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College Basketball Picks for February 8th 2011: Wager On NC Wilmington And Tennessee

College Basketball Picks: February 8th 2011

Pick: NC Wilmington +10
We catch a great number at home with UNC-Wilmington where it is 8-3 on the season including a win last time out on Saturday over William & Mary. That snapped a four-game losing streak for the Seahawks and got them to 5-0 in the CAA. UNC-Wilmington was not a very good team on Dec. 4 when it went to George Mason and got roughed up 80-52. The Seahawks have improved quite a bit since then as team chemistry has gotten much better and they will be out for some payback. This is as much of a play against George Mason as it is on UNC-Wilmington. The Patriots have won nine straight games and have covered 10 straight games and provides huge value going the other way as linesmakers have no choice but to keep inflating these lines. George Mason has done a great job at covering as big favorites but with the big number along with the fact this is a letdown spot following a big win over the weekend against Old Dominion, the Patriots fall into the bounce angle. When looking at the home and road splits, there is not a big difference between these two teams statistically. The Patriots are outscoring opponents on the road at just over eight ppg while the Seahawks are outscoring opponents at home by just under six ppg. George Mason is +4.5 percent in shooting margin including 5.6 percent from long range while UNC-Wilmington is not far behind at 3.0 percent and 2.4 percent respectively. Free throw shooting meanwhile is dead even. This is one place where the Patriots have notoriously struggles as the home team is 20-5-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings and this includes the Patriots going 1-10-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Wilmington. The Seahawks are 19-9 against the Patriots at Trask Coliseum and they have won seven of the last 10 meetings at Trask. George Mason has won two straight in Wilmington but by a total of six points and the last seven games between the two clubs in Wilmington have been decided by seven points or less. 3* (524) UNC-Wilmington Seahawks -Matt Fargo

Pick: Tennessee +9.5
At 9 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers + the points over Kentucky. The Vols lost their last game to Alabama, at home in Knoxville, but get their head coach, Bruce Pearl, back tonight after he served his 8-game suspension. That’s good news for the Vols, who went 5-3 in his absence. More good news: Tennessee is 19-1 ATS as road dogs of +2 points or more in games off a home conference loss. Take Tennessee. Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

NBA Picks for February 8th 2011: Bet The Memphis Grizzlies And Atlanta Hawks Tuesday

NBA Picks: February 8th 2011

Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +7
I’m taking the points with the Grizzlies on Tuesday night. Memphis received good news early Tuesday morning when Rudy Gay (back) was updated to probable for tonight’s tilt. Memphis has been outstanding playing in the second game in as many night’s producing an 11-3-1 ATS record. The Grizzlies have also been an excellent dog of late going 17-3 ATS the last 20 times despite last night’s SU/ATS loss to the Lakers. Zach Randolph has had his way with the Thunder in the last two meetings and I expect more of the same tonight. And let’s not forget, before losing their last two games, the Grizzlies were on an 8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS “heater.” Memphis also hasn’t been phased by Laker contests. They have covered their last two games immediately following a contest against Kobe and company. I believe the line is too high and I’m backing the Grizzlies plus the points on Tuesday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer

Pick: Atlanta Hawks -5
I’ll take the Atlanta Hawks Tuesday as just a small home favorite over the Philadelphia 76ers. Atlanta is in the midst of their best run of the season as they are 12-4 in their last 16 games overall, including three straight victories. The Hawks have won four of their last five meetings with the Philadelphia 76ers as well. Atlanta is 17-7 at home this season, while Philly is just 7-19 on the road. The 76ers are 0-8 ATS after 2 consecutive division games over the last 3 seasons. The Hawks are 22-10 ATS in home games after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Atlanta is winning in this spot by 10.4 PPG and they are really taking care of the basketball, which is a big reason for their success over the past month. They have committed 13 or fewer turnovers in 11 straight games now. The Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. Great value here with the home favorite. Take Atlanta Tuesday. -Jack Jones

