New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Free MLB Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +100 MLB odds
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Today I really like the Rays with David Price on the hill against Javier Vazquez. NO question Vazquez had one of the best seasons of any pitcher last year with a 2.87 ERA, but that was in the National League. He returns to the American League where he spent many seasons struggling with ERA’s over 4.00 and I think that happens again here. TB has a lot of experience against Vazquez with 164 total AB’s and a .293 average. Leading the way is Carl Crawford who has a .423 average and behind him is BJ Upton who is 6-12. In 2008 when he was a part of League A, he had a 5.10 ERA on the road and opponents had a .295 average and he was 1-2 vs. the Rays.
David Price will start his sophmore year with the Rays although he pitched in 2008 when the Rays got to the World Series he was still considered a rookie last year as he had just 14IP in 2008. Price was extremely convincing at home last year with an 8-3 record and a 2.93 ERA at Tropicana Field. He actually had three starts against the Yankees in which he pitched 18.2 innings giving up just 7 hits and 4 ER for an ERA below 2.00. In October he pitched at home and went 7 strong giving up 2 hits and 1 ER. Why is he so successful against the Yankees? The Yankees will run into this several times with that heavy hitting lefty line up. While Price gave up 16 HR to RH hitters last year he gave up only 1 to lefties who had an OPS 90 points lower than LH hitters. It is an advantage that continues today and although there are new faces in this Yankee lineup to deal with I’m confident that Price can continue to battle. Add in that the Rays are an amazing 80-30 at home in their last 110 games vs. a RH starter.
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Free MLB Pick: Twins vs. White Sox Over 8.5 (Jim Feist)
Both offenses have played well in the early going. The White Sox go with starter John Danks who won 13 games last season, but he was 5-7 with a 4.48 ERA at home (3.26 on the road). He’s never thrown well against the Indians with a 4-5 record and a 5.42 ERA against them. Francisco Liriano goes for the Twins and is still trying to regain his form after serious shoulder surgery two years ago. He was 5-13 with a 5.80 ERA. There was even talk of moving him to the pen with the loss of star closer Joe Nathan. All in all, look for more offense than strong pitching. Play the Twins/White Sox Over the total.
Free MLB Pick: Colorado Rockies -1.5 +115 (Jimmy Boyd)
I’ll take the Rockies on the run line at home this afternoon. Colorado is 32-8 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 6.6 to 4.3. This trend is even more telling. The Rockies are a perfect 12-0 in Jorge De La Rosa’s last 12 starts as a favorite of -150 or more, winning in these spots by an average score of 8.4 to 4.2. The Rockies will be pumped up for this one off back-to-back losses and with it being their home opener. Take the Rocks.
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Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Free NBA Pick: Over 222 -110 odds
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On Friday the free play in the NBA is on the Over in the Ok.City and Phoenix game. Rotation numbers 717/18 at 8:05 eastern. This game fits a nice 70% over angle that pertains to the Thunders short home favorite loss to Denver and The Suns home win over the Spurs which produced 110 or more points. This game tonight should be an up and down game with little or no defense. Phoenix has gone over 70% of the time on the road in games where they score 110 or more at home and OK.City has gone over 11 of 15 times at home off a home game where they scored 90 or more. Look for this one to play over the 222 tonight. On Friday I have a 5* 33-4 Late Season NBA system tonight. These late season systems cash year in and year out. The NBA has been real hot of late and this one of the best times of year to cash out. In MLB Action I have a Solid system play that also has 3 powerful angles that apply to our team. On top of that we have a nice pitching mismatch. Jump on this guaranteed card and start the weekend right. For the free play take the Over in the Phoenix at Ok. City game. RV
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Free NBA Pick: Wizards vs. Celtics Under 194 (Dave Price)
I expect to see an ugly game finish under the number in Boston tonight. Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (WASHINGTON) – double revenge – 2 straight losses vs. opponent, if that opponent is off a win against a division rival, are 94-50 the last 5 seasons, 51-26 the last 3 seasons and 8-3 this season. The average posted total in these games has been 194.4 and we are only seeing teams combine for 190.5 points on average. Bet the Under tonight.
