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Posts Tagged ‘Cincinnati Reds Predictions’

MLB Prediction from Dave Price: Look for Homer Bailey to get the win on April 20th 2014

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
Prediction: Cincinnati Reds -120 odds (April 20th 2014)
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Homer Bailey is off to a rough start, but I look for him to get things turned around against a Chicago club he has owned. The Reds are 9-0 in Bailey’s last nine starts against the Cubs with five of the wins coming in the Windy City. Bailey has held the Cubs to two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts against them. Bailey hasn’t been the only Cincy starter who has had success against the North Siders as the Reds are 48-19 in the last 67 meetings, including 20-6 in the last 26 in Chi-Town. Take the Reds.

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Reds vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Pick from Tom Grassi: April 7th 2014

Tom Grassi - MLB PickCincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Betting Pick: Under 6.5 -110 odds (April 7th 2014)
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The Reds take their cold bats on the road again this afternoon opening a 3-game series with the Cardinals. They left New York scoring a total of 8 runs in the three games. On the season, Cincinnati has scored more than three runs only once in their six games. Their team batting average currently sits at .210.

St. Louis plays their home opener today after six road games to start the season. The first three were against these same Reds. The Cards bat haven’t been very hot either as they are scoring 2.8 runs per game with a .186 batting average.

The pitching matchup is a rematch between Cingrani and Wacha. In their meeting in Cincinnati the Reds outlast the Cards 1-0 with Cingrani going seven innings and not allowing a run while striking out nine Cards batters. Wacha also pitched shutout ball going 6 and 2/3 innings striking out seven.

The total in this contest is a very low 6.5 runs, and its low for a good reason. Both teams are not hitting, it’s an afternoon game, and both pitchers pitch well against the opposition. Look for another low scoring close game this afternoon in St. Louis.

MLB Picks: Cardinals vs. Reds Odds & Prediction from Teddy Covers: March 31st 2014

Teddy Covers - MLB PickSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Prediction: Cincinnati +105 odds (March 31st 2014)
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I have no hesitation fading Adam Wainwright at the Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati. This park and this opponent has been a house of horrors for Wainwright in recent years, despite his Cy Young caliber overall campaigns.

In two starts against the Reds after the All Star break last year, Wainwright got clobbered both times: eight innings pitched, 17 hits and 15 earned runs allowed. He notched only one win in four tries against Cincinnati for the season. In 2012, wainwright had an ERA above 5.00 versus the Reds, again, notching only a single win against a divisional rival.

It’s surely worth noting that Wainwright got lit up at Arizona on opening day last year, allowing eleven hits and four runs in six innings of work. Wainwright went 0-3 in April 2012, finishing the month with a 7.32 ERA as the Cards lost all four of his starts.
Johnny Cueto threw seven innings of one run, three hit ball in his first start last year , and threw five quality starts in five tries at home during his injury riddled campaign.

The Reds went 6-1 in his first seven starts in 2012, including a dominating effort with his first start, throwing seven innings of three hit, shutout ball. The Cardinals have hit just .181 against Cueto in six starts against him over the past two years. Wrong team favored here! Take Cincinnati.

MLB Predictions for September 17th 2013: Cincinnati Reds vs. Houston Astros

MLB Predictions: September 17th 2013
Cincinnati Reds vs. Houston Astros
Pick: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 -106
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I’m backing the Cincinnati Reds (85-66) on the Run Line Tuesday against the lowly Houston Astros (51-99). Cincinnati currently holds the final NL Wild Card spot, leading the Nationals by 4.5 games for it. The Reds want to clinch a postseason spot as soon as possible.

Off a 6-1 victory at Houston in Game 1, I like their chances of another blowout victory with Mike Leake on the mound. The right-hander is 13-6 with a 3.35 ERA in 29 starts this season, including 7-2 with a 3.05 ERA in 15 road starts.

Jordan Lyles is 7-7 with a 4.92 ERA and 1.426 WHIP in 23 starts and two relief appearances for the Astros this year. The right-hander has been at his worst at home, going 4-5 with a 6.04 ERA and 1.507 WHIP in 13 starts.

