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Posts Tagged ‘Buffalo Bills Predictions’

Jets vs. Bills Week 17 NFL Pick & Point Spread: December 30th 2012

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills
Point Spread: Buffalo -3 Over/Under 39 (December 30th 2012)
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ATS Trends:
Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC East. Bills are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Bills are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 17. Bills are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in December. Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf. Jets are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Jets are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Jets are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 17. Jets are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 8-1-1 in Bills last 10 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 7-2 in Bills last 9 home games. Over is 6-2 in Bills last 8 games on turf. Over is 6-2-1 in Bills last 9 vs. AFC East. Under is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games in December. Over is 4-1 in Jets last 5 vs. AFC East. Over is 4-1 in Jets last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 10-3 in Jets last 13 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Over is 20-7-1 in Jets last 28 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Buffalo. Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Buffalo. Underdog is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings. Road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

BUFFALO LAST 5 | SEASON | REMAINING YARDS PER PLAY
DATE VS. SCORE LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
12/23/12 @MIA L 10-24 L 5 U 43.5 80 -28 108 1.0 0.3 1.7
12/16/12 SEA L 17-50 L 4.5 O 43.5 -133 -152 19 -3.3 -2.8 -3.5
12/09/12 STL L 12-15 L -3.5 U 42 -4 -17 13 1.0 0.2 1.4
12/02/12 JAC W 34-18 W -6 O 41.5 108 182 -74 1.5 2.3 2.2
11/25/12 @IND L 13-20 L 2 U 51 -8 48 -56 0.7 2.9 -1.0
N.Y. JETS LAST 5 | SEASON | REMAINING YARDS PER PLAY
DATE VS. SCORE LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
12/23/12 SD L 17-27 L -3 O 38.5 2 -18 20 0.4 0.1 0.1
12/17/12 @TEN L 10-14 L 1 U 40 -41 -21 -20 -1.4 -0.7 -2.1
12/09/12 @JAC W 17-10 W -3 U 39.5 -21 43 -64 0.1 -1.2 1.6
12/02/12 ARI W 7-6 L -6 U 36.5 152 96 56 1.4 0.3 2.2
11/22/12 NE L 19-49 L 7 O 48 -70 -33 -37 -1.0 0.2 -4.0

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Bills vs. Dolphins Week 16 NFL Pick & Point Spread: December 23rd 2012

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins
Point Spread: Miami -4 Over/Under 41 (December 23rd 2012)
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ATS Trends:
Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December. Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC East. Dolphins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Dolphins are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs. AFC. Dolphins are 25-52-1 ATS in their last 78 home games. Bills are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 road games. Bills are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Bills are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in December. Bills are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Bills are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 3-0-1 in Dolphins last 4 games in Week 16. Under is 9-1-1 in Dolphins last 11 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 home games. Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 vs. AFC East. Over is 6-1-1 in Bills last 8 vs. AFC East. Under is 9-2-1 in Bills last 12 games on grass. Over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games in December. Over is 9-3-1 in Bills last 13 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Miami. Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. Bills are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Miami.

MIAMI LAST 5 | SEASON | REMAINING YARDS PER PLAY
DATE VS. SCORE LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
12/16/12 JAC W 24-3 W -7.5 U 38.5 90 94 -4 0.5 0.9 0.9
12/09/12 @SF L 13-27 L 10.5 O 38.5 -94 -61 -33 -2.2 -1.3 -3.2
12/02/12 NE L 16-23 W 8 U 51 -44 -7 -37 0.5 0.4 0.7
11/25/12 SEA W 24-21 W 3 O 37.5 123 93 30 2.3 3.2 1.5
11/15/12 @BUF L 14-19 L 1 U 46 -97 -60 -37 -1.3 -1.4 -1.5
BUFFALO LAST 5 | SEASON | REMAINING YARDS PER PLAY
DATE VS. SCORE LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
12/16/12 SEA L 17-50 L 4.5 O 43.5 -133 -152 19 -3.3 -2.8 -3.5
12/09/12 STL L 12-15 L -3.5 U 42 -4 -17 13 1.0 0.2 1.4
12/02/12 JAC W 34-18 W -6 O 41.5 108 182 -74 1.5 2.3 2.2
11/25/12 @IND L 13-20 L 2 U 51 -8 48 -56 0.7 2.9 -1.0
11/15/12 MIA W 19-14 W -1 U 46 97 60 37 1.3 1.4 1.5

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Seahawks vs. Bills Week 15 NFL Pick & Point Spread: December 16th 2012

