I’m taking the points with the NY Knicks on Wednesday night. The Big Apple didn’t get their man when Lebron James took his game to South Beach. But they couldn’t have asked for a better “consolation” when they signed Amare Stoudemire away from Phoenix. Once again paired with Coach Mike D’Antoni, I expect Stoudemire to turn the Knicks in the right direction. D’Antoni couldn’t have been happier with the signing of the athletic, high scoring big man. Stoudemire averaged over 23 ppg and 9 rpg when he played under the coach in Phoenix. But it wasn’t just about Stoudemire. D’Antoni also got Anthony Randolph and Raymond Felton, while dumping David Lee and Al Harrington. No disrespect to the two former Knicks, but D’Antoni finally has his type of players in New York. Randolph, out of LSU is listed as doubtful tonight, but I expect him to pay off and continue an upward trend with his scoring when he returns. Felton is a strong PG for this type of system and he will play alongside Toney Douglas and Landry Fields, who will both share time at the two spot. Douglas, center Timofey Mozgov, and Danilo Gallinari have all been upgraded and are expected to play in the opener. The favorite in this one, Toronto, is a mess as they start the new season. They lose over 35 ppg and over 15 rpg with the departure of Chris Bosh and Hedo Turkoglu. The team’s best big man (Andrea Bargnani) is a perimeter player, and Bosh’s replacesment (Ed Davis) is out for a few more weeks with a torn meniscus in his right knee. The team is in for a long season and the losing starts tonight. I’m taking the points with the Knicks on Wednesday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
Be sure to visit our other sites for more winning football picks this season: Handicapperspicks.com and Accuwager.com.
Check out our homepage each day for more complimentary picks - Click here for more football picks
At 8:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Texas Rangers over the San Francisco Giants. Forget about the “beasts of the easts” (the New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies) and make way for the “bests of the wests.” The two defending American and National League Champions were each beaten by two teams which could best described as “upstarts” in the Texas Rangers and San Francisco Giants, neither of whom has won a World Series in their history. Neither victory was a fluke however and both the Rangers and Giants deserve to be here with superior pitching and timely hitting that has carried them, not only through the playoffs, but also throughout the regular season as well. We have to give the edge to the Rangers tonight, primarily on the strength of their starter, lefthander Cliff Lee. These two teams don’t play each other very often, but Lee has a stellar record both against the Giants and at their home park where this series will begin. In three starts in his career against San Francisco, Lee is 3-0 with an incredible 1.13 ERA and 0.71 WHIP and two of those games were pitched at AT&T Park where he is 2-0 with the exact same ERA. One bad bit of news that came out of the Giants’ huge Game 6 NLCS win over the Phillies was that lead-off hitter and sparkplug, outfielder Andres Torres injured himself running out a bunt in his last at bat and will probably see limited time in this game as a result. Take the Rangers. As always, good luck…Al McMordie.
Free Plays from Doc’s Sports. #6 Take Connecticut Huskies over West Virginia Mountaineers (Friday 8 pm ESPN 2) The Big East is by far and away the worst conference of the six BCS conferences and I question laying this much with any team going on the road. Connecticut has yet to play a home game this season in conference play and this is a must win for them if they have visions of going bowling come December. West Virginia lost to Syracuse last week in Morgantown and I just do not believe in Bill Stewart as a coach that can win big games. West Virginia is just 1-4 ATS in their last five road games as a favorite. Connecticut is 7-2 ATS in their last nine games when they are the underdog. Connecticut wins this game straight-up and getting points is just icing on the cake. Do not miss Doc’s Sports college and NFL card going this weekend. It will feature our NFL Inter-Conference Game of the Year on Sunday afternoon.
After last week’s easy winner on the Miami Dolphins, we’re now 3-1 (75%) with our last 4 “free plays”.
We’ll look to keep things rolling this week; for a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the visitors as they’ll look to take advantage of a reeling Cowboys team:
The Jaguars are 3-4 ATS/SU to start the year; last week they were annihilated 42-20 by the Chiefs, failing to cover with the 9-points they were afforded.