Cincinnati is 15-3 against the run line (+12.6 Units) in road games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. less than 38%) over the last 2 seasons. Houston is 1-10 against the run line (-10.5 Units) in home games vs. excellent fielding teams – averaging less than 0.5 errors/game in the second half of the season this season. Bet the Reds on the Run Line Tuesday.

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick from Jack Jones: September 16th 2013

Cincinnati Reds vs. Houston Astros
MLB Pick: Reds -165 odds (September 16th 2013)
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The Cincinnati Reds (84-66) want to clinch their spot in the postseason as soon as possible. They lead the Washington Nationals by 4.5 games for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. I look for them to take care of business against the lowly Houston Astros (51-98) in Game 1 of this series Monday.

Despite being banged up for much of the year, Johnny Cueto has been solid when healthy. He makes his return from injury tonight and looks to build on his 4-2 record with a 3.33 ERA and 1.069 WHIP.

Cincinnati will be up against Houston’s Erik Bedard, who is 4-10 with a 4.47 ERA and 1.519 WHIP over 23 starts and six relief appearances in 2013. Bedard is 0-1 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.851 WHIP in his last three starts as well.

Houston is just 24-51 at home in 2013. The Reds are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Cincinnati is 52-17 in its last 69 after allowing 5 runs or more in its previous game. The Reds are 35-16 in Cueto’s last 51 starts as a favorite. The Astros are 11-46 in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Reds Monday.

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MLB Picks: Bet against Homer Bailey facing the Brewers on August 23rd 2013

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Prediction: Milwaukee +182 (August 23rd 2013)
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When it comes to consistency and trust, Homer Bailey is Homer Simpson.

Bailey has proven capable of not allowing a hit. He’s also proven he can be lit up. He’s way too untrustworthy to back at such a big price making the Brewers a value play.

Milwaukee starter Yovani Gallardo has a 2.49 ERA the past eight times he’s faced the Reds. He hasn’t yielded a run the past two times he’s faced Cincinnati spanning 12 1/3 innings.

Gallardo returned from the DL, where he had been out with a strained hamstring, and gave up just three hits in 6 1/3 innings in a 2-0 victory against the Reds this past Saturday. Gallardo has had a highly disappointing season, but the time off may have done him some good.

The Brewers could be pumped as All-Star outfielder Carlos Gomez is expected back.

Bailey beat the Brewers, 9-1, this past Sunday. Prior to that game, however, Bailey was 1-7 with a 6.03 ERA in his career versus Milwaukee.

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Reds vs. Padres MLB Prediction from Rob Vinciletti on July 31st 2013

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres
MLB Prediction: Padres +120 odds (July 31st 2013)
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Wednesday card ends the Mont Big with 5* Power system sides that are 29-2 and 15-0, one is the Game of the Week. There is also another Big totals System on the card. Free MLB Matinee System Play below.

On Wednesday the MLB System Prediction is on the San Diego Padres. The Padres are a live dog here this afternoon. The Reds fit a System that cashes 80% the last 10 years and plays against Road favorites with a total of 8 or less if they are off a road favored loss by 2 or more runs and scored 2 or less runs and are playing an opponent off a home dog win by 2+ runs if they scored 4 or more runs and had 10 or more hits. We have two teams headed in opposite directions. The Reds have dropped 5 straight while The Padres have now won 4 straight. The Padres have a Solid bullpen edge when comparing home to road era for both teams. Cincinnati has also lost 8 of the last 9 on the road vs left handers. San Diego has Lefty E. Stults going and they have won 11 of his last 12 starts here. Stults has a stellar 2.52 home era and has allowed just 8 earned runs in his last 53 innings pitched here. Homer Bailey goes for the Reds and he has a a 6-0 record vs the Padres. However when we dig into those starts we see that Homer has allowed 8 runs in his last 10 innings vs the Padres and has allowed 13 earned runs in his last 24 road innings. So he’s a Homer alright. The Reds have lost 7 of his last 8 road starts. Based on the system, the Pitching and the overall team form we will back the Padres today. On Wednesday get on the “The Giving End” of Hump day with Another Powerful card. The MLB Game of the week is up and is one of 2 Top play 5* Sides one from a 29-2 and the other a 15-0 Power System. There is also another Big totals System Play. Jump on now and End the Month big tonight. For the free Play take the San Diego Padres. RV