Free NBA Pick: Phoenix Suns +3 (Jeff Alexander)
The Suns are playing perhaps the best basketball in the NBA right now, having won 11 of their last 12 games and 25 of their last 31, and I expect that strong play to continue tonight. Each of the last two meetings between these teams have been close so taking the points seems to be the right call, especially since the underdog is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Suns are also 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Thunder have now dropped 5 of their last 7 in the chalk and they are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. I’ll take the Suns and the points in this one.
Free NBA Pick: Knicks vs. Magic Over 211 (Craig Trapp)
This should be listed at 220 but still would take over either way. NYK have been stopping no one, in fact they have been giving up over 112 pts in last 5 games. At least they have been scoring in bunches, averaging over 105 pts in last 5. ORL has been winning but not because of great defense in fact they have been just outscoring people as they have averaged triple digits the last 6 games. This one will end in the 230′s as ORL scores early and often.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers
Free MLB Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +145 odds
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Solid value with the Blue Jays Thursday. Ricky Romero owns a career 1.42 ERA against the Rangers after pitching a gem last year, going 6.1 innings and allowing just 1 earned run while striking out 6. C.J. Wilson gets the start for the Rangers, owning a 6.00 ERA in his career against the Blue Jays. Wilson makes his move from the bullpen to the starting rotation this year, and it certainly won’t be an easy transition. He likely won’t last past the 5th inning which will put a lot of pressure on the Texas bullpen.
The Blue Jays are now 4-1 in the last 5 games against A.L. West opponents. The Rangers are 1-5 in Wilsons last 6 starts. The Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Take the Blue Jays.
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs
Prediction: Chicago Cubs +185 betting line
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Early in the season, analysis is going to be very thin as the plays are going to be based on value for the most part. Betting baseball is about finding the value and finding the spots where teams have an advantage over the line and not necessarily over the other team. That may sound strange and against common betting theory but baseball is a completely different betting situation because of the moneyline aspect of it. This game presents excellent value for the Cubs. I do play teams solely trying to avoid a sweep because in baseball, winning and losing streaks are more contagious than in any other sport. This line is about value and since both Chicago and Atlanta are expected to contend in their respective divisions, these two teams are on a fairly equal ground making the underdog worth a hard look. The Cubs go with Randy Wells who was very solid last season as a rookie, going 12-10 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 27 starts. He is feeling very confident as he is coming off a perfect spring where he went 4-0 and he also has confidence against the Braves as he tossed two quality games last season against Atlanta including one performance where he took a no-hitter into the eighth inning before allowing a home run and then a blown save by the bullpen. Last season was his first significant one as far as innings thrown and he tired late in the year so this is the time to ride him. Tommy Hanson lived up to the hype last season and he is the reason this play is not rated higher. He went 11-4 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.18 WHIP which is pretty spectacular for a rookie pitcher. Now comes the pressure of living up to last season and that will be tougher than actually going through his rookie season. This will be his first ever start against the potent Cubs lineup that has yet to break out. That very could happen tonight. 3* Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets
Free NBA Pick: Denver Nuggets -2 -110 odds