NBA Picks for February 7th 2011: Lakers And Bobcats Look Like Solid Bets On Monday

NBA Picks: February 7th 2011

Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -3.5
The Los Angeles Lakers will be looking for payback tonight in Memphis. The Lakers have lost each of their first two meetings with the Grizzlies this season. Memphis beat L.A. 98-96 at home on 11/30 followed by a 104-85 road victory on 1/02. The Lakers went on to win seven straight after that embarrassing home loss, and now they have their revenge by returning the favor in Memphis tonight. The Lakers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite, including 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5. Memphis is a tired team right now, as they will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and their 4th game in 6 days. The Lakers are certainly going to be the fresher team, playing their 2nd game in 4 days and their 3rd game in 6 days. I’ll gladly back the fresher team playing with revenge. Take the Lakers Monday. -Jack Jones

Pick: Charlotte Bobcats +5
This is a sandwich game for Boston. The Celtics are coming off a big win over Orlando yesterday and they have the Lakers up next. A matchup with a Charlotte team they have defeated 6 straight times won’t get their full attention this evening. We saw Boston go down in a very similar situation last week. Off a big win over Portland and win L.A. on deck, the C’s laid an egg in Phoenix. The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Boston is also only 4-14 ATS after a win by 10 points or more this season, winning by just 2.7 points on average in these contests. Take the points. -Dave Price

NCAA Basketball Picks: Missouri vs. Kansas Odds: February 7th 2011

Missouri vs. Kansas
Pick: Kansas -10.5 -110 odds – February 7th 2011
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Mizzou has been fantastic at home, but it has really struggled out on the road, where it is 0-4 in Big 12 play. The Tigers have especially struggled at Kansas in recent years. The Jayhawks have won 11 in a row at home in this series, and the last 3 have come by an average of 21.0 points.

Since falling to Texas, Kansas hasn’t been messing around. It has won 4 in a row, and its last 3 wins have all come by at least 20 points. Kansas is a perfect 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 77.7 to 60.5. Looking back, the Jayhawks are an impressive 31-14-1 ATS in their last 46 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. The Tigers, meanwhile, are 20-42 ATS in their last 62 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. Lay the points with the Jayhawks.

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College Basketball Picks: Pittsburgh vs. West Virginia Odds: February 7th 2011

Pittsburgh vs. West Virginia
College Basketball Pick: West Virginia -1 -110 odds – February 7th 2011
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West Virginia returns home following a loss at Villanova on Saturday which dropped it to 6-4 in the Big East this season. The Mountaineers are 3-1 at home within the conference and that loss against St. John’s is the only loss on the entire season at home. This is actually a rare home game for West Virginia as it ten home games are the fewest played by any team in the Big East Conference. The Panthers are 4-0 on the road but those four true road games are the fewest of any team in the Big East Conference. A week ago, it was Pittsburgh that had the depth and West Virginia that was shorthanded but now those roles have reversed. Mountaineers guard Casey Mitchell, who is averaging 15.7 ppg, fifth in the Big East, had not played since head coach Bob Huggins suspended him indefinitely for an unspecified violation of team rules the day after a win over South Florida on January 23rd. He was back with the team Saturday as he played 13 minutes and while he didn’t score, getting him back is a big boost for this team. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh will be without guard Ashton Gibbs who is the team’s leading scorer, leading three-point shooter and leading free throw shooter. The Panthers depth is also in question with Lamar Patterson and Dante Taylor, two of nine players averaging double-digit minutes, uncertain for tonight. This will no doubt help the Mountaineers defense which is allowing only 59.7 ppg on 37.3 percent shooting at home and it has won 39 of its last 41 games when holding the opponents to 69 points or less. If there is a team to take coming off a big loss, it is one that is coached by Huggins. In his last 13 games coming off a loss by 15 or more points, his teams have gone 12-1 ATS the next time out, winning those games by over 18 ppg. The Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record while the Panthers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games after playing four consecutive games as favorite while going 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. 3* (718) West Virginia Mountaineers

