Free Pick: San Antonio Spurs vs. Charlotte Bobcats u189.0 (-110 odds)
Fri January 15th 2010 7:05p
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The San Antonio Spurs have uncharacteristically averaged 105.2 points over their last five games, but we do mot expect them to come near that number vs. the Charlotte Bobcats here, and that should key a safe Under.

The Bobcats have become a tough-minded defensive team thus year, which is not at all surprising for a team coached by Larry Brown. As a result, the Charlotte defense is now tops in the NBA statistically, allowing only 92.9 points per game. The Cats also rank seventh in field goal percentage against at 44.7 percent and fifth in steals at 7.81 per game.

Moreover, as good as the Bobcats have been defensively overall, they have been even better here at home. Charlotte is allowing a minuscule 90.8 points per game on 43.0 percent shooting in this building, with those games averaging a combined 187.4 points.

Now while the Spurs recent scoring binge has been out of character, consider that they have been facing the faster paces teams of the Western Conference, and the last time they played an East team, they beat the New Jersey Nets 97-85, a pace that is similar to what we expect here. Also take note that Tim Duncan did not play in the 109-108 San Antonio overtime win at Oklahoma City Wednesday, and his return in this game gives them a defensive presence in the middle.

Finally, the last five head-to-head meetings between these teams have averaged only a combined 175.2 points, and this is a better Charlotte defensive team than recent years.

NBA Free Pick: Spurs, Bobcats Under 189 (-110)

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