two of the MLB best square off, as the HR leading Jays try to beat the best hitting team in the Royals. Good for us that all the pitching stats point to a domination by starter Cecil for TOR. He is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two outings this month. For KC they will turn to Davies and hope he can keep the ball in the park. Only thing consistent about him is he is inconsistent. Best case for Davies is his average for the year 6 innings pitched allowing 3 runs. That will be plenty as Cecil will only allow one run over 8 before turning it over to bullpen for shutout 9th. TOR has been hot at plate and will continue as the hot summer in KC will have this ball flying out tonight.
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The Cubs are coming off a series win against the Phillies over the weekend as they took three of four including Sunday where they were able to get to Roy Halladay. They look to carry that into the series against the Astros and while letdowns in baseball are very uncommon compared to other sports, this is a situation where we have one. Houston meanwhile is coming off a series loss in Pittsburgh as the offense once again did nothing to help Roy Oswalt yesterday, scoring no runs. That actually puts the Astros in a solid underdog situation explained later. Wandy Rodriguez gets the call for Houston and he is pitching some of his best baseball of the season. He has tossed four straight quality starts and while the All-Star break has out a halt to that for now with the added time off, facing the Cubs should negate that. He has thrown four straight quality starts against Chicago as well going back to last season. This includes two straight at Wrigley Field with the latter coming earlier this season. Rodriguez has maintained a WHIP of 1.00 over those last four starts and it looks like he has ironed out some of his issues after a rough couple months. He squares off against Carlos Silva who is having one of the most surprising seasons in baseball. He is 9-3 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 17 starts. He is coming off one of his worst starts of the season in his last start before the break and it will be interesting to see how he responds. That along with the time off killed a lot of positive momentum he had built with seven straight quality starts. The situation mentioned earlier is to play on all underdogs after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, in a game involving two teams with losing records and winning percentages between .380 and .460. This situation is 29-12 (70.7 percent) since 1997. 3* Houston Astros
At 8:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Houston Astros over the Chicago Cubs. The great Carlos Silva meltdown has officially begun. Silva tried to do his best Carlos Zambrano impression in his last start of the first half when he surrendered six earned runs in just 1 1/3 innings against the Dodgers and got ejected from the game when he argued a close play at first base. The big righthander who shares the same first name with another big righthander for the team – the often-troubled head case Zambrano – was perhaps the unlikeliest success story in the N.L. over the first half of the season, but Silva – who was just 1-3 with an 8.60 ERA last season for Seattle – could be waking up from his dream now and heading back to the reality that he is a below-average starter on a bad team. His ERA rose from 2.96 to 3.45 in that last debacle and the Cubs now just 1-5 in his last six starts. Houston southpaw Wandy Rodriguez lost for the first time in four starts in his last outing of the first half (also on July 11) but he pitched very well, holding the Cardinals to just three earned runs in six innings while striking out six and walking just two. He’s already faced the Cubs at Wrigley this season back on May 18, a game which Houston won 3-2 although Rodriguez did not get the victory in that one. He certainly has a good chance to do that against Silva, who has also been nursing a sore calf. Take the Astros. As always, good luck…Al McMordie.
Below are MLB baseball picks for July 18th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball predictions on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +128 (Jimmy Boyd)
David Price continues to impress for the Tampa Bay Rays. He’s 12-4 on the season with a 2.42 ERA and 1.20 WHIP, including a 6-3 mark on the road. The Rays have been nearly as good on the road this season as the Yankees have been good at home. The Bronx Bombers are 29-14 at Yankee Stadium this year, while Tampa is 29-15 in their road games. The Rays’ also have an edge in the bullpen in this series. The Yankees’ pen has been surprisingly ineffective with a collective record of 5-5 and ERA well over 5.00 at home this season. By comparison the Rays’ pen is 6-2 with a 2.86 ERA on the road this year. The Yanks don’t hit lefties particularly well and Price has been one of the best in the AL this season.