Good news for Jag’s fans though, David Garrard is expected to return to line-up after sitting out last week with a concussion; “I feel really good, really good. Excited to be back, back around here in the locker room and seeing the guys. It’s tough when you’re at home watching, it’s no fun,” he said.
Garrard was asked if injury would change his style of play; “I’m still going to be David Garrard, I’m going to play the way that I play. I can’t alter my game; I don’t know how I would alter it. I’m going to be as physical as I still can but also be smart too knowing that I can have a concussion, I can be susceptible to a concussion.”
Jack Del Rio’s teams are known for their defensive play, but that hasn’t been the case for the most part this year; it was completely shredded by the Chiefs last week.
That said, it has played very well at times this season, including holding San Diego to just 13-points, and getting a big win over the high-scoring Colts on October 3rd.
I look for Del Rio to have his team ready this week though against the depleted Cowboys.
On the other side of the field: The Cow-pokes lost 41-35 to the Giants on Monday night, losing Tony Romo in the process with a broken clavicle; Dallas is 1-5 SU/ATS to start the year.
Dallas’ post-season hopes are finished, and with that reality settling into this teams collective psyche, suffice to say I expect another big letdown this week (and the rest of the year).
I got a good laugh on Tuesday morning when I read Roy Williams’ comments about backup Jon Kitna being under center for the foreseeable future; “Tony is our starter, but Jon is just as good,’ Williams said. “We are going to work this week in practice so we can get the timing down with the receivers. But I have complete faith in him. I have played with him for three years and I know how good he is.’
“He will put the ball where it needs to be,’ Williams said. “Is he going to be perfect? Of course not. There isn’t a quarterback in this league that is perfect. He is going to make mistakes but we have to help him.’
I couldn’t disagree with Williams more, but…what else is the guy supposed to say?
When Romo left the game last Monday, there was a perceptible shift in the Cowboys intensity and confidence; the wind was knocked out of their sails.
To his credit, Kitna did look decent all things considered, finishing 16-of-33 for 187 yards with 2-TD’s.
Very important to note though that Dallas is in fact just 12-14 ATS over the last 2-seasons when playing with 6-days or less of rest (also just 3-7 ATS in non-conference games).
Bottom line: It doesn’t take Keyshawn Johnson or Tom Jackson to point out to us that Kitna is no Romo.
With a week to prepare for the Cowboys backup, I expect the visitors to come out fired up on the defensive side of the ball as they gun for the upset on the road and to move to .500 on the year.
The combination of a blown-season, the loss of their starting QB, along with the rest of the strong ATS stats and other factors working against the Cowboys here certainly does not warrant them being a TD favorite in this circumstance.
While the outright win isn’t out of the question, I’ll gladly take the points; you may want to consider a second look at the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS this Sunday.
Good luck gentlemen…N Parsons
BOISE STATE BRONCOS VS. LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS
Point Spread: Boise State is currently set as a 38 point favorite against Louisiana Tech with the games over/under betting total posted at 64 points. (Game Date: October 26th 2010)
Louisiana Tech was victorious in their last game by a score of 48-35 against Idaho. They covered the point spread in that game as a 1 point underdog and the combined score of 83 points went over the posted total. Boise State routed San Jose State last week by a score of 48-0 on the road. They covered the point spread in that affair as a 40 point chalk and the combined score of 48 points went under the posted college football betting total.
Scott Spreitzer’s CFB TKO TUESDAY WAC ATTACK! *92%!
Scott Spreitzer is off a money-making 6-3, 67% card this past week in CFB, including a weekday sweep (Oregon & South Florida). Now grab Scott’s Tuesday TKO WAC ATTACK! Tonight’s winner is backed by a spot that’s on a 92% winning run! Grab the winner right here, then CLOCK the books on Tuesday night! CA$H IT!
Mike Rose 3* WAC Side Slam – Tests 64% Streak!
Off a 3-1 ATS CFB Week 8, Rose looks to get back to punishing the books with a 3* Position in tonight’s WAC Battle between the LA Tech Bulldogs & Boise State Broncos. Rest assured knowing tonight’s winning side is backed by Mike’s time tested 35-19 ATS (64%) run on the weeknight college gridiron. Will Boise impress the voters with a woodshed effort or will the Bulldogs hang? Rose has got the answer right here – SLAM YOUR MAN!
