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Posts Tagged ‘Cincinnati Reds Predictions’

Reds vs. Indians Odds: Larry Ness betting Cleveland -145 on May 16th 2016

REDS VS. INDIANSCincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Indians
MLB Betting Prediction: Cleveland -145 odds (May 16th 2016)
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Cincinnati has lost 13 of its last 14 games at Cleveland…My free play is on the Cle Indians at 6:10 ET.

The battle of Ohio kicks off at 6:10 ET when the Cincinnati Reds visit the Cleveland Indians for the first of a four-game, home-and-home series. The intrastate rivals will play two in Cleveland before heading to Cincinnati for two more on Wednesday to complete the interleague series. The Indians have dropped back-to-back series and are coming off two straight losses to the struggling Minnesota Twins (10-26) in which they totaled just four runs. Cleveland went 0-for-4 with runners in scoring position and left nine men on base in Sunday’s 5-1 loss. The Reds snapped a three-game slide with a 9-4 victory at Philadelphia, upping their road record to 3-12 (tied with the Twins, who are 4-16, as a MLB-worst).

The Indians will hand the ball to Cody Anderson (0-3, 7.31 ERA), who was sent down to the minors after going 0-1 with a 7.65 ERA in his first four starts. He returned to “the bigs”and lost his first start back (7-0 vs KC on May 5), before also losing in relief Wednesday by allowing Marwin Gonzalez’s winning two-run homer over 3.1 innings in a 5-3, 16-inning loss at Houston. It’s HARDLY good news that the Indians have lost all six games he has appeared in (0-5 in starts). “Whenever you are going through things like this, you’ve just got to focus on keeping the ball down and trusting your defense and not try to do too much,” Anderson said. He is 0-2 with a 5.49 ERA in four career interleague starts entering his first-ever start vs the Reds.

As for the Reds, they will give the ball to John Lamb (0-0, 1.80 ERA), who was removed from a start against Milwaukee on May 8 with a bruised thumb and got some extra time to rest due to a rainout during the week. The 25-year-old has allowed a total of only two runs on eight hits in 10 innings over two starts while striking out seven. Lamb, who made his major-league debut after arriving in a trade last summer from Kansas City, has never faced an American League opponent and will be making just his third start of 2016 after being activated earlier this month following back surgery.

It’s hard to make a strong case for Anderson but consider the following. The Reds have lost 10 of Lamb’s 12 career starts (Lamb has posted a 5.13 ERA in them) plus Cincinnati has lost 13 of its last 14 games at Cleveland. Home team is the play.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Odds & Pick from Brandon Lee: May 14th 2016

REDS VS. PHILLIESCincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
MLB Pick: Reds +150 odds (May 14th 2016)
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I really like the value we are catching with Cincinnati in Saturday’s matchup against the Phillies. The Reds are a miserable 2-11 on the road this season and that’s definitely playing into this line. Tim Adleman will take the mound for the Reds an I’ve really been impressed with what I have seen so far. Cincinnati has won both of his starts since he joined the rotation, including one of their road wins at Pittsburgh. He’s got a 2.45 ERA and 1.091 WHIP. Philadelphia will give the ball to Aaron Nola, who has an impressive 3.13 ERA and 0.848 WHIP in 7 starts, but he’s struggled in both of his home outings, allowing 11 runs on 13 hits in 12 innings, both losses for the Phillies. Give me the Reds +150!

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds & Pick from Brandon Shively: April 4th 2016

PHILADELPHIA MLB ODDS

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Betting Pick: Philly +157 odds (April 4th 2016)
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I know it’s a ‘hold your breath’, ‘cross your fingers’, type of situation when backing the Phillies, but at this price, I think there is definite value with them catching this number.

This is more of a play against the Reds as they send Raisel Iglesias to the mound for his first Opening Day Start, that should be accompanied by a case of the jitters as this is only his second year in the Big Leagues. Last year, the Reds went 5-13 in his 18 appearances, winning only 27% of them. He was 1-5 in day starts and today’s game is played in the afternoon. While he can strikeout batter’s out, he still has velocity issues and has a high home run rate. Iglesias only pitched 6 innings in Spring Training and gave up a home run and he gave up 7 hits in those 6 innings.

