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MLB Picks: San Francisco Giants vs. Houston Astros Odds: June 22nd 2010

San Francisco Giants vs. Houston Astros
Free MLB Pick: Over 6.5 Runs -110 odds
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For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the “over”: Tim Lincecum heads to the mound for the visitors; Lincecum’s last start was cut short as a line drive hit him in the back right shoulder in the sixth inning vs. the Orioles on Wednesday; he allowed two runs on eight hits over that span; he walked four; he’s 7-2 on the year with a 3.11 ERA. Lincecum was 5-5 with a 3.21 ERA on the road last season. In the other dugout: Roy Oswalt gets the nod for the home side; the best word to describe Oswalt this year would be “unpredictable”. After a couple of very poor outings, he’s seemingly got back on track with a couple of strong showings. For his career though, he’s 5-7 with a 3.67 ERA vs. the Giants. He’s 5-8 with a 3.12 ERA this season.

Bottom line: San Francisco came alive at the plate in its inter-league contest in Toronto on Sunday, hammering the Jays 9-6; Freddy Sanchez had a three-run shot and Pat Burrell a two-run bomb to help the Giants win their first game this season in an AL stadium; I believe this team will carry over some of that offensive production into Houston. Important to note as well that Giants relievers have been brutal so far this year on the road with a collective 5.22 ERA through Sunday; the San Francisco bullpen had allowed runs in 20 of 29 contests. The Astros are coming off a disheartening 5-4 loss in ten innings on Sunday as the Rangers completed a three-game sweep at Minute Maid Park. Because of Sunday’s result, Houston made its biggest roster shake-up of the year; top position prospect Jason Castro was called up to be the starting catcher; Chris Johnson will enter the regular mix at third base, and a third call-up, Jason Bourgeois, will see some time in the outfield. Outfielder Cory Sullivan, reliever Casey Daigle and catcher Kevin Cash were all designated for assignment. I believe this move will inspire the Astro’s core group to wake up at the plate and take accountability for this teams struggles.When factoring in all of the above information, this total seems a little low, and you may want to consider a second look at the OVER in this situation.

MLB Odds: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick: June 22nd 2010

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Free Pick: Under 7.5 Runs -110 MLB odds
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Toronto will face their third left-handed starter in four days as St. Louis’ Jaime Garcia takes the mound against the Blue Jays tonight. Toronto has had a ton of problems against lefties this season as they are hitting just .199 as a team against southpaws. Toronto has gone Under in nine of their 16 games against left-handed pitching. Garcia is 6-3 with a 1.59 ERA and he has gone Under in 12 of his 13 starts. He is 4-2 with a 1.74 ERA on the road with all seven games going Under the total.

Brett Cecil has been rock solid aside from a shaky start in San Diego his last time out. He’s 7-3 with a 3.58 ERA on the year. Cecil has given up seven runs and 15 hits in his last 20.7 innings of work. The Cardinals have gone Under in 20 of their 34 road games and Under in 12 of their 20 games against left-handed starters. They are hitting .252 away from home, and their offense is not in good current form as they’ve scored just 17 runs over their last five games. Since the Blue Jays have gone Under in 20 of their 34 home games and they are hitting .239 over their last seven games, we’ll recommend a play on the Under in this game tonight.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Yankees Betting Line & Prediction: June 21st 2010

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Yankees
Prediction: Over 10.5 Runs -110 betting line
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The Yankees hit the road for a N.L. West roadtrip starting Monday night. Arizona’s Rodrigo Lopez is 2-6 with a 4.70 ERA on the season. Lopez is 0-3 with a 6.00 ERA in his last three starts giving up 14 runs and 25 hits in 21 innings of work. Lopez last faced the Yankees back in 2007 giving up two runs and seven hits in 5.7 innings of work. Derek Jeter (26-58), A-Rod (14-48), Robinson Cano (6-21), Curtis Granderson (2-4), and Nick Swisher (1-3) all hit Lopez well. Lopez is backed by an Arizona bullpen that owns a 7.19 ERA with 16 losses and nine blown saves this season.

