MLB Picks: April 26th 2013
Baltimore Orioles vs. Oakland Athletics
Prediction: Baltimore +113 odds
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After a great start to the season, the A’s have stumbled. They started 12-4, which included a nine-game winning streak, but they are just 1-6 over their last seven games including a 10-2 blowout loss last night to open this series.

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Four of the losses have come by three or more runs and despite the one victory being 13-0, Oakland has been outscored by 12 runs overall during this stretch. The A’s are hoping Tom Milone can turn things around but I’m not counting on it. He has a 4.26 ERA through four starts including a poor effort at Tampa Bay last time out, allowing six runs, four earned, on eight hits in 6.2 innings. He has tossed two quality starts are home, posting a 2.63 ERA in the process but those games were against Seattle and Houston and he takes a big step up in class here. Baltimore is off to a 13-9 start including wins in three of its last four and six of its last eight games. The Orioles are 6-4 on the road and the offense has been leading the way. Baltimore is averaging 6.0 rpg during this eight-game stretch and it is hitting .309 against left-handed pitching on the road. It may not even need a great effort tonight behind Wei-Yin Chen who is off to a great start this year following a solid 2012 campaign. He has a 3.38 ERA and 1.17 WHIP through four starts with three of those being quality outings. The one non-quality effort missed by just a third of an inning at Tampa Bay and his last three gems have come against the Red Sox, Yankees and Dodgers. He faced Oakland twice last season and won both games while posting a 0.71 ERA over 12.2 innings. Play (975) Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
Game 5 Betting Pick: Baltimore +1.5 -123 odds (October 12th 2012)
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Each of the last three games in this series have been decided by exactly one run. I look for this Game 5 to go right down to the wire as well and for the Orioles to give the Yankees a run for their money once again.

Jason Hammel is one of the most underrated starters in the league. He has gone 8-6 with a 3.42 ERA and 1.245 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 0-0 with a 2.51 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in his last three. He allowed just two earned runs over 5 2/3 innings in Game 1 against the Yankees.

Baltimore is 32-15 against the run line in day games this season. The Orioles are 71-41 against the run line as an underdog when the run line price is -190 to +165 this season. Baltimore is 49-27 against the run line vs. division opponents this year. Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Friday.

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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
Game 4 Playoffs Betting Pick: Over 8.5 -110 odds (October 11th 2012)
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I look for the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles to take part in a slug fest tonight in the Bronx. These Game 4 starters are average at best, and I expect both line-ups to have their way with them.

Joe Saunders is 10-13 with a 3.99 ERA and 1.337 WHIP in 29 starts this season for Baltimore. He has posted a 5.48 ERA and 1.602 WHIP in eight career starts against New York.

Phil Hughes is 16-13 with a 4.23 ERA in 32 starts this season for the Yankees. The right-hander sports a 5.33 ERA and 1.480 WHIP in 14 career starts against Baltimore, and the OVER is 9-3-2 in those outings.

The OVER is 8-2-1 in Hughes’ last 11 starts as a favorite. The OVER is 8-2 in Hughes’ last 10 starts vs. AL East opponents. The OVER is 8-2-1 in Hughes’ last 11 starts vs. Orioles. The OVER is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in this series. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

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New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Betting Pick: Baltimore Orioles +125 odds (October 8th 2012)
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The Orioles are showing value in the home underdog role as they look to even the series.

First off, Baltimore has been extremely reliable at home, where it has won 23 of its last 32. Secondly, it is on a 13-5 run when valued as an underdog. It is also worth noting that it is 6-1 in its last 7 games as a home underdog. Thirdly, the O’s are 19-7 in their last 26 games following a loss.

The Orioles are also 12-5 in Chen’s last 17 starts as an underdog and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a home underdog. Take the O’s on the money line.