For the Phillies, they will send out Jeremy Hellickson who has experience in the American League facing some of the toughest lineups facing the Yankees, Blue Jays, and Red Sox as he pitched for Tampa Bay. Facing a weak Cincinnati lineup should be a sigh of relief on this Opening Day start for Hellickson who got plenty of work in Spring going 16.1 innings with a 1.04 WHIP, only giving up 10 hits while striking out 20.

The Phillies will have the hottest hitter coming out of Spring in M. Franco in the lineup who belted nine home runs.

Iglesias is working on a pitching count of around 90 pitches. I look for the Phillies to work him and he should be pulled by the 5th or 6th inning. The Reds bullpen can’t be trusted and they got rid of closer Chapman in the offseason.

Again, this is more of a play against the Reds than anything, but I think the price is right with the Phillies facing a pitcher that has not yet been established.

1* Philadelphia Phillies

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Betting Odds & Pick from Brandon Lee: September 30th 2015

CUBS VS. REDS MLB PICK BETTINGChicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
Betting Pick: Cubs -162 odds (September 30th 2015)
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Chicago has won 3 straight and are still within striking distance of the Pirates for hosting the NL Wild Card game. With Pittsburgh playing a double-header against St Louis, a win and two Pirates losses would put the Cubs just 1.5-games back with a chance to pull within 1 on Thursday (Pirates off). Either way, Chicago is focused on finishing strong and should have no problem getting a win behind their ace Jon Lester against a Reds team that has lost 10 straight and scored a total of 5 runs over their last 4 games. Lester may no longer be the ace of the staff with Arrieta taking over that role, but he’s pitched well of late with a 2.86 ERA and 0.909 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Give me the Cubs -162!

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Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Betting Prediction from Dave Price: August 10th 2015

REDS VS. PADRES PREDICTION AUGUST 10TH 2015Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres
Betting Prediction: Reds +132 odds (August 10th 2015)
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The San Diego Padres are really wishing they were sellers at the trade deadline now so they could have gotten something back from their better players. But now they appear to have really packed it in. They have lost six straight coming into this one, to Milwaukee and Philadelphia no less, which are two of the worst teams in the National League. David Holmberg has pitched well in two starts for the Reds this year, going 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.182 WHIP. He’ll be opposed by Ian Kennedy, who is 6-10 with a 4.49 ERA and 1.269 WHIP in 20 starts. Somehow, Kennedy has been worse in pitcher-friendly San Diego, going 4-4 with a 5.26 ERA and 1.325 WHIP in 10 home starts. The Padres are 1-8 in their last 9 vs. NL Central foes. Take Cincinnati.

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Pirates vs. Reds Over-Under Betting Line, Pick & Trends: August 1st 2015

PIRATES VS. REDS BETTING OVER UNDERPittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
Betting Line: Cincinnati +131 Over/Under 7.5 (August 1st 2015)

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ATS Trends:
Reds are 2-5 in their last 7 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Reds are 1-7 in their last 8 Saturday games. Reds are 1-4 in Iglesias’ last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Pirates are 18-6 in their last 24 games vs. a right-handed starter. Pirates are 37-14 in their last 51 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Pirates are 37-14 in their last 51 games as a favorite.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-1-2 in Reds last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 during game 3 of a series. Over is 7-2-1 in Reds last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 3-1-1 in Reds last 5 overall. Under is 3-1-1 in Reds last 5 on grass. Over is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 8-3-1 in Pirates last 12 vs. National League Central. Under is 5-2-1 in Pirates last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 7-3-2 in Pirates last 12 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 5-0 in Coles last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. Pirates are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings. Pirates are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Cincinnati. Pirates are 0-5 in Coles last 5 starts vs. Reds.

