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Posts Tagged ‘Cincinnati Reds Predictions’

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Runline Betting Pick from Brandon Lee: June 27th 2016

CUBS VS. REDS ODDSChicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Runline Betting Pick: Cubs -1.5 -145 odds (June 27th 2016)

Chicago will have Jake Arrieta on the mound Monday against the Reds and I really like the value here with Cubs on the -1.5 run line. Arrieta is a perfect 7-0 on the road this season, posting a 1.84 ERA and 0.796 WHIP in 7 starts. Chicago has won his last two starts at Cincinnati by a combined score of 21-2, which includes his no hitter he threw back in April. While Arrieta figures to keep the Reds offense in check, the Cubs should be able to provide plenty of run support against Cincinnati starter Daniel Straily, who is coming off two poor outings, where he gave up 10 runs on 10 hits and 5 walks in 10 1/3 innings at Atlanta and Texas. Chicago is 16-1 in Arrieta’s last 17 road starts after giving up 1 or less runs in his last outing and have won these games by an average score of 6.5 to 2.4. Give me the Cubs -1.5 (-145)!

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San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick from John Ryan: June 25th 2016


San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Pick: San Diego Padres -120 odds (June 25th 2016)

Ryan went 2-1 and sent his season profits to another new high earning $2,834 for the $100 player + $7,085 for the $10/Star unit player. Here is another 3-pack of his Algorithm-based Titans + all backed by amazing systems + game situations.

10* graded play on San Diego as they take on Cincinnati in NL action set to start at 4:10 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that San Diego will win this game.

Technical Discussion PointsSupporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 76-30 mark good for 72% winners and has made a remarkable 54 units/unit wagered since 1997. Play against NL home teams (CINCINNATI) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Reds are just 11-26 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons; 5-23 (-14.8 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.

Fundamental Discussion Points SD has done well against LH starters batting 0.277 and with a 0.787 OPS scoring 6.0 RPG in 23 games. Reds have not done well against LH starters scoring just 3.8 RPG batting 0.243 with a 0.295 OBP. Further, their bullpen is pathetic sporting a 6.34 ERA and 1.584 WHIP in 74 games spanning 263 2/3 innings of work.

San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds Betting Prediction from Jack Jones: June 24th 2016

PADRES VS. REDS BETTINGSan Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds
Betting Prediction: Padres +113 odds (June 24th 2016)

Excellent value on the Padres visiting the Cincinnati Reds Friday. The one consistent positive San Diego has had going for them this season is tearing up left-handed starters. As a team they are hitting a good 30 points higher (.272) and scoring almost one and a half more runs per game (5.6) against lefties.

Cincy holds the third-worst record in the Majors and is sporting a losing record at home this season (17-20). They also have a suspect history against the Padres in recent meetings. San Diego holds a 10-3 advantage over the last three seasons, including a 5-2 mark in Cincinnati. Bet the Padres Friday.

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Padres vs. Reds Odds: Dave Price betting San Diego -104 on June 23rd 2016


San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Pick: Padres -104 odds (June 23rd 2016)

The San Diego Padres have really gotten their bats going here of late. They have scored at least 5 runs in 6 of their last 7 games overall. Those hot bats should continue against Cincinnati’s John Lamb, who is 1-4 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.521 WHIP in 9 starts this season. Christian Friedrich has been a bright spot in San Diego’s rotation this year. He has gone 3-2 with a 3.15 ERA in 7 starts. Friedrich has been untouchable on the road, sporting a 0.47 ERA in 3 starts while allowing just 1 earned run in 19 innings. The Reds are 1-6 in Lamb’s last 7 home starts. Take San Diego.

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Over-Under Betting Prediction from Jeff Alexander: June 14th 2016


Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves
MLB Over-Under Betting Prediction: Under 8 runs -110 odds (June 14th 2016)

I think we are seeing an inflated total here due to these two teams combining for 17 runs in the Reds 9-8 win on Monday. Offense figures to be a lot harder to come by for both teams with today’s pitching matchup. Atlanta gives the ball to Julio Teheran, who despite a 2-6 record owns a 2.85 ERA and 1.024 WHIP in 13 starts. Teheran has owned the Reds in his career, posting a 1.78 ERA in 4 starts. Cincinnati counters with Brandon Finnegan, who is one of the more underrated starters in the league. Finnegan has allowed 3 earned runs or less in 8 of his last 9 starts and will be facing one of the worst offenses in the league in the Braves. Cash the UNDER 8!

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Oakland Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Odds & Pick from Stephen Nover: June 10th 2016

ATHLETICSOakland Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Pick: A’s -115 odds (June 10th 2016)

This is how bad pitching is for the Reds: They are eagerly welcoming back second-year big leaguer Anthony DeSclafani to the mound tonight for his season debut. DeSclafani has been out since the end of spring training with an oblique strain.

