This is a good time to fade Florida St. A week ago tonight, the Seminoles upset then undefeated and number one Duke and followed that up with a blowout win over an overmatched NC State team. Now they hit the road for the first time since where they are 4-2 on the season including losses in their last two. One of those losses came in the ACC at Virginia Tech and now they head to Miami to face the Hurricanes which will be out for revenge after last season’s home finale defeat by a point.
Miami is just 1-2 in the ACC with losses coming at Duke and at Clemson and the lone win coming last time out over Boston College by a point. The Hurricanes are a perfect 9-0 at home and over the last four seasons the Hurricanes have compiled a 46-10 record at home. The Hurricanes are ranked 32nd in the latest NCAA Men’s Basketball RPI rankings released on Jan. 17, the third-highest ranked squad in the ACC, behind Duke at 10th and North Carolina at 25th.
Florida St. is known for its tough defense but the Hurricanes are deep and they have the athletes that can negate that edge. Miami is the only team to have two scorers among the ACC’s top 10 and three scorers among the ACC’s top 20 in Malcolm Grant (15.0 ppg, 8th), Durand Scott (14.2 ppg, 9th) and Reggie Johnson (12.1 ppg, 20th). Miami also has a big advantage at the free throw line both overall and in home/road splits and with a line this small, that can make or break the cover.
An mentioned, this is a revenge game for Miami and it is actually a triple-revenge situation and the line is right knowing it is 6-0 ATS in its last six games with a line set between +3 and -3. Florida St. meanwhile is 4-13 ATS against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 and it is also 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games after playing a game as a home favorite. 3* Miami Hurricanes