After dropping the first two games of this series, look for the Mets to finally bounce back in game 3. Plain and simple, I feel John Maine gives the Mets a better chance to win than Nate Robertson does the Marlins. For whatever reason, Robertson just doesn’t perform well at home. This season, he’s 0-2 (0-3 on the money line) with an ERA of 6.28 in his home starts. Looking back, Robertson is on a 2-16 skid against the money line at home when the money line is -100 to -125 and he’s on a 1-9 money line slide at home when the money line is +125 to -125. Maine has settled in over his last 3 starts, going 2-1 on the money line with a 2.50 ERA. And he has good career numbers against the Fish. He’s 5-2 lifetime when starting against Florida with an ERA of 3.45. In addition, the Mets are 20-8 in Maine’s last 28 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Bet the Mets.
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Kansas City has won two straight games and will go for a third behind Luke Hochevar. The righty is 3-1 with a 5.64 ERA this season. His ERA dips to 2.51 in his two starts at home. He defeated the White Sox May 4th as he gave up just three hits and one run in six innings of work. Hochevar has won three straight decisions against the White Sox because AJ Pierzynski (2-14), Paul Konerko (2-12), Alex Rios (1-12), Carlos Quentin (2-8), Andruw Jones (0-6), Mark Kotsay (0-6), Ramon Castro (0-5), Omar Vizquel (904) and Mark Teahen (0-2) all have struggled against him. As a team, Chicago is hitting just .232 against right-handers and just .230 on the season overall. The White Sox are just 5-11 on the road and 5-10 against the rest of the AL Central.
Chicago’s Jake Peavy gets the start tonight and he is 2-2 with a 5.57 ERA. On the road, the righty is 0-1 with a 6.98 ERA. He’s shown flashes of inconsistency and wildness walking 11 in 19.3 innings of work away from home. Kansas City is hitting .305 against divisional opponents while averaging 4.6 runs per game. The Royals should continue to play well here, and we’ll recommend taking them on the run line in this game tonight.
Below are free MLB picks and baseball betting predictions for May 14th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball picks on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.
Free MLB Pick: Athletics vs. Angels Over 8.5 (Black Widow)
Joe Saunders has been atrocious at home this season, and Dallas Braden has struggled against the Angels in his career. Saunders is 0-4 with an 8.19 ERA and 1.928 WHIP in four home starts, giving up 17 earned runs and 36 base runners in 18.2 innings. The OVER is 3-1 in those four home starts. Braden is 2-3 with a 4.64 ERA in six career starts against the Angels. In his last 2 starts vs. Los Angeles, Braden has given up 9 earned runs and 17 base runners in 11 innings. Yes, Braden did pitch a perfect game at home last time out. But Braden has been anything but perfect on the road this year, going 1-1 with an 8.10 ERA and 1.700 WHIP in 2 starts away from home. Oakland is 8-1 OVER (+7.0 Units) on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. Saunders is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. The OVER is 5-0 in Braden’s last 5 starts as a road underdog. The OVER is 4-1 in Saunders’ last 5 home starts vs. Oakland and the OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in L.A. Take the OVER 8.5 runs here.
Free MLB Pick: San Francisco Giants -140 (Info Plays)
We’ll Play Against – All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (HOUSTON) – below average NL hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), in May games. This is a 79-24 ML System hitting 76.7% over the last 5 seasons. We have two teams coming into this game with different attitudes. The Astros are in for a big letdown after their 3-game sweep of the Cardinals last series. Meanwhile, the Giants will be focused and determined in Game 1 of this series after getting swept in 3 games by the Padres. The Astros are 0-6 in Felipe Paulino’s 6 starts this season and he won’t be getting his first win of the year against the hungery Giants Friday. Dating back even further, the Astros are 2-14 in Paulino’s last 16 starts as an underdog. Bet San Francisco at home.