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The Lakers are just 2-4 straight up their last 6 games at Denver. Los Angeles is led by Kobe Bryant and his 27.1 points a game. Pau Gasol scores 17.8 points and 11.2 rebounds a game. Lamar Odom scores 10.7 points a night. The Lakers 102.1 points a game. Los Angeles is 7-15-1 ATS their last 23 games overall and they are 2-6 ATS their last 8 games as dogs of 0.5 to 4.5 points. Denver is led in scoring by Carmelo Anthony and his 28.4 points a game. Point guard Chauncey Billups scores 19.8 points a game. Shooting guard J.R. Smith scores 15.2 points a game. The Nuggets score 106.7 points game. Denver is 7-0 ATS their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and they are 9-3-3 ATS their last 15 games vs. a team with a win percentage of over 60% PLAY ON DENVER -
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
Free MLB Pick: Under 8 Runs -110 odds
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I truly believe Chicago is in for another disappointing season. I know that they traded away some headaches and they are a healthier team, however they still don’t have a “go-to” guy in the lineup, their pitching is spotty, and their outfield will once again cost them games. They face Tommy Hanson. The right-hander was 11-4 overall LY, including an impressive 7-2 home record with a 3.13 ERA. Atlanta’s lineup is geared toward base hits and moving the runners along. Their 16 run output on opening day is a rarity. Chicago has Randy Wells on the bump. The right-hander was 5-5 on the road a season ago with a 2.88 ERA. In his only start against Atlanta, he was 1-0 with a 20.8 ERA. Two solid pitchers and two lackluster lineups tell me that this is an UNDER game. UNDER is 6-1 in these two teams L7 meetings, 3-01- in Wells’ L4 road starts, and 4-0 in Hanson’s L4 home starts. Take the UNDER. Thank you.
Below are free MLB Picks and baseball betting predictions for April 8th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball picks on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.
Free MLB Pick: Indians vs. White sox Over 8.5 Runs (Jim Feist)
This is a low total for an AL game, especially one with No. 3-5 starters on the hill. 25-year old Justin Masterson goes for the Indians, a kid with a sidearm delivery and control troubles, especially against lefties. He was 4-10 last season with a 4.52 ERA, walking 60 in 129 innings, a poor ratio. Lefties hit .323 against him in 2009. Chicago starter Gavin Floyd had an ERA over 4 last season and it was even higher against these Indians. The last three years he has a 4.30 ERA against Cleveland, as they hit .270 off him. Play the Indians/White Sox Over the total.
Free MLB Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -150 (Jimmy Boyd)
The Phillies have dominated the first two games of this series, and while I think this game will be closer, the Phillies are still worth a shot at this price. The Phillies are 41-14 in their last 55 meetings with the Nats and 21-7 in the last 28 meetings in Washington. Here’s another trend to think about: the Nationals are just 38-107 in their last 145 games following a loss. Kyle Kendrick was beat out by Jamie Moyer for Philly’s final rotation spot, but he gets the start today because Joe Blanton is injured. Kendrick was very strong in spring training, posting a 1.46 ERA in nine appearances. The Phillies are 7-3 in his last 10 starts as a road favorite and I expect him to pitch well today to show the organization that he is capable of stepping into the rotation at any time. The Nationals are just 1-6 in Craig Stammen’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. We’ll take the Phillies.
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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians
Free MLB Pick: Under 8.5 Runs -110 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more MLB baseball picks from Rob Vinciletti
On Thursday the Free play in MLB Action is on the Under 8.5 runs in the Cleveland at Chicago game. Rotation numbers 969/970 at 8:10 eastern. This game fits an early season under indicator here tonight. In the pitching matchup the Whitesox send G. Floyd to the hill. In his last two starts vs the Tribe he has been sensational allowing just 1 earned run in nearly 15 innings of work. Cleveland counters with J.Masterson tonight. Masterson has been superb in his recent starts vs the Whitesox. He has pitched 13 inning allowing just 2 earned runs with 16 strikeouts to his credit in 2 hard luck losses. With the pitching matchup and the early season totals indicator pointing to the under we will lean with the under 8.5 runs tonight. On Wednesday we swept the board again in the NBA Cashing both big plays on Denver and the over in the Boston at Toronto game. For Thursday I have 1 Big NBA Side, a XXX-Large Triple system winner. Our team also has 4 solid power angles that apply. The NBA has been piping hot. Jump on and cash out. RV