Need the Winning Pick? Click here for the Boise State vs. Louisiana Tech Pick
Need an online sportsbook to place your bets? Touthouse.com recommends Oddsmaker online sportsbook for all your football betting needs. CLICK HERE FOR A 100% DEPOSIT BONUS UP TO $1000 AT ODDSMAKER
Bulldogs are 17-41-1 ATS in their last 59 road games.
Bulldogs are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 6-24 ATS in their last 30 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.
Broncos are 39-16-2 ATS in their last 57 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Broncos are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Broncos are 42-19 ATS in their last 61 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Broncos are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-1-1 in Bulldogs last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 5-1-1 in Bulldogs last 7 conference games.
Over is 4-1-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games as an underdog.
Under is 10-3 in Bulldogs last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Bulldogs last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 9-3 in Broncos last 12 games in October.
Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Boise State.
Visit Touthouse.com each day for winning college football predictions and expert college football picks from professional football handicappers. Be sure to check out our college football odds page for updated line movements throught the week.
Pick: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Under 189.5
This was going to be a highly-rated play for us at the opening number of 193. However, there has been some heavy line movement and this number dropped more than three points. We do feel there is still some value here in this line, which we had handicapped at 187 ½ with a lean towards the under. This is going to be one of the most hyped games of the season and these will be two of the top defensive teams in the NBA once all is said and done and we expect these teams to defend every possession down the court. We think the Heat games will be shaded by the oddsmakers to the over early in the season because of the hype of the Big Three and the public’s perception of their offensive prowess. The truth of the matter, however, is that these guys really haven’t played together yet and there are going to be some chemistry issues and growing pains until this team starts to gel. Both teams could come out a bit rusty on offense but the players should be as fresh as they will all season and the defensive pressure should be there. -Doc’s Sports
NBA Pick: Phoenix Suns +7.5
I’m taking the points with the Suns on Tuesday night. The loss of Amare Stoudemire to the Knicks breaks up one of the best pick-and-roll combinations we have seen in some time. It’s also lowered the Suns’ expectations dramatically as they start this season…at least as far as the media is concerned. And Steve Nash may be right when he said it’s going to be tough for Phoenix to compete deep into the playoffs without size. But that’s down the road. As far as tonight’s contest is concerned, I believe we’ll see the Suns playing at a top level. Alvin Gentry says his team will still push the tempo. And why not? Robin Lopez looked strong from mid-January through March, before suffering a back injury. He played pretty well again in the conference finals. But with all the changes that have been made to the roster, if I were a Phoenix fan, I’d be most excited about the arrival of Hedo Turkoglu. He was never a good fit in Toronto, but we saw just how effective he can be when he was with Orlando. He’s now in a spot where he could really flourish, drawing off of Nash’s passing. I expect the new-look Suns to give the banged-up Trail Blazers all they can handle tonight. The Blazers will be without the services of Greg Oden (knee), and Joel Przybilla (knee). This leaves the middle to veteran Marcus Camby, who won’t have much help behind him. And then there’s the fragile relationship between Brandon Roy and Andre Miller to deal with on and off the floor. Not exactly a great situation heading into the opener as a decent-sized favorite. I believe the Suns will take this one right to the wire as far as the SU winner is concerned, giving us plenty of room inside the number. The Suns finished last season on a 36-14-1 ATS run, and although there are some different spokes in the wheel, I believe they’ll still be a thorn in Portland’s side. I’m taking the points with the Suns on Tuesday night. Thanks! GL! Scott.
