San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors
Point Spread: San Antonio -2 Over/Under 197 (May 12th 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. Warriors are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. Western Conference. Warriors are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Warriors are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Spurs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Sunday games. Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference. Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific. Spurs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. win.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 overall. Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 vs. Western Conference. Under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 vs. NBA Southwest. Under is 7-0 in Spurs last 7 Sunday games. Under is 10-2 in Spurs last 12 road games. Under is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 8-2 in Spurs last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Spurs are 6-2-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Golden State. Favorite is 18-7-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings. Over is 15-6-1 in the last 22 meetings in Golden State. Under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings. Spurs are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

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San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors
Game 3 Betting Pick: Golden State -2.5 point spread (May 10th 2013)
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How could you not be impressed with the way the Warriors responded in Game 2 after that horrific collapse in Game 1. They now head home for two games with a chance to take a commanding 3-1 advantage. There’s clearly going to be a lot of public money on the Warriors as a small home favorite. Golden State is a perfect 8-0 ATS in the playoffs and have covered in 11 straight dating back to the regular season. They are an impressive 31-13 at home this year and have clearly looked like the better team.

While I’m not big on backing the public, I think there’s a bit of an overreaction here to the fact that Golden State is favored by a lot of the sharps. There’s really not much of a difference between being a 2.5-point favorite or a 2.5-point underdog.

There was a lot of the same sharp action against the Warriors in their first round series against the Nuggets, when they returned home after a split in Denver as a 1.5-point underdog in Game 3. You can say what you want about the Big 3 of San Antonio, the best player on the floor is Steph Curry and until he shows any signs of slowing down I’m certainly not going to bet against him.

Golden State is 10-2 ATS in home games after playing 2 straight games as an underdog. They are also 5-0 ATS when playing on 1 days rest, while the Spurs are a miserable 3-12 ATS over their last 15 games when playing on 1 days rest. BET THE WARRIORS!

Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs
Point Spread: San Antonio -7.5 Over/Under 204 (May 8th 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference. Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. Spurs are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Spurs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. Warriors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Warriors are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Warriors are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Warriors are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 home games. Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 7-2 in Spurs last 9 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Spurs last 7 overall. Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 Wednesday games. Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 6-2 in Warriors last 8 vs. NBA Southwest. Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 16-7 in Warriors last 23 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Warriors are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Favorite is 18-6-2 ATS in the last 26 meetings. Warriors are 5-14 ATS in the last 19 meetings in San Antonio.

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Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets
Game 5 Betting Prediction: Under 213.5 (April 30th 2013)
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Ryan passed yesterday simply because his research did not show any strong money making opportunities. His 20-9 record making 13.25 units/unit wagered shows that he only releases the best. This one comes with complete research featuring a perfect 7-0 game situation + 83% 16-year system.

10* graded game 5 prediction on UNDER the posted total in the Denver-Golden State playoff game set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that fewer than 213 points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 27-5 mark for 84.4% winners since 1996. Play ‘under’ the posted total with home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off a win by 10 points or more installed as a dog. Denver has been solid against above average shooting teams in keeping the game ‘under’ posted totals. They are 24-11 UNDER (+11.9 Units) when facing teams making >=46% of their shots with the game taking place in the second half of the season spanning the last 3 seasons. Moreover, Golden State is 29-9 UNDER (+19.1 Units) in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games since 1996. Play the ‘under’.

Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets
NBA Playoffs Odds: Denver -7.5 Over/Under 210 (April 20th 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Nuggets are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Nuggets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Pacific. Nuggets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Nuggets are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 home games. Nuggets are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win. Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games. Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference. Warriors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Warriors are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games.

Over/Under Trends:
Over is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 overall. Over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 games following a S.U. win. Over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. Western Conference. Over is 11-4 in Nuggets last 15 vs. NBA Pacific. Under is 10-4 in Nuggets last 14 home games. Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 10-3 in Warriors last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 8-3 in Warriors last 11 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Over is 10-4 in Warriors last 14 Saturday games. Over is 7-3 in Warriors last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver.

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Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors
NBA Odds: Golden State -1 Over/Under 204 (March 25th 2013)
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ATS Trends:
Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Monday games. Warriors are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 vs. NBA Pacific. Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. Western Conference. Warriors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest. Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Lakers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss. Lakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Lakers are 18-39-1 ATS in their last 58 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Over/Under Trends:
Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 overall. Under is 7-0 in Warriors last 7 vs. Western Conference. Under is 10-1 in Warriors last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 vs. NBA Pacific. Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 games following a ATS win. Over is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Over is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 games following a ATS loss. Under is 4-1 in Lakers last 5 vs. NBA Pacific. Over is 15-5 in Lakers last 20 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 12-4 in Lakers last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

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Head-to-Head Trends:
Over is 18-5 in the last 23 meetings in Golden State. Over is 29-14 in the last 43 meetings.

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Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors
NBA Pick: Golden State -1.5 (March 8th 2013)
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The Golden State Warriors will be more motivated for a win tonight than at any other point this season. They are battling for a playoff spot in the Western Conference right alongside Houston. I look for them to protect their home court tonight.

The reason these Warriors will be motivated is the fact that they’ve lost to the Rockets twice already this season in their first two meetings. That includes a 109-140 setback at Houston on February 5th as they were thoroughly embarrassed. It’s payback time tonight folks.

Golden State is 20-7 at home this season where it is scoring 102.3 points/game and allowing 97.7 points/game. Houston is just 13-20 on the road this year, giving up 103.4 points/game away from home. Given these numbers and the motivation factor, I’ll take my chances on the Warriors as only a 1.5-point home favorite tonight.

Houston is 4-17 ATS in road games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. The Rockets are 2-16 ATS in road games after 2 straight games giving up 10 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The favorite is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Bet the Warriors Friday.

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