Here is a rundown of today’s baseball betting odds and MLB betting lines from Touthouse.com for May 14th 2010. If you are looking for free MLB baseball picks on a daily basis be sure to sign-up for our official free sports picks newsletter, featuring unmatched sports betting information, free picks and expert analysis from over 30 professional sports handicappers
MLB Baseball Betting Odds: May 14th 2010
Click Here for Current MLB Baseball Odds
11:20 AM 951 PIT PIRATES, P: B BURRES-L +185
952 CHI CUBS, P: GORZELANNY-L -215
4:10 PM 953 STL CARDINALS, P: J GARCIA -L -1½+125 o8½-110 -135
954 CIN REDS, P: A HARANG -R +1½-145 u8½-110 +115
4:10 PM 955 NY METS, P: OL PEREZ -L +1½-170 o9-125 +118
956 FLA MARLINS, P: A SANCHEZ -R -1½+150 u9+105 -138
4:35 PM 957 ARI D’BACKS, P: I KENNEDY-R +1½-200 o9-110 +104
958 ATL BRAVES, P: K KAWAKAMI-R -1½+170 u9-110 -124
5:10 PM 959 PHI PHILLIES, P: J MOYER-L +1½-180 o9-120 +110
960 MIL BREWERS, P: R WOLF -L -1½+160 u9EV -130
6:10 PM 961 WAS NATIONALS, P: L HERNANDEZ-R +1½EV o8½-115 +200
962 COL ROCKIES, P: U JIMENEZ -R -1½-120 u8½-105 -240
7:05 PM 963 LA DODGERS, P: R ORTIZ -R +1½-170 o7½-115 +125
964 SDG PADRES, P: J GARLAND -R -1½+150 u7½-105 -145
7:15 PM 965 HOU ASTROS, P: F PAULINO -R +1½-170 o8½-110 +124
966 SFO GIANTS, P: WELLEMEYER-R -1½+150 u8½-110 -144
4:05 PM 967 CLE INDIANS, P: MASTERSON-R +1½-200 o9-105 +105
968 BAL O`S, P: J GUTHRIE-R -1½+170 u9-115 -125
4:05 PM 969 TEX RANGERS, P: R HARDEN-R +1½-200 o8½-105 +106
970 TOR B-JAYS, P: B CECIL-L -1½+170 u8½-115 -126
4:05 PM 971 BOS RED SOX, P: C BUCHHOLZ-R -1½+125 o9-110 -135
972 DET TIGERS, P: M SCHERZER-R +1½-145 u9-110 +115
4:05 PM 973 MIN TWINS, P: S BAKER -R +1½-135 o9½-105 +160
974 NY YANKEES, P: A BURNETT -R -1½+115 u9½-115 -180
4:10 PM 975 SEA MARINERS, P: D FISTER-R +1½-150 o8-120 +145
976 TAM RAYS, P: W DAVIS -R -1½+130 u8EV -165
5:10 PM 977 CHI W SOX, P: M BUEHRLE -L -1½+125 o9-125 -134
978 KAN ROYALS, P: G MECHE-R +1½-145 u9+105 +114
7:05 PM 979 OAK A,S, P: D BRADEN -L +1½-205 o8½-120 EV
980 LA ANGELS, P: J SAUNDERS-L -1½+175 u8½EV -120
Good price here with the Angels as a small home favorite over the A’s. Dallas Braden comes into this contest fresh off a perfect game against the Tampa Bay Rays. It’s only human nature for a pitcher coming off such a big feat to have a letdown in his next start. And if Braden’s road outings this season are any indication, chances are he’s going to struggle tonight. Braden is 1-1 with an 8.10 ERA and 1.700 WHIP through 2 road starts this season. He has allowed 9 earned runs in 10 innings on the road, and Braden has also yielded 9 earned runs in 11 innings in his last 2 starts against Los Angeles. Joe Saunders has experienced solid success vs. Oakland, going 9-4 with a 4.13 ERA lifetime against the A’s.
This play falls under a system that is 31-11 (74%) since 1997. It tells us to bet against road teams (OAKLAND) – poor power team (<=0.9 HR’s/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 1 or more HR’s/start, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL. Saunders has given up 7 home runs this season, but against this weak A’s line-up I like his chances of keeping the ball in the park en route to an Angels’ victory. Take Los Angeles.
