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NBA Playoffs: Orlando Magic vs. Atlanta Hawks Odds & Pick: May 10th 2010

Orlando Magic vs. Atlanta Hawks
Free Pick: Atlanta Hawks +6.5 odds
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With their backs against the wall, and after three sub par efforts, I believe the Hawks will play their best game of this series as they catch what I believe will be a somewhat complacent Magic team that will look to wrap things up in Game 5 on their home floor:

Orlando has man-handled the Hawks and hasn’t lost a game in over a month; I expect a letdown here though against a determined, talented, and desperate Atlanta team.

Interestingly, Orlando is in fact a poor 4-6 ATS this year in road games where the total is between 190 and 194 1/2.

On the other side of the court: Poor road team; great home team.

Atlanta has once again run into a wall in the second round though.

When this series started, I believed the Hawks would get at least one game, so am as surprised as many of the Atlanta players are themselves about being down 3-0; “The chemistry, it’s OK,” Al Horford said. “At times, it can be really good. Other times, not so good. There are ups and down. We have a lot of good guys on the team. We mesh to a certain extent. I just think sometimes, when things don’t go our way, everybody seems to crawl into their own little hole.”

And although it might lose again tonight, I expect Atlanta to play with some pride and keep this one close down the stretch.

Don’t forget as well, that the Hawks have excelled in this spot all year; 8-2 ATS this season after scoring 85 points or less in their previous contest.

Bottom line: Atlanta has shown little “heart” in this Round 2 matchup so far, but I think it still has some fight left in it; consider a second look at the Hawks in this situation.

MLB Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick: May 10th 2010

Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Free Pick: Atlanta Braves -130 odds
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It’s true that the Braves have really struggled on the road. However, that’s not Tommy Hanson’s fault. Hanson has a 2.65 ERA in his three road starts and the Braves have won two of those games. Looking back further and we find that Hanson has NEVER allowed more than four earned runs in any of his 13 big league road starts and that he allowed two earned runs or less in 10 of those. He finished last season with a 4-2 record and 2.61 ERA on the road. He did lose his only start at Miller Park – that wasn’t his fault either though, as he allowed two earned runs through seven innings. The Braves didn’t give him any run support in that game, but they should provide him with some here, even if Jones and Heyward aren’t available.

Davis was ok (for him) last time out, allowing three runs in 5 1/3 innings and earning his first victory. However, he’s still 1-3 with a terrible 8.13 ERA and 2.061 WHIP on the season, averaging less than five innings per start.

While I’ve already noted that the Braves have struggled on the road, it’s also worth mentioning that the Brewers haven’t been particularly good at home either. They’re just 4-8 here on the season. The Braves have won three of their last four here and I feel that they’ve got a great chance at starting this series off with a much-needed victory. Consider Atlanta

MLB Pick: Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Line: May 10th 2010

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Free Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +105 betting line
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Cincinnati hits the road after a successful 4-2 homestand to move to a game over .500 on the season but the road has not been as kind. The Reds are 4-7 in their last 11 games away from home and three of those losses already took place in Pittsburgh where they were swept back in mid-April. They are hitting only .228 on the road this year which is fifth worse in all of baseball. After sweeping the Cubs, the Pirates lost their series to the Cardinals two games to one but they have a good chance to bounce back Monday. The weekend series against St. Louis was a tough one as Pittsburgh had to face Chris Carpenter, Jaime Garcia and Adam Wainwright who are a combined 12-3 with a 2.06 ERA so getting one game from that series should be considered an accomplishment. The Pirates now take a big step down in class as they face Bronson Arroyo who is off to a bad start this season. He started the year with a quality start against the Cardinals but he has only one quality performance over his last five games as his ERA has ballooned to 6.14. He has been up and down against the Pirates over the years and already in one start against them this season, he allowed five runs in six innings in a 5-3 loss. The Pirates counter with Russ Ohlendorf who is making his first start since coming off the disabled list due to back spasms. He reported no problems in a four-inning rehab start at Altoona on Wednesday where he tossed four shutout innings against Richmond. Ohlendorf was very solid last season with a 3.92 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 29 starts and that included a quality start against the Reds in his lone start against them. The Reds are 17-37 in their last 54 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Pirates are 12-4 in Ohlendorf’s last 16 home starts. 3* Pittsburgh Pirates