Seattle Seahawks vs. Buffalo Bills
Point Spread: Seattle -5.5 Over/Under 43 (December 16th 2012)
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ATS Trends:
Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Bills are 4-9-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Bills are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games on fieldturf. Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December. Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 7-1-1 in Bills last 9 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Over is 10-2 in Bills last 12 games on fieldturf. Over is 16-4-1 in Bills last 21 games following a ATS loss. Under is 11-4 in Bills last 15 games in December. Over is 5-2 in Bills last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 10-1 in Seahawks last 11 games in December. Over is 5-1 in Seahawks last 6 games overall. Over is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games on fieldturf. Over is 7-2 in Seahawks last 9 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. Over is 10-3 in Seahawks last 13 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Seahawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

RECENT MEETINGS SEATTLE BUFFALO
DATE AWAY/HOME LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
09/07/08 SEA 10 - BUF 34 BUF -1 O 37.5 252 85 167 338 106 232
11/28/04 BUF 38 - SEA 9 BUF 4.5 O 38 230 55 175 434 148 286
11/18/01 SEA 23 - BUF 20 BUF 3.5 O 39 246 112 134 372 69 303
12/23/00 BUF 42 - SEA 23 BUF 3 O 43 312 126 186 579 213 366
10/24/99 BUF 16 - SEA 26 SEA -2.5 O 37.5 385 110 275 352 103 249
12/08/96 BUF 18 - SEA 26 SEA 4.5 O 41.5 302 170 132 382 70 312
10/15/95 SEA 21 - BUF 27 SEA 7.5 O 38 0 0 0 0 0 0
12/04/89 BUF 16 - SEA 17 SEA 6 U 39 0 0 0 0 0 0
11/06/88 BUF 13 - SEA 3 BUF PK U 38 0 0 0 0 0 0

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Rams vs. Bills Week 14 NFL Pick & Point Spread: December 9th 2012

St. Louis Rams vs. Buffalo Bills
Point Spread: Buffalo -3 Over/Under 42 (December 9th 2012)
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ATS Trends:
Bills are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Bills are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. Bills are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win. Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win. Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Rams are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf. Rams are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Rams are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0 in Bills last 4 games in Week 14. Over is 6-1 in Bills last 7 home games. Over is 6-1 in Bills last 7 games on turf. Under is 6-2 in Bills last 8 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. Over is 5-2 in Bills last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-1 in Rams last 6 games overall. Under is 9-2 in Rams last 11 games in December. Over is 4-1 in Rams last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 18-6 in Rams last 24 games following a S.U. win. Under is 11-4-1 in Rams last 16 road games.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

BUFFALO LAST 5 | SEASON | REMAINING YARDS PER PLAY
DATE VS. SCORE LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
12/02/12 JAC W 34-18 W -6 O 41.5 108 182 -74 1.5 2.3 2.1
11/25/12 @IND L 13-20 L 2 U 51 -8 48 -56 0.7 2.9 -1.0
11/15/12 MIA W 19-14 W -1 U 46 97 60 37 1.3 1.4 1.5
11/11/12 @NE L 31-37 W 13.5 O 54 134 45 89 1.9 1.8 1.9
11/04/12 @HOU L 9-21 L 11 U 47.5 -70 -44 -26 -0.6 1.2 -3.4
ST. LOUIS LAST 5 | SEASON | REMAINING YARDS PER PLAY
DATE VS. SCORE LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
12/02/12 SF W 16-13 x W 7.5 U 41 -46 -63 17 -0.5 -1.0 -0.6
11/25/12 @ARI W 31-17 W 1 O 36 -8 99 -107 2.1 1.9 5.0
11/18/12 NYJ L 13-27 L -3.5 O 38 -8 -10 2 -0.3 2.7 -4.1
11/11/12 @SF T 24-24 W 13.5 O 38 117 -24 141 0.1 -1.1 1.0
10/28/12 NE L 7-45 L 7.5 O 46 -147 -45 -102 -1.2 -0.8 -1.6

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Jaguars vs. Bills Week 13 NFL Pick & Point Spread: December 2nd 2012

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills
Point Spread: Buffalo -6 Over/Under 45 (December 2nd 2012)
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ATS Trends:
Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December. Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 13. Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Jaguars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. Jaguars are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 13. Jaguars are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Jaguars are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Jaguars are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 6-1-1 in Bills last 8 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Bills last 6 home games. Over is 5-1 in Bills last 6 games on turf. Under is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games in Week 13. Under is 10-3 in Bills last 13 games in December. Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Over is 3-0-1 in Jaguars last 4 games in December. Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games on turf. Under is 12-3-1 in Jaguars last 16 vs. AFC. Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games following a ATS win.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

