Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Denver Broncos
Free NFL Pick: Denver Broncos +3.0 (-110 NFL odds) – point spreads
Mon November 9th 2009 8:35p
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The 6-1 Denver Broncos continue to get a lack of respect from the oddsmakers, as they once again find themselves as home underdogs when they host the 5-2 Pittsburgh Steelers Monday night.

This is already the third time this season that the Broncos have been home dogs, and on the first two occasions, they upset the New England Patriots and the Dallas Cowboys. They are allowing 11.0 points per game while going 3-0 at home, and Denver has been equally stingy vs. the run (74.7 rushing yards per game on 3.1 yards per carry) and vs. the pass (198.7 passing yards per game on 5.6 yards per attempt) in this stadium.

Now granted, the Pittsburgh defense will be the best that the Broncs have seen all year to this point, but looking at the home-and-away splits, the Denver defense at home actually grades out better than the Pittsburgh defense on the road. Also, Bronco quarterback has been very efficient with nine touchdown passes vs. just one interception while averaging 7.00 yards per attempt, and we trust him to continue to play error-free ball and not force things vs. this still Steelers defense.

Also, if the Denver defense can shut down New England here the way the did, we see no reason why they cannot contain a Pittsburgh team that is just 1-2 straight up and 0-3 against the spread on the road so far.

Look for Denver to again prove the non-believers wrong with yet another home upset.

NFL Free Pick: Broncos +3 (-110)

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