MLB Pick: New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers Betting Line: May 10th 2010

New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers
Free Pick: New York Yankees -119 betting line
Visit Touthouse.com for more baseball picks from Big Al McMordie

At 7:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the New York Yankees over the Detroit Tigers. It’s a bit of a half-empty/half-full situation for Tigers starter Dontrelle Willis so far. The half-full part is that the veteran lefthander has bounced back from a disastrous 2009 season (1-4; 7.49 ERA) to post a 3.99 ERA so far for his team. The half-empty part is that Willis only has a single win over his first five starts and he is clearly still miles away from the form he showed early in his career with Florida when he was looking like one of the top young lefthanders in baseball. He really has his work cut out for him today, as the Yankees are not only the top hitting team in the AL, but they are also far and away the top hitting squad in all of baseball vs. lefthanders. Coming into this week, the Bronx Bombers lineup sported a scorching .911 OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage) vs. southpaw pitching. The Yanks will send righthander Sergio Mitre to the mound for a rare spot start this evening, and as far as spot starters go, Mitre is not half-bad. In fact, he could probably make the top half of a couple of MLB rotations. Mitre has an excellent 2.79 ERA so far this season, and he has plenty of prior experience as a starter. Take the Yankees. As always, good luck…Al McMordie.

Free MLB Picks and Baseball Betting Predictions for May 9th 2010

Below are free MLB picks and baseball betting predictions for May 9th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball picks on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.

Free MLB Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -138 (Black Widow)
Off a rare loss to the A’s Saturday, we fully expect the Rays to bounce back Sunday behind James Shields. Tampa Bay still owns the best record in baseball at 22-8 and the Rays are 13-2 on the road this season. The Rays are 5-1 in Shields’ 6 starts this year, as he has posted a 4-0 record with a 3.15 ERA. Shields recently beat Oakland on 4/28, allowing 1 earned run on 6 hits and 1 walk in 7 innings of a 10-3 victory over the A’s. He faced Dallas Braden, the same starter he’ll take on Sunday. Braden gave up 6 earned runs on 8 hits and 3 walks in 4 innings, giving his team no chance. Shields is 4-1 with a 3.59 ERA in nine career starts against Oakland. The Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Tampa Bay should be more heavily favored considering this is the same pitching match-up that resulted in a 10-3 victory over the A’s less than two weeks ago. Take Tampa Bay on the Money Line.

Free MLB Pick: Minnesota Twins -145 (Dave Price)
I’ll back the Twins behind Blacknurn today. The Twins are 8-2 in Blackburn’s last 10 starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 home starts. The Twins are 81-36 in their last 117 games as a home favorite while the Orioles are 15-41 in their last 56 games as a road underdog. Baltimore has been some of the best fade material in the majors this season and we’ll fade away again Sunday. Take the Twins.

Free MLB Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +105 (Jeff Alexander)
Look for the Phillies to have their way with Kawakami, who is 0-5 with a 5.47 ERA on the season. Meanwhile, we can expect a solid out from Hamels, who carries an ERA of just 2.91 at home this season. Plus, the Braves are hitting a dismal .231 against southpaw starters and scoring only 3.3 runs per game against them. Considering the Phillies are hitting .281 and scoring 5.8 runs per game against righty starters, I like our chances with this small run line wager. Take the Phillies.

Free MLB Pick: Colorado Rockies -125 (Jimmy Boyd)
All I really need to say here is Ubaldo Jimenez. He’s out of the gate 6-0 with an ERA of only 0.87. He gives the Rockies the edge this afternoon against the Dodgers and a struggling Clayton Kershaw. This was supposed to be the year that Kershaw really established himself as the ace of this staff, but he hasn’t found his groove yet. He is 0-2 in his last 3 starts with an ERA of 7.25. And dating back to last season, the Dodgers are just 6-13 in Kershaw’s last 19 starts. It is also worth noting that the Dodgers are 0-9 in their last 9 games as an underdog. We’ll make a small play on the team with the better starter on the hill here. Take the Rockies.

