Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers
Free NFL Pick: Over 40 -110 NFL Odds – point spreads
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For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the “over”:

Seattle looked horrible at home to Tampa Bay last weekend; the Buccaneers battered defense forced five turnovers from Seattle’s reckless Matt Hasselbeck, and they rallied to a 24-7 win over the Seahawks on Sunday.

Expect this veteran QB and his offensive corps to play with a little more pride this Sunday though.

Keep in mind that the total has gone “over” the posted number in four of Seattle’s last six on the road overall.

On the other side of the field: Green Bay’s playoff run stalled last week as they couldn’t hold leads of 28-27 and 36-30 in a frantic fourth quarter; the Packers could have secured a playoff spot with their first win in Pittsburgh since 1970 and a Giants loss or tie on Monday night but, instead, Minnesota clinched the NFC North with the Packers’ loss.

Aaron Rodgers finished 26 of 48 for 383 yards and three TD passes and ran for another; I expect another similar effort from him this week as the Packers try to finish the season strong.

Remember, the total has gone “over” the posted number in four of Green Bay’s last six vs. Seattle. The Packers have also seen the total go “over” the posted number in both games vs. NFC West division opponents.

Bottom line: Look for Rodgers to shred the Seattle secondary and for Hasselbeck to “bounce-back” from last weeks terrible performance; when taking all of the above into account, the OVER is worth taking a second look at in this situation.

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