NBA Picks for February 6th 2011: Bet On The Miami Heat And Indiana Pacers

NBA Picks: February 6th 2011

Pick: Magic vs. Celtics Over 192.5
Sunday at 2:30PM ET the Magic take on the Celtics in Boston in Sunday’s nationally televised contest. The Magic are averaging 100.5 PPG, the Celtics are averaging 98.8 PPG. Over is 9-1 in BOS last 10 home games. Last game out for Orlando they beat hapless Washington 110-92 on Friday. Dwight Howard had 22 points and 15 rebounds and Ryan Anderson scored 19 points while filling in for injured starter Brandon Bass. Boston lost to the Dallas Mavericks 101-97 on Friday for its second loss in four games. Not to worried about who wins this game tomorrow, we just want to see lots of points, and I’m expecting a higher scoring game. Something similar to their last game when Boston defeated the Magic 109-106 on Jan. 17. Some trends I like for this one. Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 5-0 in Magic last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 4-0 in Magic last 4 games following a S.U. win. Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games following a S.U. loss. -Ray Monohan

Pick: Miami Heat -11.5
Even though the Clippers are playing well, Miami will be out for revenge after Los Angeles beat them to end their road winning streak earlier this season. Los Angeles is just 1-9 ATS in road games after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons. The average score in those 10 games was Clippers 89.4, Opponent 103.6. Miami is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. -Steve Janus

Pick: Indiana Pacers -1
Indiana is scoring 107 ppg in their last three, while the Nets have only scored 96.3 ppg in their last three. The Nets are 3- 15 against the top ten teams in DEFG% losing by an average margin of 10.2 ppg. Indiana has a huge 3 point advantage in this game as they average 8.1 threes per game, and 36.2% from beyond the arc while the Nets give up the exact same percentage defensively. The Nets only shoot 5.1 threes per game and shoot 34.9% from three and are unlikely to capitalize on the Pacer’s weakness defending the three (37.9%). I like the individual match ups in this game as well as the Pacer’s Granger can get it done inside and out and Roy Hibbert has the size and offensive Game to make Lopez work on both ends. I also like the depth at guard for the Pacers in this game as Jordan Farmar may not play and will likely be limited. The Pacers crushed the Nets in their last meeting by 32 points and have won their last three while the Nets have lost four of five. In what is essentially a pick ‘em game I love the Pacers with this line. 6-1 against the NBA this weekend 5-1 sides and 1-0 Total. Check out my premium picks for Sunday in the NBA and my Super Bowl Side. -Patrick Webb

College Basketball Picks for February 6th 2011: Bet On North Carolina And St. Peter’s Sunday

College Basketball Picks: February 6th 2011

Pick: North Carolina -7
North Carolina is cooking right now off four consecutive wins and covers over Clemson, Miami, NC State and Boston College and the Tar Heels won’t even think about easing up here. Florida State knocked UNC out of the ACC Tournament two years ago and handed the Tar Heels another 77-67 loss on this very same floor as a two-point underdog last season. The Seminoles have struggled on foreign courts going into momentum and this appears to be the ideal spot to fade Florida State too. As a guest battling an opponent that checks in off a blowout win of 10 points or more, FSU is a soft 27-44-2 ATS including 13-27-2 ATS in this role running with four or more days rest. Please note: That last tightener is on a dismal 7-19-2 ATS run. Historically, UNC has been tough to beat when it’s playing well. According to my college basketball database, the Tar Heels are a profitable 34-20 ATS at home with momentum coming off two or more SU and ATS wins including 30-12 ATS in this role sporting a won/loss percentage less than .930. Florida State steamrolled Wake Forest 85-61 in its last ACC battle. This trip to Chapel Hill will be a tough encore. The ‘Noles are just 7-17-1 ATS priced as a single-digit conference dog coming off a SU and ATS victory and they’re going up against a Tar Heels group that is clicking on all cylinders. Take North Carolina. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.