MLB Baseball Betting Lines & Odds for May 9th 2010

Here is a rundown of today’s baseball betting odds and MLB betting lines from Touthouse.com for May 9th 2010. If you are looking for free MLB baseball picks on a daily basis be sure to sign-up for our official free sports picks newsletter, featuring unmatched sports betting information, free picks and expert analysis from over 30 professional sports handicappers

MLB Baseball Betting Odds: May 9th 2010
Click Here for Current MLB Baseball Odds

NATIONAL LEAGUE
10:10 AM 901 CHI CUBS, P: R DEMPSTER-R -1½+130 o8-115 -125
902 CIN REDS, P: M LEAKE-R +1½-150 u8-105 +105

10:10 AM 903 SFO GIANTS, P: T LINCECUM-R -1½-125 o7½EV -205
904 NY METS, P: OL PEREZ-L +1½+105 u7½-120 +175

10:35 AM 905 FLA MARLINS, P: A SANCHEZ-R +1½-205 o9-110 EV
906 WAS NATIONALS, P: L HERNANDEZ-R -1½+175 u9-110 -120

10:35 AM 907 STL CARDINALS, P: WAINWRIGHT-R -1½-115 o7½-115 -200
908 PIT PIRATES, P: P MAHOLM-L +1½-105 u7½-105 +170

10:35 AM 909 ATL BRAVES, P: K KAWAKAMI-R +1½-115 o9½EV +185
910 PHI PHILLIES, P: C HAMELS-L -1½-105 u9½-120 -215

11:05 AM 911 SDG PADRES, P: K CORREIA-R +1½-205 o7½EV EV
912 HOU ASTROS, P: R OSWALT-R -1½+175 u7½-120 -120

1:10 PM 913 COL ROCKIES, P: U JIMENEZ-R -1½+125 o7-120 -139
914 LA DODGERS, P: C KERSHAW-L +1½-145 u7EV +119

1:10 PM 915 MIL BREWERS, P: C NARVESON-L +1½-145 o10½-110 +137
916 ARI D’BACKS, P: I KENNEDY-R -1½+125 u10½-110 -157

AMERICAN LEAGUE
10:05 AM 917 DET TIGERS, P: M SCHERZER-R +1½-205 o8½-120 -105
918 CLE INDIANS, P: M TALBOT-R -1½+175 u8½EV -115

11:05 AM 919 TOR B-JAYS, P: R ROMERO-L -1½+150 o8-120 -119
920 CHI W SOX, P: G FLOYD-R +1½-170 u8EV -101

11:10 AM 921 BAL ORIOLES, P: B MATUSZ-L +1½-165 o9EV +125
922 MIN TWINS, P: N BLACKBUR-R -1½+145 u9-120 -145

12:05 PM 923 KAN ROYALS, P: L HOCHEVAR-R +1½-145 o9½-110 +145
924 TEX RANGERS, P: S FELDMAN-R -1½+125 u9½-110 -165

1:05 PM 925 TAM RAYS, P: J SHIELDS-R -1½+104 o7½-115 -160
926 OAK A`S, P: D BRADEN-L +1½-124 u7½-105 +140

1:10 PM 927 LA ANGELS, P: E SANTANA-R +1½-215 o7½-120 -110
928 SEA MARINERS, P: J VARGAS-L -1½+185 u7½EV -110

5:05 PM 929 NY YANKEES, P: A BURNETT-R +1½-205 o9-105 -109
930 BOS RED SOX, P: J LESTER-L -1½+175 u9-115 -111

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Odds & Pick: May 9th 2010

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
Free Pick: Boston Red Sox -115 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more MLB betting picks from Rob Vinciletti