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Prediction for June 9th 2013

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Prediction: Cardinals -107 odds (June 9th 2013)
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St. Louis and Cincinnati have split the first two games of this series, but the Cardinals haven’t lost a series since the end of April. Despite the Reds victory yesterday, they aren’t scoring. Over their L30 contests, Cincy has posted 5 or more runs just 11 times. Outside of Joey Votto, the offense doesn’t have a single .300 hitter and possesses six every day batters that have combined for 319 K’s. Overall, the team has only 18 SBs. So when they do get on, they don’t advance. Bronson Arroyo takes the bump. The RH is 6-5 on the season, including an 0-2 mark vs. St. Louis. In his career, Arroyo is 8-15 when starting against the Cards. St. Louis has the best record in Base Ball at 40-22, including the League’s best away record at 21-10 on the road. They averaged nearly 8 RPG in June before yesterday’s loss. While their lineup has four sluggers with hitting streaks of nine or more games. They rank 3rd in scoring at 4.94 RPG and 2nd in Team BA at .275. Lance Lynn gets the start. The RH is 8-1 with a 2.76 ERA, limiting opponents to two runs or less in 7 of his L9 starts. This season, Lynn is 2-0 vs. Cincy. The Cardinals are 10-3 their L13 games vs. the NL Central, 20-7 their L27 games played on the road, and 20-7 in Lynn’s L27 overall starts. The Reds are 1-5 their L6 games played vs. RH starters, 0-4 their L4 in Game 3 of a series, and 3-7 in Arroyo’s L10 starts as a home ‘dog. Take St. Louis. Thank you. Be sure to take advantage of Joseph D’Amico’s premium MLB predictions for June 9th 2013 at Touthouse.com today!

MLB Predictions: Wager on the Brewers, Dodgers and Reds on Sunday, May 26th 2013

MLB Predictions: May 26th 2013
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Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers -119
The Brewers carry a huge advantage in today’s game against Pittsburgh. Wandy Rodriquez has a 6.11 ERA on the road and he is averaging just 4.4 innings per start in those games. That spells big trouble for the Pirates considering they have averaged just 2.7 runs per game with a .209 batting average over the past seven games. Milwaukee is has a .270 batting average at home and going against a pitcher that struggles on the road is just what the Brewers need to pick up their second win in this three game series. Yovani Gallardo is 10-2 in his career against the Pirates with a 2.31 ERA and a 1.161 WHIP. His team is 14-2 in all starts Gallardo has made against Pittsburgh. **Jimmy is 12-4 (75%) ATS his L16 NBA playoffs picks! Today’s NBA features a 5* Total Dominator! In MLB action you can cash in on his 2-For-1 MLB Double Play!**

Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers -137
Getting Clayton Kershaw at this kind or price at home is an absolute gift from oddsmakers. I’ll gladly take advantage Sunday and back the Dodgers at an excellent price at home. Kershaw is 5-2 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.819 WHIP through 10 starts and one relief appearance in 2013. He is also 4-1 with a 0.80 ERA and 0.756 WHIP through six home starts in 2013. Kershaw is 13-2 (+10.4 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. Kershaw is 17-4 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons. Bet the Dodgers Sunday. No. 1 Ranked NBA Capper for 2012-13! Jack Jones and his $1,000/game NBA players have profited $49,760 this season! He has posted an UNMATCHED 214-154 NBA Record this season! He continues to bury your book on the pro hardwood tonight with his 20* Heat/Pacers Game 3 ANNIHILATOR! His selection in this contest is backed by a PERFECT 100% System in his analysis! It’s a GUARANTEED WINNER or Monday NBA is ON JACK!

If you found these three MLB predictions for May 26th useful, be sure to check out our handicappers picks at Accuwager.com as well.

