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MLB Baseball Picks for April 25th 2011: Take The Value With The Rockies Against The Cubs

MLB Baseball Picks: April 25th 2011
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Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +135
On Monday the Free MLB Dog system Play is on Arizona. Game 958 at 9:40 eastern. The Phillies apply to a road favorite system that is 14-26. What we want to do is play against road favorites off a road favored win vs an opponent off a road dog loss. If that road team scored 4 r less runs in their win they are just 2-9. The Philles come in off a sweep at San Diego while Arizona was swept by the Mets. The Phillies have C. Lee on the Mound so the Line will go up not down here. Lee has not pitched here and has a 4.38 road era so far this season. Arizona has I. Kennedy on the Mound tonight and he was solid here vs Philly vs last year allowing just 2 runs in 8 innings. Arizona has ben good so far when taking on winning teams with 6 wins in 8 tries. They have hit left handers well to averaging over 5 run s per game against them. The Philles despite their recent wins have struggled at the plate hitting under .200 the past week. Look for Arizona to surprise Philadelphia and take game one of the series. On Monday a solid 4 game pack which features 3 major sports is led by a big 6* Rare totals system that has never lost and averages 13.2 runs per game. The NBA has 2 plays the lead one a Triple System Side play. Jump onand start the week big. I will also have another solid free Play on the weekly sports radio talk show at 8:05 eastern. Listen online at 88.9 wsia.fm. For the free MLB play tonight take Arizona. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: Colorado Rockies +120
The Rockies are showing good value against the Cubs on Monday. Colorado is by far the better team in this matchup, and we really like the pitching matchup in this one. Rockies starter Esmil Rogers is 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA on the road this season, while Cubs starter Matt Garza is 0-2 with a 4.74 ERA in four starts. Garza did pitch well in his last start against the Padres, allowing no runs in six innings of work, but is just 3-15 against the money line after giving up no earned runs last outing since 1997. Play on road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 who are a cold hitting team – batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing. It’s 33-12 over the last 5 seasons. -Info Plays

Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers Pick & Odds: NBA Playoffs Picks for April 24th 2011

Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Pick: Philadelphia 76ers +6.5 -110 odds – April 24th 2011
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I’m going with the Philadelphia 76ers in Game 4 tonight. Miami already feels like they’ve won this series after taking a 3-0 lead. The 76ers easily could have won two of those games, but Miami did a good job down the stretch to earn the victories. Knowing this Philly team, they are not just going to quit and have their season be over. This is a feisty bunch that will scrap tonight to try to avoid getting swept.

The Sixers are a young team with little playoff experience. They haven’t been intimated by Miami’s superstars, and Doug Collins isn’t going to let them go down without a fight. “That’s the good thing about having a young group,” Andre Iguodala said. “They just have that natural energy. And they’re just too goofy to know the situation, so they’re always excited to play the game. It kind of rubs off on everyone. They’re always wanting to play another game.” The 76ers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog. The Heat are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 2 days rest. Take the 76ers Sunday.

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Los Angeles Lakers vs. New Orleans Hornets Pick & Odds: NBA Playoffs Picks for April 24th 2011

Los Angeles Lakers vs. New Orleans Hornets
Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -5.5 -110 odds – April 24th 2011
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Los Angeles truly showed their talent in their Game 3, 100-86 victory over New Orleans. The Laker’s had 4 players in DD’s the win, as Kobe Bryant led the way with 30 points. They out-rebounded the Hornet’s in all 3 Playoff games, 128-107. Bynum and Odom have owned the glass. Forward Pau Gasol got out of his funk with 17 points, 10 rebounds, and 4 assists. L.A. has the luxury of not just having great starters, but they also have Artest, Brown, and Fisher to rotate off the bench. David West carried New Orleans for most of the season. But since his injury, the team is just 13-13. The Hornet’s come into this game losing 5 of their L6 SU, going 0-2 ATS their L2 at home. The road team is 16-5 ATS their L21 meetings. The Laker’s are 5-1 ATS their L6 at the Hornet’s and 9-3 ATS their L12 games played on the road. The Hornet’s are 2-6-1 ATS their L9 games played on 2 days rest and 2-5 ATS their L7 as a home ‘dog. Take Los Angeles. Thank you.