DeSclafani did display a glimpse of potential in his rookie season last year, but finished by losing his last three starts giving up 17 runs. He has yet to solve hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park with a 5.11 home ERA. Cincinnati is 2-8 in DeSclafani’s last 10 starts.

Since it’s his big league first start of 2016, DeSclafani could be on a pitch count. That means the Reds’ bullpen – the worst in the majors – is likely to be heavily involved.

The flip side of this equation is believing that A’s starter Sonny Gray is back to his stud form of the past three seasons. This is essential to the handicap because the A’s have lost seven in a row on the road and are down outfielder Josh Reddick and also may be missing outfielder Khris Davis, who has a finger injury.

The mystery of why Gray has been so bad this season was solved a couple of weeks ago when he went on the DL with a strained trapezius muscle. Looking to buy low, I traded for Gray in my American League fantasy league dealing closer Huston Street for him after watching Gray’s road performance against the Astros this past Sunday.

That was Gray’s first start since coming off the DL and he was sharp giving up one earned run in five innings with five strikeouts and seven ground ball outs. Gray was excellent on the road last season going 8-3 with a 2.82 ERA. So the Sonny Gray buy sign is on for me at this price.
The Reds have dropped nine of their last 12 home games and are 2-9 the past 11 times going against a righty at Great American Ball Park. The A’s are far from a good team, but they have taken care of business against bad teams winning six of the last seven times versus foes with a winning percentage below .400.

Cardinals vs. Reds MLB Over-Under Prediction from Bob Harvey: June 9th 2016


St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Over-Under Pick: Over 9 runs -110 odds (June 9th 2016)

The St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds conclude their three game series where offense is expected to reign supreme.

The Cardinals (30-28, 31-27 RL) lost the series opener 7-6 but bounced back on Wednesday night hitting four homeruns during a 12-7 victory. Brandon Moss belted a pair of roundtrippers, Jhonny Peralta added a three-run blast and Matt Adams clubbed a three-run shot for St. Louis, which is 17-4 in its last 21 series against Cincinnati.

The Reds (22-36, 31-27 RL) offense has scored 54 runs during a 5-2 stretch and has 27 hits in the first two games of the series. Jay Bruce has been especially hot, hitting safely in 10 of his last 11 games, collecting 12 RBIs in that stretch.

Wainwright (5-4, 5.40 ERA) saw his seven-start unbeaten streak come to an end with a 5-1 loss to San Francisco on Friday. He’s had mixed results against Cincinnati posting a career mark of 8-10 with a 4.51 ERA against Cincinnati.

Finnegan (2-4, 3.89) put the brakes to an eight-start winless drought last time out against Washington, permitting one run and five hits over 6 1/3 innings for his first victory since April 16 in St. Louis. He’s 1-1 with a 4.26 ERA in four appearances (two starts).

The Cardinals are 13-5 to the OVER in their last 18 overall while the Reds are 15-5-2 to the high side in their past 22. St. Louis has taken six of the last eight meetings.

Cincinnati’s pitchers have surrendered 101 homers, by far the highest total in the majors.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Betting Prediction from Stephen Nover: June 7th 2016

CARDINALS VS. REDSSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Betting Prediction: Cardinals -156 odds (June 7th 2016)

I really don’t need an excuse to fade the Reds, but with the opening line dropping I have another good reason to back the road favorite Cardinals.

St. Louis starter Mike Leake is in excellent form – a 1.59 ERA in his last five starts – and should be extra pumped pitching against his former team. Leake is experienced pitching at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park having made 85 career starts for the Reds. This is his first start there as a visitor.

The Cardinals have dominated Cincinnati winning 19 of the past 24 times during the last two years, including going 6-1 in the last seven meetings. St. Louis is 15-6 in its last 21 road games versus sub .500 opponents. The Reds have dropped seven of their last nine home games.

St. Louis’ lineup is better now as shortstop Jhonny Peralta is expected to be activated from the disabled list today. He’s been out all season after injuring his thumb during spring training.

Peralta’s return strengthens the Cardinals at three infield spots because it gets disappointing Kolten Wong out of the starting lineup with Matt Carpenter moving from third base to second base.

The Reds have a bunch of junior varsity starting pitchers because of multiple injuries. Lefty John Lamb is one of those with a 5.58 ERA. He’s allowed 17 earned runs in his past four starts spanning 20 2/3 innings. He’s yielded 29 hits in his last four outings with as many walks allowed – nine – as strikeouts during this time frame. The Cardinals are 8-6 versus southpaws this season.

