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Stanford vs. Minnesota Prediction: March 29th 2012

March 29th, 2012
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Stanford vs. Minnesota
Prediction: Minnesota -1 (March 29th 2012)
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Both Stanford and Minnesota deserve a lot of credit for the way they’ve battled in the NIT. Unfortunately there can be only one winner tonight, and I believe that team is going to be the Golden Gophers.

Minnesota has played the tougher schedule en route to reaching the NIT title game. They had to go on the road to beat LaSalle, Miami and Middle Tennessee State, making fairly easy work of those schools. They then beat Washington in overtime after blowing a big lead late. I don’t think this team will be denied.

Unlike the Gophers, the Cardinal had the luxury of playing three home games to get here. They topped Cleveland State, Illinois State and Nevada before knocking off overrated Massachusetts 74-64 in the semifinals. Stanford finally meets its match tonight.

Common opponents is a great way to compare teams. Both squads have faced Washington and USC this season. Minnesota went 2-0 against those two teams, outscoring them 61.5 to 53.5 on average. Stanford went 2-1 against those teams, outscoring them just 57.7 to 55.3 on average. They even played USC twice to help inflate their numbers a little. Stanford lost to Washington 63-76 in their lone meeting with the Huskies.

Minnesota is a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Stanford is after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinal are 5-14 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. The Golden Gophers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. Pac-12 foes. Bet Minnesota Thursday.

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