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MLB Baseball Picks for April 23rd 2011: Bet The Rockies and Phillies As Small Favorites On Saturday

MLB Baseball Picks: April 23rd 2011
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Pick: Colorado Rockies -108
Colorado’s bats were shockingly silent in Friday’s loss at Florida. Rest assured, the Rockies will bring their sticks on Saturday night. Right-hander Javier Vazquez gets the call for the Marlins this evening and he’s struggled a touch on the mound. Against the Mets, Astros and Phillies, No. 23 was slapped around for 14 earned runs 19 hits in only 13.1 innings of work. That’s bad enough for a 1-1 record and a woeful 7.42 ERA. Colorado will counter with Greenville, South Carolina product Jason Hammel. With three starts against the Dodgers, Mets and Cubs in the bank, Hammel has pitched well allowing nine earned runs and 19 hits through 17.0 frames. That adds up to a 1-1 record and a respectable 4.76 ERA. As chalk with Jason on the bump, the Rockies have cashed nine of their last 11. Technically speaking, this is a great spot for the visiting team. Colorado has nailed seven of its last 10 against a right-handed starter, six of its last seven on foreign soil and nine of their last 13 as a favorite. In comparison, Florida has dropped 37 of its last 54 as a pup inside the friendly confines of Sun Life Stadium. Marlins hurler Vazquez has been a weak link in Florida’s rotation. Matched up against a Rockies lineup that is hungry for hits after yesterday’s dismal performance, Javier will struggle again. Take Colorado with listed pitcher Hammel. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -109
A big difference in offense with these teams. The Phillies have power and speed, 10th in baseball in runs scored, 5th in batting average. This is a big park in San Diego, which will help starter Joe Blanton, who gives up hits but doesn’t walk anyone, which is a huge edge in this park. Last place San Diego has a terrible offense, 29th in runs scored and a paltry .217 batting average. The Phillies have mauled Tim Stauffer, who has a 16.39 ERA giving up 32 base runners in 9 innings against them. Play the Phillies. -Jim Feist

MLB Betting Predictions for April 22nd 2011: Friday’s MLB Picks Features The Cardinals And Indians

MLB Betting Predictions: April 22nd 2011
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Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals -130
Cardinals RH Kyle McClellan (2-0, 1.89 ERA) vs. Reds RH Edinson Volquez (2-0, 6.75 ERA). McClellan’s transition to the starting rotation could not be going any better for St. Louis, which was scrambling to fill the hole left by Adam Wainwright’s injury in spring training. McClellan has yet to allow more than two runs in an outing and is coming off a one run, seven-inning win at the Los Angeles Dodgers last Saturday. The 26-year-old has made 19 career relief appearances against the Reds, posting a 2.95 ERA in 18 1/3 total innings. Volquez can’t seem to get out of his own way at the start of games, allowing 13 of his 17 earned runs this season in the first inning. The Dominican righthander can trace his problems back to a lack of command that has caused him to issue 16 walks in 22 2/3 total innings. Volquez is 1-1 with a 4.98 ERA in four starts against the Cardinals and has had particular trouble with Pujols, surrendering two home runs and five RBIs in seven at-bats. TAKE ST LOUIS MINUS -Bob Wingerter

Prediction: Cleveland Indians +108
I’ll take the Cleveland Indians Friday against the short-handed Minnesota Twins. Cleveland (13-6) is off to its best 19-game start since opening 14-5 in 1999. Fausto Carmona has been nearly untouchable in his last three starts, going 1-1 with a 1.25 ERA. He should continue to dominate against a Minnesota Twins team that has scored an MLB-low 57 runs this season. Joe Mauer (leg weakness) is on the disabled list and Justin Morneau (flu) and Delmon Young (ribs) are both questionable for the series opener. The Indians have scored an AL-best 99 runs this season. Cleveland is hitting .269 and scoring 5.2 RPG this season. The Indians own a 5-2 record against left-handed starts, hitting .327 and scoring 6.9 RPG. Minnesota is hitting .233 and scoring 3.0 RPG, including .227 and 2.9 RPG against right-handed starters. In his last two starts against Minnesota, Carmona has only allowed 2 earned runs and 12 base runners in 14 2/3 innings for a 1.23 ERA and 0.818 WHIP. Bet the Indians Friday. -Jack Jones