Pick: Florida Marlins -135 (Rocky Atkinson)
Washington is 1-9 this year as a road underdog of +100 to +125. Washington is 2-13 this year on the road when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. Washington has lost 4 of their last 6 games overall. Washington is 15-29 on the road this year. Craig Stammen is 1-2 with a 6.94 ERA on the road this year and has a 7.32 ERA his last 3 starts. Alex Sanabia has a 0.00 ERA his last 3 starts. Florida is 30-13 overall against Washington the past 3 years including 17-6 at home. Stammen is 0-1 with a 6.11 ERA overall vs Florida since 1997. We’ll recommend a small play on Florida today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Pick: Boston Red Sox -151 (Jeff Alexander)
Jon Lester has been Boston’s most effective pitcher this season. He’s 11-3 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.09 WHIP, including a 6-1 record with a 2.77 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in Fenway park. The Rangers are just barely over .500 on the road, while the Sox are 30-19 in home games this year. Boston hits left-handed starters very well, averaging 6 runs per game against them, while the Rangers do not hit well on the road, averaging just 4.4 runs per game.
Pick: Los Angeles Angels -145 (Brad Diamond)
Behind RHP Santana the Angels are 6-1 versus at home. In addition, the recharging Angels show at 27-10 overall in Los Angeles against the struggling Mariners. Finally, we find the Angels at 40-18 at home in Sunday affairs. Don’t miss my Sunday BEST BET that includes the #1 pitching box on the card. Currently, my boxes are CRUSHING at 48-31 after winning last night with the Blue Jays. Good Luck!
In a battle of arguably the 2 best southpaws in the American League this has all the earmarks of an old fashion pitcher’s duel. A lot of early money has gone on the over in this game yet some of the books that I respect the most have changed the juice but won’t budge from the number. In 9 starts during the day this season the veteran Andy Pettite has been terrific in posting a sparkling 2.14 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. Pettite has seen 8 of his last 10 starts versus the Rays go under the total. The Rays youngster David Price has seen 5 of his 7 starts during the day go under the total this season with much being attributed to his stellar 2.47 ERA. In spite of all the meetings between these 2 clubs going over the total this one will break the trend today. Play on this game to go under the total as my free selection of the day.
At 8:05 pm (time change), our complimentary selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies over the Chicago Cubs. Roy Halladay gets the call for Charlie Manuel’s Phillies tonight, and there’s very little one can find fault with when one looks at his 2010 campaign. He’s “only” 10-7 this year, but that has much more to do with a lack of run support than with his performance. Indeed, his 2.19 ERA and 1.05 WHIP place him among baseball’s best this season. And certainly, such stats would predict a better record than 10-7. And, over his last three outings, Halladay’s numbers improve to 1.73 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Granted, Halladay has never defeated Chicago in his career. But he’s had just two starts (going 0-2), and his ERA vs. the Cubbies is still a very respectable 3.00, with a WHIP of 1.25. He’ll match-up with Tom Gorzelanny tonight, and Gorzelanny has also pitched very well this year (3.16 ERA; 1.40 WHIP). But at home, in hitter-friendly Wrigley Field, Gorzelanny has a 4.50 ERA with a less-than-impressive 1.56 WHIP. Yesterday, Philadelphia erupted for four runs in the 9th inning to overtake Chicago with a 4-1 victory. And I often look to go against teams in their next game after blowing a 9th inning lead. The Cubbies are a poor 26-35 vs. righties this season. Take Philadelphia. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.
