Free Arena Football Pick: San Jose SaberCats +5.5 (-110)
Sat April 12 ‘08 10:30p - Click Here for AFL Odds
For the Sabercats to try and repeat its body of work from a year ago, they’ll have to be highly efficient on both sides of the ball since Philadelphia boasts the advantage in just about every statistical category. Philadelphia owns the #1 scoring offense in the league averaging a shade under 66 PPG, while San Jose counters with its 10th ranked defense that’s limited opponents to 56.3 PPG through its first six games. The Soul’s averaged 303 passing YPG on the road this season (#3), while San Jose limited both of its opponents at home to just 272.5 YPG (#8). San Jose will battle back with its 9th rated home offense that’s averaged 53.2 PPG in its only two outings, but Philly counters with the leagues 4th ranked road defense allowing opponents a measly 48 PPG. When the Sabercats look to the air with its 2nd ranked home passing attack at 310 YPG, it will be throwing into the teeth of the leagues 2nd ranked road defense allowing opponents just 234 YPG.

It’s not often that San Jose has been installed an underdog at home. It didn’t happen last year in their Championship season, and they were the decided favorite in their Week 4 match-up with the Dallas Desperados. In their last 13 games within the confines of the HP Pavilion, San Jose is 12-1 SU and 10-3 ATS. As for Philadelphia, they’re 4-2 ATS their L/6 on the road. - Courtesy of Mike Rose