Cincinnati is 3-13 in Lamb’s career starts. Making the Reds nearly an auto-fade is their brutal bullpen which has given up 145 earned runs and 43 homers in 200 1/3 innings for an ERA of 6.50.

(Editor’s note: In addition to this free selection, Stephen Nover has his Run Line Game of the Week going today.)

Reds vs. Rockies MLB Odds & Pick from Larry Ness: May 30th 2016


Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies
MLB Pick: Colorado -139 odds (May 30th 2016)

The Reds are a MLB-worst 4-19 on the road (minus-$1,402)…My free play is on the Col Rockies at 4:10 ET.

The Rockies just finished a 15-game stretch against five teams with winning records, including division leaders the Giants and Red Sox. Colorado won the first four games of that stretch but then dropped EIGHT of the last 11, finishing 7-8 overall. All in all, not a bad performance and a four-game series at home against the Cincinnati Reds just may bring some relief. The Reds are a MLB-worst 4-19 on the road (minus-$1,402), where they’ve been outscored on average, 6.39-to-3.35 RPG. They’ve averaged just three runs while hitting .191 over their last 12 games.

Dan Straily (2-2, 2.98 ERA) will get the nod for the Reds and Chad Bettis (4-3, 4.90 ERA) for the Rockies. Straily had a career high-tying 11 strikeouts Wednesday but he took the hard-luck loss after giving up three runs and three hits in seven innings against Dodgers. He made three relief appearances to begin the season but since moving into the rotation, has allowed three runs or less in each of his eight starts. Cincy is counting on Straily to pick up a pitching staff that has posted a 6.85 ERA during the team’s current 1-12 stretch.

Bettis takes the mound after getting pounded for a season-high seven runs on seven hits and four walks over just 4.2 innings in a 10-3 loss at Boston on Wednesday. However, he had logged at least six innings in each of his previous eight starts, with the Rockies winning five times. Bettis enjoyed one of his better outings of the season in a no-decision at Cincinnati back on April 20, allowing three runs on three hits in six innings. Colorado has won 13 of the last 22 overall meetings and 19 of its previous 27 at home against Cincinnati since 2008.

It’s NEVER too hard to make a case for playing against the Reds. That’s the bet.

Reds vs. Indians Odds: Larry Ness betting Cleveland -145 on May 16th 2016

REDS VS. INDIANSCincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Indians
MLB Betting Prediction: Cleveland -145 odds (May 16th 2016)

Cincinnati has lost 13 of its last 14 games at Cleveland…My free play is on the Cle Indians at 6:10 ET.

The battle of Ohio kicks off at 6:10 ET when the Cincinnati Reds visit the Cleveland Indians for the first of a four-game, home-and-home series. The intrastate rivals will play two in Cleveland before heading to Cincinnati for two more on Wednesday to complete the interleague series. The Indians have dropped back-to-back series and are coming off two straight losses to the struggling Minnesota Twins (10-26) in which they totaled just four runs. Cleveland went 0-for-4 with runners in scoring position and left nine men on base in Sunday’s 5-1 loss. The Reds snapped a three-game slide with a 9-4 victory at Philadelphia, upping their road record to 3-12 (tied with the Twins, who are 4-16, as a MLB-worst).

The Indians will hand the ball to Cody Anderson (0-3, 7.31 ERA), who was sent down to the minors after going 0-1 with a 7.65 ERA in his first four starts. He returned to “the bigs”and lost his first start back (7-0 vs KC on May 5), before also losing in relief Wednesday by allowing Marwin Gonzalez’s winning two-run homer over 3.1 innings in a 5-3, 16-inning loss at Houston. It’s HARDLY good news that the Indians have lost all six games he has appeared in (0-5 in starts). “Whenever you are going through things like this, you’ve just got to focus on keeping the ball down and trusting your defense and not try to do too much,” Anderson said. He is 0-2 with a 5.49 ERA in four career interleague starts entering his first-ever start vs the Reds.

As for the Reds, they will give the ball to John Lamb (0-0, 1.80 ERA), who was removed from a start against Milwaukee on May 8 with a bruised thumb and got some extra time to rest due to a rainout during the week. The 25-year-old has allowed a total of only two runs on eight hits in 10 innings over two starts while striking out seven. Lamb, who made his major-league debut after arriving in a trade last summer from Kansas City, has never faced an American League opponent and will be making just his third start of 2016 after being activated earlier this month following back surgery.

It’s hard to make a strong case for Anderson but consider the following. The Reds have lost 10 of Lamb’s 12 career starts (Lamb has posted a 5.13 ERA in them) plus Cincinnati has lost 13 of its last 14 games at Cleveland. Home team is the play.