On Friday the free play is on the St.Louis Cardinals. Game 953 at 7:10 eastern. The Cardinals are fresh off a home sweep. However they were the ones who were swept. They were dispacthed rather easily once again by an average Houston team. The Cardinals have now lost 7 of their last 9. Tonight they travel to Cincinatti to take on the Reds. St.Louis will send under rated J.Garcia to the mound. Garcia has quietly put up solid numbers. In 38 innings he has allowed just 5 earned runs, good for a dynamic 1.18 era. The Reds will counter with over rated A.Harang tonight. Harang has a 5.18 home era and is just 7-12 with a 4.57 era vs the Cardinals. Ironically this will be his 3rd start already vs St.Louis. In the first 2 meetings he allowed 7 runs in 11 innings. However he has surrenderd 3 home runs. Look for thr Cardinals to get untracked here tonight. The St.Louis tonight. On Friday I have the 5* MLB Diamond Cutter system that is derived from a 14-1 Totals system that wins by over 3.5 runs per game. I also have the Revenge Game of the month backed by another famed Cutting edge system and a big Dominator angle. On Thursday MLB Stayed hot with another totals winner on the Under in the Mets at Marlins game. Start your weekend right with 2 more Big bases winners. For the free play take the Cardinals. RV
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A pair of National Conference squads take aim at each other in Week 7 of AFL betting action as the Utah Blaze invade the Bradley Center to duke it out with the Milwaukee Iron. Utah is fresh off of a bye week after notching its first win of the season against Bossier City two weeks ago. The Iron got back to their winning ways last week by rolling off a huge divisional win over Chicago 71-48 to take back first place in the Midwest Division. This is the first time that these two franchises have ever met on the gridiron.
Even though the Utah offense is only averaging 48.3 points per game this year, the numbers for QB Brett Elliot are getting better and better by the week. He tossed just six touchdowns and a pick in his first two appearances of the year, completing less than 60 percent of his passes in both games. Since that point, he has completed 51 of his 81 passes (63.0 percent) with 12 TDs and just one INT. His favorite target, WR Aaron Boone is very quietly putting together a fantastic season for the Blaze. Boone has caught 33 passes for 344 yards and a whopping ten touchdowns, which puts him on pace for 40 on the season.
When you’re talking about the standard of quarterback play in this league though, you can’t look past the way that QB Chris Greisen has had his way with opposing defenses this year. Greisen has tossed 37 touchdowns without throwing an interception; an INT-less streak that goes as far back as the end of the ’08 season. WR Damian Harrell is clearly at the back end of his career, but he has a chance to break the AFL record for most receptions and receiving yards. Assuming that he suits (he missed last week with a tweaked hamstring, but is expected to give it a go on Friday night), he’ll almost certainly pass the yards record, as he is just 40 shy of WR/LB Barry Wagner’s 13,363 yards. However, catching WR/LB Lawrence Samuels on the all-time receptions list (1,029) would require 16 catches.
The Blaze opened this week up as hefty three touchdown underdogs to the 4-1 Iron. The Arena Football betting line currently sits at Milwaukee (-20) at the time of publication of this article.
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Below are free MLB picks and baseball betting predictions for May 13th 2010 from Touthouse.com handicappers. If you are looking for free MLB baseball picks on a daily basis or premium picks from our MLB baseball betting experts visit Touthouse.com each day.
Free MLB Pick: Florida Marlins -120 (Black Widow)
Josh Johnson is the Ace of this Marlins’ staff, and rarely will you find him as just a small home favorite. He is up against Johan Santana, who is coming off his two worst starts of the season. Santana is 0-1 with an 8.43 ERA in two road starts this year. In his last 2 starts, Santana has allowed 14 earned runs, 18 base runners and 4 home runs in 11.1 innings. Johnson is 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA and 0.810 WHIP in his last three starts so he comes in with the hotter hand. Johnson is 3-0 with a 2.42 ERA and 1.077 WHIP in four home starts this year, and the Marlins are 4-0 in those outings. It’s also worth noting that the Marlins are 8-2 in Johnson’s 10 career starts vs. New York. Johnson is 7-1 with a 2.69 ERA in 10 lifetime starts against the Mets. The Mets are 3-14 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Marlins are 14-3 in Johnsons last 17 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take the Marlins on the Money Line.
Free MLB Pick: New York Yankees -126 (Jack Jones)
Good value here with C.C. Sabathia of the New York Yankees as he’s usually a -200 favorite when he takes the mound. Sabathia is 4-1 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.077 WHIP this season. The Yankees are 22-5 in Sabathia’s last 27 starts. The Yankees are 8-0 in Sabathia’s last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. New York has won 6 of their last 8 meetings with Detroit and with Sabathia on the mound Thursday there’s a very good chance he gets the victory. The Yankees are 63-23 in their last 86 games vs. a right-handed starter. New York is 46-15 in their last 61 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Any time you can find New York as a favorite of less than -150 they are certainly worth a look, especially with their Ace on the mound. Justin Verlander is Detroit’s Ace but he’s off to another slow start this year with a 4.50 ERA. I’ll take Sabathia and the Yankees at this price any day. Bet New York.
