MLB betting experts were not sure what to expect from the Rays this year, but people forget that the Rays pitching was one of the highlights from last season. MLB betting experts were not sure what to expect from the Rays this year, but people forget that the Rays pitching was one of the MLB highlights from last season. The Rays put David Price on the mound for this game to try and keep the winning streak alive. In his last six starts, Price is 2-2. For the season, he is 8-7 with a 3.56 ERA. A.J. Burnett takes the mound for the Yankees, and Burnett offers some insight into the Yankees’ consistency issues this season. In a year where Burnett was supposed to be dominating, he is 8-7 with a 4.12 ERA. Price has not handled the Yankees well at all this season, but he has been able to beat Burnett once, and he will do it again in this game. Play on the Tampa Bay Rays.
5* graded play on the Oakland A’s as they take on the Texas Rangers set to start at 8:05 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the A’s will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 80-46 making 34.4 units per one unit wagered since 2005. Play on all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 after allowing two runs or less and now facing an opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more. Oakland is coming off a 2-0 win versus Seattle while Texas defeated Baltimore 13-5 satisfying the criteria of the aforementioned system. Texas batted a sizzling .419 with 19 extra-base hits in a three game sweep of Baltimore, but Oakland has arguably the best pitching staff in the majors. Harden starts for the A’s and is coming off a solid 2011 debut after being on the disabled list with a strained oblique and back muscle. In that start he went six innings allowing just two ER on four hits walking no batters and striking out six batters in a 5-4 win over Arizona. Oakland’s key bat Josh Willingham comes back to the lineup and he will certainly provide much needed run support. This is a series of contrasting styles with the Rangers prolific offense up against the stingy A’s pitching staff. I like the A’s pitching to dominate the Texas bats. Take the A’s.
The Brewers look to rebound tonight following the series opening loss on Monday. They look to Randy Wolf who has been extremely solid for them this season, posting a 3.33 ERA through 17 starts. He has been even better at home, putting up a 2.78 ERA in seven starts, six of which have been quality outings including four in a row. He is coming off a non-quality effort against the Yankees last time out but a bounceback can be expected knowing the Diamondbacks are 20-43 in their last 63 road games against lefty starters.
Arizona counters with Zach Duke who is struggling to find any sort of rhythm. He is coming off another poor start and those are becoming the norm as after tossing seven shutout innings in his first start since coming back from the disabled list, Duke is 0-3 with a 7.26 ERA in his six starts since then, only one of which has been a quality outing. He is not a fan of facing the Brewers as he is 4-7 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in 17 career starts. This includes a 0-6 record and 8.13 ERA in 11 starts at Miller Park. 3* (910) Milwaukee Brewers
MLB Baseball Picks: July 4th 2011
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Pick: Astros vs. Pirates Over 7.5
On Monday the The MLB Free totals system Play is on the Over in the Astros at Pirates game. Rotation numbers 953/954 at 1:35 eastern. This game fits an 80% totals system that plays to the over for home favorites off a road dog win that scored 10 or more runs with 10 or more men left on base, like the Pirates, vs an opponent that was an underdog in their last game. The Astros are hitting over .295 in their past 7 games and .275 vs Left handers this season. Look for game one of the series to play over the total today. On Monday there are 3 big System Plays all cashing 90% or higher on the card + a late perfect system play. Jump on and start the week with a bang on 4th of July. For the free play take the over in the Astros at Pirates game. -Rob Vinciletti
Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -117
The Cincinnati Reds travel to the Gateway City for a three-game series against the host St. Louis Cardinals with the opener set for Monday night at 6:15PM EST. The Reds swept the Cardinals back in May at home, which was the first time they had done that since 2007. The Cardinals will be seeking redemption and knowing how important this first game is for their series hopes. Cincinnati is 1-5 when Cueto takes the bump on the road in this price range. Cueto has posted a record of 4-3 with an ERA of 5.47 in ten career starts versus St. Louis. Cincinnati is 10-24 on the road versus a team with a winning home record. St. Louis will send thirty-six year old Chris Carpenter to the hill on Monday. Carpenter is coming off back-to-back complete game victories. He is 12-4 with a 2.42 ERA in his career versus the Cincinnati Reds. We want to Play ON MLB home favorites in this price range with a starter who throws for more than 6.5 innings per start facing a starter whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season. These home teams are 84-31 for seventy-three percent winners and a profit of more than forty-one units. Take the Cards to avenge their earlier sweep at the hands of the Reds. -Robbie Gainous (Touthouse.com Football Betting)
We won with Tim Lincecum in his last start as he pitched a gem, allowing no runs on three hits while striking out 12 in seven innings against the Twins. It was his second straight quality start following three straight poor outings so we are getting him on an upswing and at a good price. He has been a better pitcher on the road as he has a 2.67 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in nine road starts, seven of which have been quality outings. Lincecum is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in three career starts at Wrigley Field.
Ryan Dempster gets the call for the Cubs and he is pitching a lot better than he did at the start of the season. Eight of his last 11 starts have been quality outings after beginning the season with six straight non-quality efforts. His last home game resulted in a non-quality start as he threw a season high 119 pitches while walking a season high six batters. His overall numbers are still average due to that poor start and even though he has improved, the Giants are 6-0 in their last six games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30. 3* (901) San Francisco Giants
I’ll side with the Colorado Rockies Monday afternoon to take down the Chicago Cubs in Game 1 of this series. The Rockies have a big edge on the mound today with Jhoulys Chacin over Matt Garza. Chacin is 8-4 with a 2.71 ERA and 1.084 WHIP in 15 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 1.01 ERA in four June starts. He has only allowed 3 earned runs in 26 2/3 innings this month. Garza is 3-6 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.396 WHIP in 13 starts this season for Chicago.
Chacin is 1-1 with a 1.84 ERA in two career starts against Chicago. He threw the only shutout of his career against the Cubs on April 15, pitching a 6-hitter in a 5-0 Colorado victory. Garza is 0-3 with a 5.29 ERA in three career starts against the Rockies. Chicago is 3-16 vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. The Rockies are 7-1 in their last eight meetings with Chicago, taking four of five so far this year. Colorado is 6-0 in their last six games as a favorite. Bet the Rockies Monday.