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MLB Picks: October 3rd 2012
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays +102
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This is obviously a big game for Baltimore as it needs to close the regular season with a win while hoping the Yankees lose to Boston tonight which would set up a one-game play-in contest tomorrow to see who would take the American League East title. The Orioles won last night 1-0 over the Rays to improve their record to an incredible 29-9 in one run games this season. There is a lot at stake tonight for Baltimore with a divisional title on the line however it is already in the playoffs so desperation mode and pulling out all the stops will not come into play. Chris Tillman has been outstanding since getting back into the rotation as he has allowed three runs or less in seven straight starts and this is exactly why he was held to pitch in this game although it would make more sense for him to pitch in an elimination game either Thursday or Friday if it came to that. He has been fortunate that Baltimore has given him a ton of run support but that will dry up tonight. Tampa Bay lost its chance to get back into the postseason on Monday when Oakland won which eliminated the Rays from postseason consideration. They put up a fight last night behind James Shields even though the offense was completely shut down. After being eliminated from playoff possibilities, the Rays did not sit players as according to manager Joe Maddon, “it would not be the right thing to do”. And he is right as it would give an unfair advantage to Baltimore and hurt the integrity of the divisional chase. Tampa Bay has played some of its best baseball this year down the stretch as it is 11-2 over its last 13 games and it will be out to play spoiler and close the season with a win. Jeremy Hellickson takes the hill and he is having a great season with a 3.20 ERA through 30 starts. He has not been getting the wins that he should be as run support has been a problem and he has now gone six straight starts of allowing three runs or less. He has faced the Orioles a ton in his short career and has had a lot of success in doing so as in 11 games against them, Hellickson is 5-3 with a 2.49 ERA. Play (978) Tampa Bay Rays

MLB Picks: September 18th 2012
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles -117
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We won with Baltimore last night and we will come back with the Orioles again on Tuesday. The Orioles avoided a road sweep with a win on Sunday at Oakland and followed that up with an easy series opening win last night. Baltimore trails the Yankees by just a half-game in the American League East and while it holds one of the two Wild Card spots in the American League, it is just three games ahead of the Angels so the Orioles cannot afford to let up, making this an important series. After losing the first meeting this year, Baltimore has won the last six games against Seattle and is 9-3 in its last 12 games as a favorite between -110 and -150. Wei-Yin Chen gets the call tonight and while he has been inconsistent of late, his good starts have been exceptional. He has five quality outings in his last eight starts including two of three on the road. He faced Seattle back in July and held it to two runs on two hits in 7.1 innings and the Orioles are 4-0 in his last four road starts against teams with a losing record. The Mariners won their first two games of their roadtrip in Toronto but dropped three of the last four before heading back home where they currently own a four-game losing streak after the loss from last night. The offense has been non-existent of late, scoring three runs or less in 12 of the last 16 games including eight of 10 at home. Seattle is 2-11 in its last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Erasmo Ramirez will be making his second start since getting recalled from Tacoma and his first one was a successful one as he allowed just two runs in seven innings at Toronto. He has a 4.05 ERA in five starts and run support has been an issue at home as he has received only five runs in three starts. The Orioles are 15-7 in their last 22 road games against right-handed starters. Play (929) Baltimore Orioles

MLB Picks: August 28th 2012
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Pick: Chicago White Sox -142
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The White Sox lost for the first time in seven games last night, but I expect them to bounce back strong this evening behind a quality start from Chris Sale.

The southpaw is 15-4 with a 2.66 ERA in 22 starts this season, including 7-2 with a 3.63 ERA in 11 starts on the road.

Baltimore’s Chris Tillman pales in comparison. He is 6-2 with an ERA of 3.71 in 9 starts, including 2-1 with an ERA of 4.56 in 4 home starts. He checks in with an ERA of 6.35 over his last 3 starts while Sale has posted an ERA of 3.00 over his last 3.

The White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite, 5-0 in their last 5 games versus a right-handed starter and 9-3 in Sale’s last 12 starts as a favorite. The Orioles are 2-5 in their last 7 games as a home underdog and 1-4 in Tillman’s last 5 starts versus the American League Central. Bet Chicago.

