Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels
Pick: Los Angeles Angels -153 MLB Line
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This is a tough scheduling spot for Colorado. Last night, the Rockies played a wild game vs. the Red Sox, one which saw 14 pitchers used and which took 4 hours and 48 minutes. The game was an emotional one, which saw several lead changes. The Rockies erased a deficit in the bottom of the 9th inning, rallying off Papplebon for the second consecutive day. The Rockies very nearly won it in the bottom of the 9th, too. They came up short in the end though, eventually losing in the 10th. That type of loss can be emotionally draining.
Boston’s Dustin Pedroia was quoted as saying: “That was a crazy game. It was mentally draining. I’m just happy we won.”
Having lost that “mentally draining” marathon, the Rockies figure to be rather “tired” here. That won’t make things any easier against LA’s Jered Weaver.
Weaver is 7-3 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.109 WHIP through 15 starts. That includes an outstanding 1.85 ERA (1.077 WHIP) in his six home starts. In 94 2/3 innings this season, he’s recorded an impressive 107 K’s with just 23 walks.
Even with a loss yesterday, the Angels are still a profitable 33-18 (+13.1) in Interleague play, the past few seasons. That includes a 2-1 mark vs. the Rockies. With Weaver on the mound (and catching Colorado off last night’s tough loss) the Angels have a great shot at improving on those stats here. Consider LA
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles
Prediction: Under 9 Runs -110 odds
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The Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles open a three-game interleague series on Friday night. This series has gone under in four of the last five meetings overall and five of seven in Baltimore. The Nationals are 10-0 Under after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games this season, 11-1 Under after 5 or more consecutive home games this season and 7-0 Under after 6 or more consecutive home games this season. Washington has gone 6-0 Under in their last six interleague contests, 5-0 Under in interleague games facing a right-handed starter and 19-7-1 Under when playing Game 1 of a series. Baltimore has gone 40-28 Under overall this season, 31-17 Under playing under the lights, 12-5-1 Under their last 19 when playing in Game 1 of a series and 6-2 Under their last eight home games versus a team that has a road win percentage of .400 or less on the season. These teams have seen ten of their last fifteen meetings fall below the posted total and we believe this game will follow that trend.
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets
Picks: Under 8.5 Runs -110 MLB odds
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On Friday the MLB Free totals play is on the under in the Twins at Mets game. Rotation numbers 959/960 at 7:10 eastern. What we want to do in this game is play the under when we have a home team like the Mets off a home favored loss with a total of 8 or less vs an opponent that is off a road dog loss by 5 or more runs. This system has cashed 6 of the last 7 times over the past few years. The Twins have gone under in 5 of 7 games as a road dog in this range. The Mets have gone under in 8 of 10 Friday games. Both teams have solid bullpens. The Twins at 3.23 on the road and the Mets at 2.15 at home. The Mets M. Pelfrey has been solid this year at home with a 1.87 era. Look for this one to go under the total. On Friday we look to improve on our 4-0 record the past 2 nights with a 5* MLB Diamond Cutter Blowout system Game of the month. We cashed our Big dog on the Blue Jays last night. Jump on and Cash big For the free MLB Totals play take the Under in the Twins at Mets game. RV
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Free Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -110 odds
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Joe Torre will take on his former team as the Dodgers host the Yankees on Friday night. Vicente Padilla gets the start for the Dodgers. He’s 1-1 with a 7.00 ERA in five starts this season. The righty gave up four runs and five hits in 5.3 innings of work to the Red Sox in Boston. Last year, Padilla gave up seven runs and seven hits in 3.7 innings pitched to the Yankees. Robinson Cano (4-11), Derek Jeter (4-10), Jorge Posada (1-3), and Brett Gardner (1-1) hit the righty the best. New York has scored 28 runs over their last five games with their last three games going Over the total. The Yankees are hitting .289 against right-handed pitching going Over in 26 of their 46 games against them.
New York’s CC Sabathia is 3-3 with a 4.73 ERA on the road this season. Sabathia has struggled against Los Angeles hitters as they are hitting .337 against him. Garret Anderson (9-34), Manny Ramirez (12-21), Russell Martin (1-3), James Loney (1-3), Matt Kemp (1-3), and Jamey Carroll (1-2) have had past success against the burly left hander. The Dodgers have gone Over in 22 of their 36 home games, and since both offenses are in good current form, we expect a high-scoring game between these two tonight and recommend a play on the Over.