RECENT MEETINGS JACKSONVILLE BUFFALO
DATE AWAY/HOME LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
10/10/10 JAC 36 - BUF 26 JAC 2.5 O 41.5 381 216 165 306 110 196
11/22/09 BUF 15 - JAC 18 BUF 9 U 41.5 310 102 208 343 53 290
09/14/08 BUF 20 - JAC 16 BUF 4 U 37 243 98 145 285 75 210
11/25/07 BUF 14 - JAC 36 JAC -9 O 37 416 124 292 297 94 203
11/26/06 JAC 24 - BUF 27 BUF 3 O 35 323 207 116 241 72 169
09/12/04 JAC 13 - BUF 10 JAC 3 U 35 225 83 142 242 95 147
09/14/03 BUF 38 - JAC 17 BUF -3 O 41.5 287 95 192 371 43 328
10/18/01 BUF 13 - JAC 10 BUF 8.5 U 39.5 247 115 132 317 98 219
10/18/98 JAC 16 - BUF 17 BUF 3 U 42 238 134 104 337 110 227
12/14/97 JAC 20 - BUF 14 JAC -4.5 U 39 388 91 297 335 143 192

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Bills vs. Colts Week 12 NFL Pick & Point Spread: November 25th 2012

Buffalo Bills vs. Indianapolis Colts
Point Spread: Indianapolis -3 Over/Under 51 (November 25th 2012)
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ATS Trends:
Colts are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points. Colts are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Colts are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 12. Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Bills are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win. Bills are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 5-0 in Colts last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points. Under is 9-1 in Colts last 10 home games. Under is 7-1 in Colts last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 7-1 in Colts last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 10-1 in Bills last 11 games on fieldturf. Over is 5-1 in Bills last 6 games in Week 12. Over is 4-1 in Bills last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 7-2 in Bills last 9 games following a S.U. win. Over is 7-2 in Bills last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

RECENT MEETINGS BUFFALO INDIANAPOLIS
DATE AWAY/HOME LINE O/U TOT RUSH PASS TOT RUSH PASS
01/03/10 IND 7 - BUF 30 BUF -9 O 32.5 403 248 155 157 25 132
11/12/06 BUF 16 - IND 17 BUF 12 U 44.5 162 111 51 384 148 236
11/23/03 IND 17 - BUF 14 Push 3.0 U 38.5 228 110 118 326 103 223
11/04/01 IND 30 - BUF 14 IND -3 U 45.5 232 84 148 305 144 161
09/23/01 BUF 26 - IND 42 IND -10 O 45 374 145 229 555 137 418
12/11/00 BUF 20 - IND 44 IND -7 O 47.5 294 66 228 237 121 116
10/01/00 IND 18 - BUF 16 IND 2.5 U 44.5 385 170 215 265 81 184
01/02/00 IND 6 - BUF 31 BUF 2.5 U 41 419 132 287 226 44 182
09/12/99 BUF 14 - IND 31 IND 3 U 47 321 47 274 393 109 284
11/22/98 IND 11 - BUF 34 BUF -7 O 39.5 402 187 215 250 86 164

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Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Betting Pick: November 15th 2012

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills
Betting Pick: Buffalo Bills -1 (November 15th 2012)
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No significant play here tonight, but I do lean towards the Bills as I believe a lot of teams have started to catch up to the Dolphins coaching staff. Over there past three games the offense has been terrible averaging less than 300 yards total. I’m not so sure they can take advantage of the Bills poor defensive play at least not on the road. If you are one to look at recent common opponents both teams played the Titans at home and lost, but Buffalo lost by 1 point while putting up 34 points and the Dolphins put up 3 points. I think we can all agree Buffalo’s offense has more talent and the Miami defense has more talent, but Miami has some big weaknesses and despite playing well over the first half of the season are due to come back to earth a bit.

First of all they are one of the worst teams against the pass allowing 278 yards a game and Ryan Fitzpatrick is fully capable of distributing the ball and making big plays. Miami on the other hand looks to exploit the Bills run defense that has been bad, but they are only averaging a meager 3.1 yards per carry on the road which is last in the league. Reggie Bush has disappeared and I believe that the Bills might even have the advantage in the running game. The Dolphins gave up over 120 yards to Chris Johnson last week, but the Bills zone run blocking scheme is better especially with C.J. Spiller taking all the snaps as will be the case tonight. Spiller rushed for 91 yards on just 12 carries last year vs. the Dolphins at home and he leads the league in 7.3 ypc this year. He now has another opportunity and he’s a competitive guy that’s not going to waste it. The Bills are #2 in the league rushing for 5.3 ypc and this is a rare game where Miami can get beat on the ground and through the air. Miami will have its hands full as the Bills have converted 51% of their third downs at home and while Miami’s defense has been good ranked 6th they have given up 49% conversions in their last three combined. Buffalo is the worst in stopping teams on third down, but like already mentioned I believe the Dolphins offense is struggling to much for that to be an advantage. They have no balance and their only play maker seems to be still injured. They have only converted 27% of their third downs over their last 3 games and 31% overall on the road. Their QB has just a 73.2 QB rating and has 5 TD to 9 interceptions.