Under Trends
Over is 8-3-2 in Chargers last 13 vs. AFC West.
Over is 5-2 in Chargers last 7 games overall.
Over is 21-9-3 in Chargers last 33 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games in September.
Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games in Week 1.
Over is 15-5-2 in Chiefs last 22 home games.
Over is 3-1-1 in Chiefs last 5 vs. AFC West.
Over is 8-3-2 in Chiefs last 13 games on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Chiefs last 7 games overall.
Over is 5-2 in Chiefs last 7 vs. AFC.

Head-to-Head Trends
No Trends Available

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New York Jets vs. Baltimore Ravens Betting Trends & Prediction: September 13th 2010

NEW YORK JETS VS. BALTIMORE RAVENS PREDICTIONNew York Jets vs. Baltimore Ravens
Betting Line: New York is currently set as a 2 point favorite against Baltimore with the games over/under betting total posted at 36.5 points.

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ATS Trends
Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Ravens are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Jets are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 1.
Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.

Over/Under Trends
Under is 5-1-1 in Ravens last 7 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games in September.
Under is 7-2-1 in Ravens last 10 vs. AFC.
Under is 3-1-1 in Ravens last 5 games overall.
Under is 9-3 in Ravens last 12 games in Week 1.
Over is 8-3 in Ravens last 11 Monday games.
Over is 5-1 in Jets last 6 Monday games.
Over is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Jets last 5 vs. AFC.

Head-to-Head Trends
Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Visit Touthouse.com each day for winning NFL football predictions and expert NFL football picks from professional football handicappers. Be sure to check out our NFL football odds page for updated line movements throught the week.