Prediction: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 +120
The Reds have won 5 in a row with the last 4 wins coming by at least 3 runs. The Cubs have dropped their last 6 with the last 3 defeats coming by at least 2 runs. The Reds have rattled off 6 consecutive wins against the Cubs, and the last 4 of these have come by 2 runs or more. Johnny Cueto has been dominant against the Cubs, allowing a total of 3 earned runs in his last 5 starts against them. The Reds won all 5 of those starts with 4 of the victories coming by at least 2 runs. Bet the Reds on the run line. -Jeff Alexander

Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Prediction: April 4th 2013

Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Betting Prediction: Angels +113 odds (April 4th 2013)
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The time off yesterday was definitely needed. We will start with a value play early with the Angels as under dogs. On paper it appears the Reds have the advantage of playing the early game on the east coast with the better pitcher in Arroyo. However, I’m going off raw stats and value here and not public’s or the media’s perception. First of all you have to know the Reds were 23rd vs. RHP in OPS a year ago while the Angels were 5th. The Reds lost Ryan Ludwick, one of their best hitters on day 1 which impacted their line up significantly while the Angels added Josh Hamilton who will only improve their OPS vs. RHP this year.

Bronson Arroyo will take the mound for the Reds and he’s a durable pitcher and will be sure to make 33 starts, but in my opinion he pitched over his head quite a bit last year despite his 3.74 ERA he seemed quite a bit lucky only allowing 20 HR, 46 previous year. Arroyo had a 4.19 xFIP which is more indicative of his true ERA and he has struggled big time in interleague play of late and Albert Pujols is quite familiar with him and has 4 HR and a .900 OPS.

Joe Blanton on the other side has a ton of value not only in this season but moving forward. He’s got the 4th best K/BB ratio at 5.7 last year and his Xfip is 3.39. His biggest issue is giving up HR, but the ball is not going to be carrying early in the season with the cold weather. I’m not suggesting he won’t give up a lot of HR’s again this year, but in opportunities when home runs are not the norm (early season cold weather) we have to take full advantage of Blanton’s abilities which is throwing Angels +113 (1* FREE PLAY)
The time off yesterday was definitely needed. We will start with a value play early with the Angels as under dogs. On paper it appears the Reds have the advantage of playing the early game on the east coast with the better pitcher in Arroyo. However, I’m going off raw stats and value here and not public’s or the media’s perception. First of all you have to know the Reds were 23rd vs. RHP in OPS a year ago while the Angels were 5th. The Reds lost Ryan Ludwick, one of their best hitters on day 1 which impacted their line up significantly while the Angels added Josh Hamilton who will only improve their OPS vs. RHP this year.

Bronson Arroyo will take the mound for the Reds and he’s a durable pitcher and will be sure to make 33 starts, but in my opinion he pitched over his head quite a bit last year despite his 3.74 ERA he seemed quite a bit lucky only allowing 20 HR, 46 previous year. Arroyo had a 4.19 xFIP which is more indicative of his true ERA and he has struggled big time in interleague play of late and Albert Pujols is quite familiar with him and has 4 HR and a .900 OPS. If you find this Angels vs. Reds MLB prediction useful, be sure to check out Freddy’s premium MLB baseball picks at Touthouse.com

Joe Blanton on the other side has a ton of value not only in this season but moving forward. He’s got the 4th best K/BB ratio at 5.7 last year and his Xfip is 3.39. His biggest issue is giving up HR, but the ball is not going to be carrying early in the season with the cold weather. I’m not suggesting he won’t give up a lot of HR’s again this year, but in opportunities when home runs are not the norm (early season cold weather) we have to take full advantage of Blanton’s abilities which is throwing strikes and getting batters to miss.

Both pitchers will rely on not giving up HR’s and I think they will both be successful today so that turns the game into small ball and Blanton ranked 22nd best in contract rate while Arroyo was 8th worst allowing 85% of his pitches to be hit. He gave up 30 hits and a .333 average in sprint training and now he goes up against a talented line up. I expect him to have runners on base all day long. Can he win? Absolutely, but I’ll fade a pitcher as a favorite that will put more guys on base than his opponent.