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Reds vs. Marlins Betting Line, Trends & Prediction: July 9th 2015

REDS VS. MARLINS BETTINGCincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins
Betting Line: Miami -145 Over/Under 7 (July 9th 2015)

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ATS Trends:
Marlins are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Marlins are 7-3 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Marlins are 20-41 in their last 61 Thursday games. Marlins are 8-20 in their last 28 vs. a team with a losing record. Marlins are 4-10 in their last 14 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Reds are 18-42 in their last 60 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Reds are 15-37 in their last 52 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Reds are 6-18 in their last 24 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Reds are 15-46 in their last 61 games as a road underdog. Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 20-6-3 in Marlins last 29 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 3-1-1 in Marlins last 5 overall. Under is 3-1-1 in Marlins last 5 on grass. Over is 3-1-1 in Marlins last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 15-5-1 in Marlins last 21 vs. National League Central. Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 road games. Under is 5-2 in Reds last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 7-3 in Reds last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 13-6 in Reds last 19 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Under is 5-1 in Lorenzens last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Head-to-Head Trends:
Reds are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Miami. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Reds are 11-4 in the last 15 meetings. Over is 18-8-1 in the last 27 meetings in Miami.

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MLB Pick from Doc’s Sports: Reds vs. Nationals on July 8th 2015

CINCINNATI REDS MLB BETTING JULY 8TH 2015Wednesday MLB Free Pick from Doc’s Sports Take #955 Cincinnati Reds over Washington Nationals (Wednesday, 7:05pm EST) The Cincinnati Reds have taken the first two games of this series and will go for the sweep on Wednesday night. This line isn’t exactly giving the Reds much respect, especially after beating Max Scherzer and the Nats 5-0 yesterday. Yes they are five games below the .500 mark, but Cincinnati plays in an extremely tough division and has played hurt for most of the season. The Nats have yet to realize their full potential, but I think a lot of that has to do with the lack of chemistry on this club. Washington has a nice collection of players, but they never have quite meshed like they were supposed to. On the mound, Michael Lorenzen and Gio Gonzalez will battle it out. Gio definitely has the edge there, but it isn’t a big one. One of the keys to this Reds teams is their outstanding defense, as they rank near the top in the NL in defensive efficiency. The Nationals, on the other hand, are the worst defensive club in the league and that’s held them back. I don’t see a huge gap between these clubs, so we’ll gladly grab the big plus price here with Cincinnati.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Over-Under Pick: June 25th 2015

REDS VS. PIRATES OVER UNDER PICK JUNE 25TH 2015

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Over-Under Pick: Under 7.5 runs (June 25th 2015)
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The Pittsburgh Pirates have split the first two games of this home series versus Cincinnati, and they wrap things up tonight at PNC Park. Pittsburgh has lost four of it’s last five overall, and it’s lineup has averaged just 2.4 runs while batting .187 during that span. We’ve seen a trend of low scoring games in Pittsburgh, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see another pitcher’s duel here tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching – The Pirates will send A.J Burnett to the mound, and he allowed a career high 14 hits in his last start. Burnett (6-3, 2.05 ERA) allowed just three earned runs and had seven strikeouts over 6.2 innings in that game. He’s 2-2 with a 1.27 ERA in six starts in Pittsburgh this season. The Reds hand the ball to Anthony DeSclafani, who has solid numbers going 3-2 with a 2.58 ERA in seven starts on the road.

2. Previous History – The Reds have seen the total go under in seven of their last 10 overall, while Pittsburgh has seen 10 of it’s last 13 home games fall short of the total.

3. X-Factor- The Under is 20-7-1 in Burnetts last 28 home starts.

Selection: This is a play on the Reds/Pirates to go UNDER the total (Free)

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds & Pick from Dave Price: June 3rd 2015

REDS VS. PHILLIES MLB PICK JUNE 3RD 2015Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
MLB Pick: Phillies -130 odds (June 3rd 2015)
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The Philadelphia Phillies have a massive edge on the mound tonight behind ace Cole Hamels. The left-hander is 5-4 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in 11 starts, 2-2 with a 2.25 ERA in six home starts, and 2-1 with a 1.54 ERA in his last three outings. But, most impressive is the fact that he’s 10-0 with a 1.36 ERA and 0.877 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts versus Cincinnati. The Phillies are a perfect 13-0 in those games. Mike Leake has gone 0-3 with a 12.86 ERA and 2.500 WHIP in his last three starts for the Reds. Plus, Leake is 1-3 with a 7.41 ERA in six lifetime starts versus Philadelphia. The Reds are 13-38 in their last 51 games as a road underdog. Cincinnati is 1-10 in Leake’s last 11 starts as a road underdog. Take Philadelphia.

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