MLB Baseball Betting Predictions for April 21st 2011: Wager On Oakland And Tampa Bay

MLB Baseball Betting Predictions: April 21st 2011
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Prediction: Oakland Athletics +130
The Oakland A’s are showing great value Thursday as an underdog to the Seattle Mariners. Once again, AL Cy Young winner Felix Hernandez is getting too much respect from odds makers tonight. Not only is Hernandez off to a slow start this season, he’s also not getting any run support as usual. Hernandez is 1-2 with a 4.33 ERA and 1.333 WHIP in four starts this season. The Mariners are hitting .226 and scoring 3.7 RPG this year. Just as Hernandez is overvalued, Oakland starter Brandon McCarthy is not getting his due respect from odds makers and is clearly undervalued in this match-up. McCarthy is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.136 WHIP in three starts this season. He has given up only 6 runs, 23 hits and 2 walks in 22 innings in 2010. The A’s are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog. Oakland is 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Mariners are 1-7 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Bet Oakland Thursday. -Jack Jones

Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays -105
Can’t help it I backed Jeff Niemann last time out and I continue to praise him as he was a money maker for me last year early in the season and I still think he can show a little of that still despite his slow start. He backed it up in his last start going 7 innings giving up 3 ER for the win. He seemed to have more control than his previous starts and this is also a revenge start for him as he lasted just 2.2 innings vs. the White Sox earlier in the season, but that’s where play comes in. White Sox have really struggled scoring just 6 runs in their last 5 games and the Rays have just been on fire. They have won 8 of 9 and have been a great home team the last two years and I expect nothing less of them once again as the White Sox struggles continue. The White Sox are just 8-23 in Gavin Floyd’s last 31 road starts and the Rays are 11-3 in their last 14 with Niemann on 4 days rest. Rays are the dog because of Floyd’s success against the Rays, but given how hot their bats are right now and just how cold the Sox are and the improvements I saw from Niemann in his last start. -Freddy Wills

MLB Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Florida Marlins Odds: April 21st 2011

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Florida Marlins
MLB Pick: Florida Marlins -130 odds (April 21st 2011)
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Florida has taken the first two games of this series with the Pirates by identical 6-0 scores and it looks for the series sweep tonight. The Marlins are 10-6 and trail the Phillies by just a half-game in the National League East so they are playing very well and not letting Philadelphia run away with things. The Marlins have won five of their last six games and this is a great opportunity to keep the run going as they have two more home series on deck. The Marlins are 8-3 in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing record.

The Pirates have played exceptional on the road this season, this is prior to this series. They came into Florida with a 7-3 record on the road but they have dropped the last two games while not scoring a single run. Pittsburgh is now hitting just .229 on the season and its 3.6 rpg is tied for 25th in baseball. Last night’s loss was the eighth in the last nine meetings against the Marlins and momentum is not on its side as Pittsburgh is a dreadful 17-50 in its last 67 games after losing the first two games of a series.

Chris Volstad was good in his first start this season as he allowed one run in five innings against the Nationals at home. He was roughed up next time out by the Braves as he gave up five runs in 4.2 innings on the road but we should see a bounceback tonight. He was a much better pitcher at home than on the road last season, posting a 3.57 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 15 home starts compared to a 5.73 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 15 road starts. It worked that way against the Pirates last year as he tossed a quality outing at home.