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MLB Picks: August 15th 2012
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Pick: Baltimore Orioles -117
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Baltimore won its second straight game Tuesday and is now 6-2 on its current homestand and looking back further, it is 11-4 in its last 15 games. The Orioles remain tied with Tampa Bay for the two American League Wild Card spots and the pitching that went south for a while has recovered by allowing three runs or fewer nine times over the recent 15-game stretch. Miguel Gonzalez has been quietly pitching solid under the radar as he has a 3.42 ERA and through seven starts, he has only one truly bad outing. He has allowed three runs or less in five of those seven starts and has tossed two straight quality outings in a row. This is his first start against Boston which is a big edge. The Red Sox are a mess right now as off the field bickering has added to what has been a disappointing season. They are now 2-5 in their last seven games while going back further they are 4-9 in their last 13 games. They have played better on the road as they are still over .500 but they have gotten little out of it. Aaron Cook put together a very solid run but has since slowed down despite a quality outing in his last start. He has a 7.47 ERA over his last three starts and his worst game of the season came in his very first start with Boston as he allowed six earned runs on eight hits in just 2.2 innings and that is significant because it came against the Orioles. That is not a good thing to have in the memory bank. (922) Baltimore Orioles

Baseball Betting Pick: August 6th 2012
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles
Pick: Baltimore Orioles -135
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The Baltimore Orioles are right in the thick of the AL Wildcard race at 57-51 on the season. They have won five of their last seven overall, including back-to-back shutout victories. I’ll back them tonight against the lowly Seattle Mariners (51-59), who are in a letdown spot Monday after playing a series at the New York Yankees over the weekend.

Chris Tillman is having an excellent season thus far for Baltimore. The right-hander is 4-1 with a 2.70 ERA in five starts this year. Tillman has been untouchable in two career starts against Seattle, going 2-0 with a 0.63 ERA and 0.698 WHIP while allowing one earned run and 10 base runners over 14 1/3 innings.

The Mariners are 8-28 in their last 36 road games vs. AL East opponents. Seattle is 33-70 in its last 103 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Orioles are 8-2 in Tillman’s last 10 home starts. Baltimore is 8-2 in its last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the Orioles Monday.

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Baseball Picks: July 18th 2012
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins
Prediction: Minnesota Twins -147
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Matt promised a strong July start and has not disappointed with a MASSIVE 21-10 MLB start to the month! He heads into the second half on a SMOKING 29-14 run while going back further he is a SWEET 39-19 his last 58 MLB plays! He WON his 3-Pack Tuesday and has another going Wednesday along with an Afternoon Dominator! 3-0 SWEEP!

Minnesota rallied from a 4-1 deficit to win the second game of this series last night and it looks for a series win at a minimum with a victory tonight. The Twins opened the second half by getting swept at home against Oakland which made it five straight losses and the offense really struggled but they have responded by scoring 25 runs in the first two games against the Orioles. Minnesota again has a pitching matchup advantage and it is now 5-0 in its last five home games against teams with a winning record.

Baltimore is now 1-4 since the All-Star break which has added to a run that has not been very good as the Orioles are now 7-17 over its last 24 games and has fallen from the top of the American League East to 10 games behind the Yankees. They are still over .500 on the road but are just 3-9 over their last 12 games on the highway. The pitching has started to implode as the starters have a 4.79 ERA on the season after a strong start. The Orioles are 3-13 in their last 16 games as a road underdog between +110 and +150.

All it took was a trip to the bullpen to sort things out for Francisco Liriano apparently. After posting a 9.45 ERA through his first six starts, he was sent to do some relief work to try and sort things out and after five games, he came back into the rotation and has tossed seven quality outings in nine starts. His command was off early on but since his return to the starting role, he has a 2.83 ERA with 67 strikeouts in 57.1 innings. The Twins are 5-2 in Liriano’s last seven starts against teams with a winning record.

Tommy Hunter has been recalled from Norfolk to make the start in place of the injured Jason Hammel. After posting a 7.31 ERA over five starts in May and June, he was sent to the bullpen and was eventually sent to the minors. During his time in the rotation, he went 0-3 with an 8.07 ERA in six road starts with only one of those resulting in a quality outing. Baltimore has averaged just 3.8 rpg in his road starts and it is 2-5 in his last seven starts as a road underdog between +110 and +150. 3* (928) Minnesota Twins