Pick: St. Peters +2.5
On Sunday the free NCAAB Play is on St. Peters. Game 819 at 2:00 eastern. St. Peters has the better numbers here. They are 6-3 after allowing 60 or less and 6-2 off a conference win. In the series they have won the last meetings vs Canisius over the last 3 years. Canisius is 3-18 after allowing 60 or less including 0-5 this season. When they come in off a win they are a paltry 3-15. They have lost 8 of 10 vs winning teams and are 8-32 long term vs teams who allow 65 or less points per game. Look for St. Peters to get the cash as a small dog here today. On Sunday I have the 22-0 Super bowl system winner that’s guaranteed with 4 days. I also have the Big 10 Game of the Month that has a big Power system and 2 100% Power angles. For the free Play take St. Peters. -Rob Vinciletti

NBA Picks for February 5th 2011: Hornets and Bulls Under Look Like Strong Bets Saturday

NBA Picks: February 5th 2011

Pick: New Orleans Hornets +3.5
On Saturday the Free NBA system Play is on the New Orleans Hornets. Game 508 at 8:05 eastern. The Hornets qualify in a solid 100% system here tonight . What we want to do is play on home dogs of 4 or less with 2 or more days of rest if they scored 90 or more as a road dog in their last game and their opponent which is the Lakers in this case was a home favorite of 4 or less and shot 45% or less in their last game. These rested home dogs are 8-1 straight up and 9-0 ats. The Hornets have double revenge here and are a solid 10-2 ats at home when the the total is 185 to 190. When they are installed as a home dog from 3.5 to +6 they are 6-3 straight up and against the spread. The Lakers are a paltry 2-9 ats vs Southwest Division games and a terrible 0-5 ats off 3+ home games. Look for the Hornets to get the cover. On Saturday I have the 30-0 NCABB TV Game of the Year + a 97% ACC Game of the Month, an offshore Steam Play and a 13-1 NBA Dominator System Side up. For the Free Play on Saturday. Take the New Orleans Hornets plus the 3.5 points. -Rob Vinciletti

Pick: Bulls vs. Warriors Under 204
The Bulls are quickly emerging as one of the premier defensive teams in the league under the tutelage of defensive guru Tom Thibodeau. It is certainly worth noting that the Bulls are 20-6 UNDER in their last 26 games versus explosive offensive teams scoring 103+ points/game. We are only seeing an average of 197.6 total points scored in these contests. With 2 full days to rest and prepare, we can expect a strong defensive effort from Chicago this evening. After all, the Bulls are 9-1 UNDER in their last 10 road games when playing with 2 days rest. We are only seeing 191.4 total points scored in these contests. Bet the UNDER. -Jeff Alexander

College Basketball Predictions for February 5th 2011: UL Monroe And Texas A&M Look Solid

College Basketball Predictions: February 5th 2011

Pick: Louisiana-Monroe +11.5
Free CBB Saturday play from Doc’s Sports #599 Take Louisiana-Monroe over W. Kentucky (4:30 p.m. EST) We cashed ULM as one of our top rated picks on Thursday as a large underdog, and I feel like they are a good bet with the points for the second time this week. Western Kentucky has been a tough team to figure out, but they have not fared well as big chalk all season. And really, at 7-13 ATS on the year, they haven’t been a good bet at all. Louisiana-Monroe is 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a double digit underdog. I think they are ready to cash another one here. -Doc’s Sports