New York’s A.J. Burnett has given up 16 runs and 20 hits in his last 16 innings pitched over his last three starts. The righty went 0-3 in those games taking losses against the Phillies, Orioles, and Blue Jays. Burnett is 3-3 with a 5.03 ERA on the road in eight starts, but he hasn’t faced the Diamondbacks since 2005. Adam LaRoche (4-14), Kelly Johnson (2-4), and Chris Snyder (0-2) are the only Arizona hitters with a history against the Yankees starter. Arizona has gone Over in 20 of their 33 home games where they score 5.4 runs per game; they’ve gone Over in 43 of their 70 games overall. In interleague play, the Diamondbacks are hitting nearly .285 as a team. The Yankees bullpen has a 4.11 ERA this season, and they could see a lot of work here if Burnett continues to struggle. This should be a high-scoring game so we’ll recommend a play on the Over between the Yankees and Diamondbacks.

MLB Predictions: Cincinnati Reds vs. Oakland Athletics Odds: June 21st 2010

Cincinnati Reds vs. Oakland Athletics
Prediction: Oakland Athletics -120 odds
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The Reds are in a hitting funk scoring just 13 runs in their last seven games. Cincinnati put 7 on the board in one of those encounters, so now you can see how deep this club has fallen off the hitting wagon. Yesterday, they were shutout again 1-0 by Seattle in a get away affair up in the Northwest. Overall the visitor is on a very negative 1-6 run and now face the A’s in Oakland where they are 1-8. RHP Mike Leake of the Reds is a quality starter throwing a solid 5-1 mark (3.02)this season. However, the youngster has regressed lately being wacked for 10 hits and 10 runs the last two outings versus the Giants and Dodgers. It appears Cincinnati is continuing their poor history versus west coast clubs.

LHP Gio Gonzales of Oakland has slumped lately too, but at home this season he mounds with a 4-2 mark (2.90) and a classy 1.02 WHIP. Coming off a much needed road win in St. Louis 3-2, the momentum here sure belongs to the A’s (21-13 @ Home). By the way, what is being overlooked from the Oakland perspective is the rash of injuries this season. They show at 34-37 in the very difficult West Division which is a positive when you consider the plight of this club physically. Look for the A’s to master the Reds tonight.

MLB Picks: Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals Odds: June 21st 2010

Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals
Pick: Over 9 Runs -110 odds
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For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the “over”: Bruce Chen gets the nod for the Royals; Chen suffered his first loss of the season last time out. He allowed three runs over 5 2/3′s innings on five hits, three walks with six K’s. He’s 2-1 with a 5.29 ERA in his career vs. the Nats. Important to point out that the Royals have seen the total go “over” the number in 8 of their last 11 road games as an underdog in the +125 to +150 range; also in 8 of 11 inter-league contests. In the other dugout: Livan Hernandez gets the call for the home side; Hernandez is coming off a loss as well. He blew an early lead on Wednesday; he’s now 5-4 with a 2.94 ERA. Hernandez allowed eight runs on seven hits in 6 2/3′s innings against the Tigers; he’s 1-3 over his last eight start. He’s 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA in his career vs. the Royals. Keep in mind that Washington has seen the total go “over” the number in 9 of 17 vs. left-handed starters this season. Bottom line: The Royals were able to muster 5 runs yesterday, but it wasn’t enough as they lost 8-5 to the Braves; Kansas City has seen the total go “over” the number in three straight now. Washington put 3 runs on the board yesterday, but also came away with a loss, losing 6-3 to the White Sox. When taking into account the recent poor play of each starter, the strong “over” trends that each of these sides exhibits in this position, along with these other factors, you may want to consider a second look at the OVER in this Inter-league contest.

New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds & Pick: June 21st 2010

New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Free Pick: Over 10.5 Runs -110 odds
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This number may seem high for a game played in Arizona but with this pitching matchup and the potential for these offenses, I think it is lower than it should be. The Yankees are coming off a 6-3 homestand but the offense saw a huge dip in production following 7.5 rpg through the first four games. Part of the issue was pitching as the Yankees went up against some tough starting pitching over the latter half of the homestand. Arizona is coming off a tough roadtrip where it went 1-5 and averaged only 3.7 rpg on offense but that has been the case for the offense all season when playing outside of Arizona. The Diamondbacks are averaging 5.4 rpg at home compared to 4.1 rpg on the road this season. The Yankees production goes down away from New York but they still average a solid 4.7 rpg in road games. A.J. Burnett has been pitching horrible of late. He started the season with a 1.99 ERA through his first six starts but his last eight starts have seen him post a 6.36 ERA with just two of those starts being quality performances. The Yankees are just 3-5 in those games and even the potent New York offense has been unable to bail him out the majority of the time. Take away three starts against the Orioles and his ERA rises from 3.86 to 5.23. The run support comes back tonight however against Rodrigo Lopez. He has been up and down this season and after a very solid start, it has been mostly down. He has a 5.40 ERA at home this season and over his last six starts, his ERA is 5.85. He has had a lot of experience against the Yankees but it has been bad experience for him unfortunately. He has a 5.90 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 20 career starts against New York. Arizona is 11-3 to the ‘Over’ this season as an underdog of +150 or more while the Yankees are 25-11 to the ‘Over’ in their last 36 games against starting pitchers that allow one or more homeruns per start. 3* Over New York Yankees/Arizona Diamondbacks