The Pirates counter with James McDonald who has progressively gotten worse as the season moves along. He allowed two runs in his first start but then gave up five runs in his second and then six runs in his last outing. He pitched very well last season in 11 starts with Pittsburgh after being sent over by the Dodgers but this year he has an ugly 7.47 and 9:9 K:BB ratio in 15.2 innings. His velocity is way down so there is a concern and until it is found, he is a good fade. 3* (960) Florida Marlins

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NBA Playoffs Picks: 76ers vs. Heat Pick & Point Spread: April 21st 2011

76ERS VS. HEAT PICK POINT SPREAD APRIL 21ST 2011PHILADELPHIA 76ERS VS. MIAMI HEAT
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Scott Spreitzer releases his first ULTIMATE BLOCKBUSTER of the NBA playoffs. Scott went 5-1, 83% winners with his CBB TOURNEY BLOCKBUSTERS and now rocks the books on the pro hardwood. Tonight’s comes with 12-3 & 9-2 ATS situations. Grab the NBA Playoff BLOCKBUSTER, kick the books sideways!

NBA Betting Trends:
76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
76ers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5.
76ers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.
76ers are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game.
76ers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Heat are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games.
Heat are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 2 days rest.
Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5.

Head-To-Head Betting Trends:
Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Home team is 18-8 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
Heat are 3-11 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Philadelphia.
NBA Basketball Picks

NBA Playoffs Betting Predictions for April 21st 2011: The Miami Heat Look Like A Solid Bet

NBA Playoffs Betting Predictions: April 21st 2011
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Prediction: Miami Heat -4.5
Cheap number for a team who just posted a 21 point win. Philly has NO answer for the big 3 in this series, and quite frankly this line should be 9 or more tonight. Not drinking the koolaid and Philly here, Miami is better and Philly is just 1-7 their last 8 games SU and ATS. Oddsmakers need to get real this is a weak line. The Heat are second best in the NBA is field goal percentage shot and defended and looked impressive holding the 76ers to just 73 total points in the last game. Miami is better by far, lay it. -Tony George

Prediction: Bulls vs. Pacers over 189
Pacers have played very well in both games but have missed some key shots at end of the game to keep them from pulling upsets. Tonight the Pacers will be much better offensively and push this one way over. The Bulls defense is not super athletic after Rose and they really struggle to cover all the young perimeter players of the Pacers. Pacers and Bulls will live at the foul line as neither guards the ball without fouling. We see a much more up and down game tonight as this one goes way over this number. -Craig Trapp

MLB Baseball Predictions for April 20th 2011: Bet The Giants And The Reds On Wednesday

MLB Baseball Predictions: April 20th 2011
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Prediction: San Francisco Giants +112
Matt Cain is today’s hot starter and if you have to ask why you have not been paying attention. Today’s match up will be a good one as we have Jorge De La Rosa who has been great as well especially vs. the Giants where he is 6-1 with a 2.26 ERA in his last 9 where the Rockies have gone 8-1. For some reason though the Giants have the Rockies number right now and I’m staying with the hot pitcher and the hot team at the moment. Cain really is consistent during day or night starts as his stats are identical over the last three years so that’s not a concern at Coors Field during a day start today. He dominated the Rockies a year ago going 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA and in his last 4 trips to Coors Field he has posted a 1.86 ERA in 3 victories for the Giants. He’s been on fire since last years playoffs and he’s posting a 1.42 ERA and 0.95 WHIP already this year. You can’t pass up the opportunity with him as an under dog in my opinion. Rockies hitters are an inconsistent bunch at times and with 191 at bats vs. Cain they have just a .199 average so I’m confident the Giants stay in this one despite De La Rosa’s success. Jorge does not like to pitch at home as his stats are better on the road. -Freddy Wills

Prediction: Cincinnati Reds -152
Motivated by 3 straight defeats, expect the reigning NL Central champs to mean business when they take the field Wednesday evening. The Reds, which have won 5 straight Game 2’s, are in good hands with Arroyo. The right-hander has won his last three starts against the D-backs, including a brilliant 6-inning performance in a 6-1 win at Arizona earlier this month. The Reds are 5-1 in Arroyo’s last 6 starts vs. the Diamondbacks and 25-10 in his last 35 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Diamondbacks, which are 1-6 in their last 7 Game 2’s, are a poor 19-47 in their last 66 road games. It is also worth noting that Cincy is 17-3 in its last 20 home games after a loss by 2 runs or less. The Reds are winning by an average score of 5.6 to 3.7 in this situation. Bet the Reds.