Pick: Texas A&M -5
Texas A&M is coming off two straight losses and it should be out for blood on Saturday after getting hammered by Texas for a second time this season. The Aggies followed up a 48-point effort against Nebraska with a 49-point effort against the Longhorns which prompted head coach Mark Turgeon to make a statement. “I apologize to Texas A&M fans and family,” Turgeon said. “I’m embarrassed the way we played. I gotta get my team back. We’re not playing at the level we needed to play at.” The Aggies loss against Texas was their first home loss of the season and just the second loss in the last 32 games at Reed Arena. Going back further, the Aggies are 43-4 at home since the start of the 2008-09 season with a 16-4 mark in conference games with those four losses coming against to Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas St. Those first three teams were all ranked fifth in the nation or better so Texas A&M is riding an amazing 43-1 run at home against teams ranked outside the top five. Baylor comes into Saturday with losses in four of its last six games including the last game at Oklahoma where travel and postponements were a big issue for the Bears. Now they must hit the road again and this could be just what Texas A&M needs as the Bears are 1-3 in Big XII road action and this is the first time all season they have had to play back-to-back road games. They are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog while the Aggies are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite. Baylor is 0-7 ATS this season against teams that are outscoring opponents by eight or more ppg so it obviously has not stepped up when needed. The Aggies meanwhile has been solid coming off big losses as they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss while going 9-2 ATS over the last two seasons coming off any loss. Under Turgeon, Texas A&M is 14-5 ATS in its 19 games after scoring 60 or fewer points in its last game. 3* (550) Texas A&M Aggies – Matt Fargo

College Basketball Picks for February 5th 2011: Wager Utah And George Mason Saturday

College Basketball Picks: February 5th 2011

Pick: Utah -4
After ripping off three consecutive straight up wins over Wyoming, New Mexico and TCU, Utah slipped in its last two games against Colorado State and UNLV. The Utes understand the importance of this home revenge battle against Air Force. If Utah falls here, they’ll be in serious trouble especially with a pair of road games at San Diego State and BYU on deck! Technically speaking, this is a rewarding spot for the home team. In its own backyard priced as a single-digit favorite, Utah is an outstanding 64-33-1 ATS dating back to the 1990-91 season. Provided the Utes take the floor in this role fighting with same season single revenge, this team trend improves to a solid 18-4 SU and 16-6 ATS! Finally, coming off back-to-back straight up losses and matched up against a foe that enters without momentum off a straight up loss, the Utes have cruised to a nifty 20-8 ATS mark including 15-3 ATS in this set facing a foe that sports a won/loss percentage of .400 or better. Air Force already got the best of Utah once this season. Rest assured, that won’t happen again. As a conference guest going into revenge, the Falcons are a dismal 8-16 SU and 6-17-1 ATS including a stunning 0-12-1 ATS in this role priced between +12 and -1! Also, as a single-digit road dog running with an opponent that enters off two or more straight up losses, the Flyboys have crash landed notching a weak 6-15 SU and 7-14 ATS record. Quietly, the Utes have won 49 of their last 62 straight up in this series including 28 of 31 inside the Huntsman Center. At this price and with that type of history, head coach Jim Boylen’s troops will get the job done. Take Utah. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.

Pick: George Mason -5
I’m laying the points with George Mason on Saturday. Old Dominion is 18-5, but just 7-12-1 ATS, and just 1-4 ATS its last five road contests. The Monarchs have won their last four games against the bottom-feeders of the Colonial Athletic Association but this will be a tough test against George Mason, which wants to avenge a 69-65 loss at Old Dominion on Jan. 8. The Monarchs have lost the last three meetings on this court by an average of 19 points. Center Frank Hassell leads the Monarchs with 13.5 points and 9.3 rebounds per game and guard Kent Bazemore averages 12.1 points. George Mason is 18-5, 16-5 ATS and has won and covered all eight games since the loss against Old Dominion. The Patriots shoot 48.3 percent, including 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and their opponent field goal percentage is 41.2 percent. Guard Cam Long is the leading scorer with 15.5 points per game, followed by forward Ryan Pearson with 14.3 points and a team-leading 6.0 rebounds. Forward Luke Hancock averages 12.0 points. I’m laying the points with red-hot George Mason as it gets another win and cover on Saturday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer