Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets
NBA Playoffs Odds: Denver -7.5 Over/Under 210 (April 20th 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Nuggets are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Nuggets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Pacific. Nuggets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Nuggets are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 home games. Nuggets are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win. Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games. Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference. Warriors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Warriors are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 overall. Over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 games following a S.U. win. Over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. Western Conference. Over is 11-4 in Nuggets last 15 vs. NBA Pacific. Under is 10-4 in Nuggets last 14 home games. Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 10-3 in Warriors last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 8-3 in Warriors last 11 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Over is 10-4 in Warriors last 14 Saturday games. Over is 7-3 in Warriors last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver.

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Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks
NBA Playoffs Odds: New York -7 Over/Under 189 (April 20th 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Atlantic. Knicks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Knicks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games. Celtics are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Celtics are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Celtics are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Celtics are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 6-1 in Knicks last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Over is 4-1 in Knicks last 5 games following a S.U. win. Under is 4-1 in Knicks last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 4-1 in Knicks last 5 home games. Over is 4-1 in Knicks last 5 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 overall. Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 road games. Over is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Celtics are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in New York. Road team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Celtics are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
MLB Pick: Phillies +110 odds (April 19th 2013)
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The Philadelphia Phillies should not be a home underdog to the St. Louis Cardinals tonight. I’ll take advantage and back them at this price considering you will almost never get Roy Halladay as a home dog.

Sure, Halladay got off to a slow start this season, but he’s undervalued right now as a result. He looked like the Halladay of old last time out when he went 8 innings strong while allowing just 1 earned run to get the win in a 2-1 victory at Miami.

Halladay is 4-3 with a 2.57 ERA and 0.875 WHIP in eight career starts against St. Louis. Jamie Garcia has allowed 7 earned runs over 13 innings while going 0-2 in his last two starts against Philadelphia. He has posted a 4.87 ERA in those two outings.

Halladay is 31-11 (+19.7 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. The Cardinals are 1-8 in Garcia’s last 9 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The Phillies are 26-8 in Halladay’s last 34 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Philadelphia is 53-25 in Halladay’s last 78 starts overall. Bet the Phillies Friday.

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Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians
Betting Prediction: Boston -128 odds (April 18th 2013)
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The Boston Red Sox (10-4) are making a statement in the early going. They are showing everyone that they are back as an AL East contender after a disastrous 2012 campaign. Pitching has been a big reason for their resurgence, especially from ace Jon Lester.

The left-hander had his first bad season in 2012, but he has come back as strong as ever in 2013. Lester is 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.947 WHIP through three starts this season. He has allowed just 3 earned runs over 19 innings in victories over the Yankees, Blue Jays and Rays.

The Cleveland Indians (5-8) are in rebuilding mode once again this season. This is one team that Lester certainly loves facing. That’s evident by the fact that he is 5-1 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.191 WHIP in 11 career starts against Cleveland. Lester has only allowed one earned run over 19 innings in his last three starts against the Indians.

Boston is 9-1 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Cleveland is 8-27 (-16.0 Units) against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons. The Red Sox are 57-26 in Lester’s last 83 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Indians are 2-7 in Zach McAllister’s last 9 starts as an underdog. Bet Boston Thursday.

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San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
MLB Prediction: Milwaukee +123 odds (April 18th 2013)
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After an embarrassing arrest on a drunk-driving charge earlier this week, there’s nothing Yovani Gallardo wants to do more than take the mound at Miller Park and redeem himself.

The combination of Gallardo’s slow start and Matt Cain being the opposing hurler has convinced the oddsmaker to open the Giants as solid road favorites. I don’t see it that way.

Gallardo is an ace. He’s off a terrible game against the Cardinals this past Saturday. That’s the one team, though, he really has trouble against. Gallardo is 4-2 with a 1.91 ERA in six starts against San Francisco since 2009. Gallardo is Milwaukee’s ace and one of the best pitchers in the National League. He has recorded four consecutive 200-strikeout seasons, ranking fourth in the majors last year with an average of 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

Gallardo is quality and I see him bouncing back strong here against a San Francisco lineup that won’t be starting Buster Posey and Marco Scutaro, both of whom are being given days off. Milwaukee is a great hitting team and is regaining its confidence and swagger by defeating San Francisco during the first two games of this series.

Cain is an elite pitcher, too, but his dominance comes more at home. Cain has struggled at hitter-friendly Miller Park with a 5.94 ERA in five starts. The Giants are 2-8 during Cain’s last 10 road starts when favored between $1.10 and $1.50. The Brewers are 37-15 (71%) in Gallardo’s last 52 home starts.

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Baseball Picks: April 18th 2013
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Yankees
Prediction: Yankees -115 odds
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On Thursday, April 18th, the free baseball pick is on the Yankees. Game 972 at 7:05 eastern. The Yankees are a solid 15-2 vs NL. West division teams at home after last night win over Arizona. Road dogs like Arizona have lost 14 of the last 15 times off a 1 run road dog loss if they scored 4 or less runs, and are taking on an opponent off a 1 run home favored win at -140 or higher also scoring 4 or less runs. Phil Hughes has been terrible of late but the feeling is he will turn it around tonight against Arizona a team that has never faced him. Arizona counters with Corbin making his first start here at the stadium against a Yankees team that is 5-0 vs winning teams, 6-1 at night and averaging over 6 runs the past week. Look for New York to Bring out the brooms as the American league teams continue to dominate the National league teams in these inter league games. On Thursday we have 3 Solid sides the strongest of which is the National League Game of the Month from another Cutting Edge 13-0 Totals System, there is another Powerful Totals Play on the Card and a 91% Road warrior system. Top plays cash big on Wednesday bases and hoops. Jump on and cash out on Thursday. For the free play take the NY. Yankees. RV

Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners
Prediction: Seattle -104 baseball odds (April 17th 2013)
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The Mariners are showing some excellent value at home as a small odds favorite with their ace Felix Hernandez on the mound. Hernandez is one of the elite pitchers in the game and has had his way against the Tigers in his career. He’s 9-2 with a 2.65 ERA over 12 starts against Detroit. The Tigers will counter with Max Scherzer, who is a mere 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.182 WHIP in his two starts this season. The last time Scherzer faced the Mariners, he was rocked for five runs on 10 hits in just five innings of work.