NHL Pick: Philadelphia Flyers -120
Philadelphia is 5-1-3 SU overall vs Columbus since 1996. Flyers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Flyers are 6-2 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Flyers are 14-5 in their last 19 games as a favorite. Flyers are 5-2 in their last 7 Monday games. Flyers are 11-5 in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest. Blue Jackets are 33-67-5 in their last 105 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. Blue Jackets are 27-61-2 in their last 90 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Blue Jackets are 46-105-6 in their last 157 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. Blue Jackets are 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win. Blue Jackets are 16-43 in their last 59 games as an underdog. Blue Jackets are 8-23 in their last 31 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Blue Jackets are 1-5 in their last 6 home games. Blue Jackets are 2-12 in their last 14 games as a home underdog. Blue Jackets are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. Atlantic. Blue Jackets are 0-6 in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. We’ll recommend a small play on Philadelphia tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atkinson
NHL Pick: Philadelphia Flyers -120
5* graded play on Philadelphia as they take on Columbus in NHL action set to start at 7 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Flyers will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 89-58 making 61% winners since 2005. Play against any team against the money line off a close win by one goal over a division rival and is a tired team playing their 3rd game in four days. Columbus is just 3-15 against the money line (-12.0 Units) against good possession teams averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opponents over the last two seasons. Columbus is just 12-31 against the money line (-20.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive ‘unders’ over the last two seasons. Take the Flyers. -John Ryan
New Orleans Saints/Cleveland Browns over 42.5 Points
We lost last week picking the over with New Orleans, but the logic of the pick was correct. The Saints and Bucs combined for 37 points, but its the points that were not scored that stood out. There were three missed field goals and failed two point conversion leaving 10 points off the board. The total number was 44 so while we do not like losing, we do like when the logic works. New Orleans once again plays a dysfunctional offense this weekend when they host Cleveland and the total points line is 43.5. This is a system play that factors in that AccuScore is 60.9% this season in totals and 8-4 (66.7%) in over/under selections in games involving the Browns and Saints. This game goes over 43.5 points in 57.7% of simulations.
Chicago Bears/Washington Redskins under 40 Points
The biggest issue with the Bears is negative plays. Bears QB’s have dropped back 202 times this season and 25% of those plays have resulted in either a sack, interception or fumble. When you do not have a big strike offense, it is too hard to overcome those down and distance setbacks and put a lot of points on the board. AccuScore simulates this game to go under 40 points in 60.6% of simulations, which is the highest probability this week when it comes to game totals. Like the Saints/Brown, T=this is a system play that factors in that AccuScore is 60.9% this season in totals and 8-4 (66.7%) in over/under selections in games involving the Bears and Redskins.
Carolina +2 vs. San Francisco
Despite being 0-5, the Panthers having been playing some solid defense ranking 12th overall in the NFL and 5th against the pass. They are also one of the best teams in the league at forcing turnovers with 12 takeaways. And while Carolina is offensively inept so is San Francisco. The Niners scored three fewer points on the road compared to at home in 2009. This season they’ve scored just 30 points in 3 games on the road. Frankly, there isn’t much reason for them to be laying two points so I’ll gladly take them here.
Washington +3 at Chicago
The number one thing the Bears can’t do is protect Jay Cutler which is to be expected from a Mike Martz offense. Cutler has been hit 45 times and sacked 27 times; both marks are easily the most in the NFL. Enter Brian Orakpo who is likely to be terrorizing Cutler off the edge all game long, and afterwards in the quarterback’s dreams. This game is already projected to be a close game with both teams combining for fewer than 40 points in simulations. If the Redskins though get three or more sacks (which I would be on with Orakpo) they go from small underdogs to three point favorites winning outright by 58.5 percent on average.
Follow Zach on Twitter @accuscorezach
Follow Jon on Twitter @thejonlee
Get all our updates and news on Twitter as well @AccuScore
If you are interested in joining AccuScore, please click here now and use coupon code: TOUT20 to get 20% off any of our subscription products.