6 MLB Baseball Betting Picks & Predictions To Consider Wagering On June 20th 2010

Below are MLB baseball betting picks for June 20th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball predictions on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.

Free Pick: Baltimore Orioles +1.5 -160 (Steve Merril)
The last two times Jake Arrieta has taken the mound, the Orioles have won. Baltimore turns to the rookie for a third time this season in hopes of another victory. Arrieta is 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA on the year. Last time out, he gave up one run and three hits in seven innings of work against the Giants. Now he’ll face a Padres team that isn’t overwhelming offensively. As a team, San Diego is hitting just .247 while scoring only four runs per game this season. San Diego’s Jon Garland is going thru a rough patch. He’s 0-3 with a 6.50 ERA in his last three games giving up 13 runs and 24 hits in 18 innings of work. The Orioles have faced Garland 10 times in his career. He gave up eight runs and 16 hits in his last 12.3 innings pitched against Baltimore. Miguel Tejada (13-32), Nick Markakis (6-14), Julio Lugo (3-11), and Luke Scott (6-11) all have good numbers against Garland. The Orioles have covered the run line in three of their last four games, and we expect another close game here which means we recommend taking Baltimore on the run line in this game.

Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds -125 (Nick Parsons)
I believe that Cincinnati will finally come alive at the plate and do just enough in this game to avoid the series sweep in Seattle: Aaron Harang gets the nod for the visitors; Harang is coming off his worst outing of the season; he’d given up just five earned runs over his previous three starts before allowing five on seven hits in 4 1/3 innings vs. the Dodgers on Tuesday night. I believe the big right-hander will bounce back tonight though; Harang has made two career starts at Safeco and is 1-0 without allowing a run over 14 1/3 innings with 13 total K’s. Remember as well that Cincinnati has reserved its “best play” for struggling teams this season; 22-12 (+8 units) against clubs with losing records. In the other dugout: The beleaguered Ryan Rowland-Smith heads to the mound for the home side; the large lefty has lost his last two starts and is a dismal 0-6 on the season. Although the M’s have been better at the plate of late, Rowland-Smith hasn’t been the beneficiary of any of that offensive production. Although its struggled in almost every single ATS statistical category this year, this is in fact a position that Seattle has done very poorly in all season; it’s 6-16 (-12.2 units) in “day games”. Bottom line: “The last couple of days, we’ve faced two of the American League’s best in King Felix and (Lee) yesterday (in a 1-0 loss),” Reds manager Dusty Baker lamented after yesterday’s 5-1 loss to Hernandez. “We just have to come back tomorrow.” Harang has a 1.32 ERA in four career starts vs. Seattle. You may want to take a second look at CINCINNATI in this position as it looks to take advantage of the M’s worst starter.

Free Pick: Florida Marlins -119 (Jack Jones)
Rarely will you find Josh Johnson at this kind of price at home. If it weren’t for Ubaldo Jimenez and his ridiculous numbers this season, Johnson would be the one in line to win the NL Cy Young award at this point of the year. Johnson is 7-2 with a 1.86 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 14 starts this season, and he’s 5-1 with a 1.48 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in 9 home starts. Video game-like numbers would describe Johnson’s efforts over his last 7 starts. In those 7 outings, Johnson has allowed a total of 3 earned runs in 51 innings pitched. That equates to a 0.53 ERA and it also has resulted in five wins for the Marlins. In four of those seven starts, Johnson didn’t allow a single earned run. David Price is solid for the Rays, but he is no Josh Johnson. Roll with the Marlins Sunday.

