Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat
Free Pick: Miami Heat -6 -110 odds
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The Miami Heat are set up to crush the 76ers at home tonight. Miami is allowing just 93.5 points/game at home this season against teams that normally score 100.3 points/game, so they are nearly 7 points better than their opponent’s average. Philly gives up 102.0 points/game on the road this season against teams that normally score 99.9 points/game. The 76ers are 1-8 SU & 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games, scoring 96 or less points in 7 of those contests. They have given up 100 or more points in 7 of those games as well. Philly is finding it very hard to get motivated to playing anyone right now considering they are out of the playoff chase. Miami is squarely in the Eastern Conference playoff race with much more to play for, so it’s pretty easy to back them at home here. The Heat are surging, winning 5 of their last 6 games overall, including 5 straight home victories where they have scored 100 or more points in every contest.

This play also falls under a system that is 100-52 (66%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet against road teams (PHILADELPHIA) – revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog. Bet Miami.

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