NBA Picks: February 6th 2011
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Pick: Magic vs. Celtics Over 192.5
Sunday at 2:30PM ET the Magic take on the Celtics in Boston in Sunday’s nationally televised contest. The Magic are averaging 100.5 PPG, the Celtics are averaging 98.8 PPG. Over is 9-1 in BOS last 10 home games. Last game out for Orlando they beat hapless Washington 110-92 on Friday. Dwight Howard had 22 points and 15 rebounds and Ryan Anderson scored 19 points while filling in for injured starter Brandon Bass. Boston lost to the Dallas Mavericks 101-97 on Friday for its second loss in four games. Not to worried about who wins this game tomorrow, we just want to see lots of points, and I’m expecting a higher scoring game. Something similar to their last game when Boston defeated the Magic 109-106 on Jan. 17. Some trends I like for this one. Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 5-0 in Magic last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 4-0 in Magic last 4 games following a S.U. win. Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games following a S.U. loss. -Ray Monohan
Pick: Miami Heat -11.5
Even though the Clippers are playing well, Miami will be out for revenge after Los Angeles beat them to end their road winning streak earlier this season. Los Angeles is just 1-9 ATS in road games after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons. The average score in those 10 games was Clippers 89.4, Opponent 103.6. Miami is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. -Steve Janus
Pick: Indiana Pacers -1
Indiana is scoring 107 ppg in their last three, while the Nets have only scored 96.3 ppg in their last three. The Nets are 3- 15 against the top ten teams in DEFG% losing by an average margin of 10.2 ppg. Indiana has a huge 3 point advantage in this game as they average 8.1 threes per game, and 36.2% from beyond the arc while the Nets give up the exact same percentage defensively. The Nets only shoot 5.1 threes per game and shoot 34.9% from three and are unlikely to capitalize on the Pacer’s weakness defending the three (37.9%). I like the individual match ups in this game as well as the Pacer’s Granger can get it done inside and out and Roy Hibbert has the size and offensive Game to make Lopez work on both ends. I also like the depth at guard for the Pacers in this game as Jordan Farmar may not play and will likely be limited. The Pacers crushed the Nets in their last meeting by 32 points and have won their last three while the Nets have lost four of five. In what is essentially a pick ‘em game I love the Pacers with this line. 6-1 against the NBA this weekend 5-1 sides and 1-0 Total. Check out my premium picks for Sunday in the NBA and my Super Bowl Side. -Patrick Webb
College Basketball Picks: February 6th 2011
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Pick: North Carolina -7
North Carolina is cooking right now off four consecutive wins and covers over Clemson, Miami, NC State and Boston College and the Tar Heels won’t even think about easing up here. Florida State knocked UNC out of the ACC Tournament two years ago and handed the Tar Heels another 77-67 loss on this very same floor as a two-point underdog last season. The Seminoles have struggled on foreign courts going into momentum and this appears to be the ideal spot to fade Florida State too. As a guest battling an opponent that checks in off a blowout win of 10 points or more, FSU is a soft 27-44-2 ATS including 13-27-2 ATS in this role running with four or more days rest. Please note: That last tightener is on a dismal 7-19-2 ATS run. Historically, UNC has been tough to beat when it’s playing well. According to my college basketball database, the Tar Heels are a profitable 34-20 ATS at home with momentum coming off two or more SU and ATS wins including 30-12 ATS in this role sporting a won/loss percentage less than .930. Florida State steamrolled Wake Forest 85-61 in its last ACC battle. This trip to Chapel Hill will be a tough encore. The ‘Noles are just 7-17-1 ATS priced as a single-digit conference dog coming off a SU and ATS victory and they’re going up against a Tar Heels group that is clicking on all cylinders. Take North Carolina. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
Pick: St. Peters +2.5
On Sunday the free NCAAB Play is on St. Peters. Game 819 at 2:00 eastern. St. Peters has the better numbers here. They are 6-3 after allowing 60 or less and 6-2 off a conference win. In the series they have won the last meetings vs Canisius over the last 3 years. Canisius is 3-18 after allowing 60 or less including 0-5 this season. When they come in off a win they are a paltry 3-15. They have lost 8 of 10 vs winning teams and are 8-32 long term vs teams who allow 65 or less points per game. Look for St. Peters to get the cash as a small dog here today. On Sunday I have the 22-0 Super bowl system winner that’s guaranteed with 4 days. I also have the Big 10 Game of the Month that has a big Power system and 2 100% Power angles. For the free Play take St. Peters. -Rob Vinciletti
NBA Picks: February 5th 2011
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Pick: New Orleans Hornets +3.5
On Saturday the Free NBA system Play is on the New Orleans Hornets. Game 508 at 8:05 eastern. The Hornets qualify in a solid 100% system here tonight . What we want to do is play on home dogs of 4 or less with 2 or more days of rest if they scored 90 or more as a road dog in their last game and their opponent which is the Lakers in this case was a home favorite of 4 or less and shot 45% or less in their last game. These rested home dogs are 8-1 straight up and 9-0 ats. The Hornets have double revenge here and are a solid 10-2 ats at home when the the total is 185 to 190. When they are installed as a home dog from 3.5 to +6 they are 6-3 straight up and against the spread. The Lakers are a paltry 2-9 ats vs Southwest Division games and a terrible 0-5 ats off 3+ home games. Look for the Hornets to get the cover. On Saturday I have the 30-0 NCABB TV Game of the Year + a 97% ACC Game of the Month, an offshore Steam Play and a 13-1 NBA Dominator System Side up. For the Free Play on Saturday. Take the New Orleans Hornets plus the 3.5 points. -Rob Vinciletti
Pick: Bulls vs. Warriors Under 204
The Bulls are quickly emerging as one of the premier defensive teams in the league under the tutelage of defensive guru Tom Thibodeau. It is certainly worth noting that the Bulls are 20-6 UNDER in their last 26 games versus explosive offensive teams scoring 103+ points/game. We are only seeing an average of 197.6 total points scored in these contests. With 2 full days to rest and prepare, we can expect a strong defensive effort from Chicago this evening. After all, the Bulls are 9-1 UNDER in their last 10 road games when playing with 2 days rest. We are only seeing 191.4 total points scored in these contests. Bet the UNDER. -Jeff Alexander
College Basketball Predictions: February 5th 2011
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Pick: Louisiana-Monroe +11.5
Free CBB Saturday play from Doc’s Sports #599 Take Louisiana-Monroe over W. Kentucky (4:30 p.m. EST) We cashed ULM as one of our top rated picks on Thursday as a large underdog, and I feel like they are a good bet with the points for the second time this week. Western Kentucky has been a tough team to figure out, but they have not fared well as big chalk all season. And really, at 7-13 ATS on the year, they haven’t been a good bet at all. Louisiana-Monroe is 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a double digit underdog. I think they are ready to cash another one here. -Doc’s Sports
Pick: Texas A&M -5
Texas A&M is coming off two straight losses and it should be out for blood on Saturday after getting hammered by Texas for a second time this season. The Aggies followed up a 48-point effort against Nebraska with a 49-point effort against the Longhorns which prompted head coach Mark Turgeon to make a statement. “I apologize to Texas A&M fans and family,” Turgeon said. “I’m embarrassed the way we played. I gotta get my team back. We’re not playing at the level we needed to play at.” The Aggies loss against Texas was their first home loss of the season and just the second loss in the last 32 games at Reed Arena. Going back further, the Aggies are 43-4 at home since the start of the 2008-09 season with a 16-4 mark in conference games with those four losses coming against to Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas St. Those first three teams were all ranked fifth in the nation or better so Texas A&M is riding an amazing 43-1 run at home against teams ranked outside the top five. Baylor comes into Saturday with losses in four of its last six games including the last game at Oklahoma where travel and postponements were a big issue for the Bears. Now they must hit the road again and this could be just what Texas A&M needs as the Bears are 1-3 in Big XII road action and this is the first time all season they have had to play back-to-back road games. They are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog while the Aggies are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite. Baylor is 0-7 ATS this season against teams that are outscoring opponents by eight or more ppg so it obviously has not stepped up when needed. The Aggies meanwhile has been solid coming off big losses as they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss while going 9-2 ATS over the last two seasons coming off any loss. Under Turgeon, Texas A&M is 14-5 ATS in its 19 games after scoring 60 or fewer points in its last game. 3* (550) Texas A&M Aggies – Matt Fargo
College Basketball Picks: February 5th 2011
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Pick: Utah -4
After ripping off three consecutive straight up wins over Wyoming, New Mexico and TCU, Utah slipped in its last two games against Colorado State and UNLV. The Utes understand the importance of this home revenge battle against Air Force. If Utah falls here, they’ll be in serious trouble especially with a pair of road games at San Diego State and BYU on deck! Technically speaking, this is a rewarding spot for the home team. In its own backyard priced as a single-digit favorite, Utah is an outstanding 64-33-1 ATS dating back to the 1990-91 season. Provided the Utes take the floor in this role fighting with same season single revenge, this team trend improves to a solid 18-4 SU and 16-6 ATS! Finally, coming off back-to-back straight up losses and matched up against a foe that enters without momentum off a straight up loss, the Utes have cruised to a nifty 20-8 ATS mark including 15-3 ATS in this set facing a foe that sports a won/loss percentage of .400 or better. Air Force already got the best of Utah once this season. Rest assured, that won’t happen again. As a conference guest going into revenge, the Falcons are a dismal 8-16 SU and 6-17-1 ATS including a stunning 0-12-1 ATS in this role priced between +12 and -1! Also, as a single-digit road dog running with an opponent that enters off two or more straight up losses, the Flyboys have crash landed notching a weak 6-15 SU and 7-14 ATS record. Quietly, the Utes have won 49 of their last 62 straight up in this series including 28 of 31 inside the Huntsman Center. At this price and with that type of history, head coach Jim Boylen’s troops will get the job done. Take Utah. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
Pick: George Mason -5
I’m laying the points with George Mason on Saturday. Old Dominion is 18-5, but just 7-12-1 ATS, and just 1-4 ATS its last five road contests. The Monarchs have won their last four games against the bottom-feeders of the Colonial Athletic Association but this will be a tough test against George Mason, which wants to avenge a 69-65 loss at Old Dominion on Jan. 8. The Monarchs have lost the last three meetings on this court by an average of 19 points. Center Frank Hassell leads the Monarchs with 13.5 points and 9.3 rebounds per game and guard Kent Bazemore averages 12.1 points. George Mason is 18-5, 16-5 ATS and has won and covered all eight games since the loss against Old Dominion. The Patriots shoot 48.3 percent, including 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and their opponent field goal percentage is 41.2 percent. Guard Cam Long is the leading scorer with 15.5 points per game, followed by forward Ryan Pearson with 14.3 points and a team-leading 6.0 rebounds. Forward Luke Hancock averages 12.0 points. I’m laying the points with red-hot George Mason as it gets another win and cover on Saturday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Green Bay Packers
Over/Under Pick: Over 44.5 -110 odds – February 6th 2011
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Much has been said about the defenses in this game, and it should. But bear in mind both these high octane offenses face a 3-4 defense every day in practice and both coordinators know how to pick and choose their spots when making plays against this defensive type scheme. With both QBs able to extend plays and both having playmakers all over the place, it is going to be hard to make this a defensive battle. It may look like it on paper, but the answer is not that simple. Green Bay can score on anyone, and while they face their toughest test of the season here, they will score. Pittsburgh also can rack up points, run the ball and move the chains. It will boil down to defense, but not in the standard way in my mind, but in fact one of these great defenses will make a huge stop at games end to help their team win the game, but neither is going to shut down either offense all day. I see both teams in the 20s here.
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NBA Picks: February 4th 2011
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Pick: Dallas Mavericks +6
Have the Mavs improved enough to win in Boston? No doubt this is same season REVENGE for the Celtics (89-87), but Dallas (14-7 SUR) travels to Harvard Square off a sizzling 113-97 win over New York at MSG. Dallas did it with defense holding the Knicks to only 45 second-half points. We must note, AS was pulled from the game early. Still, the Mavs have carved out 104.5 points per over their six game winning streak, while improving greatly on defense. The Boston Celtics seem to be the class of the league, whenever the Heat, Lakers and Spurs are banged up. The injury factor plays heavily in NBA basketball, since there are only five players hitting the boards. Once a key cog is missing, it’s difficult cultivating overall team chemistry, especially from the rotation aspect. At home Boston is 16-0 SU versus the East, but only 6-3 SU against West opponents this season. Over the last eight games the Celtics defense has become paramount in winning the second-half, holding offensive units to only 41 points on average. Remember, though, Boston is rarely tested in the apathetic regions of the NBA, but when they are, the game gets ugly. Just check out their Western Conference battles this season. So, I look for a low scoring game, a Mavericks win 94-88. All those techies out there, we find Dallas 31-8 SU when Dirk is in the starting lineup with the UNDERDOG in the series hitting 8 of 11 ATS. The roadie has scored huge tickets in Las Vegas with a 100% perfect 4-0 ATS legend. Oh, one final insight, the Celtics hit the pines 3-11-1 ATS off a SU win. Good Luck – Brad Diamond
Pick: Atlanta Hawks -7
The Clippers are 19-29 straight up this year. The Clippers are 16-37 ATS their last 53 road games vs. a team with a team with a home win percentage of over 60%. The Clippers are 4-9-1 ATS their last 14 games off a double digit loss in their last game. Los Angeles is 0-4 ATS after allowing 100 or more points 100 or more points in their last game. Atlanta is 31-18 straight up this year. The Hawks are 6-2 ATS their last 8 games as favorites of 5.0 to 10.5 points. Atlanta is 5-2 ATS when playing with one day of rest. PLAY ON ATLANTA -Tom Freese
Pick: Philadelphia 76ers -3.5
Take the 76ers tonight, as they are really playing some good ball. Both teams are much impoved, but I like the 76ers balance. The 76ers have covered 24 of their last 33 games, 7 of 8 vs a team with a winning record, and 7 of 10 vs the Knicks IN Philly. The Sixers are 7-3 their last 10 games with the 3 losses by a combined 9 points. Sixers get the home win tonight. 76ERS. -Gregg Price
College Basketball Predictions: February 3rd 2011
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Pick: Tennessee State +4
Motivated by back-to-back losses on the road, Tennessee State returns home with revenge in mind. The Tigers lost by 11 at Murray State last month, and I expect them to return the favor tonight. Tennessee State has been one tough cookie when matched up against quality competition. In fact, the Tigers are 7-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The Tigers have also been strong in revenge games. It is certainly worth noting that they are 13-4 ATS when out to avenge a loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Tigers have quietly become one of the best investments in the country at 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games overall. They are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games, 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Racers, meanwhile, are only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Take Tennessee State and the points tonight. -Jimmy Boyd
Pick: Cal Irvine +1.5
These two So Cal rivals played back on January 5th, with UC Irvine winning 85-78. The Anteaters boast the trio of Darren Moore, Eric Wise, and Patrick Rembert, who are combining for 43.4 PPG and 17.3 RPG. UC Irvine is 4-1 ATS their L5 as a visitor. They face a CS Fullerton squad that is just 8-14 SU on the season. The Titans have had their issues with TO’s this year. Forward Jer’Vaughn Johnson is a solid player but doesn’t have the supporting cast around him to get the job done. The Anteaters are 3-1-1 ATS their L5 vs. the Titans, 5-2 ATS their L7 vs. the Big West, and 5-2 ATS their L7 overall. Take UC Irvine. Thank you. -Joseph D’Amico
Pick: Ohio State -16
Even though the Wolverines beat Michigan State on the road, they are just 2-5 away from home this season. Michigan lost by 14 at Northwester, 19 at Indiana, and 16 at Wisconsin. No reason why the Buckeyes won’t crush them tonight. Ohio State has been shooting lights out lately, and are 33-14 ATS after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better since 1997. Ohio State is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater.
NBA Picks: February 3rd 2011
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Pick: Miami Heat +1
My free pick on the Sixers won last night, lets keep the moneytrain rolling tonight with the Heat. Tonight in Orlando at the Amway Center the Heat visit the Magic in game 1 of the TNT Doubleheader. These 2 teams have met 2x already this year. They split both. Miami notched a convincing 96-70 home victory on Oct. 29 and Orlando won 104-95 at home on Nov. 24. The Magic come into this one sporting a 31-18 record, the Heat have a 34-14 record. Miami has won 3 consecutive games after defeating the Cavs 117-90 Monday. Wade is averaging 33.3 points and 10.7 rebounds over the last three games. I like Miami tonight, just too many pieces for Orlando to stop. Wade heating up, LeBron and Bosh healthy again, Ilgauskas and Miller playing their best ball of the season is just to much for Orlando at this point of the season. Trends I like for this one include, Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games, Heat are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Magic are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast. -Ray Monohan
Pick: San Antonio Spurs +3.5
The Lakers are 34-15 straight up this year. Los Angeles is 3-7 ATS their last 10 games overall and they are 5-12-1 ATS their last 18 Conference games. Los Angeles is 1-9 ATS their last 10 Thursday games. Kobe and Company are 1-5 ATS when playing one day of rest. San Antonio is 40-8 straight up this year. The Spurs are 6-0 ATS their last 6 games vs. a team with a win percentage of over 60%. San Antonio is 4-0-1 ATS when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their last game. The Spurs are 6-2 ATS off a straight up loss. The Spurs are 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 games overall. PLAY ON SAN ANTONIO -Tom Freese
San Jose State vs. Idaho
College Basketball Pick: Idaho -5 -110 odds – February 3rd 2011
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Idaho has quietly put together a very solid season as it is 12-9 including a 5-4 record through the first nine games in the WAC. The Vandals did open the season at 5-1 in the conference as they have dropped their last three games but the last two came on the road and the lone home loss came against Boise St. by just three points. Playing at home has been a rare occurrence for Idaho as four of its last five games have been on the road and on the season, just eight of 21 games have been at home.
The Spartans are coming off a rare win Saturday as they defeated Fresno St. for just their second win since the end of December, a span of nine games. They have been a huge underachieving team this season as they have some great talent but it just has not come forth. San Jose St. is 1-4 in its five WAC road games with the lone win coming against a team that is just as bad, Louisiana Tech which is also 2-7 in the conference. The Spartans lost by eight points as 6.5-point favorites at home in the first meeting against Idaho.
Idaho needs to make a move this week with wins against San Jose St. and Hawaii as it faces Utah St. right after following by four consecutive road games. The Vandals are the best defensive team in the WAC as they are holding conference opponents to 39.1 percent shooting from the floor. So far this season, the Vandals defense has held 14 of their 21 opponents below their season scoring averages, including 10 of their last 14. They held the Spartans to 37.1 percent shooting in that first meeting.
San Jose St. is just 25-44 ATS in its last 69 games after playing two straight games at home and it is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 road games coming off a conference home win. The Vandals are 4-1 ATS this season as favorites of three or more points and they are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after playing two consecutive games as a road underdog. The home team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series with that one loss being the Vandals road win earlier this year. 3* (542) Idaho Vandals
Matt is coming off a College Hoops split last night but there will be no splitting on Thursday! When it comes to big cards and multiple action, Fargo has been SPOT ON the majority of the time this season! He is fully expecting an ABSOLUTELY MONSTER Thursday and he is releasing THREE Big CBB Winners as we go for the PERFECT 3-0 SWEEP! Grab it now and go for PERFECTION!