WEEK 7 NFL FOOTBALL PICKS – OCTOBER 24TH 2010
Need winning against the spread NFL picks for this weekend? Click here for expert NFL football picks
Want free picks from our experts each weekend? Click here to get free NFL picks via email
St. Louis Rams (+3) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: St. Louis catching 3 points at Tampa Bay is an absolute gift Sunday. Sure, the Bucs are 3-2 this season, but all three of their wins came against losing teams in the Browns, Panthers and Bengals. And Cincinnati gift-wrapped their loss, blowing a late 7-point lead where Carson Palmer threw two untimely interceptions. St. Louis is 3-3 this season, and easily could be 5-1. They lost by 4 at home to Arizona and by 2 at Oakland for two of their losses, and obviously laid an egg against Detroit. QB Sam Bradford gives this offense some swagger, and the Rams defense is perhaps the most underrated in the league. St. Louis has allowed 17 points or less in 5 of their 6 games this season. They’ll be up against a Bucs team that is averaging just 16.0 points/game this year, and 12.0 points/game at home. Tampa Bay just does not have the offense to put the Rams away. The Bucs defense is also overrated, giving up 22.2 points/game overall and 27.7 points/game at home. Tampa is allowing 368 total yards/game overall and 401 total yards/game at home. Tampa is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons, including 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons. Take the Rams and the points. -Black Widow
Seattle Seahawks (-5.5) vs. Arizona Cardinals: NFC West Division battle between two 3-2 rivals that are surprisingly tied for first place. Seattle returns home to host Arizona after both teams pulled upsets in their previous games, with the Bears in Chicago, 23-20, and Arizona beating the Saints, 30-20, before taking their Bye week last Sunday. While Arizona shocked the defending Super Bowl champion Saints, they won behind special teams and defensive Touchdowns, as undrafted QB Max Hall made his NFL debut. QB Hall, a former BYU standout, was just 18 of 29 for 153 passing yards and led the Cardinals to only 10 first downs the entire game! Even with an extra week to prepare, things won’t go his way in Seattle, where the Seahawks are an unbeaten 2-0, defeating San Francisco and San Diego by a combined 58 to 26. In a game that will decide the current Division leader, must take the home favored Seahawks over undrafted QB Hall, knowing that Seattle is 9-3 ATS their last 12 at home and QB Hasselbeck is 33-19 ATS in the home Favorite role. -Carlo Campanella
Miami Dolphins (+3) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: System Play. We’ll Play Against – Any team (PITTSBURGH) – opportunistic team (2.5+ TO/game forced) against a team with <=1.25 TO/game forced, after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers. This is a 24-4 ATS System hitting 85.7% over the last 10 seasons. The Dolphins are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. The Steelers are overvalued right now after the return of Ben Roethlisberger. As 3-point road favorites at Miami, the clear value is with the home underdog in this one. The Steelers have been thriving on turnovers this year, but the Dolphins aren’t a team that commits many, with only 8 turnovers in 5 games this season. The Steelers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. Bet the Dolphins at home. -Info Plays
Atlanta Falcons (-3) vs. Cincinnati Bengals: This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and the Falcons are the better overall team coming into this game Sunday afternoon. The Falcons are 6-1 against the spread in their last 7 games as a home favorite of -3.5 to -6.5 points and they are also 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after losing their previous game. The Falcons have out-scored their opponents by an average of 18 points per game at home this season and they will dominate the time of possession again at home Sunday. The Falcons defense has allowed an average of just 264 yards per game at home and 10.5 ppg this season. Turnovers will haunt the Bengals again after turning the ball over 4 times in their last game. The Falcons opponents have turned the ball over an average of 3 times per game in four of their last five games against them. Take the Atlanta Falcons as my NFL Free Pick for Week 7. -Vernon Croy
Touthouse.com is your one stop shop for expert NFL football picks. Be sure to sign-up for our free football betting newsletter on our homepage for exclusive football picks from our team of professional sports handicappers. These Week 7 NFL football picks for October 24th 2010 are courtesy of Touthouse Sports Handicappers
The Wisconsin Badgers will have a very hard time getting up emotionally to face Iowa after such a draining win against then-No. 1 Ohio State last week. That’s why this game has blowout written all over it as the Hawkeyes bring more energy into this one. Iowa is 4-0 at home this season, scoring 35.2 points/game while allowing a mere 4.2 points/game. The key to this one will be Iowa’s run defense up against Wisconsin’s rushing attack. We don’t believe that the Badgers have the passing game to beat Iowa, therefore they stand no chance because the Hawkeyes will stop the run. Iowa is allowing just 84 rushing yards/game and 2.9 yards/carry this season. Iowa has the more balanced offense coming in. The Hawkeyes are scoring 34.3 points/game this season while averaging 253 passing yards/game and 166 rushing yards/game. The Badgers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Hawkeyes are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0. Take Iowa and lay the points.