Free MLB Pick: Nationals vs. Rockies Under 9.5 (Jimmy Boyd)
This series has been all about the Under recently with 5 of the last 7 meetings playing to the Under. Plus, the Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Colorado. This total range is significant also when you consider that the Under is 6-0-1 in the Nationals’ last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 runs and 4-1 in the Rockies’ last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 runs. Lannan takes the hill for Washington tonight and the Under is 14-2-2 in his last 18 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5 runs. Looking back even further, the Under is 22-7-3 in his last 32 overall starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5 runs. In addition, the Under is 6-1-1 in his last 8 road starts. It is also comforting to know that the Under is 8-0 in Lannan’s last 8 starts versus an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing an average of 7.3 runs scored in these games. While this play largely has to do with Lannan, it is also certainly worth noting that Chacin is 2-0 with an ERA of 0.00 on the season. We’ll bet the Under.
Here is a rundown of today’s baseball betting odds and MLB betting lines from Touthouse.com for May 13th 2010. If you are looking for free MLB baseball picks on a daily basis be sure to sign-up for our official free sports picks newsletter, featuring unmatched sports betting information, free picks and expert analysis from over 30 professional sports handicappers
MLB Baseball Betting Odds: May 13th 2010
Click Here for Current MLB Baseball Odds
10:40 AM 901 HOU ASTROS, P: B NORRIS-R +1½+120 o7-125 +245
902 STL CARDINALS, P: CARPENTER -R -1½-140 u7+105 -295
12:45 PM 903 SDG PADRES, P: M LATOS-R +1½-155 o7½EV +153
904 SFO GIANTS, P: J SANCHEZ-L -1½+135 u7½-120 -173
4:10 PM 905 NY METS, P: JO SANTANA-L +1½-200 o7½+105 +110
906 FLA MARLINS, P: J JOHNSON -R -1½+170 u7½-125 -130
5:40 PM 907 WAS NATIONALS, P: J LANNAN -L +1½-120 o9½-105 +170
908 COL ROCKIES, P: J CHACIN -R -1½EV u9½-115 -200
9:35 AM 909 SEA MARINERS, P: F HERNANDEZ-R -1½+125 o7½EV -134
910 BAL O`S, P: K MILLWOOD-R +1½-145 u7½-120 +114
10:05 AM 911 NY YANKEES, P: C SABATHIA-L -1½+120 o7½-110 -138
912 DET TIGERS, P: VERLANDER-R +1½-140 u7½-110 +118
11:05 AM 913 OAK A,S, P: B SHEETS-R +1½-125 o8½-125 +168
914 TEX RANGERS, P: C WILSON-L -1½+105 u8½+105 -188
11:10 AM 915 CLE INDIANS, P: D HUFF-L +1½-125 o8-110 +175
916 KC ROYALS, P: Z GREINKE-R -1½+105 u8-110 -205
At 7:10 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Florida Marlins over the New York Mets. Josh Johnson will take the mound for the Fish, and he’s been simply brilliant, for the most part, this season. Johnson’s overall ERA is 3.35 in seven starts, and it gets even better in his home ball park: 2.42 with a 1.07 WHIP. Overall, he’s undefeated at home (3-0), and Florida even won one of his home starts in which he received a no-decision. Thus, the Fish have won all four of his home games this year. That’s in stark contrast to the work that Mets’ ace Johan Santana is putting in on the road. Away from Citi Field, Santana is a disastrous 0-1 (in two starts) with an 8.43 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Overall, this year, Santana is 3-2, with an unsightly (for him) ERA of 4.54. New York is an awful 16-45 on the road at night over the last two seasons, and with the odds of this game priced very reasonably (Florida is currently -120), we’ll step in and take the Marlins behind Johnson. Good luck, as always…Big Al McMordie. And don’t miss my 100%, 14-0 ATS System Winner in tonight’s Game 6 between the Celtics and Cavaliers.