Brazil vs. Portugal
World Cup Prediction: Portugal
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As usual, Brazil has a very strong squad. They’re always among the favorites to win the World Cup and this year is no exception. However, such lofty expectations also often bring inflated odds. Here, we can get a talented Portugal team at +0.5 goal, in a game that Brazil doesn’t really need to even win.
Regardless of the situation, Brazil always wants to win. Also, being a former colony of Portugal, beating the Portuguese is always extra enjoyable. That said, they’ve already qualified for the next round and that may cause a slight letdown here.
They know that a draw is all they really need to ensure first place in their group. Kaka was quoted as saying: “This final group game is important for us to finish first. A draw would also be good…”
Portugal is coming off an impressive 7-0 victory over North Korea, a team Brazil only beat 2-1. That gives the Portuguese a ton of confidence here. I expect them to build positive momentum from that victory and look for them to give their South American cousins all they can handle. Getting an extra +0.5 goal, in a game that could easily finish in a draw, I feel that the underdog is well worth a look. Consider Portugal at +0.5 goal.
Below are MLB baseball picks for June 24th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball predictions on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.
Pick: Cleveland Indians +146 (Brad Diamond)
Talk about a hurler that continues to regress! Kentucky Joe Blanton (2-5, 6.96) of Philadelphia pitched decently in his Minnesota outing last week. However, the Phillies have won just 2 of his 9 starts in 2010. Overall, at home this season Blanton has thrown a bulging 5.28 ERA to the opposition. When you see the Phillies 0-4 mark with Blanton in this price, it makes you wonder, can this club convert against this lesser foe? Remember, RHP Carmona is an ex-Phillies farmhand, who would love nothing better than to shutdown the Bank Boys! Finally, the Phillies show at 20-41 in Interleague games versus right-handed hurlers, so I will back the Indians here. On Thursday, don’t miss key pitching box selection that is hitting a super 41-26 on the season. Good Luck.
Pick: San Francisco Giants -1.5 +103 (Rocky Atkinson)
San Francisco is now 39-31 overall this year while Houston comes in with a 27-45 overall record this season. Houston is 2-12 the past 3 years and 1-8 this year when the total is 7 or less. Houston is 1-9 this year as a home underdog of +125 to +150. Houston has lost 9 of their last 11 games overall. San Francisco bullpen has a 3.50 ERA overall this year. Houston is scoring only 3.4 runs per game overall, 3.5 runs per game at home and 3.2 runs per game against right handed starters this year. Matt Cain is 6-5 with a 2.16 ERA overall this year, 2.15 ERA on the road this year and 2-1 with a 1.52 ERA his last 3 starts. Wandy Rodriguez is 3-10 with a 6.09 ERA overall this year, 2-4 with a 5.52 ERA at home and 0-3 with a 10.20 ERA his last 3 starts. San Francisco is 7-1 overall vs Houston this year. Rodriguez is 0-2 with an 8.38 ERA overall vs San Francisco since 1997. We’ll recommend a small play on San Francisco on the Runline today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Pick: New York Mets -122 (Jimmy Boyd)
The Mets have an excellent opportunity to earn the series sweep over Detroit this evening with Takahashi on the hill. He is 2-0 (3-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.95 over his last 3 starts. Teams have had all sorts of problems with him in interleague play, where he has gone 2-0 with an ERA of 0.47. Galarraga has pitched well for the Tigers this season, but he hasn’t inspired much confidence on the road (6.51) or in interleague play (5.94 ERA). In fact, the Tigers are 5-11 in Galarraga’s last 16 road starts and 2-10 in his last 12 starts as a road underdog. The Mets have been strong at home all season, going 26-10, and beating Detroit is nothing new as they have won 6 of the last 8 meetings and each of the last 5 meetings at home. Look for Detroit’s struggles on the road and against the Mets to continue here.