Detroit is the better team overall and the one likely headed to the playoffs, but Seattle is not getting enough respect at -104. The Tigers are just 8-19 against the money line in road games with a line of -100 to -125 over the last two season. Seattle on the other hand is 19-4 against the money line at home with a line of -100 to -125. Simply too much value to pass up. BET THE MARINERS!

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Yankees
Betting Prediction: Under 7.5 (April 17th 2013)
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The Yankees look for another win against Arizona on Wednesday after a 4-2 victory last night. C.C. Sabathia is in the groove after a rough first start versus Boston. The hefty lefty has since allowed just one earned run in his last two starts (15 innings) while striking out 13 and walking only three in back-to-back victories. Sabathia normally pitches deep into the game which means less pressure on the Yankee’s bullpen. Eric Chavez (3-20), Cliff Pennington (1-14), Martin Prado (3-12), Cody Ross (1-7), and Josh Wilson (2-17) have struggled against the southpaw. Arizona is batting just .105 on the road versus left-handed pitchers this season.

Wade Miley goes for Arizona and he has pitched well this season with a perfect 2-0 record and a 2.13 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in his two starts, allowing just 3 runs and only 10 hits in 12.2 innings of work with a 13/4 strikeout/walk ratio. The Bronx Bombers are a predominantly left-handed lineup with Robinson Cano, Travis Hafner, Lyle Overbay, Ichiro, Brett Gardner, and Brennan Boesch all coming from that side. The Yankees are batting just .202 versus left-handed pitchers this season, compared to .299 versus right-handers. Miley is backed by a strong bullpen that has yet to lose with a solid 2.25 ERA and 1.10 WHIP this season. Look for a low-scoring pitcher’s duel in New York tonight.

NHL Picks: April 17th 2013
Detroit Red Wings vs. Calgary Flames
Prediction: Detroit -153 odds
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This is a 1* free NHL pick on the Detroit Red Wings over the Calgary Flames on Tuesday night (9:35 ET).

These teams have played twice this year and Calgary has won both: 4-1 in Detroit on February 5th and 5-2 at home on March 13th. The Wings are 20-15-7 overall and 10-8-3 on the road. They’re coming off a 3-0 win at Nashville on Sunday. Calgary is 16-22-4 overall and 11-9-2 at home. It’s coming off a 4-3 loss vs. Minnesota on Monday. This is an important game for the Wings, as they sit tied with Columbus for the final Western Conference playoff spot and just two ahead of Dallas. “You should know it’s a fairly urgent situation for us, but I think it’s been like that all year,” Detroit coach Mike Babcock said Tuesday. “I heard lots of times we’ve been inconsistent, but that’s not true. We’ve been the most consistent Red Wings’ team I ever coached. We’ve been in the grinder since the start.” The wheels finally came off the bus for the Flames last time out, having to dress a lot of young players because of injuries and trades. Calgary’s normally unflappable goaltender Miikka Kiprusoff is sputtering down the stretch, posting a 4.12 GAA while losing his last six starts. Wings’ goaltender Jimmy Howard had 22 saves for his third shutout of the year vs. Nashville and has a big opportunity to build off that performance against this inconsistent home side. With two whole days off after tonight’s game to prepare for the final week of the regular season, I believe the Wings play with an extreme sense of desperation, taking advantage of this situation and avenging the earlier setbacks in the process. Consider laying the price in this one.

MLB Baseball Picks: April 15th 2013
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies
Prediction: Colorado -131 odds
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Today’s comp MLB baseball pick is Colorado over New York.

Colorado comes off their second series sweep of San Diego this season. After two weeks, the Rockies are the only team in baseball that is undefeated at home with a 3-0 record in their house. Colorado took the L4 contests vs. New York, a season ago. Currently, the team is posting an average of 5.42 RPG overall but when hosting, they score 6.67 RPG, outscoring visitors by 4.67 RPG. Their lineup possesses five sluggers hitting .300 or better, including three batters already in DDs in Home Runs, and five players with 13 or more hits. Today, Juan Nicasio takes the mound. The RH is 1-0 on the season, never facing NY in his career, but owns a lifetime 6-3 home mark. New York has one of the Majors highest-scoring teams in the League…HOWEVER, they faced four teams that are a combined 14-33, as three of those clubs are in last place and the other is a fourth place team. Murphy, Buck, and Wright are playing sold ball as supporting cast members, Tejada and Byrd are contributing as well. But the offense also has 85 Ks and only 6 SBs. Their pitching is mediocre, allowing 3.53 RPG while their defense has already committed 8 Errors. Dillon Gee gets the nod. The RH is 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA. Last season, Gee had a road ERA of 5.16. The Rockies are 7-0 their L7 games played at home, 7-1 their L8 vs. RH starters, and 9-3 in Nicasio’s L12 as a home fav. The Mets are 11-31 their L42 games vs. teams with a winning record, 5-16 their L21 games played as a ‘dog, and 2-8 in Gee’s L10 starts. Take Colorado. Thank you.