On Sunday the free play is on the Boston Redsox. Game 930 at 8:05 eastern. The Sox have taken it on the chin the last 2 games vs the Yankees. Tonight they will look to salvage the last game of the series. They have solid lefty J. Lester making the start. He has a 3-1 record vs New york and has pitched to a 0.44 era over his last 3 starts. He faced the Yankees earlier in the season here when he wasn’t pitching nearly as well. Tonight he will face AJ. Burnett for the Yankees. Burnett has struggled big time in previous 2 starts here allowing 13 runs on 16 hits and 4 home runs in just 10 innings. Boston is 65-32 at home in games where the total is 9 to 9.5 the past few years. Look for the Sox to avenge last nights 14-3 beat down. On Sunday I have the 2nd round NBA Goy from a 100% System that dates to 1990. I also have a double system play in the other NBA Game and a 5* MLB Diamond cutter MLB Side that wins by an average 3 runs per game. We cashed the Big NL total with Over AZ-Mil on Saturday and will end your week with the cash on Sunday. Jump on and recoup some of those Mothers day expenses. All games go after 3:30 eastern. For the free play take the Boston Redsox tonight. BOL GC

NBA Playoffs: Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs Odds & Pick: May 9th 2010

Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs
Free Pick: Under 207 Points -110 odds
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After facing each other three times, the Suns and Spurs both really know what each is trying to accomplish offensively. That makes stopping each other much easier in Game 4. San Antonio knows they have to defend the pick and roll much better than they did in Game 3, and this resilient team will do so. Phoenix has to contain the Big 3 and make everyone else try and beat them, and they were very effective in doing so in Game 3 with the exception of Ginobli. Parker and Duncan were virtual non-factors. This 207-point total is the biggest of the series to this point, which gives us solid value on the UNDER.

This play also falls under a system that is 40-10 (80%) to the UNDER since 1996. It tells us to bet the UNDER on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHOENIX) – after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%). The Suns are 10-1 to the UNDER in road games off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. Phoenix is 31-16 to the UNDER after a combined score of 205 or more points this season. Phoenix has found a way to finally play solid defense this season, and we know that San Antonio can defend. Roll with the UNDER in Game 4.

NBA Playoffs: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Boston Celtics Odds & Pick: May 9th 2010

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Boston Celtics
Free Pick: Cleveland Cavs -1 -110 odds
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Reasons the Cavs cover:
1.) System Play. We’ll Play On – Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND) – an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a blowout win by 20 points or more. This is a 28-6 ATS System hitting 82.4% since 1996. This system is 2-1 this season.

2.) Cleveland actually has a better road record (28-16) than Boston’s home record (27-18). Home court has not been much of an advantage at all for the Celtics, and that was on display in Game 3. It’s clear that Lebron James’ elbow is just fine after he poured in 21 first quarter points en route to a 124-95 Game 3 victory. If Cleveland plays at or near their best, Boston cannot beat them. The Cavs won’t make the same mistake they did in Game 2 by coming out flat. Look for the Cavs to go in for the kill Sunday. Bet Cleveland in Game 4.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Odds & Pick: May 9th 2010

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -150 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more MLB baseball picks from Big Al McMordie

At 4:10 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks over Milwaukee. It’s been largely a case of “feast or famine” this year for the Brewers’ offense. Yesterday, Milwaukee blasted the Diamondbacks 17-3, and that was the sixth time this season (including three of their last five) that the Brewers have scored double-digits in runs! Unfortunately, in six of their last nine games, the Brewers have scored three runs or less (including three shutouts). And in a staggering 14 games of their 30 this season, the Brewers have scored three runs or less. That’s probably not going to get the job done against Ian Kennedy today, as he’s really pitching well (3.65 ERA; 1.13 WHIP), including 2.38 ERA and 0.97 WHIP over his last three starts. Chris Narveson will take the mound for Milwaukee, and he’s been completely mediocre this season (4.91 ERA). The Brewers have won 12 of 16 at Arizona, including a 5-3 victory last season behind Narveson. Those facts are noted. But Arizona has been piling up runs vs. lefty starters this year (6.7 per game; .289 batting avg.), and we’ll take the Diamondbacks this afternoon. Good luck, as always…Big Al McMordie.