On Saturday the free play is on the Minnesota Twins. Game 926 at 7:10 eastern. Minnesota snapped the 9 game Chicago win streak last night. Teams off a loss coming off a big win streak tend to lose focus and struggle in the next game. I also have a nice system here that plays on the Twins. What we want to do is play on certain home favorites off a home win,if they scored 5 or more runs and left 10 or more men on base vs an opponent off a road dog loss and scored 4 or less runs with 5 or more men left on base. This system cashes around 74% of the time. Twins starter C. Pavano has pitched well vs the Sox allowing just 4 runs in 23 innings over his last three starts vs them. With Minnesota having won 17 of the past 22 games at home vs Chicago we will back them here tonight as the free play. For looking for the MLB Dog of the month or the Non division Dominator system play. Both go at night. MLB on a 16-3 run off the Friday sweep. RV
The Houston Astros have struggled on the road and when Bud Norris takes the mound, they have been outscored by over 2 runs a game in all of his starts, posting just two wins in his eight starts for the season. Ross Olendorf has just one win on the season, but the numbers are deceptive as he has pitched to a fairly decent 4.22 ERA – certainly more deserving of a single win. The Pirates are scoring 2 runs per game in his 13 starts, and sooner or later those numbers even out. The Astros sport just a 21-53 mark in their last 74 posted as a road dog, and just 16-44 on the road vs. a right-hand pitcher. I’ll go with Pittsburgh in this one.
Below are MLB baseball picks for July 17th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball predictions on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.
Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -164 (Jimmy Boyd)
Adam Wainwright has been literally unbeatable at home this season. In 9 starts in St. Louis he is 9-0 with a 1.43 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. He’s also 3-0 over his last 3 starts, posting a 0.39 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in those appearances. The Dodgers’ Hiroki Kuroda is 4-4 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.41 WHIP on the road this season. Over his last 3 appearances he’s 1-2 with a 9.00 ERA amd 1.86 WHIP. The Cardinals are 29-15 at home this season and Wainwright has been unstoppable for them at Busch.
Pick: Texas Rangers -140 (Tom Freese)
Texas starter Cliff Lee has won 4 of his last 5 starts. The Rangers are 11-2 their last 13 road games. Texas is 7-2 their last their last 9 road games vs. righty starters and they are 18-8 vs. a starter with a WHIP of over 1.30. Boston starter John Lackey has lost his last 2 starts allowing 11 runs in 12 innings of work. The Red Sox are 2-7 their last 9 games overall and they are 1-4 their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15. Boston is 0-6 their 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. PLAY ON TEXAS (Lee vs. Lackey)
Pick: San Francisco Giants -149 (Rocky Atkinson)
Two fairly evenly matched teams here this year with the NY Mets coming in with a record of 48-42 on the season and San Francisco comes in at 49-41 this year. NY Mets are 1-5 this year on the road when the total is 7 or less. San Francisco is 36-14 last 3 years as a home favorite of -125 to -150. NY Mets have lost 5 of their last 6 games overall. San Francisco has won 8 of their last 9 games overall. NY Mets bullpen has a 5.29 ERA on the road this year. San Francisco bullpen has a 3.16 ERA overall this year and a 1.95 ERA at home on the season. Hisanori Takahashi has a 9.20 ERA his last 3 starts. Matt Cain has a 3.34 ERA overall this year and a 2.63 ERA at home on the season. We’ll recommend a small play on San Francisco tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Pick: Atlanta Braves -1.5 +113 (Jeff Alexander)
The Braves didn’t look good last night, but that’s a rarity for them at home. They should right the ship on Saturday with Tim Hudson on the mound who is 9-4 with a 2.30 ERA and 1.13 WHIP this year, including a 5-2 record, 1.85 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in Atlanta. The Brewers have rarely played well on the road this season and their starter, Chris Narveson is 1-2 with a 7.16 ERA and 1.41 WHIP over his last 3 starts.
I have to give the edge to the A’s and All-Star starter Trevor Cahill in this game vs. Kansas City. Oakland still believes they can win the AL West with a strong finish. “For the second half, we should be better and healthier,” manager Bob Geren told the A’s official website. “We’ll be right in there fighting every step of the way.” Oakland is 8-2 in their last 10 road games. Cahill is 9-3 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.031 WHIP in 15 starts this season. Cahill is 2-0 with a 4.09 ERA in two career starts vs. Kansas City.
The Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games, getting outscored 9-33 in the process. This has been a one-sided series, with Oakland going 31-10 in their last 41 meetings in Kansas City. Cahill is 16-3 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. The A’s are 7-0 in Cahill’s last 7 starts as a favorite and 7-0 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Roll with Oakland Saturday.