Free Pick: Chicago White Sox -105 (Tom Freese)
White Sox starter Freddie Garcia has allowed 12 runs total in his last 4 starts. Chicago is 13-3 their last 16 Interleague road games. The Pale Hose are 6-0 their last 6 games as favorites. Chicago is 36-16 in the last 52 starts made by Garcia on the road. The White Sox are 11-1 the last 12 starts made by Garcia in Interleague play. Washinton starter John Lannan 17 runs in his last 15.1 innings of work. The Nationals are 61-130 their last 191 games off a loss. Washington is 8-20 their 28 games vs. righty starters and they are 0-5 their last 5 games overall. The Nats are 6-20 their last 26 games as underdogs. PLAY CHICAGO (Garcia vs. Lannan)

Free Pick: Cleveland Indians vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Under 9 (John Ryan)
3* graded play UNDER Cleveland/Pittsburgh set to start at 1:35 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that fewer than 9 runs will be scored in this game. Every once in a while we get a situation where the teams are projected to be weak offensively and also has a home plate umpire with a generous strike zone. Paul Emmel is that type of umpire and teams have batted 243 with a 310 OBP this season and 250 with a 314 OBP over the past 3 seasons. CLV is batting just 248 and scoring 4.2 RPG on the season and 236 with a 310 OBP scoring 4.0 RPG against RH starters spanning 44 games. Their bullpen have really pulled it together and have posted a 2.70 ERA and 1.321 WHIP over the past 7 games. The Pirates are near identical team batting 237 with a 302 WHIP scoring 3.3 RPG on the season and batting 236 and scoring 3.6 RPG over the past 7 games.Their bullpen has been one of the best in baseball recently sporting a 1.89 ERA and a 1.263 WHIP over the past 7 games. Take the UNDER.

Free Pick: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Under 8.5 (Wunderdog)
This is a great primetime matchup for a pair of New York rivals. Johan Santana faces C.C. Sabathia. These are two pitchers both capable of putting up 0s deep into the game. Both of these teams are strong when you get to the back of the pen, avoiding the weak underbelly of the bullpen. The Mets are 7-0 to the UNDER in their last seven on the road vs. a team with a winning percentage greater than .600. The Yankees are 8-1 to the UNDER behind Sabathia at home vs. a winning team. The UNDER gets the call.

A Three Pack Of Baseball Picks To Wager On Saturday June 19th 2010

Below are MLB baseball picks for June 19th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball picks on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.

Pick: Giants vs. Blue Jays Under 8.5 (Jeff Alexander)
Cain has been dealing. He has an ERA of 1.90 on the road this season, and over his last 3 starts his ERA is just 0.75. The Giants have been Under this number in each of his last 7 starts. Litsch was roughed up badly in flighty Coors Field in his first start of the season, but I expect him to be much better at home tonight when you consider that the Under is 6-0 in the Blue Jays’ last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. It is also worth noting that the Under is 13-3 in the Giants’ last 16 interleague road games. We cashed in our free play on the Under in this matchup yesterday and we’ll stick with it today.

Pick: Indians vs. Pirates Under 9 (Steve Merril)
Pittsburgh lost their 12th straight game last night as they fell 4-3 to the Indians. The two teams continue their series on Saturday night. David Huff gets the start for Cleveland. Last year, he shut the Pirates out for eight innings giving up just four hits in that outing. Bobby Crosby (0-6), Andrew McCutchen (0-4), and Andy LaRoche (0-3) are all looking for their first hit against Huff. The Pirates are 9-10 against left-handed starters scoring just 3.7 runs per game against them. At home, the Pirates have gone Under in 17 of their 33 games while hitting just .236 at PNC Park. And their offense is not in good current form either. In their last 13 games, they’ve scored five runs or more just three times. Jeff Karstens has been solid for the Pirates. He’s 1-2 with a 4.04 ERA in six starts. The righty is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in two home starts this season for Pittsburgh. Only two Indians have faced him and they are Anderson Hernandez (3-5) and Luis Valbuena (0-1). Cleveland has gone Under in 17 of their 34 road games. They are also hitting .236 as a team against right-handed starters this season. Karstens is backed by a bullpen that has a 4.03 ERA at home. Neither offense can be trusted here which means we expect a low-scoring game and recommend playing the Under in this game tonight.