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies
Free Pick: Boston Red Sox +106 odds
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The Boston Red Sox and Colorado Rockies take the field for the third and final game of their interleague series on Thursday night. At the time of this writing, we do not know the outcome of Wednesday’s matchup so the series could be all even or the Rockies may hold a 2-0 series lead. Both squads will send right-handers to the bump on Thursday night with Daisuke Matsuzaka going for the Red Sox and Jason Hammel taking the hill for the Rockies. Boston is 60-16 in their last 76 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter, 32-14 in their last 46 interleague road games, 20-8 in their last 28 interleague road games versus a team with a winning record and a perfect 5-0 overall as a road underdog. The Red Sox are 41-17 in Matsuzaka’s last 58 starts, 19-7 in his last 26 road starts and 16-6 his last 22 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. A check of the database reveals a MLB system that tells us to Play AGAINST National League home favorites of -110 or more during the month of June with a starter whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the year. Playing against these home favorites has been profitable over the last five seasons with more than fifty-one units won and a record of 60%. Our TPR Index projects a Red Sox victory by 1.3 runs over the Rockies in tonight’s contest. We will back the small puppy here as Boston takes Game 3 of this series.
PROJECTED FORECAST: 2* Boston Red Sox 4 Colorado Rockies 3
Baltimore Orioles vs. Florida Marlins
Pick: Florida Marlins -107 MLB line
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I find the Marlins at another great price Thursday against the worst team in baseball. Somehow, some way the Orioles continue to get too much respect from the odds makers despite their 19-52 record on the season. It’s also hard to believe that we are getting the Marlins at nearly even money tonight considering Florida has the clear edge on the mound. Nate Robertson has not been spectacular, but at 5-5 with a 4.44 ERA he has been better than Kevin Millwood.
Millwood is washed up, and it’s finally starting to show this season. The righty has gone 1-8 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.490 WHIP in 15 starts this year. Millwood is 1-3 with an 8.74 ERA over his last 4 starts, allowing 6 or more earned runs in three of them. Millwood is also just 6-9 with a 5.47 ERA in 23 career starts vs. Florida. The Orioles are hitting .249 and scoring 3.3 RPG this season. If you thought it couldn’t get any worse, it actually does against left-handed starters. Baltimore is 6-19 vs. lefty starters this season, hitting .238 and scoring 3.0 RPG. Florida is 5-1 in their last 6 road games and 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Baltimore. Finally, the Marlins are 11-1 in their last 12 meetings with the Orioles overall. I’m not about to pass up Florida at this price Thursday. Take the Marlins.
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets
Pick: Over 8 Runs -110 MLB odds
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On Thursday the free play is on the over in the Tigers at Mets game. Rotation numbers 917/918 at 7:10 eastern. Both teams have hit well over the past week. The Mets are averaging 6 runs per game on .302 hitting vs AL teams, while the Tigers are also scoring over 6 runs per game and hitting over .300 vs NL teams. Detroit has hit lefty pitching better than right handed pitching this year. In fact they are averaging 5 runs per game when they take on leftys. When they are installed as a road dog in this range they have flown over 8 of 11 times. They should be able to put up some runs against Mets lefty Takahashi. For Detroit Righty Galarraga makes the start tonight. He has struggled in road games this year and has an elevated 6.51 road era. Look for both teams to put up some runs here tonight. On Thursday we are coming off a solid 2-0 night sweeping the board with the Cardinals and the Mets. Tonight I have a Triple system Interleague Dog of the month. I also have a 100% cutting edge MLB Totals system that averages 12.5 runs per game. For the free play tonight take the over in the Tigers at Mets game. RV
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
Prediction: Chicago White Sox -105 betting line
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We have won with the White Sox the last two nights and we will ride them Thursday for the series sweep against the Braves. Atlanta was playing some of the best baseball in the Majors but the road play is still in question as it is three games under .500 on the season away from home. Chicago is just a game under .500 at home which is certainly nothing to get excited about but the overall winning streak is most important right now. Chicago has won eight straight games and it 12-1 in its last 13 contests to turn what was looking like a lost season back into a contending one. The White Sox now trail Minnesota by just three and a half games in the American League Central after being 11.5 games back the night that Armando Galarraga tossed the ‘perfect game’ against them. One of the reasons for the recent turnaround has been starting pitching and Gavin Floyd is on that list. His overall numbers are average still but he has tossed five quality outings in his last six starts while posting a 3.08 ERA over that span and it is that high only because of one bad game. He has allowed only one earned run in each of his last three starts. He goes up against Derek Lowe who has also turned his season around with a good run but he is still capable of tossing a dud which he did yet against three starts back. He has tossed two straight quality outings since then however he has not put three back-to-back yet this season and has not accomplished that since August of last season. The White Sox fall into a solid situation as well. Play on American League home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher that are hitting .265 or worse and starting a pitcher that strikes out five or more hitters per start going up against a team with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better on the season. This situation is 99-33 (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 3* Chicago White Sox