Monday Night Football Preview: Pittsburgh vs. Miami Betting Picks and Odds

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When the Pittsburgh Steelers (-16) strap it up at home on Monday Night Football the NFL betting community supporting them has made a fortune, as the black and gold looks for more cash against the pathetic winless Miami Dolphins (+16).

The Steelers are 12-0 SU (straight up) at home on Monday night since a 23-20 loss to the New York Giants in 1991. If Pittsburgh is to keep the streak alive and build on the 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS (against the spread) record they may have to do so minus two key players.

The Steelers are expected to be without playmakers on each side of the ball. Santonio Holmes, who leads the team in receptions (39), yards (664) and touchdowns (7), suffered a high ankle sprain against the Jets last week in a 19-16 overtime loss as the 9-point favorites. Safety Troy Polamalu sprained his knee, and is listed as doubtful along with Holmes.

The Steelers’ defense, the league’s best in points (14.5) and yards (236.2) allowed per game, should have its way against a Miami offense that’s scoring just 18.3 points per game.

Offensively for Pittsburgh, they’re putting up a league’s fifth-best 26.9 points per game and 348.3 yards.

Steelers’ quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, whose 107.5 passer rating is second in the league, has been sacked 26 times in the last seven games. But that shouldn’t continue against Miami who’s collected only 12 sacks this season, which is third least in the NFL.

- Steelers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 12.
- Steelers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games in November.
- Steelers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss.
- Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

The Dolphins’ defense has allowed a league-worst 154.9 rushing yards per game, and has given up an average of 27.4 points to rank among the NFL’s worst.

A Miami loss would put them well on their way to joining the 1976 Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the only winless teams in league history. Not only are the Dolphins 0-10 SU, they are also a money-dropping 2-5-3 ATS on the year.

- Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 12.
- Dolphins are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
- Dolphins are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
- Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Dolphins are 4-12-2 ATS in their last 18 vs. AFC.

Miami leads the all-time series 11-10 SU. The Steelers have won the last two meetings SU and ATS, including a 28-17 victory on Sept. 7, 2006, when Pittsburgh received its championship rings for winning Super Bowl XL.

NFL odds list Pittsburgh the 16-point favorites with a game total of 40½.

- Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
- Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.

Analysis: Willie Parker, the AFC’s leading rusher, will have a huge night for the Steelers versus a non-existent Miami run defense. However, Pittsburgh struggles covering large spreads at home. Expect a victory by the Steelers SU but a Dolphins cover.

Analysis Courtesy of BetUs News Feed.

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