Pick: New York Yankees -178 (John Ryan)
3* graded play on the Yankees as they take on the Mets set to start at 1:05. Loser of 3 straight now and with Boston just 1 behind them and the Rays will serve up some focus for this game today. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Yankees will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 72-19 making 37.5 units since 2004. Play against road dogs with a money line of +150 or more with a NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season and is a poor power team averaging 0.9 or less HR’s/game on the season. Yankees are an amazing 23-3 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 over the last 2 seasons. Take the Yanks.

Week 12 Arena Football Picks & Odds: Winning Week 12 AFL Picks from Mike Rose

WEEK 12 ARENA FOOTBALL PICKSNeed Expert Betting Picks for Week 12 Arena Football? Buy Mike Rose’ winning AFL picks below. Mike Rose is an expert sports handicapper featured on Touthouse.com and has never had a losing season betting arena football. Purchase Mike Rose’ expert arena football betting picks below:

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Jacksonville Sharks vs. Orlando Predators (Week 12 Preview from Mike Rose)
Bet: Click here to bet on this game | Odds: Click here for current odds

Southern Division rivals meet for the second time on the AFL betting season in Week 12, as the Jacksonville Sharks travel to Amway Arena for their duel with the Orlando Predators. The Sharks are going to be the second straight team that the Preds have faced off of their bye week. Orlando suffered a crippling 53-52 loss in the dying seconds to the Spokane Shock last week that dropped them back below .500 and cost them a chance to get back into the playoff race in the American Conference.

QB Aaron Garcia is having a fantastic year for the Sharks. He has thrown 55 touchdown passes and is now the all-time leading TD passer in AFL history. He wouldn’t be anywhere without his two big name targets to throw the ball to this year. WR Jomo Wilson has 71 catches for 842 yards and 18 scores on the season, and he has amassed 23 touchdowns and 1,447 total yards from scrimmage on the season. WR Dallas Baker isn’t a slacker either. The former Florida Gator already has 16 TDs in his seven games played, and he is coming off of a Week 10 performance in which he had career highs in receptions (11), yards (150), and touchdowns (5).

Things are falling apart in Orlando right now, and this might be a team to avoid for at least the foreseeable future. The Preds not only lost a heartbreaker to Spokane last week, but veteran DB Kenny McEntyre called out his quarterback in the process. The locker room very well could be divided on the issue of QB Nick Hill, who has only thrown 38 touchdowns against 12 picks on the regular season. Hill has added nine TDs on the ground as well, and he may have to use his feet more this week than normal. WR Derrick Lewis is out for the rest of the season after tearing his MCL, while WR Bobby Sippio remains sidelined this week as well. That really just leaves WR TT Toliver to carry the load. Toliver has 949 receiving yards and 14 TDs this year for HC Pat O’Hara.

Earlier this season, the Sharks trumped the Preds 57-31 in Jacksonville. The AFL odds lined the visitors as 4.5 point favorites on the opening line, but since that point, Orlando has gotten some action, and the line has dropped to a flat 4.

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Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs Odds & Pick: June 18th 2010

Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubs
Free Pick: Los Angeles Angels +130 odds
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The Angels begin a series in Chicago with a familiar foe in Carlos Silva who gets the start for the Cubs. Silva is 8-1 with a 2.89 ERA this season for the Cubs. However, Los Angeles faced Silva twice last year and he gave up five runs and 10 hits in 12 innings of work. Bobby Abreu (11-20), Mike Napoli (4-12), Howard Kendrick (5-10), Erick Aybar (3-6), Brandon Wood (1-3), and Juan Rivera (1-2) have good numbers against Silva. The Angels are 20-17 on the road hitting .262 as a team. They have won three straight road games and eight of their last 10 away from home.

Meanwhile, the Cubs are in the middle of a nine-game homestand during which they are just 3-3. They’ll face a suddenly improving Scott Kazmir who is 3-0 with a 2.12 ERA in his last three starts. Kazmir has given up just a total of four runs in those outings. The lefty faced the Cubs in 2008 giving up one run and three hits in 4.7 innings of work while striking out seven. Alfonso Soriano (1-6), Xavier Nady (1-5), Geovany Soto (0-2), and Derrek Lee (0-1) all struggle against Kazmir. Chicago is just 17-16 at home, and since they’ve scored just 25 runs in their last seven games, we’ll recommend a play on the Angels in this spot, especially getting a generous plus price.