Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Over-Under Pick: Under 7.5 runs (June 25th 2015)
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The Pittsburgh Pirates have split the first two games of this home series versus Cincinnati, and they wrap things up tonight at PNC Park. Pittsburgh has lost four of it’s last five overall, and it’s lineup has averaged just 2.4 runs while batting .187 during that span. We’ve seen a trend of low scoring games in Pittsburgh, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see another pitcher’s duel here tonight.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Pitching – The Pirates will send A.J Burnett to the mound, and he allowed a career high 14 hits in his last start. Burnett (6-3, 2.05 ERA) allowed just three earned runs and had seven strikeouts over 6.2 innings in that game. He’s 2-2 with a 1.27 ERA in six starts in Pittsburgh this season. The Reds hand the ball to Anthony DeSclafani, who has solid numbers going 3-2 with a 2.58 ERA in seven starts on the road.
2. Previous History – The Reds have seen the total go under in seven of their last 10 overall, while Pittsburgh has seen 10 of it’s last 13 home games fall short of the total.
3. X-Factor- The Under is 20-7-1 in Burnetts last 28 home starts.
Selection: This is a play on the Reds/Pirates to go UNDER the total (Free)